Issued 2026-09-16 at $89.24 · now $89.24 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, SYNA has typically landed between $70.35 and $109.78 — a range of −21.2% to +23.0% from the issuance price $89.24.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($89.24) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where SYNA has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $89.24 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $89.24 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $87.44 (-2.0%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $79.65–$95.23
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $70.35–$109.78
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,003 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2007-12-26 | −45.3% | −45.3% | +1.4% |
| 2007-12-24 | −43.3% | −43.3% | +1.8% |
| 2007-12-11 | −42.1% | −42.1% | +0.3% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2008-12-26 | +73.5% | +0.0% | +73.5% |
| 2026-04-10 | +71.5% | +0.0% | +71.5% |
| 2026-04-14 | +70.7% | +0.0% | +70.7% |
5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Jan
65%
+4.1%
n=20
Feb
50%
+1.6%
n=20
Mar
25%
−2.2%
n=20
Apr
60%
+3.2%
n=20
May
50%
+2.7%
n=20
Jun
40%
+0.5%
n=20
Jul
40%
+0.7%
n=20
Aug
45%
+1.2%
n=20
Sep
35%
−1.1%
n=20
Oct
45%
+0.4%
n=20
Nov
80%
+8.1%
n=20
Dec
60%
+1.2%
n=20
Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-25 | Gupta Vikram | officer | Sale | 2,300 @ $94.06 | $216K | −2.2% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 101,168 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-25 | Gupta Vikram | officer | Sale | 1,977 @ $95.00 | $188K | −2.0% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 99,191 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-19 | Patel Rahul G. | director | Sale | 2,276 @ $105.39 | $240K | −1.2% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 188,791 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-08-18 | Bodensteiner Lisa | officer | Sale | 2,200 @ $103.47 | $228K | −2.7% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 80,790 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-18 | Bodensteiner Lisa | officer | Sale | 2,156 @ $104.63 | $226K | −2.7% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 78,634 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-18 | Bodensteiner Lisa | officer | Sale | 1,700 @ $102.54 | $174K | −2.0% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 82,990 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-18 | Gupta Vikram | officer | Sale | 1,633 @ $102.77 | $168K | −1.5% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 106,112 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-18 | Gupta Vikram | officer | Sale | 1,477 @ $104.69 | $155K | −1.4% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 103,468 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-18 | Gupta Vikram | officer | Sale | 1,167 @ $103.58 | $121K | −1.1% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 104,945 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-18 | Song Esther | officer | Sale | 177 @ $102.73 | $18K | −1.2% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 14,943 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-18 | Song Esther | officer | Sale | 164 @ $104.78 | $17K | −1.1% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 14,683 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-18 | Song Esther | officer | Sale | 96 @ $103.55 | $10K | −0.6% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 14,847 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-07-27 | Gupta Vikram | officer | Sale | 360 @ $114.20 | $41K | −0.4% of holding | −22.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 81,226 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-07-20 | Patel Rahul G. | director | Sale | 2,486 @ $115.11 | $286K | −2.8% of holding | −11.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 87,368 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-07-20 | Patel Rahul G. | director | Sale | 1,568 @ $114.15 | $179K | −1.7% of holding | −11.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 89,854 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-07-20 | Patel Rahul G. | director | Sale | 500 @ $115.79 | $58K | −0.6% of holding | −11.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 86,868 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-07-20 | Gupta Vikram | officer | Sale | 350 @ $114.76 | $40K | −0.4% of holding | −11.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 81,596 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-07-20 | Bodensteiner Lisa | officer | Sale | 284 @ $114.62 | $33K | −0.5% of holding | −11.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 60,653 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-07-20 | Bodensteiner Lisa | officer | Sale | 166 @ $115.56 | $19K | −0.3% of holding | −11.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 60,487 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-07-20 | Gupta Vikram | officer | Sale | 10 @ $115.54 | $1K | −0.0% of holding | −11.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 81,586 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-06-18 | Bodensteiner Lisa | officer | Sale | 334 @ $138.28 | $46K | −0.5% of holding | −15.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 61,989 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-06-18 | Song Esther | officer | Sale | 126 @ $138.28 | $17K | −1.0% of holding | −15.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 12,157 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-05-28 | Song Esther | officer | Sale | 2,714 @ $141.75 | $385K | −15.0% of holding | −16.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 15,379 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-28 | Song Esther | officer | Sale | 2,601 @ $142.70 | $371K | −16.9% of holding | −16.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 12,778 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-28 | Song Esther | officer | Sale | 1,361 @ $140.58 | $191K | −7.0% of holding | −16.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 18,093 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-28 | Song Esther | officer | Sale | 1,200 @ $137.61 | $165K | −5.6% of holding | −16.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 20,054 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-28 | Song Esther | officer | Sale | 600 @ $139.10 | $83K | −3.0% of holding | −16.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 19,454 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-28 | Song Esther | officer | Sale | 357 @ $143.32 | $51K | −2.8% of holding | −16.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 12,421 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-26 | Gupta Vikram | officer | Sale | 692 @ $147.50 | $102K | −0.8% of holding | −13.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 83,434 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-19 | Gupta Vikram | officer | Sale | 692 @ $114.83 | $79K | −0.8% of holding | +11.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 84,126 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-19 | Bodensteiner Lisa | officer | Sale | 612 @ $114.83 | $70K | −1.0% of holding | +11.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 63,106 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-04-27 | Gupta Vikram | officer | Sale | 1,548 @ $92.90 | $144K | −1.7% of holding | +49.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 87,382 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-04-24 | Patel Rahul G. | director | Sale | 2,281 @ $90.00 | $205K | −2.0% of holding | +52.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 111,320 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-04-20 | Ganesan Satish | officer | Sale | 5,065 @ $81.22 | $411K | −7.2% of holding | +45.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 65,750 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-04-20 | Gupta Vikram | officer | Sale | 1,548 @ $80.95 | $125K | −1.7% of holding | +45.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 88,930 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-04-20 | Bodensteiner Lisa | officer | Sale | 1,200 @ $81.38 | $98K | −1.8% of holding | +45.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 65,781 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-04-20 | Bodensteiner Lisa | officer | Sale | 598 @ $82.85 | $50K | −0.9% of holding | +45.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 65,183 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-18 | Bodensteiner Lisa | officer | Sale | 334 @ $74.83 | $25K | −0.5% of holding | +3.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 71,191 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-02-25 | Gupta Vikram | officer | Sale | 772 @ $81.57 | $63K | −0.8% of holding | −4.1% | +5.6% | 95,996 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-02-18 | Gupta Vikram | officer | Sale | 772 @ $85.00 | $66K | −0.8% of holding | −10.6% | +6.5% | 96,768 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-02-18 | Bodensteiner Lisa | officer | Sale | 576 @ $84.93 | $49K | −0.8% of holding | −10.6% | +6.5% | 72,307 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-01-20 | Patel Rahul G. | director | Sale | 1,000 @ $88.59 | $89K | −0.9% of holding | −4.3% | +29.6% | 113,601 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-01-20 | Patel Rahul G. | director | Sale | 981 @ $85.90 | $84K | −0.8% of holding | −4.3% | +29.6% | 114,901 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-01-20 | Patel Rahul G. | director | Sale | 300 @ $86.89 | $26K | −0.3% of holding | −4.3% | +29.6% | 114,601 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-01-06 | Patel Rahul G. | director | Sale | 2,282 @ $85.00 | $194K | −1.9% of holding | +2.5% | +39.8% | 115,882 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-01-05 | Patel Rahul G. | director | Sale | 2,282 @ $80.00 | $183K | −1.9% of holding | +11.0% | +46.9% | 118,164 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-12-18 | Bodensteiner Lisa | officer | Sale | 336 @ $75.83 | $25K | −0.4% of holding | +19.3% | +73.1% | 74,425 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-12-17 | Gupta Vikram | officer | Sale | 694 @ $75.00 | $52K | −0.7% of holding | +15.1% | +82.9% | 100,082 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-12-12 | Gupta Vikram | officer | Sale | 694 @ $80.07 | $56K | −0.7% of holding | +16.6% | +63.6% | 100,776 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-11 | Ganesan Satish | officer | Sale | 10,651 @ $80.02 | $852K | −10.9% of holding | +5.0% | +64.0% | 86,985 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-12-11 | Ganesan Satish | officer | Sale | 7,634 @ $80.67 | $616K | −8.8% of holding | +5.0% | +64.0% | 79,351 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-12-09 | Bodensteiner Lisa | officer | Sale | 3,697 @ $79.01 | $292K | −4.6% of holding | +1.3% | +62.5% | 76,679 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-12-09 | Bodensteiner Lisa | officer | Sale | 2,348 @ $77.62 | $182K | −2.8% of holding | +1.3% | +62.5% | 80,376 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-12-09 | Bodensteiner Lisa | officer | Sale | 1,137 @ $79.77 | $91K | −1.5% of holding | +1.3% | +62.5% | 75,542 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-02-10 | Rizvi Ken | officer | Purchase | 3,600 @ $69.15 | $249K | +15.0% of holding | −2.4% | −9.7% | 27,630 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2024-12-04 | Gupta Vikram | officer | Sale | 411 @ $81.63 | $34K | −1.0% of holding | +1.7% | −20.5% | 40,795 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
111 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 | Gupta Vikram | officer | Withheld for tax | 17,705 | 107,745 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-17 | Rizvi Ken | officer | Withheld for tax | 17,251 | 134,365 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-17 | Ganesan Satish | officer | Withheld for tax | 15,954 | 87,682 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-17 | Patel Rahul G. | director | Withheld for tax | 15,302 | 191,067 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-17 | Bodensteiner Lisa | officer | Withheld for tax | 14,218 | 84,690 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-17 | Song Esther | officer | Withheld for tax | 972 | 15,120 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-17 | Rizvi Ken | officer | Award / grant | 31,720 | 151,616 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-17 | Bodensteiner Lisa | officer | Award / grant | 13,189 | 70,363 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-17 | Bodensteiner Lisa | officer | Award / grant | 28,545 | 98,908 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-17 | Ganesan Satish | officer | Award / grant | 15,267 | 72,993 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-17 | Ganesan Satish | officer | Award / grant | 30,643 | 103,636 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-17 | Gupta Vikram | officer | Award / grant | 15,267 | 90,828 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-17 | Gupta Vikram | officer | Award / grant | 34,622 | 125,450 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-17 | Patel Rahul G. | director | Award / grant | 33,927 | 120,795 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-17 | Patel Rahul G. | director | Award / grant | 85,574 | 206,369 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-17 | Rizvi Ken | officer | Award / grant | 15,479 | 119,896 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-17 | Song Esther | officer | Award / grant | 4,711 | 16,092 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-17 | Patel Rahul G. | director | Withheld for tax | 19,898 | 91,422 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-17 | Gupta Vikram | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,488 | 81,946 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-17 | Rizvi Ken | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,473 | 104,417 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-17 | Ganesan Satish | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,465 | 61,834 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-17 | Bodensteiner Lisa | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,052 | 60,937 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-17 | Bodensteiner Lisa | officer | Withheld for tax | 783 | 62,323 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-17 | Ganesan Satish | officer | Withheld for tax | 147 | 63,299 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-17 | Song Esther | officer | Withheld for tax | 138 | 12,283 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-22 | Rizvi Ken | officer | Withheld for tax | 2,853 | 105,890 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-17 | Rizvi Ken | officer | Withheld for tax | 3,241 | 108,743 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-17 | Gupta Vikram | officer | Withheld for tax | 2,857 | 84,818 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-17 | Ganesan Satish | officer | Withheld for tax | 2,304 | 63,446 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-17 | Bodensteiner Lisa | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,465 | 63,718 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-17 | Song Esther | officer | Withheld for tax | 330 | 21,254 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-17 | Rizvi Ken | officer | Withheld for tax | 5,895 | 111,984 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-17 | Ganesan Satish | officer | Withheld for tax | 5,862 | 70,815 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-17 | Gupta Vikram | officer | Withheld for tax | 5,518 | 90,478 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-17 | Bodensteiner Lisa | officer | Withheld for tax | 4,210 | 66,981 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-17 | Bodensteiner Lisa | officer | Withheld for tax | 782 | 71,525 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-17 | Song Esther | officer | Withheld for tax | 160 | 21,280 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-17 | Ganesan Satish | officer | Withheld for tax | 147 | 76,677 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-23 | Rizvi Ken | officer | Withheld for tax | 2,853 | 117,879 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-17 | Rizvi Ken | officer | Withheld for tax | 3,317 | 120,732 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.