SYYSysco CorporationConsumer Defensive · Food Distributionas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $78.71 · now $78.71 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, SYY has typically landed between $71.50 and $86.47 — a range of −9.2% to +9.9% from the issuance price $78.71.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

4,685 overlapping 1 month windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($78.71) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where SYY has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $78.71 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$71.5worst · -9.2%$86.47best · +9.9%
  • now $78.71 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $78.88 (+0.2%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $75.9–$81.85
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $71.5–$86.47
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 4,685 windows spanning 2008-01-02 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2020-02-18−59.3%−59.3%+0.3%
2020-02-14−55.2%−55.2%+0.0%
2020-02-20−53.9%−59.3%+0.4%
3 best
2020-03-18+62.8%+0.0%+71.2%
2020-03-23+43.1%+0.0%+47.4%
2020-03-20+40.5%+0.0%+51.4%

4,685 overlapping windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Fundamentals iCompany financials — revenue, earnings, margins — from the newest filings shown, each carried with its date.iAs-reported figures and standard ratios from FMP, as of 2026-07-25. Revenue, net income and free cash flow can toggle annual or quarterly; margin, ROE and debt-to-equity are shown by fiscal year. We report the figures and the trend — no target price and no over/under-valued call. More on /methodology.

$39.7B
market cap
$3.61
EPS (TTM)
23.0
P/E (TTM)
2026-08-04
next earnings
Revenue$81.4B
'20'25
Net income$1.8B
'20'25
Free cash flow$1.8B
'20'25
Net margin · by yr2.2%
'20'25
ROE · by yr99.9%
'20'25
Debt / equity · by yr7.92
'20'25

Fair value — three views iIndependent reference estimates of worth (a cash-flow model, peer multiples, analyst targets), shown as separate views — not a single verdict.

iThree independent estimates of per-share value, each by a different method and each with its own assumptions: a discounted-cash-flow intrinsic value, a peer comparable (the median trailing P/E of 28 sector peers times this company's trailing EPS), and the analyst price-target consensus. They routinely disagree — that gap is the point. We show the three marks and the current price; we do not blend them into a single number or call the stock over- or under-valued. Marks as of the latest capture. More on /methodology.
now $78.71$75.30$124.70
  • DCF (intrinsic)$121.29
  • Peer P/E × EPS · sector median 24.4× · n=28$88.24
  • Analyst target · range $83.00–$100.00$93.50
  • Current price · last close 2026-09-16$78.71

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~19 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
50%
+0.9%
n=18
Feb
58%
+0.9%
n=19
Mar
58%
−1.6%
n=19
Apr
63%
+3.2%
n=19
May
53%
+0.1%
n=19
Jun
47%
+0.2%
n=19
Jul
63%
+1.7%
n=19
Aug
68%
+2.0%
n=19
Sep
42%
−1.2%
n=19
Oct
61%
+0.9%
n=18
Nov
67%
+2.6%
n=18
Dec
61%
+1.4%
n=18

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$90$682026-09-14: 1 insider sale, $5K — Phillips Ronald L2026-09-11: 1 insider sale, $80K — Phillips Ronald L2026-08-24: 1 insider sale, $43K — Phillips Ronald L2026-08-21: 1 insider sale, $615K — Phillips Ronald L2026-08-11: 1 insider sale, $31K — Phillips Ronald L2026-08-10: 1 insider sale, $528K — Phillips Ronald L2026-05-26: 1 insider purchase, $1.0M — Hinshaw John M2026-02-02: 1 insider sale, $232K — Talton Sheila2026-01-27: 1 insider sale, $454K — Phillips Ronald L2025-09-11: 1 insider sale, $78K — Phillips Ronald L2025-09-02: 1 insider sale, $595K — Phillips Ronald L2025-08-13: 1 insider sale, $509K — Phillips Ronald L2025-08: 2 open-market sales, $520K2025-09: 2 open-market sales, $673K2026-01: 1 open-market sale, $454K2026-02: 1 open-market sale, $232K2026-05: 1 open-market purchase, $1.0M2026-08: 4 open-market sales, $1.2M2026-09: 2 open-market sales, $84K↑ buys↓ salesofficer Phillips Ronald L — Sale on 2026-09-14, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Phillips Ronald L — Sale on 2026-09-11, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Phillips Ronald L — Sale on 2026-08-24, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Phillips Ronald L — Sale on 2026-08-21, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Phillips Ronald L — Sale on 2026-08-11, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Phillips Ronald L — Sale on 2026-08-10, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Hinshaw John M — Purchase on 2026-05-26, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Talton Sheila — Sale on 2026-02-02, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Phillips Ronald L — Sale on 2026-01-27, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Phillips Ronald L — Sale on 2025-09-11, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Phillips Ronald L — Sale on 2025-09-02, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Phillips Ronald L — Sale on 2025-08-13, filed 2 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-09-14Phillips Ronald LofficerSale57 @ $84.32$5K−0.1% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open49,646Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-09-11Phillips Ronald LofficerSale960 @ $83.00$80K−1.9% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open49,852Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-08-24Phillips Ronald LofficerSale506 @ $84.09$43K−1.4% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open36,313Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-21Phillips Ronald LofficerSale7,350 @ $83.61$615K−16.0% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open38,650Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-08-11Phillips Ronald LofficerSale367 @ $83.39$31K−0.9% of holding−0.7%not yet — horizon still open38,650Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-10Phillips Ronald LofficerSale6,285 @ $83.94$528K−13.6% of holding−1.4%not yet — horizon still open39,970Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-26Hinshaw John MdirectorPurchase13,304 @ $75.17$1.0M+49.5% of holding+9.3%not yet — horizon still open40,200Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-02Talton SheiladirectorSale2,801 @ $82.99$232K−17.9% of holding+7.2%−10.2%12,868Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-01-27Phillips Ronald LofficerSale5,601 @ $81.00$454K−13.5% of holding+7.1%−2.3%35,965Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-09-11Phillips Ronald LofficerSale961 @ $81.00$78K−2.3% of holding−2.1%+5.7%41,501Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-09-02Phillips Ronald LofficerSale7,351 @ $81.00$595K−14.9% of holding−1.9%+2.7%41,837Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-08-13Phillips Ronald LofficerSale6,286 @ $81.00$509K−15.4% of holding−3.0%+4.7%34,404Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-08-11Gutierrez Victoria LofficerSale134 @ $80.65$11K−1.3% of holding−2.2%+1.8%10,307Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-07-23Phillips Ronald LofficerSale30,358 @ $81.00$2.5M−44.7% of holding−1.5%−12.8%37,483Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-07-23Phillips Ronald LofficerSale6,286 @ $81.00$509K−17.2% of holding−1.5%−12.8%30,235Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-07-23Phillips Ronald LofficerSale962 @ $81.00$78K−2.6% of holding−1.5%−12.8%36,521Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-07-22Bertrand Greg DofficerSale40,000 @ $80.00$3.2M−41.5% of holding−0.5%−12.4%56,304Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-05-01Talton SheiladirectorSale356 @ $70.84$25K−2.7% of holding−2.0%−14.5%12,738Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2024-12-04Bertrand Greg DofficerSale21,844 @ $80.00$1.7M−26.5% of holding−4.7%−4.5%60,581Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2024-12-04McFadden Eve MofficerSale6,499 @ $80.00$520K−11.8% of holding−4.7%−4.5%48,451Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

167 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-09-11Phillips Ronald LofficerOption exercise96050,812Form 4
2026-09-11Higgs Stephen DaleofficerWithheld for tax17623,709Form 4
2026-09-11Phillips Ronald LofficerWithheld for tax14949,703Form 4
2026-09-11Keller Gregory ScottofficerWithheld for tax6238,673Form 4
2026-09-11Garrett Brenna CofficerWithheld for tax4718,415Form 4
2026-09-11Phillips Ronald LofficerOption exercise9601Form 4
2026-09-01Keller Gregory ScottofficerWithheld for tax4738,735Form 4
2026-09-01Garrett Brenna CofficerAward / grant10,27018,462Form 4
2026-09-01Phillips Ronald LofficerAward / grant13,53949,852Form 4
2026-09-01Sewell Brandon ElliotofficerAward / grant3,2857,806Form 4
2026-09-01Schott Jennifer KaplanofficerAward / grant13,77427,425Form 4
2026-09-01Johnson Jennifer LofficerAward / grant6,28322,620Form 4
2026-09-01Keller Gregory ScottofficerAward / grant6,04138,782Form 4
2026-09-01Keller Gregory ScottofficerAward / grant11,23732,741Form 4
2026-09-01Hourican KevindirectorAward / grant84,581552,923Form 4
2026-09-01Higgs Stephen DaleofficerAward / grant6,04123,885Form 4
2026-09-01Higgs Stephen DaleofficerAward / grant9,06217,844Form 4
2026-08-21Hourican KevindirectorWithheld for tax12,796468,342Form 4
2026-08-21Phillips Ronald LofficerOption exercise7,35046,000Form 4
2026-08-21Phillips Ronald LofficerWithheld for tax1,83136,819Form 4
2026-08-21Keller Gregory ScottofficerWithheld for tax1,10521,504Form 4
2026-08-21Higgs Stephen DaleofficerWithheld for tax9708,782Form 4
2026-08-21Schott Jennifer KaplanofficerWithheld for tax66513,651Form 4
2026-08-21Johnson Jennifer LofficerWithheld for tax62116,337Form 4
2026-08-21Garrett Brenna CofficerWithheld for tax3588,192Form 4
2026-08-21Sewell Brandon ElliotofficerWithheld for tax2364,521Form 4
2026-08-21Phillips Ronald LofficerOption exercise7,3507,350Form 4
2026-08-10Hourican KevindirectorWithheld for tax6,309481,138Form 4
2026-08-10Phillips Ronald LofficerOption exercise6,28546,255Form 4
2026-08-10Phillips Ronald LofficerWithheld for tax95339,017Form 4
2026-08-10Keller Gregory ScottofficerWithheld for tax49522,609Form 4
2026-08-10Higgs Stephen DaleofficerWithheld for tax3109,752Form 4
2026-08-10Garrett Brenna CofficerWithheld for tax878,550Form 4
2026-08-10Sewell Brandon ElliotofficerWithheld for tax794,757Form 4
2026-08-10Phillips Ronald LofficerOption exercise6,2850Form 4
2026-07-31Hourican KevindirectorAward / grant36,855501,950Form 4
2026-07-31Hourican KevindirectorWithheld for tax14,503487,447Form 4
2026-07-31Phillips Ronald LofficerAward / grant6,43542,504Form 4
2026-07-31Keller Gregory ScottofficerAward / grant3,77224,589Form 4
2026-07-31Johnson Jennifer LofficerAward / grant3,37818,108Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures iStock trades disclosed by members of Congress for this company, by the date they were filed.iDisclosures shown as facts. A purchase “cluster” (≥2 members of Congress filing a buy within 90 days) has historically preceded modestly higher forward returns — and it persisted out-of-sample, though it roughly halved after 2021 (see below). A descriptive historical tendency, not a signal to trade and not used in our forecast. See /methodology.

As of 2026-09-16 · point-in-time by filed date

Purchase clusters · 2015–2021 (dev)+45 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 59.3% vs 57.3% · n=31,607 cluster ticker-weeks
Purchase clusters · 2022–2026 (out-of-sample)+32 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 54.0% vs 53.3% · n=27,793

A cluster = ≥2 members of Congress filing a purchase within 90 days. The historical tilt persisted after 2021 but roughly halved (+45 → +32 bp/mo forward 1-month vs the S&P 500 weekly-grid baseline). Descriptive historical tendency — not a signal to trade, and not used in our forecast (audition-log 2026-07-27, recomputed 2026-09-08).

'23 Q'24 Q'24 Q'24 Q'24 Q'25 Q'25 Q'25 Q'25 Q'26 Q'26 Qpurchases ▲ / sales ▼ ($ vol)
MemberChamberTypeFiledTradedSize
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2026-07-062026-06-02$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2026-02-062026-01-22$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2026-02-062026-01-22$15–50K
Ro KhannaHousesale2026-02-062026-01-29$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2025-12-082025-11-10$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2025-12-082025-11-03$1–15K
Lisa McclainHousesale2025-11-212025-10-31$1–15K
Lisa McclainHousesale2025-11-212025-10-30$1–15K
Lisa McclainHousepurchase2025-11-212025-10-30$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2025-11-062025-10-07$1–15K
Gilbert CisnerosHousesale2025-10-102025-09-12$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2025-10-032025-09-05$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2025-09-092025-08-13$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2025-09-092025-08-13$1–15K

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.