SWXSouthwest Gas Holdings, Inc.Utilities · Regulated Gasas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $86.74 · now $86.74 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, SWX has typically landed between $78.23 and $94.81 — a range of −9.8% to +9.3% from the issuance price $86.74.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($86.74) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where SWX has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $86.74 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$78.23worst · -9.8%$94.81best · +9.3%
  • now $86.74 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $87.55 (+0.9%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $84.26–$90.84
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $78.23–$94.81
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,003 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2020-02-13−34.2%−34.2%+0.1%
2020-02-21−33.9%−33.9%+0.0%
2020-02-20−32.9%−33.9%+0.1%
3 best
2020-03-23+46.2%+0.0%+49.5%
2020-03-16+45.7%+0.0%+49.6%
2020-03-20+45.3%−1.3%+47.5%

5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
50%
+0.4%
n=20
Feb
65%
−0.3%
n=20
Mar
75%
+3.7%
n=20
Apr
65%
+1.7%
n=20
May
60%
+0.8%
n=20
Jun
50%
−0.4%
n=20
Jul
65%
+2.2%
n=20
Aug
35%
−1.6%
n=20
Sep
45%
−0.2%
n=20
Oct
65%
+2.8%
n=20
Nov
60%
+0.2%
n=20
Dec
60%
+0.6%
n=20

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$93$752026-01-09: 1 insider sale, $246K — Brown Justin L2025-09-25: 1 insider sale, $116.9M — ICAHN CARL C2025-09-10: 1 insider purchase, $2K — Sandoval Brian E2025-09: 1 open-market purchase, $2K2025-09: 1 open-market sale, $116.9M2026-01: 1 open-market sale, $246K↑ buys↓ salesofficer Brown Justin L — Sale on 2026-01-09, filed 4 days after the tradedirector ICAHN CARL C — Sale on 2025-09-25, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Sandoval Brian E — Purchase on 2025-09-10, filed 1 day after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-01-09Brown Justin LofficerSale3,028 @ $81.08$246K−32.4% of holding+3.2%+6.6%6,320Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-09-25ICAHN CARL CdirectorSale1,500,000 @ $77.91$116.9M−19.9% of holding+2.2%+15.9%6,032,604Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-09-10Sandoval Brian EdirectorPurchase24 @ $78.57$2K+1.6% of holding−2.5%+9.8%1,562Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-06-27Stefani Robert JofficerSale7,000 @ $75.00$525K−22.1% of holding+1.9%−2.3%24,665Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-03-28Stefani Robert JofficerSale2,000 @ $72.55$145K−5.9% of holding+0.1%−11.3%31,665Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-03-24ICAHN CARL CdirectorSale2,100,000 @ $74.60$156.7M−21.8% of holding+3.3%−8.8%7,532,604Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

92 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-05-07Carson Molly R.directorAward / grant1,1961,196Form 4
2026-05-07Kim LeeziedirectorAward / grant1,1961,196Form 4
2026-02-27Haller Karen SdirectorWithheld for tax13,105185,798Form 4
2026-02-27Brown Justin LofficerWithheld for tax6,83827,623Form 4
2026-02-27Brown Justin LofficerWithheld for tax3,20934,461Form 4
2026-02-27Williams Julie M.officerWithheld for tax3,47328,950Form 4
2026-02-27Gabe Randall P.officerWithheld for tax2,17224,153Form 4
2026-02-27Timperley Amy L.officerWithheld for tax1,18215,118Form 4
2026-02-27Mazzeo Catherine MofficerWithheld for tax54416,150Form 4
2026-02-27Forsberg Justin SofficerWithheld for tax5206,862Form 4
2026-02-22Brown Justin LofficerAward / grant8,42737,670Form 4
2026-02-19Williams Julie M.officerAward / grant2,99423,598Form 4
2026-02-19Williams Julie M.officerAward / grant8,82532,422Form 4
2026-02-19Pineda Fabio AofficerAward / grant1,2142,417Form 4
2026-02-19Evans Andrew WdirectorAward / grant1,72610,046Form 4
2026-02-19Linginfelter Henry PdirectorAward / grant1,72610,046Form 4
2026-02-19MARIUCCI ANNE LdirectorAward / grant1,72650,100Form 4
2026-02-19Forsberg Justin SofficerAward / grant3,5705,868Form 4
2026-02-19Forsberg Justin SofficerAward / grant1,5147,382Form 4
2026-02-19Sharma RubydirectorAward / grant1,7269,480Form 4
2026-02-19Gabe Randall P.officerAward / grant2,34020,557Form 4
2026-02-19Mazzeo Catherine MofficerAward / grant2,23316,694Form 4
2026-02-19Mazzeo Catherine MofficerAward / grant3,96514,461Form 4
2026-02-19Ruisanchez CarlosdirectorAward / grant1,72610,693Form 4
2026-02-19Gabe Randall P.officerAward / grant5,76926,325Form 4
2026-02-19Haller Karen SdirectorAward / grant16,756165,599Form 4
2026-02-19Haller Karen SdirectorAward / grant33,304198,903Form 4
2026-02-19Timperley Amy L.officerAward / grant2,82411,978Form 4
2026-02-19Timperley Amy L.officerAward / grant4,32316,301Form 4
2026-02-19Thornton Leslie TdirectorAward / grant1,72617,201Form 4
2026-02-19Sandoval Brian EdirectorAward / grant1,7263,299Form 4
2026-02-19CONLEY E RENAEdirectorAward / grant2,58812,282Form 4
2026-02-19Brown Justin LofficerAward / grant5,54411,865Form 4
2026-02-19Brown Justin LofficerAward / grant17,37829,242Form 4
2026-02-19Lewis-Raymond JanedirectorAward / grant1,72617,474Form 4
2026-01-08Haller Karen SdirectorWithheld for tax7,631148,843Form 4
2026-01-08Brown Justin LofficerWithheld for tax2,57334,123Form 4
2026-01-08Williams Julie M.officerWithheld for tax1,27120,604Form 4
2026-01-08Gabe Randall P.officerWithheld for tax1,03718,217Form 4
2026-01-08Timperley Amy L.officerWithheld for tax8649,154Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.