Issued 2026-09-16 at $72.35 · now $72.35 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, SUNB has typically landed between $60.40 and $84.97 — a range of −16.5% to +17.4% from the issuance price $72.35.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
117 overlapping 1 month windows · 2026-03-02 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($72.35) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where SUNB has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $72.35 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $72.35 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $73.81 (+2.0%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $67.85–$79.78
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $60.4–$84.97
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2026-08-05 | −17.4% | −17.4% | +6.1% |
| 2026-08-04 | −16.6% | −16.6% | +5.4% |
| 2026-03-04 | −16.2% | −16.2% | +0.3% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2026-04-07 | +21.3% | +0.0% | +21.7% |
| 2026-04-01 | +19.3% | −2.1% | +19.3% |
| 2026-04-02 | +18.9% | +0.0% | +21.9% |
117 overlapping windows · 2026-03-02 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-09 | Washburn John | officer | Sale | 3,351 @ $72.50 | $243K | −4.6% of holding | +9.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 69,043 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-07-08 | Washburn John | officer | Sale | 3,351 @ $70.00 | $235K | −4.4% of holding | +13.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 72,394 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
160 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | JAMISON CYNTHIA T | director | Award / grant | 2,354 | 2,557 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | Singleton James Louis | director | Award / grant | 2,354 | 3,554 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | Singh-Bushell Ekta | director | Award / grant | 2,354 | 2,557 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | Singh-Bushell Ekta | director | Award / grant | 2,354 | 2,557 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | Easterbrook Jill | director | Award / grant | 2,354 | 3,433 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | Walker Paul Ashton | director | Award / grant | 2,354 | 17,392 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | Twite Roy | director | Award / grant | 2,354 | 4,963 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | Ribeiro Renata | director | Award / grant | 2,354 | 4,154 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | Cesarone Nando | director | Award / grant | 2,354 | 3,554 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | Singleton James Louis | director | Award / grant | 2,354 | 3,554 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | Twite Roy | director | Award / grant | 2,354 | 4,963 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | Cockburn Angus | director | Award / grant | 2,354 | 4,446 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | JAMISON CYNTHIA T | director | Award / grant | 2,354 | 2,557 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | Walker Paul Ashton | director | Award / grant | 2,354 | 17,392 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | Ribeiro Renata | director | Award / grant | 2,354 | 4,154 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | JAMISON CYNTHIA T | director | Award / grant | 2,354 | 2,557 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | Cockburn Angus | director | Award / grant | 2,354 | 4,446 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | Cesarone Nando | director | Award / grant | 2,354 | 3,554 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | Easterbrook Jill | director | Award / grant | 2,354 | 3,433 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | Walker Paul Ashton | director | Award / grant | 2,354 | 17,392 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | Twite Roy | director | Award / grant | 2,354 | 4,963 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | Cesarone Nando | director | Award / grant | 2,354 | 3,554 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | Singh-Bushell Ekta | director | Award / grant | 2,354 | 2,557 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | Easterbrook Jill | director | Award / grant | 2,354 | 3,433 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | Cesarone Nando | director | Award / grant | 2,354 | 3,554 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | Singleton James Louis | director | Award / grant | 2,354 | 3,554 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | Twite Roy | director | Award / grant | 2,354 | 4,963 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | Cockburn Angus | director | Award / grant | 2,354 | 4,446 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | Ribeiro Renata | director | Award / grant | 2,354 | 4,154 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | Walker Paul Ashton | director | Award / grant | 2,354 | 17,392 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | Singh-Bushell Ekta | director | Award / grant | 2,354 | 2,557 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | Singleton James Louis | director | Award / grant | 2,354 | 3,554 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | Ribeiro Renata | director | Award / grant | 2,354 | 4,154 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | JAMISON CYNTHIA T | director | Award / grant | 2,354 | 2,557 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | Easterbrook Jill | director | Award / grant | 2,354 | 3,433 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | Cockburn Angus | director | Award / grant | 2,354 | 4,446 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-31 | Walker Paul Ashton | director | Withheld for tax | 162 | 15,038 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-31 | Twite Roy | director | Withheld for tax | 141 | 2,609 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-31 | Easterbrook Jill | director | Withheld for tax | 121 | 1,079 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-31 | Cockburn Angus | director | Withheld for tax | 108 | 2,092 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.