SWIM · TickerCove

SWIMLatham Group, Inc.Industrials · Constructionas of 2026-09-16

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $6.29 · now $6.29 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, SWIM has typically landed between $4.48 and $8.52 — a range of −28.8% to +35.5% from the issuance price $6.29.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

1,335 overlapping 1 month windows · 2021-04-23 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($6.29) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$6.29 · 48% of range

$4.76 low$7.98 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-09-16 — factual context, not a signal.

Base rate up · monthiClimatology base rate that a US-listed stock rises over a month, with its 90% CI and ≈1,408 effective observations. Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

53.9%

90% CI 51.7%–56.1%

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

−0.8%

typical move · IQR 24.8%

−28.8%worst (p90)+35.5%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

0 open-market sales

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

0 buys · 0 sells · 0 members

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where SWIM has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $6.29 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $6.29 (+0.0%)
typical $6.24 (-0.8%)
middle 50% $5.46–$7.02
90% range $4.48–$8.52

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 1,335 windows spanning 2021-04-23 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2022-06-03	−45.2%	−45.2%	+2.5%
2022-06-06	−42.1%	−46.6%	+0.0%
2021-12-28	−40.9%	−40.9%	+3.4%
3 best
2024-07-25	+98.8%	−4.9%	+98.8%
2024-07-18	+96.8%	−2.2%	+96.8%
2024-07-19	+92.3%	+0.0%	+101.3%

1,335 overlapping windows · 2021-04-23 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month i

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~6 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.

Jan

40%

+0.7%

n=5

Feb

60%

−0.2%

n=5

Mar

40%

−5.7%

n=5

Apr

20%

−11.3%

n=5

May

67%

+12.7%

n=6

Jun

67%

−1.2%

n=6

Jul

50%

−3.3%

n=6

Aug

67%

+16.7%

n=6

Sep

17%

−15.7%

n=6

Oct

20%

−2.1%

n=5

Nov

40%

+8.9%

n=5

Dec

40%

+0.1%

n=5

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing
2026-05-20	Gloe Oliver C.	officer	Purchase	15,050 @ $4.90	$74K	+2.9% of holding	+17.1%	not yet — horizon still open	540,758	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-19	Cline James E	director	Purchase	50,000 @ $4.84	$242K	+100.0% of holding	+19.7%	not yet — horizon still open	100,000	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-08-22	DELLAQUILA FRANK J	director	Purchase	5,000 @ $8.24	$41K	+29.7% of holding	−11.0%	−21.5%	21,814	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-05-15	Gloe Oliver C.	officer	Purchase	13,500 @ $6.10	$82K	+3.0% of holding	−6.0%	−5.0%	466,630	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-05-12	Cline James E	director	Sale	4,417 @ $6.45	$28K	−2.3% of holding	−11.2%	−16.7%	189,251	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-05-09	Cline James E	director	Sale	45,583 @ $5.95	$271K	−19.1% of holding	−7.9%	−5.6%	193,668	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-03-14	WYNNCHURCH CAPITAL PARTNERS IV, L.P.	tenPercentOwner	Sale	3,494,750 @ $6.54	$22.9M	−24.0% of holding	−26.1%	−10.3%	11,050,953	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-03-14	WC PARTNERS EXECUTIVE IV, L.P.	tenPercentOwner	Sale	105,250 @ $6.54	$688K	−24.0% of holding	−26.1%	−10.3%	332,818	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2024-12-11	Rajeski Scott Michael	director	Sale	10,000 @ $8.35	$83K	−2.0% of holding	−20.7%	−30.5%	480,829	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2024-12-11	Rajeski Scott Michael	director	Sale	6,119 @ $8.35	$51K	−1.3% of holding	−20.7%	−30.5%	480,829	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2024-12-11	Rajeski Scott Michael	director	Sale	6,072 @ $8.30	$50K	−1.2% of holding	−20.7%	−30.5%	486,948	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

79 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Owned after	Filing
2026-09-09	Antonelli Todd A	other	Award / grant	51,606	51,606	Form 4
2026-08-07	Kunchala Suraj	officer	Disposition	8,693	73,743	Form 4
2026-08-07	Kunchala Suraj	officer	Option exercise	13,483	4,495	Form 4
2026-08-07	Kunchala Suraj	officer	Option exercise	13,483	82,436	Form 4
2026-05-20	Maczko Nikki Vaughan	officer	Withheld for tax	3,356	118,168	Form 4
2026-05-01	Jackson Jeffrey T	director	Award / grant	17,677	17,677	Form 4
2026-05-01	Morno-Wade Suzan	director	Award / grant	17,677	130,748	Form 4
2026-05-01	DELLAQUILA FRANK J	director	Award / grant	17,677	39,491	Form 4
2026-05-01	Laven Mark Phillip	director	Award / grant	17,677	1,044,224	Form 4
2026-05-01	Cline James E	director	Award / grant	22,727	211,978	Form 4
2026-05-01	Jackson DeLu	director	Award / grant	17,677	102,409	Form 4
2026-03-15	Bahl Sanjeev	officer	Withheld for tax	9,970	428,339	Form 4
2026-03-15	Sheller Patrick M	officer	Withheld for tax	9,943	434,238	Form 4
2026-03-15	Dhruv Kaushal Bhikhesh	officer	Withheld for tax	6,485	396,511	Form 4
2026-03-15	Kunchala Suraj	officer	Withheld for tax	2,162	68,953	Form 4
2026-03-07	Gloe Oliver C.	officer	Withheld for tax	5,522	525,708	Form 4
2026-03-07	Bahl Sanjeev	officer	Withheld for tax	3,463	438,309	Form 4
2026-03-07	Sheller Patrick M	officer	Withheld for tax	3,436	444,181	Form 4
2026-03-07	Maczko Nikki Vaughan	officer	Withheld for tax	2,877	121,524	Form 4
2026-03-07	Dhruv Kaushal Bhikhesh	officer	Withheld for tax	2,500	402,996	Form 4
2026-03-07	Kunchala Suraj	officer	Withheld for tax	978	71,115	Form 4
2026-03-06	Dhruv Kaushal Bhikhesh	officer	Award / grant	24,604	405,496	Form 4
2026-03-06	Sheller Patrick M	officer	Award / grant	47,024	447,617	Form 4
2026-03-06	Bahl Sanjeev	officer	Award / grant	47,620	441,772	Form 4
2026-03-06	Gloe Oliver C.	officer	Award / grant	54,167	531,230	Form 4
2026-03-06	Maczko Nikki Vaughan	officer	Award / grant	28,175	124,401	Form 4
2026-03-06	Kunchala Suraj	officer	Award / grant	9,524	72,093	Form 4
2026-03-05	Dhruv Kaushal Bhikhesh	officer	Award / grant	4,797	380,892	Form 4
2026-03-05	Gloe Oliver C.	officer	Award / grant	10,433	477,063	Form 4
2026-03-05	Kunchala Suraj	officer	Award / grant	1,849	62,569	Form 4
2026-03-05	Sheller Patrick M	officer	Award / grant	9,162	400,593	Form 4
2026-03-05	Bahl Sanjeev	officer	Award / grant	9,234	394,152	Form 4
2026-03-05	Maczko Nikki Vaughan	officer	Award / grant	5,436	96,226	Form 4
2026-03-01	Bahl Sanjeev	officer	Withheld for tax	9,253	384,918	Form 4
2026-03-01	Sheller Patrick M	officer	Withheld for tax	9,250	391,431	Form 4
2026-03-01	Dhruv Kaushal Bhikhesh	officer	Withheld for tax	6,143	376,095	Form 4
2026-03-01	Kunchala Suraj	officer	Withheld for tax	2,035	60,720	Form 4
2026-01-05	Gadd Sean	director	Award / grant	907,591	907,591	Form 4
2025-08-08	Sheller Patrick M	officer	Withheld for tax	3,921	400,681	Form 4
2025-05-20	Maczko Nikki Vaughan	officer	Withheld for tax	3,356	90,790	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Resolves in i

28d remaining

2026-09-173% elapsed2026-10-15

Logged immutably 2026-09-17; scored automatically on 2026-10-15 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

Reported insider & political trades

Congressional disclosures

Seasonality · by month i