Issued 2026-09-16 at $9.10 · now $9.10 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, SUJA has typically landed between $5.16 and $14.60 — a range of −43.3% to +60.4% from the issuance price $9.10.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
70 overlapping 1 month windows · 2026-05-07 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($9.10) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where SUJA has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $9.1 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $9.1 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $7.64 (-16.0%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $6.26–$9.03
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $5.16–$14.6
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2026-05-20 | −44.3% | −44.3% | +0.0% |
| 2026-07-07 | −43.3% | −43.3% | +5.8% |
| 2026-05-19 | −42.1% | −42.4% | +2.1% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2026-08-05 | +66.0% | −4.4% | +69.9% |
| 2026-08-06 | +65.5% | −7.6% | +65.5% |
| 2026-08-07 | +58.0% | −6.2% | +67.9% |
70 overlapping windows · 2026-05-07 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | PAINE SCHWARTZ FOOD CHAIN FUND V GP, LTD. | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 50,000 @ $9.90 | $495K | +0.4% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 11,921,253 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-09-04 | PAINE SCHWARTZ FOOD CHAIN FUND V GP, LTD. | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 125,000 @ $10.48 | $1.3M | +1.1% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 11,871,253 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-03 | PAINE SCHWARTZ FOOD CHAIN FUND V GP, LTD. | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 125,000 @ $10.57 | $1.3M | +1.1% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 11,746,253 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-02 | PAINE SCHWARTZ FOOD CHAIN FUND V GP, LTD. | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 175,000 @ $10.26 | $1.8M | +1.5% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 11,621,253 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-09-01 | PAINE SCHWARTZ FOOD CHAIN FUND V GP, LTD. | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 175,000 @ $10.44 | $1.8M | +1.6% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 11,446,253 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-31 | PAINE SCHWARTZ FOOD CHAIN FUND V GP, LTD. | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 175,000 @ $10.10 | $1.8M | +1.6% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 11,271,253 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-28 | PAINE SCHWARTZ FOOD CHAIN FUND V GP, LTD. | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 185,000 @ $9.33 | $1.7M | +1.7% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 11,096,253 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-08-27 | PAINE SCHWARTZ FOOD CHAIN FUND V GP, LTD. | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 233,624 @ $9.12 | $2.1M | +2.2% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 10,911,253 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-26 | PAINE SCHWARTZ FOOD CHAIN FUND V GP, LTD. | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 233,624 @ $9.59 | $2.2M | +2.2% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 10,677,629 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-25 | PAINE SCHWARTZ FOOD CHAIN FUND V GP, LTD. | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 233,624 @ $9.21 | $2.2M | +2.3% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 10,444,005 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-08-24 | PAINE SCHWARTZ FOOD CHAIN FUND V GP, LTD. | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 233,624 @ $8.84 | $2.1M | +2.3% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 10,210,381 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-21 | PAINE SCHWARTZ FOOD CHAIN FUND V GP, LTD. | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 189,300 @ $7.96 | $1.5M | +1.9% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 9,976,757 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-20 | PAINE SCHWARTZ FOOD CHAIN FUND V GP, LTD. | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 189,300 @ $7.63 | $1.4M | +2.0% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 9,787,457 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-08-19 | PAINE SCHWARTZ FOOD CHAIN FUND V GP, LTD. | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 189,300 @ $7.11 | $1.3M | +2.0% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 9,598,157 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-18 | PAINE SCHWARTZ FOOD CHAIN FUND V GP, LTD. | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 189,300 @ $6.73 | $1.3M | +2.1% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 9,408,857 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-17 | PAINE SCHWARTZ FOOD CHAIN FUND V GP, LTD. | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 175,185 @ $6.49 | $1.1M | +1.9% of holding | +39.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 9,219,557 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-08-14 | PAINE SCHWARTZ FOOD CHAIN FUND V GP, LTD. | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 111,929 @ $6.43 | $720K | +1.3% of holding | +43.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 9,044,372 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-13 | PAINE SCHWARTZ FOOD CHAIN FUND V GP, LTD. | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 111,929 @ $6.27 | $702K | +1.3% of holding | +43.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 8,932,443 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-12 | PAINE SCHWARTZ FOOD CHAIN FUND V GP, LTD. | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 111,929 @ $6.13 | $686K | +1.3% of holding | +51.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 8,820,514 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-08-11 | PAINE SCHWARTZ FOOD CHAIN FUND V GP, LTD. | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 108,440 @ $6.09 | $660K | +1.3% of holding | +57.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 8,708,585 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-10 | PAINE SCHWARTZ FOOD CHAIN FUND V GP, LTD. | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 111,929 @ $6.43 | $720K | +1.3% of holding | +42.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 8,600,145 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-10 | Box Michael | officer | Purchase | 2,500 @ $6.43 | $16K | +2.5% of holding | +42.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 102,250 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
9 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-08 | Box Michael | officer | Award / grant | 99,750 | 99,750 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-08 | CORBACHO ALEXANDER | director | Award / grant | 4,761 | 4,761 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-08 | Partin Mark | director | Award / grant | 4,761 | 4,761 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-08 | Papadellis Randy | director | Award / grant | 4,761 | 96,057 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-08 | DeBorde Robert | director | Award / grant | 4,761 | 278,216 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-08 | Pedersen Jeff | officer | Award / grant | 99,750 | 99,750 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-08 | SCHWARTZ KEVIN | director | Award / grant | 4,761 | 4,761 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-08 | VRABECK KATHY P | director | Award / grant | 4,761 | 4,761 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-08 | Stipp Maria D | director | Award / grant | 132,374 | 132,374 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.