TDAYUSA TODAY Co. Inc.Communication Services · Publishingas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $6.48 · now $6.48 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, TDAY has typically landed between $4.98 and $8.60 — a range of −23.1% to +32.8% from the issuance price $6.48.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

3,151 overlapping 1 month windows · 2014-02-04 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($6.48) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where TDAY has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $6.48 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$4.98worst · -23.1%$8.6best · +32.8%
  • now $6.48 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $6.53 (+0.7%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $5.85–$7.2
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $4.98–$8.6
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 3,151 windows spanning 2014-02-04 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2020-03-06−83.5%−83.5%+0.0%
2020-02-18−80.1%−80.1%+2.9%
2020-03-09−79.4%−79.4%+14.2%
3 best
2020-05-07+176.8%−3.1%+198.3%
2020-05-06+172.0%−11.6%+172.0%
2020-05-08+139.4%−13.2%+167.0%

3,151 overlapping windows · 2014-02-04 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~13 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
50%
+3.8%
n=12
Feb
58%
−1.0%
n=12
Mar
46%
−8.5%
n=13
Apr
31%
−4.4%
n=13
May
69%
+9.0%
n=13
Jun
85%
+1.9%
n=13
Jul
77%
+5.4%
n=13
Aug
54%
−2.1%
n=13
Sep
54%
−4.4%
n=13
Oct
42%
−0.8%
n=12
Nov
58%
+17.0%
n=12
Dec
67%
+3.4%
n=12

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$9$32026-02-06: 1 insider sale, $79K — Louis John Jeffry2026-02: 1 open-market sale, $79K↑ buys↓ salesdirector Louis John Jeffry — Sale on 2026-02-06, filed 160 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-02-06Louis John JeffrydirectorSale13,471 @ $5.85$79K−100.0% of holding+14.3%+9.8%0Form 4 · filed 160 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

41 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-08-11Reed MichaeldirectorAward / grant383,771383,771Form 4
2026-08-11Gallagher CindyofficerAward / grant51,16951,169Form 4
2026-08-11Gosser TrishaofficerAward / grant87,71987,719Form 4
2026-08-06Reed MichaeldirectorWithheld for tax57,8803,170,931Form 4
2026-08-06Gosser TrishaofficerWithheld for tax3,326163,981Form 4
2026-08-06Gallagher CindyofficerWithheld for tax2,731126,890Form 4
2026-08-06Reed MichaeldirectorOption exercise113,379113,379Form 4
2026-08-06Gallagher CindyofficerOption exercise9,0709,070Form 4
2026-08-06Gosser TrishaofficerOption exercise10,39310,393Form 4
2026-08-06Reed MichaeldirectorOption exercise113,3793,228,811Form 4
2026-08-06Gosser TrishaofficerOption exercise10,393167,307Form 4
2026-08-06Gosser TrishaofficerOption exercise10,393167,307Form 4
2026-08-06Gallagher CindyofficerOption exercise9,070129,621Form 4
2026-08-06Gallagher CindyofficerOption exercise9,070129,621Form 4
2026-08-06Reed MichaeldirectorOption exercise113,3793,228,811Form 4
2026-08-05Reed MichaeldirectorWithheld for tax61,2113,115,432Form 4
2026-08-05Gosser TrishaofficerWithheld for tax9,465156,914Form 4
2026-08-05Gallagher CindyofficerWithheld for tax2,888120,551Form 4
2026-08-05Gosser TrishaofficerOption exercise29,57659,153Form 4
2026-08-05Gallagher CindyofficerOption exercise9,59219,184Form 4
2026-08-05Reed MichaeldirectorOption exercise119,904239,808Form 4
2026-08-05Gallagher CindyofficerOption exercise9,592123,439Form 4
2026-08-05Gallagher CindyofficerOption exercise9,592123,439Form 4
2026-08-05Gosser TrishaofficerOption exercise29,576166,379Form 4
2026-08-05Gosser TrishaofficerOption exercise29,576166,379Form 4
2026-08-05Reed MichaeldirectorOption exercise119,9043,176,643Form 4
2026-08-05Reed MichaeldirectorOption exercise119,9043,176,643Form 4
2026-06-30Louis John JeffrydirectorAward / grant3,508665,108Form 4
2026-06-02Sandler Debra A.directorAward / grant16,046276,087Form 4
2026-06-02Al-Emam MahadirectorAward / grant16,04682,726Form 4
2026-06-02JANULIS THEODORE PETERdirectorAward / grant16,046284,392Form 4
2026-06-02Louis John JeffrydirectorAward / grant16,046661,600Form 4
2026-06-02Reinhard AmydirectorAward / grant16,046186,319Form 4
2026-06-02SHEEHAN KEVIN MdirectorAward / grant16,046239,392Form 4
2026-06-02WALL BARBARA W.directorAward / grant16,046443,985Form 4
2026-03-31Louis John JeffrydirectorAward / grant4,255645,554Form 4
2026-03-24Reed MichaeldirectorWithheld for tax139,4813,056,739Form 4
2026-03-24Gosser TrishaofficerWithheld for tax7,782136,803Form 4
2026-03-24Gallagher CindyofficerWithheld for tax6,319113,847Form 4
2025-12-31Louis John JeffrydirectorAward / grant5,825641,299Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.