Issued 2026-09-16 at $5.06 · now $5.06 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, TACT has typically landed between $4.02 and $6.14 — a range of −20.6% to +21.4% from the issuance price $5.06.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($5.06) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where TACT has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $5.06 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $5.06 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $4.98 (-1.7%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $4.56–$5.4
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $4.02–$6.14
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2020-02-20 | −72.0% | −72.0% | +0.4% |
| 2020-03-04 | −70.2% | −70.4% | +0.0% |
| 2020-03-03 | −69.9% | −69.9% | +1.6% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2008-07-14 | +75.1% | −4.0% | +75.1% |
| 2008-07-18 | +73.8% | −1.7% | +75.7% |
| 2008-07-15 | +72.8% | +0.0% | +82.3% |
5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-16 | DILLON JOHN | director | Purchase | 70,902 @ $3.49 | $247K | +243.7% of holding | −5.8% | +37.4% | 100,000 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-13 | DILLON JOHN | director | Purchase | 29,098 @ $3.56 | $104K | ownership Δ n/a | −7.4% | +31.6% | 29,098 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-17 | DEMARTINO STEVEN A | officer | Sale | 1,000 @ $4.30 | $4K | −0.7% of holding | −5.1% | −27.9% | 148,847 | Form 4 · filed same day |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
286 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-03 | DILLON JOHN | director | Option exercise | 12,050 | 12,050 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-03 | DILLON JOHN | director | Option exercise | 12,050 | 180,368 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | Ingianni Troy W | officer | Award / grant | 15,000 | 15,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-30 | DEMARTINO STEVEN A | officer | Withheld for tax | 16,422 | 228,016 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-30 | DEMARTINO STEVEN A | officer | Option exercise | 41,747 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-30 | DEMARTINO STEVEN A | officer | Option exercise | 41,747 | 244,438 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-30 | DEMARTINO STEVEN A | officer | Option exercise | 41,747 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-30 | DEMARTINO STEVEN A | officer | Option exercise | 41,747 | 244,438 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-04 | DEMARTINO STEVEN A | officer | Withheld for tax | 4,291 | 202,691 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-04 | DEMARTINO STEVEN A | officer | Option exercise | 12,500 | 206,982 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-04 | DEMARTINO STEVEN A | officer | Option exercise | 12,500 | 12,500 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-04 | DEMARTINO STEVEN A | officer | Option exercise | 12,500 | 206,982 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-04 | DEMARTINO STEVEN A | officer | Option exercise | 12,500 | 12,500 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-04 | 325 CAPITAL LLC | director | Option exercise | 1,700 | 17,800 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-04 | 325 CAPITAL LLC | director | Option exercise | 1,700 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-04 | Dunning Audrey | director | Option exercise | 1,700 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-04 | Dunning Audrey | director | Option exercise | 1,700 | 19,300 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-04 | Dunning Audrey | director | Option exercise | 1,700 | 19,300 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-04 | Dunning Audrey | director | Option exercise | 1,700 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-01 | DEMARTINO STEVEN A | officer | Withheld for tax | 3,467 | 194,482 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-01 | DEMARTINO STEVEN A | officer | Option exercise | 10,100 | 197,949 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-01 | DEMARTINO STEVEN A | officer | Option exercise | 10,100 | 30,300 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-01 | DEMARTINO STEVEN A | officer | Option exercise | 10,100 | 197,949 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-01 | Richtsmeier Brent | officer | Option exercise | 6,325 | 18,975 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-01 | Richtsmeier Brent | officer | Option exercise | 6,325 | 36,323 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-01 | Richtsmeier Brent | officer | Option exercise | 6,325 | 36,323 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-01 | Richtsmeier Brent | officer | Option exercise | 6,325 | 18,975 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-01 | DEMARTINO STEVEN A | officer | Option exercise | 10,100 | 30,300 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-04 | DEMARTINO STEVEN A | officer | Withheld for tax | 4,240 | 187,849 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-04 | DEMARTINO STEVEN A | officer | Option exercise | 12,500 | 192,089 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-04 | DEMARTINO STEVEN A | officer | Option exercise | 12,500 | 192,089 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-04 | DEMARTINO STEVEN A | officer | Option exercise | 12,500 | 25,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-04 | DEMARTINO STEVEN A | officer | Option exercise | 12,500 | 25,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-02 | DEMARTINO STEVEN A | officer | Withheld for tax | 525 | 179,589 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-02 | DEMARTINO STEVEN A | officer | Option exercise | 1,550 | 180,114 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-02 | Friedman Randall S | director | Option exercise | 1,250 | 21,800 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-02 | Friedman Randall S | director | Option exercise | 1,250 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-02 | HILARIO EMANUEL N | director | Option exercise | 1,250 | 29,100 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-02 | HILARIO EMANUEL N | director | Option exercise | 1,250 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-02 | Richtsmeier Brent | officer | Option exercise | 975 | 0 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.