SUNSSunrise Realty Trust, Inc.Real Estate · REIT - Mortgageas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $7.47 · now $7.47 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, SUNS has typically landed between $6.38 and $8.44 — a range of −14.6% to +13.0% from the issuance price $7.47.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

529 overlapping 1 month windows · 2024-07-09 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($7.47) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where SUNS has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $7.47 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$6.38worst · -14.6%$8.44best · +13.0%
  • now $7.47 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $7.37 (-1.3%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $7.01–$7.74
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $6.38–$8.44
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 529 windows spanning 2024-07-09 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2025-03-12−24.7%−24.7%+3.0%
2025-03-18−24.0%−25.0%+2.7%
2025-03-13−23.4%−23.7%+4.4%
3 best
2025-04-16+32.6%+0.0%+32.6%
2024-08-13+31.5%+0.0%+34.0%
2025-04-10+31.4%+0.0%+32.4%

529 overlapping windows · 2024-07-09 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~3 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
0%
−7.5%
n=2
Feb
50%
+0.5%
n=2
Mar
0%
−10.8%
n=2
Apr
0%
−2.5%
n=2
May
50%
+9.3%
n=2
Jun
50%
−3.3%
n=2
Jul
0%
−3.2%
n=2
Aug
67%
+7.8%
n=3
Sep
33%
−0.0%
n=3
Oct
0%
−4.8%
n=2
Nov
100%
+7.4%
n=2
Dec
0%
−4.9%
n=2

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$10$72026-08-13: 1 insider purchase, $375K — TANNENBAUM LEONARD M2026-08-12: 1 insider purchase, $5K — Hetzel Brandon2026-08-11: 1 insider purchase, $152K — TANNENBAUM LEONARD M2026-08-10: 1 insider purchase, $195K — TANNENBAUM LEONARD M2026-08-07: 1 insider purchase, $179K — TANNENBAUM LEONARD M2025-12-31: 1 insider purchase, $940K — TANNENBAUM LEONARD M2025-12-30: 1 insider purchase, $361K — TANNENBAUM LEONARD M2025-11-24: 1 insider purchase, $126K — TANNENBAUM LEONARD M2025-11-20: 1 insider purchase, $201K — TANNENBAUM LEONARD M2025-11-19: 1 insider purchase, $34K — TANNENBAUM LEONARD M2025-11-18: 1 insider purchase, $168K — TANNENBAUM LEONARD M2025-11-17: 1 insider purchase, $168K — TANNENBAUM LEONARD M2025-11-14: 1 insider purchase, $138K — TANNENBAUM LEONARD M2025-08-26: 1 insider purchase, $108K — TANNENBAUM LEONARD M2025-08-22: 1 insider purchase, $222K — TANNENBAUM LEONARD M2025-08-20: 1 insider purchase, $108K — TANNENBAUM LEONARD M2025-08-15: 1 insider purchase, $46K — TANNENBAUM LEONARD M2025-08-12: 1 insider purchase, $338K — TANNENBAUM LEONARD M2025-08: 6 open-market purchases, $1.0M2025-11: 6 open-market purchases, $836K2025-12: 2 open-market purchases, $1.3M2026-08: 5 open-market purchases, $906K↑ buys↓ salesdirector TANNENBAUM LEONARD M — Purchase on 2026-08-13, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Hetzel Brandon — Purchase on 2026-08-12, filed 1 day after the tradedirector TANNENBAUM LEONARD M — Purchase on 2026-08-11, filed 2 days after the tradedirector TANNENBAUM LEONARD M — Purchase on 2026-08-10, filed 1 day after the tradedirector TANNENBAUM LEONARD M — Purchase on 2026-08-07, filed 4 days after the tradedirector TANNENBAUM LEONARD M — Purchase on 2025-12-31, filed 2 days after the tradedirector TANNENBAUM LEONARD M — Purchase on 2025-12-30, filed 3 days after the tradedirector TANNENBAUM LEONARD M — Purchase on 2025-11-24, filed 2 days after the tradedirector TANNENBAUM LEONARD M — Purchase on 2025-11-20, filed same daydirector TANNENBAUM LEONARD M — Purchase on 2025-11-19, filed 1 day after the tradedirector TANNENBAUM LEONARD M — Purchase on 2025-11-18, filed 2 days after the tradedirector TANNENBAUM LEONARD M — Purchase on 2025-11-17, filed 1 day after the tradedirector TANNENBAUM LEONARD M — Purchase on 2025-11-14, filed 4 days after the tradedirector TANNENBAUM LEONARD M — Purchase on 2025-08-26, filed same daydirector TANNENBAUM LEONARD M — Purchase on 2025-08-22, filed 4 days after the tradedirector TANNENBAUM LEONARD M — Purchase on 2025-08-20, filed 1 day after the tradedirector TANNENBAUM LEONARD M — Purchase on 2025-08-15, filed 4 days after the tradedirector TANNENBAUM LEONARD M — Purchase on 2025-08-12, filed 1 day after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-08-13TANNENBAUM LEONARD MdirectorPurchase50,000 @ $7.50$375K+1.6% of holding+1.3%not yet — horizon still open3,142,719Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-08-12Hetzel BrandonofficerPurchase713 @ $7.58$5K+2.8% of holding−2.1%not yet — horizon still open26,000Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-11TANNENBAUM LEONARD MdirectorPurchase20,000 @ $7.60$152K+0.7% of holding−1.2%not yet — horizon still open3,092,719Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-10TANNENBAUM LEONARD MdirectorPurchase25,000 @ $7.79$195K+0.8% of holding−2.9%not yet — horizon still open3,072,719Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-07TANNENBAUM LEONARD MdirectorPurchase23,109 @ $7.73$179K+0.8% of holding−3.2%not yet — horizon still open3,047,719Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-12-31TANNENBAUM LEONARD MdirectorPurchase100,000 @ $9.40$940K+20.6% of holding−0.8%−16.9%585,681Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-12-30TANNENBAUM LEONARD MdirectorPurchase37,000 @ $9.77$361K+8.2% of holding−1.6%−16.0%485,681Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-11-24TANNENBAUM LEONARD MdirectorPurchase13,000 @ $9.72$126K+0.4% of holding−2.8%−19.1%3,011,226Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-11-20TANNENBAUM LEONARD MdirectorPurchase21,408 @ $9.39$201K+0.7% of holding+2.2%−18.3%2,998,226Form 4 · filed same day
2025-11-19TANNENBAUM LEONARD MdirectorPurchase3,592 @ $9.48$34K+0.1% of holding+1.6%−20.3%2,976,818Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-18TANNENBAUM LEONARD MdirectorPurchase17,790 @ $9.45$168K+0.6% of holding+6.6%−19.6%2,973,226Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-11-17TANNENBAUM LEONARD MdirectorPurchase17,500 @ $9.61$168K+0.6% of holding+6.6%−21.7%2,955,436Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-14TANNENBAUM LEONARD MdirectorPurchase14,710 @ $9.38$138K+0.5% of holding+5.2%−22.1%2,937,936Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-08-26TANNENBAUM LEONARD MdirectorPurchase10,000 @ $10.79$108K+0.3% of holding−4.7%−15.9%2,923,226Form 4 · filed same day
2025-08-22TANNENBAUM LEONARD MdirectorPurchase20,200 @ $11.00$222K+0.7% of holding−3.6%−18.0%2,913,226Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-08-20TANNENBAUM LEONARD MdirectorPurchase10,411 @ $10.42$108K+0.4% of holding−1.1%−16.3%2,893,026Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-08-15TANNENBAUM LEONARD MdirectorPurchase4,406 @ $10.50$46K+0.2% of holding+3.5%−13.0%2,882,615Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-08-12TANNENBAUM LEONARD MdirectorPurchase32,275 @ $10.48$338K+1.1% of holding+3.1%−16.6%2,878,209Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-08-11TANNENBAUM LEONARD MdirectorPurchase20,900 @ $10.17$213K+0.7% of holding+3.8%−14.9%2,845,934Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-06-16TANNENBAUM LEONARD MdirectorPurchase6,000 @ $10.86$65K+0.2% of holding−5.8%−15.3%2,825,034Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-06-03TANNENBAUM LEONARD MdirectorPurchase9,077 @ $10.88$99K+0.3% of holding+0.4%−20.9%2,819,034Form 4 · filed same day
2025-06-02TANNENBAUM LEONARD MdirectorPurchase28,500 @ $10.59$302K+6.8% of holding+3.3%−12.6%448,681Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-05-16TANNENBAUM LEONARD MdirectorPurchase14,741 @ $10.55$156K+0.5% of holding−3.0%−20.1%2,809,957Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-05-15TANNENBAUM LEONARD MdirectorPurchase10,000 @ $10.39$104K+0.4% of holding+3.0%−19.0%2,795,216Form 4 · filed same day
2025-05-08TANNENBAUM LEONARD MdirectorPurchase10,000 @ $10.48$105K+0.4% of holding−1.1%−26.3%2,785,216Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-04-30TANNENBAUM LEONARD MdirectorPurchase35,903 @ $10.53$378K+1.3% of holding−6.5%−30.1%2,775,216Form 4 · filed same day
2025-04-29TANNENBAUM LEONARD MdirectorPurchase10,000 @ $10.65$107K+0.4% of holding−4.9%−26.9%2,739,313Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-04-28TANNENBAUM LEONARD MdirectorPurchase5,122 @ $10.30$53K+0.2% of holding−2.8%−24.4%2,729,313Form 4 · filed same day
2025-04-25TANNENBAUM LEONARD MdirectorPurchase5,000 @ $10.00$50K+0.2% of holding−2.2%−20.0%2,724,191Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-04-24TANNENBAUM LEONARD MdirectorPurchase7,869 @ $9.99$79K+0.3% of holding−1.8%−20.7%2,719,191Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-03-31TANNENBAUM LEONARD MdirectorPurchase44,065 @ $10.89$480K+1.7% of holding−1.9%−20.6%2,711,322Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-03-28TANNENBAUM LEONARD MdirectorPurchase17,495 @ $11.17$195K+0.7% of holding−2.3%−16.7%2,667,257Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-03-26TANNENBAUM LEONARD MdirectorPurchase25,959 @ $11.25$292K+1.0% of holding−5.2%−18.0%2,649,762Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-03-19TANNENBAUM LEONARD MdirectorPurchase80,514 @ $11.26$907K+3.2% of holding−11.1%−8.7%2,623,803Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-03-17TANNENBAUM LEONARD MdirectorPurchase50,000 @ $11.03$552K+2.0% of holding−16.5%−9.6%2,543,289Form 4 · filed same day
2025-03-14TANNENBAUM LEONARD MdirectorPurchase24,007 @ $11.00$264K+1.0% of holding−16.7%−11.9%2,493,289Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-03-13TANNENBAUM LEONARD MdirectorPurchase25,000 @ $11.06$277K+1.0% of holding−20.5%−11.9%2,469,282Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-03-11TANNENBAUM LEONARD MdirectorPurchase10,000 @ $10.83$108K+0.4% of holding−16.4%−13.4%2,444,282Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-03-10TANNENBAUM LEONARD MdirectorPurchase69 @ $10.80$745+0.0% of holding−10.7%−10.8%2,434,282Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-03-07FRANK ALEXANDER CdirectorPurchase4,400 @ $11.30$50K+92.9% of holding−2.2%−9.1%9,137Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-01-29TANNENBAUM LEONARD MdirectorPurchase1,000,000 @ $12.00$12.0M+69.7% of holding+3.9%−16.6%2,434,213Form 4 · filed same day
2024-12-20Fagan James C.directorPurchase3,400 @ $13.18$45K+47.3% of holding−10.5%−17.6%10,593Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2024-12-19Fagan James C.directorPurchase619 @ $13.15$8K+9.4% of holding−15.7%−16.3%7,193Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2024-12-18TANNENBAUM LEONARD MdirectorPurchase39,000 @ $13.42$523K+2.9% of holding−18.3%−15.5%1,373,376Form 4 · filed same day
2024-12-17TANNENBAUM LEONARD MdirectorPurchase15,803 @ $13.47$213K+1.2% of holding−1.6%−13.1%1,334,376Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2024-12-16TANNENBAUM LEONARD MdirectorPurchase47,810 @ $13.39$640K+3.8% of holding+7.1%−15.4%1,318,573Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

13 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-02-19SEDRISH BRIANdirectorAward / grant14,27650,639Form 4
2026-02-19Tannenbaum RobynofficerAward / grant13,38446,516Form 4
2026-02-19TANNENBAUM LEONARD MdirectorAward / grant13,3843,024,610Form 4
2026-02-19Hetzel BrandonofficerAward / grant12,04525,287Form 4
2026-02-19Bond Jodi HansondirectorAward / grant1,07122,299Form 4
2026-02-19FRANK ALEXANDER CdirectorAward / grant1,07110,907Form 4
2026-02-19Fagan James C.directorAward / grant1,07111,664Form 4
2024-12-19TANNENBAUM LEONARD MdirectorAward / grant60,8371,434,213Form 4
2024-12-19Tannenbaum RobynofficerAward / grant7,60533,132Form 4
2024-12-19Hetzel BrandonofficerAward / grant5,70413,242Form 4
2024-12-19Bond Jodi HansondirectorAward / grant76121,228Form 4
2024-12-19FRANK ALEXANDER CdirectorAward / grant7614,737Form 4
2024-12-19Fagan James C.directorAward / grant7616,574Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.