SWMR · TickerCove

SWMRSwarmer, Inc Common StockTechnology · Software - Infrastructureas of 2026-09-16

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $25.11 · now $25.11 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, SWMR has typically landed between $15.41 and $60.27 — a range of −38.6% to +140.0% from the issuance price $25.11.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

105 overlapping 1 month windows · 2026-03-17 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($25.11) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$25.11 · 4% of range

$23.04 low$78.52 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-09-16 — factual context, not a signal.

Distribution ranges onlyiThis name has too little trading history to publish a calibrated probability, so we show its distribution ranges only — no directional call. Its record is still building.

No directional probability — ranges below.

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

−7.9%

typical move · IQR 33.2%

−38.6%worst (p90)+140.0%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

0 open-market sales

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

0 buys · 0 sells · 0 members

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where SWMR has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $25.11 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $25.11 (+0.0%)
typical $23.13 (-7.9%)
middle 50% $18.97–$27.3
90% range $15.41–$60.27

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 105 windows spanning 2026-03-17 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2026-04-02	−49.5%	−49.5%	+0.0%
2026-08-17	−46.7%	−51.1%	+0.0%
2026-06-02	−45.3%	−53.5%	+0.0%
3 best
2026-05-05	+142.9%	−9.5%	+161.9%
2026-05-08	+122.3%	+0.0%	+189.3%
2026-05-04	+118.0%	−19.2%	+133.7%

105 overlapping windows · 2026-03-17 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

24 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Owned after	Filing
2026-08-13	Frenkel Amir	director	Award / grant	2,511	2,511	Form 4
2026-08-13	Reisfield Derek	director	Award / grant	2,511	2,511	Form 4
2026-08-13	Zeefe Justin Matthew	director	Award / grant	2,511	2,511	Form 4
2026-08-13	WAGENHEIM PHILIP	director	Award / grant	2,511	2,511	Form 4
2026-08-13	ANTOIAN EDWARD N	director	Award / grant	2,511	2,511	Form 4
2026-08-09	Kupriienko Serhii	director	Option exercise	3,997,762	1,646,138	Form 4
2026-08-09	Kupriienko Serhii	director	Option exercise	3,997,762	5,339,602	Form 4
2026-08-09	Kupriienko Serhii	director	Option exercise	3,997,762	5,339,602	Form 4
2026-03-18	Fink Alexander	director	Award / grant	400,000	400,000	Form 4
2026-03-18	Kupriienko Serhii	director	Award / grant	400,000	400,000	Form 4
2026-03-18	Kupriienko Serhii	director	Award / grant	1,341,840	1,341,840	Form 4
2026-03-18	Fink Alexander	director	Award / grant	1,341,840	2,752,815	Form 4
2026-03-18	WAGENHEIM PHILIP	director	Conversion	1,124,981	1,124,981	Form 4
2026-03-18	Zeefe Justin Matthew	director	Conversion	139,932	139,932	Form 4
2026-03-18	Zeefe Justin Matthew	director	Conversion	359,995	499,927	Form 4
2026-03-18	Zeefe Justin Matthew	director	Conversion	74,380	0	Form 4
2026-03-18	Zeefe Justin Matthew	director	Conversion	191,354	0	Form 4
2026-03-18	Zeefe Justin Matthew	director	Conversion	139,932	139,932	Form 4
2026-03-18	Zeefe Justin Matthew	director	Conversion	359,995	499,927	Form 4
2026-03-18	Zeefe Justin Matthew	director	Conversion	74,380	0	Form 4
2026-03-18	Zeefe Justin Matthew	director	Conversion	191,354	0	Form 4
2026-03-18	WAGENHEIM PHILIP	director	Conversion	1,124,981	1,124,981	Form 4
2026-03-18	WAGENHEIM PHILIP	director	Conversion	597,980	0	Form 4
2026-03-18	WAGENHEIM PHILIP	director	Conversion	597,980	0	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Resolves in i

27d remaining

2026-09-174% elapsed2026-10-15

Logged immutably 2026-09-17; scored automatically on 2026-10-15 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.