Issued 2026-09-16 at $6.49 · now $6.49 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, SVCO has typically landed between $4.36 and $8.90 — a range of −32.8% to +37.1% from the issuance price $6.49.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
569 overlapping 1 month windows · 2024-05-09 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($6.49) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where SVCO has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $6.49 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $6.49 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $6.22 (-4.1%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $5.39–$7.05
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $4.36–$8.9
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 569 windows spanning 2024-05-09 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2024-09-24 | −57.7% | −57.7% | +2.1% |
| 2024-09-23 | −57.5% | −57.5% | +2.1% |
| 2024-09-26 | −57.1% | −58.6% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2026-03-06 | +127.9% | +0.0% | +127.9% |
| 2026-03-12 | +124.2% | +0.0% | +124.2% |
| 2026-03-09 | +123.4% | +0.0% | +123.7% |
569 overlapping windows · 2024-05-09 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~3 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Jan
100%
+8.8%
n=2
Feb
0%
−26.7%
n=2
Mar
50%
+42.2%
n=2
Apr
100%
+30.4%
n=2
May
0%
−9.2%
n=2
Jun
67%
+14.4%
n=3
Jul
0%
−18.3%
n=3
Aug
33%
+0.0%
n=3
Sep
33%
−4.2%
n=3
Oct
50%
−23.7%
n=2
Nov
50%
+4.6%
n=2
Dec
0%
−6.5%
n=2
Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-25 | Jackson Candace | officer | Sale | 3,500 @ $7.00 | $25K | −7.0% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 46,279 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-12 | Zegarelli Christopher John | officer | Sale | 2,257 @ $7.55 | $17K | −0.4% of holding | −8.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 540,324 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-12 | Jackson Candace | officer | Sale | 1,570 @ $7.55 | $12K | −3.1% of holding | −8.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 49,779 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-11 | Ngai Anthony K.K. | director | Purchase | 750 @ $7.37 | $6K | +0.6% of holding | −12.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 118,972 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-11 | Bo-Linn Cheemin | director | Sale | 700 @ $7.28 | $5K | −3.7% of holding | −12.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 18,264 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-11 | Tewksbury Ted L III | director | Sale | 580 @ $7.28 | $4K | −3.1% of holding | −12.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 18,143 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-16 | Ngai Anthony K.K. | director | Purchase | 500 @ $12.50 | $6K | +0.4% of holding | −33.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 115,476 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-11 | Ngai-Pesic Katherine S. | director | Sale | 200,000 @ $11.27 | $2.3M | −2.1% of holding | −13.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 9,176,403 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-06-05 | Ngai Anthony K.K. | director | Purchase | 1,000 @ $13.07 | $13K | +0.9% of holding | −4.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 114,976 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-03 | Pesic Illiya I. | director | Sale | 6,000 @ $12.96 | $78K | −0.1% of holding | −11.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 5,394,672 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-14 | Jackson Candace | officer | Sale | 2,000 @ $11.00 | $22K | −3.7% of holding | +13.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 51,349 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-04-01 | Zegarelli Christopher John | officer | Sale | 2,431 @ $7.11 | $17K | −0.5% of holding | +46.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 536,976 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-01 | Jackson Candace | officer | Sale | 1,817 @ $7.12 | $13K | −3.3% of holding | +46.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 53,349 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-17 | Jackson Candace | officer | Sale | 1,500 @ $5.00 | $8K | −2.6% of holding | +64.9% | +17.6% | 55,166 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-01-07 | Pesic Illiya I. | director | Sale | 100,000 @ $1.94 | $194K | −1.8% of holding | −17.4% | +121.0% | 5,379,899 | Form 4 · filed 71 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-11 | Ngai Anthony K.K. | director | Purchase | 1,000 @ $4.23 | $4K | +1.1% of holding | −0.7% | +168.3% | 91,777 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-10 | Ngai-Pesic Katherine S. | director | Purchase | 25,000 @ $4.13 | $103K | +0.2% of holding | +4.3% | +181.3% | 10,303,886 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-12-09 | RHINES WALDEN C | director | Purchase | 13,100 @ $4.01 | $53K | +14.1% of holding | +6.7% | +175.3% | 105,918 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-12-08 | Zegarelli Christopher John | officer | Purchase | 10,000 @ $3.79 | $38K | +2.3% of holding | +15.0% | +193.0% | 439,407 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-12-04 | Pesic Yelena I. | other | Sale | 300,000 @ $1.99 | $597K | −7.7% of holding | +4.2% | +149.6% | 3,603,073 | Form 4 · filed 105 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-25 | Ngai-Pesic Katherine S. | director | Sale | 400,000 @ $2.00 | $800K | −4.1% of holding | −2.8% | +114.1% | 9,353,886 | Form 4 · filed 114 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-19 | Jackson Candace | officer | Sale | 8,300 @ $4.25 | $35K | −16.2% of holding | −3.0% | +116.0% | 43,069 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-11-18 | RHINES WALDEN C | director | Purchase | 29,000 @ $4.07 | $118K | +45.4% of holding | +6.0% | +123.3% | 92,818 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-11-18 | Ngai Anthony K.K. | director | Purchase | 10,000 @ $4.26 | $43K | +12.4% of holding | +6.0% | +123.3% | 90,777 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-17 | Pesic Illiya I. | director | Sale | 300,000 @ $1.93 | $579K | −5.2% of holding | +8.4% | +119.9% | 5,479,899 | Form 4 · filed 122 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-17 | RHINES WALDEN C | director | Purchase | 11,272 @ $3.90 | $44K | +21.5% of holding | +8.4% | +119.9% | 63,818 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-11-17 | Zegarelli Christopher John | officer | Purchase | 5,000 @ $3.91 | $20K | +1.2% of holding | +8.4% | +119.9% | 429,407 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-09-16 | Ngai-Pesic Katherine S. | director | Sale | 300,000 @ $2.26 | $678K | −3.0% of holding | +5.2% | +7.4% | 9,753,886 | Form 4 · filed 184 days after the trade |
| 2025-09-15 | Zegarelli Christopher John | officer | Purchase | 5,100 @ $5.03 | $26K | +150.3% of holding | +14.7% | −6.3% | 8,493 | Form 4 · filed 23 days after the trade |
| 2025-09-11 | Ngai Anthony K.K. | director | Purchase | 2,000 @ $5.16 | $10K | +2.5% of holding | +13.2% | −3.6% | 80,777 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-09-10 | Ngai Anthony K.K. | director | Purchase | 2,000 @ $5.34 | $11K | +2.6% of holding | +20.3% | −37.6% | 78,077 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2025-09-10 | Ngai Anthony K.K. | director | Purchase | 500 @ $5.28 | $3K | +0.6% of holding | +20.3% | −37.6% | 78,577 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2025-09-10 | Ngai Anthony K.K. | director | Purchase | 200 @ $5.17 | $1K | +0.3% of holding | +20.3% | −37.6% | 78,777 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2025-09-09 | Ngai Anthony K.K. | director | Purchase | 2,000 @ $5.32 | $11K | +2.7% of holding | +8.9% | −42.5% | 76,077 | Form 4 · filed 6 days after the trade |
| 2025-09-08 | Ngai Anthony K.K. | director | Purchase | 5,000 @ $5.30 | $26K | +7.2% of holding | +4.9% | −42.4% | 74,077 | Form 4 · filed 7 days after the trade |
| 2025-06-26 | Ngai-Pesic Katherine S. | director | Sale | 250,000 @ $2.15 | $539K | −2.4% of holding | −13.2% | −27.7% | 10,053,886 | Form 4 · filed 266 days after the trade |
| 2025-06-10 | Pesic Yelena I. | other | Sale | 5,763 @ $5.01 | $29K | −0.1% of holding | −5.9% | −32.1% | 3,903,073 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-06-04 | Ngai-Pesic Katherine S. | director | Sale | 15,000 @ $4.91 | $74K | −0.1% of holding | −2.8% | −21.9% | 10,477,355 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-05-19 | Taheri Babak A. | director | Purchase | 4,051 @ $4.86 | $20K | +0.5% of holding | −3.8% | −28.7% | 789,082 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-05-16 | Taheri Babak A. | director | Purchase | 20,949 @ $4.93 | $103K | +2.7% of holding | −6.0% | −27.8% | 785,031 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-04-01 | Benton Ryan A | officer | Sale | 168 @ $4.63 | $778 | −0.1% of holding | +14.5% | −2.4% | 219,940 | Form 4 · filed 9 days after the trade |
| 2025-03-14 | Ngai-Pesic Katherine S. | director | Sale | 25,000 @ $5.06 | $127K | −0.2% of holding | −9.5% | −15.8% | 10,461,105 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-03-14 | Pesic Yelena I. | other | Sale | 15,000 @ $5.07 | $76K | −0.4% of holding | −9.5% | −15.8% | 3,908,836 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-03-13 | Pesic Illiya I. | director | Sale | 15,000 @ $4.88 | $73K | −0.3% of holding | −11.4% | −18.3% | 5,748,649 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
69 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | RHINES WALDEN C | director | Award / grant | 250,376 | 539,209 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-11 | Ngai Anthony K.K. | director | Award / grant | 2,746 | 118,222 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-11 | Bo-Linn Cheemin | director | Award / grant | 1,400 | 18,964 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-11 | Ganti Anita | director | Award / grant | 1,721 | 64,534 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-11 | Ngai-Pesic Katherine S. | director | Award / grant | 2,504 | 9,178,907 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-11 | Pesic Illiya I. | director | Award / grant | 1,409 | 5,396,081 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-11 | Tewksbury Ted L III | director | Award / grant | 1,159 | 18,723 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-22 | RHINES WALDEN C | director | Award / grant | 154,745 | 288,833 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-12 | Ngai-Pesic Katherine S. | director | Award / grant | 1,694 | 9,376,403 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-12 | Pesic Illiya I. | director | Award / grant | 953 | 5,400,672 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-12 | Ganti Anita | director | Award / grant | 1,165 | 62,813 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-12 | Ngai Anthony K.K. | director | Award / grant | 1,376 | 113,976 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-22 | Ganti Anita | director | Award / grant | 17,564 | 53,790 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-22 | Molloie William H. Jr. | director | Award / grant | 1,999 | 36,006 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-22 | Ngai Anthony K.K. | director | Award / grant | 17,564 | 112,600 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-22 | Ngai-Pesic Katherine S. | director | Award / grant | 17,564 | 9,374,709 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-22 | Pesic Illiya I. | director | Award / grant | 17,564 | 5,399,719 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-22 | Lee Hau L. | director | Award / grant | 2,726 | 51,174 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-22 | Shelton Jodi Lynn | director | Award / grant | 1,817 | 35,574 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-22 | Bo-Linn Cheemin | director | Award / grant | 17,564 | 17,564 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-22 | Tewksbury Ted L III | director | Award / grant | 17,564 | 17,564 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-17 | Molloie William H. Jr. | director | Award / grant | 2,757 | 34,007 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-17 | Ngai-Pesic Katherine S. | director | Award / grant | 3,259 | 9,357,145 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-17 | Ngai Anthony K.K. | director | Award / grant | 3,259 | 95,036 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-17 | Pesic Illiya I. | director | Award / grant | 2,256 | 5,382,155 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-17 | Ganti Anita | director | Award / grant | 2,757 | 36,226 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-17 | Lee Hau L. | director | Award / grant | 3,760 | 48,448 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-17 | Shelton Jodi Lynn | director | Award / grant | 2,507 | 33,757 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-02 | Zegarelli Christopher John | officer | Award / grant | 100,000 | 539,407 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-02 | Jackson Candace | officer | Award / grant | 15,000 | 56,666 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-21 | RHINES WALDEN C | director | Award / grant | 28,170 | 134,088 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-01 | Jackson Candace | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,403 | 41,666 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-09 | Ngai-Pesic Katherine S. | director | Gift | 170,000 | 10,278,886 | Form 4 |
| 2025-10-01 | Jackson Candace | officer | Withheld for tax | 2,510 | 51,369 | Form 4 |
| 2025-10-01 | Zegarelli Christopher John | officer | Award / grant | 415,914 | 424,407 | Form 4 |
| 2025-08-13 | Taheri Babak A. | director | Withheld for tax | 9,155 | 773,157 | Form 4 |
| 2025-07-02 | Ngai-Pesic Katherine S. | director | Gift | 7,000 | 10,448,886 | Form 4 |
| 2025-07-01 | Taheri Babak A. | director | Withheld for tax | 8,270 | 782,312 | Form 4 |
| 2025-07-01 | Guichard Eric | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,570 | 101,812 | Form 4 |
| 2025-07-01 | Jackson Candace | officer | Withheld for tax | 788 | 53,879 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.