TBI · TickerCove

TBITrueBlue, Inc.Industrials · Staffing & Employment Servicesas of 2026-09-16

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $9.05 · now $9.05 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, TBI has typically landed between $6.98 and $11.20 — a range of −22.8% to +23.7% from the issuance price $9.05.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($9.05) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$9.05 · 76% of range

$3.31 low$10.85 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-09-16 — factual context, not a signal.

Base rate up · monthiClimatology base rate that a US-listed stock rises over a month, with its 90% CI and ≈1,408 effective observations. Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

53.9%

90% CI 51.7%–56.1%

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

−2.4%

typical move · IQR 17.1%

−22.8%worst (p90)+23.7%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

0 open-market sales

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

0 buys · 0 sells · 0 members

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where TBI has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $9.05 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $9.05 (+0.0%)
typical $8.83 (-2.4%)
middle 50% $8.06–$9.61
90% range $6.98–$11.2

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,003 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2008-09-26	−56.3%	−56.3%	+0.1%
2008-09-25	−52.8%	−52.8%	+1.8%
2008-09-30	−51.4%	−56.4%	+0.0%
3 best
2009-07-10	+71.7%	+0.0%	+71.7%
2009-07-09	+68.3%	+0.0%	+68.3%
2009-06-23	+64.9%	+0.0%	+64.9%

5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month i

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.

Jan

35%

−0.3%

n=20

Feb

40%

−4.7%

n=20

Mar

75%

+3.4%

n=20

Apr

45%

+1.1%

n=20

May

50%

+1.8%

n=20

Jun

45%

−1.2%

n=20

Jul

65%

+6.6%

n=20

Aug

45%

−2.1%

n=20

Sep

35%

−1.9%

n=20

Oct

50%

−3.8%

n=20

Nov

75%

+4.7%

n=20

Dec

55%

+3.6%

n=20

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing
2026-06-05	Lontoh Sonita	director	Sale	2,186 @ $6.73	$15K	−2.9% of holding	+21.1%	not yet — horizon still open	72,733	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-02-25	Ferencz Garrett	officer	Purchase	7,000 @ $3.61	$25K	+3.1% of holding	+0.1%	+163.9%	234,135	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-24	Owen Taryn R	director	Purchase	20,400 @ $3.79	$77K	+2.6% of holding	+8.0%	+200.2%	791,807	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-23	Schweihs Carl	officer	Purchase	12,500 @ $3.72	$47K	+4.5% of holding	+2.1%	+179.1%	289,069	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-03-12	Schweihs Carl	officer	Purchase	2,500 @ $5.25	$13K	+1.5% of holding	−11.5%	−7.6%	169,051	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-02-26	Owen Taryn R	director	Purchase	12,735 @ $5.94	$76K	+3.2% of holding	−0.4%	−10.2%	414,932	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-02-24	Schweihs Carl	officer	Purchase	10,000 @ $6.25	$63K	+6.4% of holding	−4.5%	−7.1%	166,551	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

74 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Owned after	Filing
2026-04-03	Betori Richard P.	officer	Withheld for tax	566	160,069	Form 4
2026-04-03	Betori Richard P.	officer	Withheld for tax	430	160,635	Form 4
2026-02-23	Owen Taryn R	director	Withheld for tax	13,450	771,407	Form 4
2026-02-23	Schweihs Carl	officer	Withheld for tax	3,315	285,754	Form 4
2026-02-23	Ferencz Garrett	officer	Withheld for tax	2,480	227,135	Form 4
2026-02-23	Betori Richard P.	officer	Withheld for tax	1,759	161,065	Form 4
2026-02-21	Owen Taryn R	director	Withheld for tax	26,774	784,857	Form 4
2026-02-21	Schweihs Carl	officer	Withheld for tax	5,974	276,569	Form 4
2026-02-21	Ferencz Garrett	officer	Withheld for tax	4,468	229,615	Form 4
2026-02-21	Betori Richard P.	officer	Withheld for tax	3,169	162,824	Form 4
2026-02-20	Goings William C.	director	Award / grant	29,607	85,000	Form 4
2026-02-20	Ferencz Garrett	officer	Award / grant	91,092	234,083	Form 4
2026-02-20	Lontoh Sonita	director	Award / grant	27,566	74,919	Form 4
2026-02-20	BROWN COLLEEN B	director	Award / grant	29,097	89,112	Form 4
2026-02-20	Reitz Paul G	director	Award / grant	27,566	58,312	Form 4
2026-02-20	SAKAGUCHI JEFFREY B	director	Award / grant	35,733	124,443	Form 4
2026-02-20	Owen Taryn R	director	Award / grant	408,372	811,631	Form 4
2026-02-20	Savacool Kristi A	director	Award / grant	27,566	89,536	Form 4
2026-02-20	Kreidler Robert C.	director	Award / grant	27,566	85,381	Form 4
2026-02-20	Jones Kim Harris	director	Award / grant	29,607	100,060	Form 4
2026-02-20	Seward William J.	director	Award / grant	27,566	27,566	Form 4
2026-02-20	Betori Richard P.	officer	Award / grant	64,592	165,993	Form 4
2026-02-20	Schweihs Carl	officer	Award / grant	112,507	282,543	Form 4
2026-02-20	Greenblatt William	director	Award / grant	27,566	27,566	Form 4
2026-02-04	Betori Richard P.	officer	Withheld for tax	379	101,401	Form 4
2026-02-03	Owen Taryn R	director	Withheld for tax	5,250	403,259	Form 4
2026-02-03	Schweihs Carl	officer	Withheld for tax	1,584	170,036	Form 4
2026-02-03	Ferencz Garrett	officer	Withheld for tax	1,527	140,567	Form 4
2026-02-03	Betori Richard P.	officer	Withheld for tax	515	101,780	Form 4
2025-12-01	Fitzsimmons-Willis Kristy A.	officer	Withheld for tax	462	91,667	Form 4
2025-12-01	Betori Richard P.	officer	Withheld for tax	360	102,295	Form 4
2025-11-01	Schweihs Carl	officer	Withheld for tax	1,130	171,620	Form 4
2025-10-03	Owen Taryn R	director	Withheld for tax	1,436	411,024	Form 4
2025-10-02	Owen Taryn R	director	Withheld for tax	2,472	412,460	Form 4
2025-09-03	Embick Jason	officer	Withheld for tax	700	33,648	Form 4
2025-04-03	Fitzsimmons-Willis Kristy A.	officer	Withheld for tax	826	92,129	Form 4
2025-04-03	Betori Richard P.	officer	Withheld for tax	681	102,655	Form 4
2025-04-03	Fitzsimmons-Willis Kristy A.	officer	Withheld for tax	578	92,955	Form 4
2025-04-03	Betori Richard P.	officer	Withheld for tax	517	103,336	Form 4
2025-02-23	Owen Taryn R	director	Withheld for tax	13,450	402,197	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Resolves in i

28d remaining

2026-09-173% elapsed2026-10-15

Logged immutably 2026-09-17; scored automatically on 2026-10-15 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

Reported insider & political trades

Congressional disclosures

Seasonality · by month i