TAT&T Inc.Communication Services · Telecommunications Servicesas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $25.86 · now $25.86 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, T has typically landed between $23.06 and $29.10 — a range of −10.8% to +12.5% from the issuance price $25.86.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

4,685 overlapping 1 month windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($25.86) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where T has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $25.86 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$23.06worst · -10.8%$29.1best · +12.5%
  • now $25.86 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $26.17 (+1.2%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $24.93–$27.42
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $23.06–$29.1
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 4,685 windows spanning 2008-01-02 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2020-02-21−30.5%−30.5%+0.0%
2008-09-11−27.4%−27.4%+0.0%
2020-02-20−26.3%−26.3%+0.0%
3 best
2022-10-12+28.8%+0.0%+28.8%
2022-10-14+27.1%+0.0%+27.1%
2022-10-13+26.0%−0.8%+26.0%

4,685 overlapping windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Fundamentals iCompany financials — revenue, earnings, margins — from the newest filings shown, each carried with its date.iAs-reported figures and standard ratios from FMP, as of 2026-07-25. Revenue, net income and free cash flow can toggle annual or quarterly; margin, ROE and debt-to-equity are shown by fiscal year. We report the figures and the trend — no target price and no over/under-valued call. More on /methodology.

$165.3B
market cap
$3.01
EPS (TTM)
8.0
P/E (TTM)
2026-10-28
next earnings
Revenue$125.6B
'20'25
Net income$21.9B
'20'25
Free cash flow$19.4B
'20'25
Net margin · by yr17.4%
'20'25
ROE · by yr19.8%
'20'25
Debt / equity · by yr1.57
'20'25

Fair value — three views iIndependent reference estimates of worth (a cash-flow model, peer multiples, analyst targets), shown as separate views — not a single verdict.

iThree independent estimates of per-share value, each by a different method and each with its own assumptions: a discounted-cash-flow intrinsic value, a peer comparable (the median trailing P/E of 17 sector peers times this company's trailing EPS), and the analyst price-target consensus. They routinely disagree — that gap is the point. We show the three marks and the current price; we do not blend them into a single number or call the stock over- or under-valued. Marks as of the latest capture. More on /methodology.
now $25.86$1.77$266.14
  • DCF (intrinsic)$247.90
  • Peer P/E × EPS · sector median 16.0× · n=17$48.24
  • Analyst target · range $20.00–$33.00$29.00
  • Current price · last close 2026-09-16$25.86

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~19 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
56%
+1.5%
n=18
Feb
42%
−0.4%
n=19
Mar
74%
+2.3%
n=19
Apr
68%
+1.5%
n=19
May
42%
−0.7%
n=19
Jun
47%
−0.1%
n=19
Jul
63%
+1.3%
n=19
Aug
42%
+0.0%
n=19
Sep
53%
+0.3%
n=19
Oct
50%
−0.2%
n=18
Nov
67%
+2.0%
n=18
Dec
56%
+1.2%
n=18

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$28$20↑ buys↓ sales
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

300 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-08-31Desroches PascaldirectorAward / grant1,730136,000Form 4
2026-08-31McElfresh Jeffery S.officerAward / grant483183,511Form 4
2026-08-31Lee Lori MdirectorAward / grant34810,275Form 4
2026-08-31Sabrina Sanders SofficerAward / grant1272,548Form 4
2026-07-31ROSE MATTHEW KdirectorAward / grant4,238359,339Form 4
2026-07-31Desroches PascaldirectorAward / grant3,487134,270Form 4
2026-07-31McElfresh Jeffery S.officerAward / grant2,690183,028Form 4
2026-07-31TAYLOR CINDY BdirectorAward / grant2,667226,115Form 4
2026-07-31MOONEY BETH EdirectorAward / grant2,340198,407Form 4
2026-07-31MCCALLISTER MICHAEL BdirectorAward / grant1,974167,329Form 4
2026-07-31Kennard William EdirectorAward / grant1,728146,486Form 4
2026-07-31LUCZO STEPHEN JdirectorAward / grant1,716145,464Form 4
2026-07-31STANKEY JOHN TdirectorAward / grant92878,672Form 4
2026-07-31Ubinas Luis AdirectorAward / grant86973,684Form 4
2026-07-31MAYER MARISSA AdirectorAward / grant54346,065Form 4
2026-07-31Lee Lori MdirectorAward / grant5009,927Form 4
2026-07-31Grier Kelly JdirectorAward / grant17815,095Form 4
2026-07-31Sabrina Sanders SofficerAward / grant1682,422Form 4
2026-06-30TAYLOR CINDY BdirectorAward / grant8,696223,448Form 4
2026-06-30ROSE MATTHEW KdirectorAward / grant7,971355,101Form 4
2026-06-30LUCZO STEPHEN JdirectorAward / grant6,763143,748Form 4
2026-06-30MAYER MARISSA AdirectorAward / grant6,76345,522Form 4
2026-06-30Desroches PascaldirectorAward / grant2,003130,782Form 4
2026-06-30McElfresh Jeffery S.officerAward / grant604180,338Form 4
2026-06-30Lee Lori MdirectorAward / grant4179,427Form 4
2026-06-30Sabrina Sanders SofficerAward / grant1582,254Form 4
2026-05-29MOONEY BETH EdirectorAward / grant9,274196,067Form 4
2026-05-29Grier Kelly JdirectorAward / grant9,27414,917Form 4
2026-05-29TAYLOR CINDY BdirectorAward / grant9,274214,752Form 4
2026-05-29MCCALLISTER MICHAEL BdirectorAward / grant9,274165,355Form 4
2026-05-29Ubinas Luis AdirectorAward / grant9,27472,815Form 4
2026-05-29ROSE MATTHEW KdirectorAward / grant9,274347,130Form 4
2026-05-29LUCZO STEPHEN JdirectorAward / grant9,274136,985Form 4
2026-05-29MAYER MARISSA AdirectorAward / grant9,27438,759Form 4
2026-05-29Kennard William EdirectorAward / grant9,274144,759Form 4
2026-05-29Desroches PascaldirectorAward / grant1,630128,779Form 4
2026-05-29McElfresh Jeffery S.officerAward / grant504179,734Form 4
2026-05-29Lee Lori MdirectorAward / grant2269,010Form 4
2026-05-29Sabrina Sanders SofficerAward / grant1322,096Form 4
2026-04-30ROSE MATTHEW KdirectorAward / grant3,550337,855Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures iStock trades disclosed by members of Congress for this company, by the date they were filed.iDisclosures shown as facts. A purchase “cluster” (≥2 members of Congress filing a buy within 90 days) has historically preceded modestly higher forward returns — and it persisted out-of-sample, though it roughly halved after 2021 (see below). A descriptive historical tendency, not a signal to trade and not used in our forecast. See /methodology.

As of 2026-09-16 · point-in-time by filed date

Purchase clusters · 2015–2021 (dev)+45 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 59.3% vs 57.3% · n=31,607 cluster ticker-weeks
Purchase clusters · 2022–2026 (out-of-sample)+32 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 54.0% vs 53.3% · n=27,793

A cluster = ≥2 members of Congress filing a purchase within 90 days. The historical tilt persisted after 2021 but roughly halved (+45 → +32 bp/mo forward 1-month vs the S&P 500 weekly-grid baseline). Descriptive historical tendency — not a signal to trade, and not used in our forecast (audition-log 2026-07-27, recomputed 2026-09-08).

'23 Q'24 Q'24 Q'24 Q'24 Q'25 Q'25 Q'25 Q'25 Q'26 Q'26 Q'26 Qpurchases ▲ / sales ▼ ($ vol)
MemberChamberTypeFiledTradedSize
Alan ArmstrongSenatepurchase2026-07-212026-03-27$15–50K
Ro KhannaHousesale2026-07-062026-06-23$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2026-07-062026-06-30$15–50K
Ro KhannaHousesale2026-07-062026-06-23$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2026-07-062026-06-16$15–50K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2026-07-062026-06-02$15–50K
Gary PetersSenatepurchase2026-07-022026-06-29$1–15K
David J. TaylorHousepurchase2026-06-122026-06-05$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2026-06-092026-05-01$15–50K
Ro KhannaHousesale2026-06-092026-05-15$15–50K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2026-06-092026-05-27$15–50K
Tim MooreHousesale2026-06-052026-05-21$15–50K
Tim MooreHousepurchase2026-06-052026-06-04$50–100K
David J. TaylorHousepurchase2026-05-282026-05-15$1–15K

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.