SUISun Communities, Inc.Real Estate · REIT - Residentialas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $114.89 · now $114.89 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, SUI has typically landed between $102.30 and $125.62 — a range of −11.0% to +9.3% from the issuance price $114.89.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($114.89) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where SUI has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $114.89 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$102.3worst · -11.0%$125.62best · +9.3%
  • now $114.89 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $114.86 (-0.0%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $110.54–$119.18
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $102.3–$125.62
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,003 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2009-02-03−43.3%−43.3%+5.2%
2020-02-21−41.0%−41.0%+0.0%
2008-09-11−38.1%−38.1%+4.9%
3 best
2009-03-05+93.7%+0.0%+93.7%
2009-03-09+80.2%+0.0%+82.6%
2009-03-06+79.3%−1.8%+79.3%

5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
55%
+1.2%
n=20
Feb
60%
+0.7%
n=20
Mar
50%
+2.9%
n=20
Apr
65%
+3.1%
n=20
May
70%
+0.6%
n=20
Jun
55%
+0.1%
n=20
Jul
70%
+4.4%
n=20
Aug
55%
+1.5%
n=20
Sep
50%
−0.3%
n=20
Oct
45%
+0.8%
n=20
Nov
50%
−2.0%
n=20
Dec
65%
+2.7%
n=20

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$135$1142026-06-24: 1 insider sale, $3.0M — SHIFFMAN GARY A2026-05-26: 2 insider sales, $3.0M — Castro-Caratini Fernando …2026-03-05: 2 insider sales, $953K — LEWIS CLUNET R …2026-02-27: 2 insider sales, $956K — LEWIS CLUNET R …2025-12-17: 1 insider sale, $19.4M — SHIFFMAN GARY A2025-11-10: 2 insider sales, $505K — LEWIS CLUNET R …2025-11: 2 open-market sales, $505K2025-12: 1 open-market sale, $19.4M2026-02: 2 open-market sales, $956K2026-03: 2 open-market sales, $953K2026-05: 2 open-market sales, $3.0M2026-06: 1 open-market sale, $3.0M↑ buys↓ salesdirector SHIFFMAN GARY A — Sale on 2026-06-24, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Castro-Caratini Fernando — Sale on 2026-05-26, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Castro-Caratini Fernando — Sale on 2026-05-26, filed 1 day after the tradedirector LEWIS CLUNET R — Sale on 2026-03-05, filed 1 day after the tradedirector LEWIS CLUNET R — Sale on 2026-03-05, filed 1 day after the tradedirector LEWIS CLUNET R — Sale on 2026-02-27, filed 4 days after the tradedirector LEWIS CLUNET R — Sale on 2026-02-27, filed 4 days after the tradedirector SHIFFMAN GARY A — Sale on 2025-12-17, filed 1 day after the tradedirector LEWIS CLUNET R — Sale on 2025-11-10, filed 2 days after the tradedirector LEWIS CLUNET R — Sale on 2025-11-10, filed 2 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-06-24SHIFFMAN GARY AdirectorSale25,031 @ $119.96$3.0M−2.8% of holding+1.8%not yet — horizon still open857,761Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-26Castro-Caratini FernandoofficerSale21,261 @ $124.37$2.6M−63.0% of holding−3.1%not yet — horizon still open12,487Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-26Castro-Caratini FernandoofficerSale2,489 @ $124.97$311K−19.9% of holding−3.1%not yet — horizon still open9,998Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-05LEWIS CLUNET RdirectorSale3,800 @ $136.01$517K−18.4% of holding−2.6%−24.8%16,817Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-05LEWIS CLUNET RdirectorSale3,200 @ $136.15$436K−100.0% of holding−2.6%−24.8%0Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-27LEWIS CLUNET RdirectorSale5,000 @ $136.66$683K−19.5% of holding+0.1%−21.0%20,617Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-02-27LEWIS CLUNET RdirectorSale2,000 @ $136.13$272K−7.2% of holding+0.1%−21.0%25,617Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-12-17SHIFFMAN GARY AdirectorSale156,875 @ $123.53$19.4M−100.0% of holding+1.1%−14.8%0Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-10LEWIS CLUNET RdirectorSale2,900 @ $126.22$366K−9.7% of holding−3.9%−9.1%27,100Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-11-10LEWIS CLUNET RdirectorSale1,100 @ $126.29$139K−4.1% of holding−3.9%−9.1%26,000Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-05-23Blau JeffdirectorPurchase3,665 @ $117.99$432Kownership Δ n/a+0.7%−5.8%3,665Form 4 · filed 17 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

127 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-09-08Garechana RobertofficerAward / grant6,3746,374Form 4
2026-09-08Garechana RobertofficerAward / grant16,25516,255Form 4
2026-07-21Weiss AaronofficerWithheld for tax2,65262,227Form 4
2026-07-21Farrugia MarcofficerWithheld for tax1,23446,891Form 4
2026-07-21McLaren John BandiniofficerWithheld for tax41875,100Form 4
2026-07-21Loftus Brian PofficerWithheld for tax21415,282Form 4
2026-06-29McAlary IleanaofficerAward / grant2,7222,722Form 4
2026-06-29McAlary IleanaofficerAward / grant6,9056,905Form 4
2026-05-26McLaren John BandiniofficerGift91075,518Form 4
2026-05-26McLaren John BandiniofficerGift20976,428Form 4
2026-03-27Young Charles D.directorAward / grant14,33477,477Form 4
2026-03-27Weiss AaronofficerAward / grant5,25664,879Form 4
2026-03-27Farrugia MarcofficerAward / grant4,77851,274Form 4
2026-03-27McLaren John BandiniofficerAward / grant2,38976,637Form 4
2026-03-27Young Charles D.directorAward / grant28,15128,151Form 4
2026-03-27McLaren John BandiniofficerAward / grant4,6904,690Form 4
2026-03-27Weiss AaronofficerAward / grant10,32110,321Form 4
2026-03-27Farrugia MarcofficerAward / grant9,3829,382Form 4
2026-03-17McLaren John BandiniofficerWithheld for tax87274,248Form 4
2026-03-12Loftus Brian PofficerAward / grant5,18515,496Form 4
2026-03-12Farrugia MarcofficerAward / grant296939Form 4
2026-03-09Castro-Caratini FernandoofficerWithheld for tax7,85833,748Form 4
2026-03-09Weiss AaronofficerWithheld for tax1,34459,623Form 4
2026-03-09Thelen BruceofficerWithheld for tax56054,687Form 4
2026-03-09Farrugia MarcofficerWithheld for tax56046,496Form 4
2026-03-09Loftus Brian PofficerWithheld for tax17210,311Form 4
2026-03-09Farrugia MarcofficerWithheld for tax19643Form 4
2026-03-05Farrugia MarcofficerWithheld for tax69947,056Form 4
2026-03-05Farrugia MarcofficerWithheld for tax9662Form 4
2026-03-04Weiss AaronofficerWithheld for tax1,15460,967Form 4
2026-03-04Thelen BruceofficerWithheld for tax63555,247Form 4
2026-03-04Farrugia MarcofficerWithheld for tax56047,755Form 4
2026-03-04Farrugia MarcofficerWithheld for tax19671Form 4
2026-03-02Farrugia MarcofficerWithheld for tax17690Form 4
2026-02-24Weiss AaronofficerWithheld for tax1,52962,121Form 4
2026-02-24Thelen BruceofficerWithheld for tax1,02555,882Form 4
2026-02-24Farrugia MarcofficerWithheld for tax93248,315Form 4
2026-02-24Farrugia MarcofficerWithheld for tax8707Form 4
2026-02-23McLaren John BandiniofficerWithheld for tax87275,120Form 4
2026-02-11Thelen BruceofficerWithheld for tax31756,907Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.