Issued 2026-09-16 at $259.28 · now $259.28 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, SXI has typically landed between $231.00 and $303.37 — a range of −10.9% to +17.0% from the issuance price $259.28.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($259.28) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where SXI has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $259.28 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $259.28 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $264.03 (+1.8%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $248.05–$280.01
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $231–$303.37
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2009-02-06 | −51.3% | −52.4% | +0.0% |
| 2009-02-09 | −50.1% | −51.3% | +0.6% |
| 2020-02-18 | −48.0% | −48.0% | +0.3% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2009-07-22 | +68.8% | +0.0% | +68.8% |
| 2009-07-27 | +59.1% | +0.0% | +64.0% |
| 2009-03-30 | +57.7% | −4.2% | +57.7% |
5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Arets Max | officer | Purchase | 42 @ $273.94 | $12K | +2.6% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 1,641 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-04 | Arets Max | officer | Purchase | 3 @ $274.19 | $823 | +0.2% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 1,599 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-01 | CHORMAN THOMAS E | director | Sale | 50 @ $284.89 | $14K | −0.4% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 12,316 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-31 | Dunbar David A. | director | Sale | 9,000 @ $290.82 | $2.6M | −10.6% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 75,973 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-31 | Dunbar David A. | director | Sale | 4,000 @ $290.81 | $1.2M | −4.5% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 84,973 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-24 | Sarcevic Ademir | director | Sale | 2,300 @ $306.13 | $704K | −23.5% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 7,486 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-24 | GLASS ALAN J | officer | Sale | 1,391 @ $303.19 | $422K | −5.8% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 22,723 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-03 | CHORMAN THOMAS E | director | Sale | 50 @ $305.56 | $15K | −0.4% of holding | −9.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 12,366 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-07-01 | CHORMAN THOMAS E | director | Sale | 50 @ $355.51 | $18K | −0.4% of holding | −15.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 12,416 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-01 | CHORMAN THOMAS E | director | Sale | 50 @ $272.82 | $14K | −0.4% of holding | +24.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 12,466 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-27 | Edwards Barbara Joanne | director | Sale | 558 @ $274.81 | $153K | −9.0% of holding | +26.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 5,669 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-01 | CHORMAN THOMAS E | director | Sale | 50 @ $268.43 | $13K | −0.4% of holding | +10.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 12,516 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-01 | CHORMAN THOMAS E | director | Sale | 50 @ $257.94 | $13K | −0.4% of holding | −14.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 12,566 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-02 | CHORMAN THOMAS E | director | Sale | 50 @ $259.00 | $13K | −0.4% of holding | +1.5% | −2.4% | 12,616 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-02-27 | CHORMAN THOMAS E | director | Sale | 513 @ $260.00 | $133K | −3.9% of holding | +3.0% | +1.4% | 12,666 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-18 | Kshirsagar Vineet | officer | Sale | 400 @ $260.10 | $104K | −7.9% of holding | +5.7% | +10.8% | 4,647 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-17 | Dunbar David A. | director | Sale | 10,000 @ $255.98 | $2.6M | −9.6% of holding | +1.7% | +11.7% | 93,973 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-02-17 | Dunbar David A. | director | Sale | 5,000 @ $255.87 | $1.3M | −5.3% of holding | +1.7% | +11.7% | 88,973 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-02-09 | CANNON CHARLES H JR | director | Sale | 2,000 @ $256.64 | $513K | −13.3% of holding | +3.8% | +15.2% | 13,046 | Form 4 · filed 11 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-04 | NEMETH ANDY L | director | Purchase | 2,000 @ $245.00 | $490K | +30.1% of holding | +5.8% | +27.3% | 8,639 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-02-04 | CHORMAN THOMAS E | director | Sale | 50 @ $249.86 | $12K | −0.4% of holding | +5.8% | +27.3% | 13,179 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-11-20 | CHORMAN THOMAS E | director | Sale | 1,000 @ $223.31 | $223K | −7.0% of holding | −3.9% | +5.9% | 13,229 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-05 | Kshirsagar Vineet | officer | Sale | 650 @ $233.37 | $152K | −11.4% of holding | +2.6% | +2.9% | 5,047 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-11-04 | Sarcevic Ademir | director | Sale | 1,823 @ $230.12 | $420K | −16.3% of holding | +5.3% | +8.6% | 9,341 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-10-15 | Dunbar David A. | director | Sale | 13,000 @ $235.00 | $3.1M | −11.1% of holding | −1.8% | +12.0% | 103,973 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-10-15 | Dunbar David A. | director | Sale | 5,000 @ $235.00 | $1.2M | −4.1% of holding | −1.8% | +12.0% | 116,973 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-09-18 | Dunbar David A. | director | Sale | 11,000 @ $215.00 | $2.4M | −8.3% of holding | +8.1% | +18.8% | 121,973 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-09-03 | Bell Annemarie | officer | Sale | 1,184 @ $202.12 | $239K | −13.8% of holding | +3.5% | +21.9% | 7,422 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-08-26 | Sarcevic Ademir | director | Sale | 1,085 @ $209.86 | $228K | −8.9% of holding | −6.3% | +16.0% | 11,164 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
271 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | Kshirsagar Vineet | officer | Award / grant | 401 | 401 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-23 | Kshirsagar Vineet | officer | Award / grant | 401 | 401 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-23 | Kshirsagar Vineet | officer | Award / grant | 2,195 | 2,195 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-23 | Newbury Michelle | officer | Award / grant | 360 | 360 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-23 | Newbury Michelle | officer | Award / grant | 360 | 360 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-23 | Newbury Michelle | officer | Award / grant | 1,969 | 1,969 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-23 | Dunbar David A. | director | Award / grant | 32,600 | 32,600 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-23 | Dunbar David A. | director | Award / grant | 32,600 | 32,600 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-23 | Sarcevic Ademir | director | Award / grant | 10,571 | 10,571 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-23 | Edwards Barbara Joanne | director | Award / grant | 143 | 143 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-23 | Dunbar David A. | director | Award / grant | 2,285 | 2,285 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-23 | Edwards Barbara Joanne | director | Award / grant | 143 | 143 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-23 | Kshirsagar Vineet | officer | Award / grant | 220 | 220 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-23 | Dunbar David A. | director | Award / grant | 7,156 | 7,156 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-23 | Dunbar David A. | director | Award / grant | 4,770 | 4,770 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-23 | Dunbar David A. | director | Award / grant | 2,285 | 2,285 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-23 | Dunbar David A. | director | Award / grant | 7,156 | 7,156 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-23 | Dunbar David A. | director | Award / grant | 4,770 | 4,770 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-23 | Dunbar David A. | director | Award / grant | 32,600 | 32,600 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-23 | Dunbar David A. | director | Award / grant | 32,600 | 32,600 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-23 | Edwards Barbara Joanne | director | Award / grant | 143 | 143 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-23 | Sarcevic Ademir | director | Award / grant | 10,571 | 10,571 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-23 | Arets Max | officer | Award / grant | 172 | 172 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-23 | Arets Max | officer | Award / grant | 382 | 382 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-23 | Arets Max | officer | Award / grant | 382 | 382 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-23 | Arets Max | officer | Award / grant | 2,090 | 2,090 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-23 | Slaughter Richard Colby | officer | Award / grant | 5,734 | 5,734 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-23 | Slaughter Richard Colby | officer | Award / grant | 1,049 | 1,049 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-23 | Slaughter Richard Colby | officer | Award / grant | 1,049 | 1,049 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-23 | Rangel Danielle | officer | Award / grant | 146 | 146 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-23 | Rangel Danielle | officer | Award / grant | 146 | 146 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-23 | Slaughter Richard Colby | officer | Award / grant | 1,049 | 1,049 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-23 | Slaughter Richard Colby | officer | Award / grant | 1,049 | 1,049 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-23 | Slaughter Richard Colby | officer | Award / grant | 5,734 | 5,734 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-23 | Dunbar David A. | director | Award / grant | 2,285 | 2,285 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-23 | Dunbar David A. | director | Award / grant | 7,156 | 7,156 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-23 | Dunbar David A. | director | Award / grant | 4,770 | 4,770 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-23 | Dunbar David A. | director | Award / grant | 7,156 | 7,156 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-23 | GLASS ALAN J | officer | Award / grant | 524 | 524 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-23 | Dunbar David A. | director | Award / grant | 4,770 | 4,770 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.