TASK · TickerCove

TASKTaskUs, Inc.Technology · Information Technology Servicesas of 2026-09-16

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $8.16 · now $8.16 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, TASK has typically landed between $6.06 and $10.58 — a range of −25.7% to +29.7% from the issuance price $8.16.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

1,301 overlapping 1 month windows · 2021-06-11 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($8.16) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$8.16 · 50% of range

$4.57 low$11.75 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-09-16 — factual context, not a signal.

Base rate up · monthiClimatology base rate that a US-listed stock rises over a month, with its 90% CI and ≈1,408 effective observations. Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

53.9%

90% CI 51.7%–56.1%

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

−1.9%

typical move · IQR 19.2%

−25.7%worst (p90)+29.7%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

0 open-market sales

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

0 buys · 0 sells · 0 members

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where TASK has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $8.16 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $8.16 (+0.0%)
typical $8 (-1.9%)
middle 50% $7.22–$8.79
90% range $6.06–$10.58

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 1,301 windows spanning 2021-06-11 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2021-12-28	−49.8%	−49.8%	+0.6%
2021-12-29	−47.3%	−50.1%	+0.0%
2021-12-27	−45.8%	−48.1%	+0.2%
3 best
2021-08-05	+135.0%	+0.0%	+135.0%
2021-08-06	+133.7%	+0.0%	+133.7%
2021-08-09	+127.2%	+0.0%	+133.7%

1,301 overlapping windows · 2021-06-11 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month i

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~6 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.

Jan

20%

−9.3%

n=5

Feb

20%

−5.3%

n=5

Mar

20%

−0.3%

n=5

Apr

20%

−6.8%

n=5

May

40%

+1.4%

n=5

Jun

40%

−11.8%

n=5

Jul

83%

+12.7%

n=6

Aug

50%

+13.1%

n=6

Sep

67%

+2.7%

n=6

Oct

20%

−5.0%

n=5

Nov

40%

+1.2%

n=5

Dec

80%

+6.8%

n=5

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing
2026-04-02	Johnson Jarrod	officer	Sale	11,406 @ $6.89	$79K	−31.2% of holding	−17.1%	not yet — horizon still open	25,130	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-04-01	Johnson Jarrod	officer	Sale	25,000 @ $6.78	$170K	−40.6% of holding	−14.8%	not yet — horizon still open	36,536	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-12-15	Johnson Jarrod	officer	Sale	17,827 @ $12.03	$214K	−73.6% of holding	−4.4%	−43.8%	6,406	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-08-18	Johnson Jarrod	officer	Sale	10,869 @ $17.25	$188K	−31.0% of holding	−0.7%	−47.1%	24,233	Form 4 · filed 99 days after the trade
2025-08-11	Johnson Jarrod	officer	Sale	24,233 @ $17.04	$413K	−50.0% of holding	−1.9%	−46.9%	24,233	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-03-18	Johnson Jarrod	officer	Sale	21,437 @ $13.60	$292K	−100.0% of holding	+0.3%	+10.6%	0	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-03-11	Johnson Jarrod	officer	Sale	15,460 @ $13.25	$205K	−100.0% of holding	+0.1%	+12.1%	0	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2024-12-16	Amaya Steven	officer	Sale	2,600 @ $18.08	$47K	−100.0% of holding	−3.7%	−4.3%	0	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2024-12-13	Amaya Steven	officer	Sale	71,183 @ $18.17	$1.3M	−100.0% of holding	−7.1%	−8.4%	0	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2024-12-13	Daoust Stephan	officer	Sale	62,159 @ $18.23	$1.1M	−100.0% of holding	−7.1%	−8.4%	0	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2024-12-13	Amaya Steven	officer	Sale	4,396 @ $17.13	$75K	−5.8% of holding	−7.1%	−8.4%	71,183	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

274 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Owned after	Filing
2026-07-15	Khemka Rishabh	officer	Award / grant	93,457	93,457	Form 4
2026-05-21	Kumar Susir	director	Option exercise	12,491	47,039	Form 4
2026-05-21	Greenthal Jill A	director	Award / grant	28,037	28,037	Form 4
2026-05-21	Kumar Susir	director	Option exercise	12,491	0	Form 4
2026-05-21	Kumar Susir	director	Award / grant	28,037	28,037	Form 4
2026-05-21	Greenthal Jill A	director	Option exercise	12,491	0	Form 4
2026-05-21	Greenthal Jill A	director	Option exercise	12,491	55,582	Form 4
2026-05-21	Gonzalez Michelle H	director	Award / grant	28,037	28,037	Form 4
2026-05-21	Gonzalez Michelle H	director	Option exercise	12,491	0	Form 4
2026-05-21	Reses Jacqueline D	director	Option exercise	12,491	47,039	Form 4
2026-05-21	Reses Jacqueline D	director	Option exercise	12,491	0	Form 4
2026-05-21	TUMINELLI KELLY L	director	Option exercise	12,491	56,198	Form 4
2026-05-21	TUMINELLI KELLY L	director	Option exercise	12,491	0	Form 4
2026-05-21	Gonzalez Michelle H	director	Option exercise	12,491	55,582	Form 4
2026-05-21	TUMINELLI KELLY L	director	Award / grant	28,037	28,037	Form 4
2026-04-01	Walsh Claudia F	officer	Withheld for tax	4,485	139,881	Form 4
2026-04-01	Walsh Claudia F	officer	Option exercise	12,500	0	Form 4
2026-04-01	Walsh Claudia F	officer	Option exercise	12,500	144,366	Form 4
2026-04-01	Walsh Claudia F	officer	Option exercise	12,500	144,366	Form 4
2026-03-26	Maddock Bryce	director	Withheld for tax	36,476	1,246,464	Form 4
2026-03-26	Walsh Claudia F	officer	Withheld for tax	10,168	131,866	Form 4
2026-03-26	Johnson Jarrod	officer	Withheld for tax	7,293	61,536	Form 4
2026-03-26	Sekar Balaji	officer	Withheld for tax	6,901	230,059	Form 4
2026-03-26	Daoust Stephan	officer	Withheld for tax	6,901	100,841	Form 4
2026-03-26	Weir Jaspar	director	Withheld for tax	3,225	1,035,891	Form 4
2026-03-26	Maddock Bryce	director	Option exercise	92,696	95,506	Form 4
2026-03-26	Daoust Stephan	officer	Option exercise	28,338	29,198	Form 4
2026-03-26	Johnson Jarrod	officer	Option exercise	28,338	29,198	Form 4
2026-03-26	Walsh Claudia F	officer	Option exercise	28,338	29,198	Form 4
2026-03-26	Weir Jaspar	director	Option exercise	13,242	13,644	Form 4
2026-03-26	Sekar Balaji	officer	Option exercise	28,338	29,198	Form 4
2026-03-26	Daoust Stephan	officer	Option exercise	28,338	107,742	Form 4
2026-03-26	Weir Jaspar	director	Option exercise	13,242	1,039,116	Form 4
2026-03-26	Maddock Bryce	director	Option exercise	92,696	1,282,940	Form 4
2026-03-26	Sekar Balaji	officer	Option exercise	28,338	236,960	Form 4
2026-03-26	Daoust Stephan	officer	Option exercise	28,338	107,742	Form 4
2026-03-26	Johnson Jarrod	officer	Option exercise	28,338	68,829	Form 4
2026-03-26	Johnson Jarrod	officer	Option exercise	28,338	68,829	Form 4
2026-03-26	Walsh Claudia F	officer	Option exercise	28,338	142,034	Form 4
2026-03-26	Weir Jaspar	director	Option exercise	13,242	1,039,116	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Resolves in i

28d remaining

2026-09-173% elapsed2026-10-15

Logged immutably 2026-09-17; scored automatically on 2026-10-15 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

Reported insider & political trades

Congressional disclosures

Seasonality · by month i