TCMDTactile Systems Technology, Inc.Healthcare · Medical - Devicesas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $22.17 · now $22.17 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, TCMD has typically landed between $16.64 and $28.30 — a range of −24.9% to +27.7% from the issuance price $22.17.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

2,527 overlapping 1 month windows · 2016-07-28 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($22.17) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where TCMD has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $22.17 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$16.64worst · -24.9%$28.3best · +27.7%
  • now $22.17 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $22.48 (+1.4%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $20–$24.96
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $16.64–$28.3
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 2,527 windows spanning 2016-07-28 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2022-04-25−51.5%−51.5%+0.0%
2022-04-21−51.2%−51.2%+0.0%
2020-02-20−50.8%−50.8%+0.0%
3 best
2025-10-13+75.5%+0.0%+75.5%
2025-10-10+75.0%+0.0%+75.0%
2025-10-27+73.7%+0.0%+73.7%

2,527 overlapping windows · 2016-07-28 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~11 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
60%
+5.7%
n=10
Feb
70%
+5.5%
n=10
Mar
30%
−5.1%
n=10
Apr
50%
+1.1%
n=10
May
40%
+0.1%
n=10
Jun
60%
+3.1%
n=10
Jul
40%
−1.2%
n=10
Aug
55%
+5.8%
n=11
Sep
36%
−1.6%
n=11
Oct
20%
−5.4%
n=10
Nov
70%
+14.0%
n=10
Dec
60%
+2.7%
n=10

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$33$122026-08-10: 1 insider sale, $323K — Dodd Sheri Louise2026-05-11: 1 insider sale, $113K — Birkemeyer Elaine M.2026-02-24: 3 insider sales, $722K — Dodd Sheri Louise, Birkemeyer Elaine M., Burns Kristie2026-02-23: 6 insider sales, $713K — Dodd Sheri Louise, Birkemeyer Elaine M., Burns Kristie …2026-01-02: 1 insider sale, $148K — Burns Kristie2025-08: 1 open-market sale, $96K2026-01: 1 open-market sale, $148K2026-02: 9 open-market sales, $1.4M2026-05: 1 open-market sale, $113K2026-08: 1 open-market sale, $323K↑ buys↓ salesdirector Dodd Sheri Louise — Sale on 2026-08-10, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Birkemeyer Elaine M. — Sale on 2026-05-11, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Dodd Sheri Louise — Sale on 2026-02-24, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Birkemeyer Elaine M. — Sale on 2026-02-24, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Burns Kristie — Sale on 2026-02-24, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Dodd Sheri Louise — Sale on 2026-02-23, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Birkemeyer Elaine M. — Sale on 2026-02-23, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Burns Kristie — Sale on 2026-02-23, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Dodd Sheri Louise — Sale on 2026-02-23, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Birkemeyer Elaine M. — Sale on 2026-02-23, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Burns Kristie — Sale on 2026-02-23, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Burns Kristie — Sale on 2026-01-02, filed 4 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-08-10Dodd Sheri LouisedirectorSale10,978 @ $29.44$323K−4.5% of holding−23.1%not yet — horizon still open232,907Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-11Birkemeyer Elaine M.officerSale4,631 @ $24.49$113K−3.4% of holding+10.5%not yet — horizon still open130,188Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-24Dodd Sheri LouisedirectorSale10,993 @ $28.94$318K−4.3% of holding−1.7%−29.7%243,885Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-24Birkemeyer Elaine M.officerSale7,701 @ $28.94$223K−5.4% of holding−1.7%−29.7%134,819Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-24Burns KristieofficerSale6,246 @ $28.94$181K−7.0% of holding−1.7%−29.7%82,581Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-23Dodd Sheri LouisedirectorSale14,703 @ $28.28$416K−5.4% of holding−2.3%−31.0%255,415Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-23Birkemeyer Elaine M.officerSale5,322 @ $28.28$151K−3.6% of holding−2.3%−31.0%142,716Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-23Burns KristieofficerSale4,279 @ $28.28$121K−4.6% of holding−2.3%−31.0%88,987Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-23Dodd Sheri LouisedirectorSale537 @ $28.69$15K−0.2% of holding−2.3%−31.0%254,878Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-23Birkemeyer Elaine M.officerSale196 @ $28.69$6K−0.1% of holding−2.3%−31.0%142,520Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-23Burns KristieofficerSale160 @ $28.69$5K−0.2% of holding−2.3%−31.0%88,827Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-01-02Burns KristieofficerSale5,139 @ $28.85$148K−6.6% of holding+2.1%+4.9%72,401Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-08-08Dodd Sheri LouisedirectorSale7,762 @ $12.36$96K−4.3% of holding+9.4%+112.8%173,479Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-05-12Birkemeyer Elaine M.officerSale2,921 @ $9.94$29K−2.9% of holding+0.1%+138.5%99,111Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-05-08BURKE WILLIAM WdirectorSale3,300 @ $9.67$32K−6.4% of holding−1.0%+126.0%48,520Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-05-08Dodd Sheri LouisedirectorSale3,149 @ $9.83$31K−1.7% of holding−1.0%+126.0%181,241Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-02-25REUVERS DANIEL L.directorSale28,338 @ $14.18$402K−11.7% of holding−4.5%−20.3%214,604Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-02-25Burns KristieofficerSale6,468 @ $14.40$93K−7.7% of holding−4.5%−20.3%77,540Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-02-25Birkemeyer Elaine M.officerSale2,066 @ $14.51$30K−2.0% of holding−4.5%−20.3%102,032Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-02-24REUVERS DANIEL L.directorSale10,938 @ $14.55$159K−4.3% of holding−6.8%−21.0%242,942Form 4 · filed same day
2025-02-24Burns KristieofficerSale4,830 @ $14.65$71K−5.4% of holding−6.8%−21.0%84,008Form 4 · filed same day
2025-02-24Birkemeyer Elaine M.officerSale3,778 @ $14.70$56K−3.5% of holding−6.8%−21.0%104,098Form 4 · filed same day

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

39 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-05-06Asbury Valerie L.directorAward / grant6,52155,343Form 4
2026-05-06BURKE WILLIAM WdirectorAward / grant6,52155,041Form 4
2026-05-06Volkart Carmen BdirectorAward / grant6,52144,219Form 4
2026-05-06Washington Boyd VindelldirectorAward / grant6,52141,768Form 4
2026-05-06King Laura G.directorAward / grant6,52125,569Form 4
2026-05-06Huggenberger RaymonddirectorAward / grant6,52162,841Form 4
2026-05-06Shafer David BrentdirectorAward / grant6,52155,343Form 4
2026-05-06Pearson AndreadirectorAward / grant6,5217,373Form 4
2026-03-09Pearson AndreadirectorAward / grant852852Form 4
2026-02-20Dodd Sheri LouisedirectorAward / grant28,216270,118Form 4
2026-02-20Burns KristieofficerAward / grant7,12393,266Form 4
2026-02-20Burns KristieofficerAward / grant3,49082,085Form 4
2026-02-20Burns KristieofficerAward / grant4,05886,143Form 4
2026-02-20Dodd Sheri LouisedirectorAward / grant19,751241,902Form 4
2026-02-20Birkemeyer Elaine M.officerAward / grant3,579125,698Form 4
2026-02-20Birkemeyer Elaine M.officerAward / grant6,765132,463Form 4
2026-02-20Birkemeyer Elaine M.officerAward / grant15,575148,038Form 4
2026-02-19Dodd Sheri LouisedirectorAward / grant48,672222,151Form 4
2026-02-19Burns KristieofficerAward / grant6,19478,595Form 4
2026-02-19Birkemeyer Elaine M.officerAward / grant23,008122,119Form 4
2025-05-07Huggenberger RaymonddirectorAward / grant16,07856,320Form 4
2025-05-07Washington Boyd VindelldirectorAward / grant16,07835,247Form 4
2025-05-07Volkart Carmen BdirectorAward / grant16,07837,698Form 4
2025-05-07BURKE WILLIAM WdirectorAward / grant16,07851,820Form 4
2025-05-07Shafer David BrentdirectorAward / grant16,07848,822Form 4
2025-05-07King Laura G.directorAward / grant16,07819,048Form 4
2025-05-07Asbury Valerie L.directorAward / grant16,07848,822Form 4
2025-03-11REUVERS DANIEL L.directorGift68,162146,442Form 4
2025-03-11REUVERS DANIEL L.directorGift68,16268,162Form 4
2025-02-20Birkemeyer Elaine M.officerAward / grant6,88771,628Form 4
2025-02-20Dodd Sheri LouisedirectorAward / grant65,669184,390Form 4
2025-02-20King Laura G.directorAward / grant2,9702,970Form 4
2025-02-20REUVERS DANIEL L.directorAward / grant15,853253,880Form 4
2025-02-20Birkemeyer Elaine M.officerAward / grant3,44664,741Form 4
2025-02-20Dodd Sheri LouisedirectorAward / grant20,108118,721Form 4
2025-02-20Birkemeyer Elaine M.officerAward / grant36,248107,876Form 4
2025-02-20Burns KristieofficerAward / grant3,35968,128Form 4
2025-02-20Burns KristieofficerAward / grant4,13172,259Form 4
2025-02-20Burns KristieofficerAward / grant16,57988,838Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.