SXT · TickerCove

SXTSensient Technologies CorporationBasic Materials · Chemicals - Specialtyas of 2026-09-16

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $128.31 · now $128.31 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, SXT has typically landed between $113.42 and $143.40 — a range of −11.6% to +11.8% from the issuance price $128.31.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($128.31) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$128.31 · 83% of range

$82.4 low$137.45 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-09-16 — factual context, not a signal.

Base rate up · monthiClimatology base rate that a US-listed stock rises over a month, with its 90% CI and ≈1,408 effective observations. Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

53.9%

90% CI 51.7%–56.1%

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

+1.0%

typical move · IQR 9.7%

−11.6%worst (p90)+11.8%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

0 open-market sales

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

0 buys · 0 sells · 0 members

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where SXT has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $128.31 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $128.31 (+0.0%)
typical $129.6 (+1.0%)
middle 50% $123.36–$135.85
90% range $113.42–$143.4

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,003 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2020-02-13	−33.2%	−33.2%	+0.0%
2020-02-11	−29.0%	−29.0%	+0.6%
2020-02-21	−28.4%	−28.4%	+0.0%
3 best
2026-03-26	+43.3%	−0.6%	+43.3%
2026-03-27	+42.0%	−0.3%	+43.8%
2026-03-25	+41.9%	−0.4%	+41.9%

5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month i

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.

Jan

45%

−1.6%

n=20

Feb

55%

+0.4%

n=20

Mar

80%

+3.7%

n=20

Apr

70%

+4.5%

n=20

May

70%

+1.2%

n=20

Jun

50%

−0.0%

n=20

Jul

70%

+2.0%

n=20

Aug

45%

+0.1%

n=20

Sep

60%

+0.5%

n=20

Oct

55%

+1.8%

n=20

Nov

80%

+1.8%

n=20

Dec

55%

+0.1%

n=20

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing
2026-08-05	Ferruzzi Mario	director	Sale	1,200 @ $129.48	$155K	−14.0% of holding	+4.2%	not yet — horizon still open	7,352	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-18	Hoang Thierry	officer	Sale	400 @ $115.19	$46K	−2.8% of holding	−2.8%	not yet — horizon still open	13,909	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-04	Hoang Thierry	officer	Sale	439 @ $114.15	$50K	−3.0% of holding	−6.1%	not yet — horizon still open	14,309	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-04-30	Winder Pte. Ltd.	tenPercentOwner	Sale	2,127,566 @ $109.69	$233.4M	−33.7% of holding	−6.9%	not yet — horizon still open	4,177,348	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-04-30	Morris Steven B	officer	Sale	200 @ $114.58	$23K	−2.9% of holding	−6.9%	not yet — horizon still open	6,759	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-12-03	WHITELAW ESSIE	director	Sale	3,985 @ $95.02	$379K	−18.9% of holding	+1.5%	+13.6%	17,128	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-20	WHITELAW ESSIE	director	Sale	533 @ $93.22	$50K	−2.5% of holding	−1.0%	+10.5%	21,101	Form 4 · filed 14 days after the trade
2025-11-04	Plautz David J.	officer	Purchase	2,150 @ $92.98	$200K	+253.2% of holding	+2.5%	+21.3%	2,999	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-03	Carleone Joseph	director	Purchase	1,000 @ $91.26	$91K	+4.7% of holding	+1.1%	+22.7%	22,414	Form 4 · filed same day
2025-08-11	Manning Paul	director	Purchase	20 @ $116.94	$2K	+33.3% of holding	−11.0%	−20.7%	80	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-08-06	Jain Sharad P	director	Sale	1 @ $114.14	$141	−0.0% of holding	−4.2%	−23.4%	5,808	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-05-09	Ferruzzi Mario	director	Sale	1,668 @ $95.45	$159K	−17.3% of holding	−5.6%	−21.4%	7,946	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

137 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Owned after	Filing
2026-06-30	Ferruzzi Mario	director	Award / grant	45	3,380	Form 4
2026-06-30	Carleone Joseph	director	Award / grant	296	24,164	Form 4
2026-04-23	Jackson Carol R	director	Withheld for tax	674	6,540	Form 4
2026-04-23	LANDRY DONALD W	director	Withheld for tax	674	10,447	Form 4
2026-04-23	MORRISON SCOTT C	director	Withheld for tax	674	11,546	Form 4
2026-04-23	WHITELAW ESSIE	director	Withheld for tax	674	17,584	Form 4
2026-04-23	Ferruzzi Mario	director	Withheld for tax	674	8,521	Form 4
2026-04-23	Bruggeman Brett W	director	Withheld for tax	283	3,566	Form 4
2026-04-23	MORRISON SCOTT C	director	Award / grant	1,119	12,220	Form 4
2026-04-23	Jain Sharad P	director	Award / grant	1,119	6,997	Form 4
2026-04-23	Jackson Carol R	director	Award / grant	1,119	7,214	Form 4
2026-04-23	Ferruzzi Mario	director	Award / grant	1,119	9,195	Form 4
2026-04-23	Carleone Joseph	director	Award / grant	1,119	23,670	Form 4
2026-04-23	Bruggeman Brett W	director	Award / grant	1,119	3,849	Form 4
2026-04-23	LANDRY DONALD W	director	Award / grant	1,119	11,121	Form 4
2026-04-23	WHITELAW ESSIE	director	Award / grant	1,119	18,258	Form 4
2026-03-31	Carleone Joseph	director	Award / grant	423	23,780	Form 4
2026-03-31	Ferruzzi Mario	director	Award / grant	64	3,323	Form 4
2026-03-02	Morris Steven B	officer	Withheld for tax	373	6,959	Form 4
2026-03-02	Vanderleest Adam	officer	Withheld for tax	133	2,066	Form 4
2026-02-12	Manning Paul	director	Withheld for tax	15,013	275,954	Form 4
2026-02-12	Geraghty Michael C	officer	Withheld for tax	2,462	45,221	Form 4
2026-02-12	Manning John J	officer	Withheld for tax	2,008	35,200	Form 4
2026-02-12	Jones Amy Schmidt	officer	Withheld for tax	1,694	25,664	Form 4
2026-02-12	Tornehl Tobin	officer	Withheld for tax	751	15,504	Form 4
2026-02-12	Geraghty Michael C	officer	Option exercise	4,924	0	Form 4
2026-02-12	Geraghty Michael C	officer	Option exercise	4,924	47,683	Form 4
2026-02-12	Hoang Thierry	officer	Option exercise	1,293	14,748	Form 4
2026-02-12	Hoang Thierry	officer	Option exercise	1,293	0	Form 4
2026-02-12	Jones Amy Schmidt	officer	Option exercise	3,388	27,358	Form 4
2026-02-12	Jones Amy Schmidt	officer	Option exercise	3,388	0	Form 4
2026-02-12	Manning John J	officer	Option exercise	4,016	37,208	Form 4
2026-02-12	Manning John J	officer	Option exercise	4,016	0	Form 4
2026-02-12	Manning Paul	director	Option exercise	30,027	290,967	Form 4
2026-02-12	Manning Paul	director	Option exercise	30,027	0	Form 4
2026-02-12	Tornehl Tobin	officer	Option exercise	1,502	16,255	Form 4
2026-02-12	Tornehl Tobin	officer	Option exercise	1,502	0	Form 4
2025-12-31	McKeithan Gebhardt Deborah	director	Award / grant	103	5,702	Form 4
2025-12-31	Ferruzzi Mario	director	Award / grant	59	3,246	Form 4
2025-12-31	Carleone Joseph	director	Award / grant	389	23,263	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Resolves in i

27d remaining

2026-09-174% elapsed2026-10-15

Logged immutably 2026-09-17; scored automatically on 2026-10-15 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

Reported insider & political trades

Congressional disclosures

Seasonality · by month i