TDSTelephone and Data Systems, Inc.Communication Services · Telecommunications Servicesas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $37.07 · now $37.07 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, TDS has typically landed between $31.00 and $45.12 — a range of −16.4% to +21.7% from the issuance price $37.07.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

5,002 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($37.07) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where TDS has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $37.07 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$31worst · -16.4%$45.12best · +21.7%
  • now $37.07 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $37.28 (+0.6%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $34.99–$39.57
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $31–$45.12
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,002 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2022-10-27−40.2%−40.2%+3.4%
2022-10-28−39.6%−42.1%+0.0%
2022-11-01−38.5%−41.5%+0.0%
3 best
2023-08-02+172.6%+0.0%+173.5%
2023-08-01+171.1%−0.9%+171.1%
2023-07-17+164.0%+0.0%+164.0%

5,002 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
55%
+3.4%
n=20
Feb
20%
−5.0%
n=20
Mar
50%
+0.7%
n=20
Apr
55%
+2.0%
n=20
May
50%
+0.0%
n=20
Jun
45%
+0.6%
n=20
Jul
55%
+0.6%
n=20
Aug
60%
+7.9%
n=20
Sep
40%
−2.1%
n=20
Oct
60%
+3.5%
n=20
Nov
55%
+0.9%
n=20
Dec
50%
+0.8%
n=20

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$48$292026-09-11: 1 insider sale, $3.0M — CARLSON LEROY T JR2026-03-23: 1 insider sale, $244K — Carlson Prudence E2025-11-11: 1 insider sale, $34K — Kroll Anita J2025-11-10: 1 insider sale, $633K — Kroll Anita J2025-08-20: 1 insider sale, $336K — Kroll Anita J2025-08-18: 3 insider sales, $3.8M — Hanley Joseph R, Villacrez Vicki L, Carlson Prudence E2025-08-15: 1 insider sale, $2.3M — Villacrez Vicki L2025-08-14: 1 insider sale, $240K — Carlson Prudence E2025-08-13: 2 insider sales, $2.9M — Villacrez Vicki L, Kroll Anita J2025-08-12: 4 insider sales, $8.0M — CARLSON LEROY T JR, Chambers Douglas W, Kroll Anita J, OLeary Christopher D2025-08: 12 open-market sales, $17.6M2025-11: 2 open-market sales, $667K2026-03: 1 open-market sale, $244K2026-09: 1 open-market sale, $3.0M↑ buys↓ salesdirector CARLSON LEROY T JR — Sale on 2026-09-11, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Carlson Prudence E — Sale on 2026-03-23, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Kroll Anita J — Sale on 2025-11-11, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Kroll Anita J — Sale on 2025-11-10, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Kroll Anita J — Sale on 2025-08-20, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Hanley Joseph R — Sale on 2025-08-18, filed same daydirector Villacrez Vicki L — Sale on 2025-08-18, filed same daydirector Carlson Prudence E — Sale on 2025-08-18, filed same daydirector Villacrez Vicki L — Sale on 2025-08-15, filed same daydirector Carlson Prudence E — Sale on 2025-08-14, filed same daydirector Villacrez Vicki L — Sale on 2025-08-13, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Kroll Anita J — Sale on 2025-08-13, filed 1 day after the tradedirector CARLSON LEROY T JR — Sale on 2025-08-12, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Chambers Douglas W — Sale on 2025-08-12, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Kroll Anita J — Sale on 2025-08-12, filed 2 days after the tradedirector OLeary Christopher D — Sale on 2025-08-12, filed 2 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-09-11CARLSON LEROY T JRdirectorSale77,100 @ $38.45$3.0M−13.8% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open480,360Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-03-23Carlson Prudence EdirectorSale5,811 @ $42.00$244K−1.9% of holding−4.8%not yet — horizon still open305,556Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-11Kroll Anita JofficerSale870 @ $39.16$34K−100.0% of holding−2.5%+29.7%0Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-10Kroll Anita JofficerSale16,217 @ $39.02$633K−94.9% of holding−3.0%+32.9%870Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-08-20Kroll Anita JofficerSale8,608 @ $39.09$336K−33.5% of holding−7.0%+42.8%17,087Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-08-18Hanley Joseph RofficerSale68,759 @ $38.16$2.6M−53.2% of holding−4.3%+43.7%60,473Form 4 · filed same day
2025-08-18Villacrez Vicki LdirectorSale26,334 @ $39.02$1.0M−98.3% of holding−4.3%+43.7%454Form 4 · filed same day
2025-08-18Carlson Prudence EdirectorSale4,452 @ $38.50$171K−1.4% of holding−4.3%+43.7%311,005Form 4 · filed same day
2025-08-15Villacrez Vicki LdirectorSale58,452 @ $38.56$2.3M−68.6% of holding−4.1%+51.2%26,788Form 4 · filed same day
2025-08-14Carlson Prudence EdirectorSale6,320 @ $38.05$240K−2.0% of holding−2.6%+53.9%315,457Form 4 · filed same day
2025-08-13Villacrez Vicki LdirectorSale73,878 @ $38.88$2.9M−47.7% of holding−0.9%+51.4%81,035Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-08-13Kroll Anita JofficerSale800 @ $39.16$31K−3.9% of holding−0.9%+51.4%19,492Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-08-12CARLSON LEROY T JRdirectorSale111,820 @ $38.15$4.3M−23.2% of holding−1.2%+46.3%369,373Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-08-12Chambers Douglas WdirectorSale41,992 @ $38.63$1.6M−100.0% of holding−1.2%+46.3%0Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-08-12Kroll Anita JofficerSale29,047 @ $39.02$1.1M−59.4% of holding−1.2%+46.3%19,892Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-08-12OLeary Christopher DdirectorSale26,000 @ $38.08$990K−36.5% of holding−1.2%+46.3%45,183Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

284 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-09-11CARLSON LEROY T JRdirectorOption exercise77,100557,460Form 4
2026-09-11CARLSON LEROY T JRdirectorOption exercise77,1000Form 4
2026-09-03CARLSON LEROY T JRdirectorGift85,1500Form 4
2026-09-03CARLSON LEROY T JRdirectorGift85,15085,150Form 4
2026-09-03CARLSON LEROY T JRdirectorGift18,2800Form 4
2026-09-03CARLSON LEROY T JRdirectorGift18,28018,280Form 4
2026-09-03CARLSON LEROY T JRdirectorGift58,9931,979,295Form 4
2026-09-03CARLSON LEROY T JRdirectorGift2,1091,979,295Form 4
2026-09-03CARLSON LEROY T JRdirectorGift2970Form 4
2026-09-03CARLSON LEROY T JRdirectorGift297297Form 4
2026-09-03Carlson Anthony JdirectorGift51133,125Form 4
2026-09-03Carlson Anthony JdirectorGift511511Form 4
2026-09-03CARLSON LEROY T JRdirectorGift140,000140,000Form 4
2026-09-03CARLSON LEROY T JRdirectorGift144,599253,170Form 4
2026-09-03CARLSON LEROY T JRdirectorGift116,3741,813,360Form 4
2026-09-03CARLSON LEROY T JRdirectorGift112,4071,813,360Form 4
2026-06-11CARLSON LEROY T JRdirectorOption exercise45,135916,704Form 4
2026-06-11CARLSON LEROY T JRdirectorWithheld for tax18,935897,769Form 4
2026-06-11Villacrez Vicki LdirectorOption exercise10,17077,205Form 4
2026-06-11Villacrez Vicki LdirectorWithheld for tax4,78072,425Form 4
2026-06-11Kroll Anita JofficerOption exercise2,71621,823Form 4
2026-06-11Kroll Anita JofficerWithheld for tax1,27720,546Form 4
2026-06-11CARLSON LEROY T JRdirectorOption exercise045,134Form 4
2026-06-11Villacrez Vicki LdirectorOption exercise010,170Form 4
2026-06-11Kroll Anita JofficerOption exercise02,716Form 4
2026-06-09Dixon Kenneth S.directorOption exercise4,6534,653Form 4
2026-06-09Dixon Kenneth S.directorWithheld for tax1,4893,164Form 4
2026-06-09Dixon Kenneth S.directorOption exercise4,6539,306Form 4
2026-06-09Dixon Kenneth S.directorOption exercise4,6539,306Form 4
2026-05-21CARLSON WALTER CDdirectorAward / grant11,905233,429Form 4
2026-05-21Villacrez Vicki LdirectorOption exercise5,47869,610Form 4
2026-05-21CARLSON WALTER CDdirectorWithheld for tax5,016228,609Form 4
2026-05-21CARLSON LEROY T JRdirectorOption exercise4,961873,767Form 4
2026-05-21Hanley Joseph RofficerOption exercise3,265115,410Form 4
2026-05-21OFF GEORGE WdirectorAward / grant2,90578,807Form 4
2026-05-21Woessner Dirk SdirectorAward / grant2,90515,472Form 4
2026-05-21Rutledge Napoleon B JRdirectorAward / grant2,9054,577Form 4
2026-05-21Oosterman WadedirectorAward / grant2,90542,223Form 4
2026-05-21OLeary Christopher DdirectorAward / grant2,90548,088Form 4
2026-05-21CARLSON LETITIA G CdirectorAward / grant2,905195,692Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.