STRZStarz Entertainment Corp.Communication Services · Entertainmentas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $26.28 · now $26.28 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, STRZ has typically landed between $20.59 and $42.58 — a range of −21.6% to +62.0% from the issuance price $26.28.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

321 overlapping 1 month windows · 2025-05-07 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($26.28) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where STRZ has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $26.28 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$20.59worst · -21.6%$42.58best · +62.0%
  • now $26.28 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $26.5 (+0.8%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $23.05–$29.95
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $20.59–$42.58
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 321 windows spanning 2025-05-07 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2025-09-30−28.7%−28.7%+0.0%
2025-10-02−28.3%−28.3%+0.0%
2025-10-01−27.2%−28.0%+0.5%
3 best
2026-02-09+74.2%−4.2%+74.2%
2026-02-05+72.4%+0.0%+76.9%
2026-02-04+69.8%−4.0%+69.8%

321 overlapping windows · 2025-05-07 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~2 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
0%
−14.6%
n=1
Feb
100%
+10.1%
n=1
Mar
100%
+4.5%
n=1
Apr
100%
+59.5%
n=1
May
100%
+27.5%
n=1
Jun
50%
+0.1%
n=2
Jul
0%
−9.6%
n=2
Aug
50%
−5.2%
n=2
Sep
50%
+7.3%
n=2
Oct
0%
−28.6%
n=1
Nov
100%
+4.4%
n=1
Dec
100%
+6.7%
n=1

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$30$92026-08-13: 2 insider sales, $288K — Hoffman Alison …2026-08-12: 2 insider sales, $520K — Hoffman Alison …2026-08-10: 2 insider purchases, $274K — Hirsch Jeffrey, Kapenstein James M.2026-06-02: 1 insider sale, $71K — Wyrick Jason2026-05-14: 3 insider sales, $293K — Hoffman Alison …2026-05-12: 2 insider purchases, $310K — Hirsch Jeffrey, MACDONALD SCOTT D2026-03-06: 1 insider sale, $25.0M — Liberty 77 Capital L.P.2025-12-10: 2 insider sales, $731K — BURNS MICHAEL RAYMOND …2025-12-09: 1 insider sale, $320K — BURNS MICHAEL RAYMOND2025-11-18: 2 insider purchases, $336K — Hirsch Jeffrey …2025-08-21: 1 insider purchase, $105K — SLOAN HARRY2025-08-20: 1 insider purchase, $14K — SLOAN HARRY2025-08-19: 3 insider purchases, $338K — Hirsch Jeffrey, SLOAN HARRY, Mann Bruce2025-08: 5 open-market purchases, $457K2025-11: 2 open-market purchases, $336K2025-12: 3 open-market sales, $1.1M2026-03: 1 open-market sale, $25.0M2026-05: 2 open-market purchases, $310K2026-05: 3 open-market sales, $293K2026-06: 1 open-market sale, $71K2026-08: 2 open-market purchases, $274K2026-08: 4 open-market sales, $808K↑ buys↓ salesofficer Hoffman Alison — Sale on 2026-08-13, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Hoffman Alison — Sale on 2026-08-13, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Hoffman Alison — Sale on 2026-08-12, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Hoffman Alison — Sale on 2026-08-12, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Hirsch Jeffrey — Purchase on 2026-08-10, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Kapenstein James M. — Purchase on 2026-08-10, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Wyrick Jason — Sale on 2026-06-02, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Hoffman Alison — Sale on 2026-05-14, filed same dayofficer Hoffman Alison — Sale on 2026-05-14, filed same dayofficer Hoffman Alison — Sale on 2026-05-14, filed same daydirector Hirsch Jeffrey — Purchase on 2026-05-12, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer MACDONALD SCOTT D — Purchase on 2026-05-12, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Liberty 77 Capital L.P. — Sale on 2026-03-06, filed same daydirector BURNS MICHAEL RAYMOND — Sale on 2025-12-10, filed 1 day after the tradedirector BURNS MICHAEL RAYMOND — Sale on 2025-12-10, filed 1 day after the tradedirector BURNS MICHAEL RAYMOND — Sale on 2025-12-09, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Hirsch Jeffrey — Purchase on 2025-11-18, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Hirsch Jeffrey — Purchase on 2025-11-18, filed 1 day after the tradedirector SLOAN HARRY — Purchase on 2025-08-21, filed same daydirector SLOAN HARRY — Purchase on 2025-08-20, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Hirsch Jeffrey — Purchase on 2025-08-19, filed same daydirector SLOAN HARRY — Purchase on 2025-08-19, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Mann Bruce — Purchase on 2025-08-19, filed 1 day after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-08-13Hoffman AlisonofficerSale10,455 @ $24.97$261K−17.7% of holding+3.1%not yet — horizon still open48,477Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-13Hoffman AlisonofficerSale1,036 @ $26.09$27K−2.1% of holding+3.1%not yet — horizon still open47,441Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-12Hoffman AlisonofficerSale20,400 @ $24.97$509K−25.6% of holding+4.5%not yet — horizon still open59,332Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-12Hoffman AlisonofficerSale400 @ $25.57$10K−0.7% of holding+4.5%not yet — horizon still open58,932Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-10Hirsch JeffreydirectorPurchase10,000 @ $24.80$248K+18.2% of holding+5.6%not yet — horizon still open65,000Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-10Kapenstein James M.officerPurchase1,000 @ $25.73$26K+8.8% of holding+5.6%not yet — horizon still open12,302Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-06-02Wyrick JasonofficerSale2,803 @ $25.47$71K−9.3% of holding+12.2%not yet — horizon still open27,241Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-14Hoffman AlisonofficerSale11,664 @ $21.27$248K−10.8% of holding+27.4%not yet — horizon still open96,416Form 4 · filed same day
2026-05-14Hoffman AlisonofficerSale1,697 @ $22.18$38K−1.8% of holding+27.4%not yet — horizon still open94,719Form 4 · filed same day
2026-05-14Hoffman AlisonofficerSale300 @ $23.14$7K−0.3% of holding+27.4%not yet — horizon still open94,419Form 4 · filed same day
2026-05-12Hirsch JeffreydirectorPurchase10,000 @ $20.72$207K+22.2% of holding+39.1%not yet — horizon still open55,000Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-12MACDONALD SCOTT DofficerPurchase5,000 @ $20.59$103K+36.3% of holding+39.1%not yet — horizon still open18,757Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-03-06Liberty 77 Capital L.P.directorSale1,803,786 @ $13.86$25.0M−100.0% of holding−12.0%+60.6%0Form 4 · filed same day
2025-12-10BURNS MICHAEL RAYMONDdirectorSale61,778 @ $11.38$703K−43.5% of holding−6.5%+128.3%80,157Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-12-10BURNS MICHAEL RAYMONDdirectorSale2,388 @ $11.76$28K−3.0% of holding−6.5%+128.3%77,769Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-12-09BURNS MICHAEL RAYMONDdirectorSale30,000 @ $10.68$320K−17.4% of holding+0.4%+154.9%141,935Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-11-18Hirsch JeffreydirectorPurchase22,172 @ $11.40$253K+12.6% of holding−1.0%+74.5%198,690Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-18Hirsch JeffreydirectorPurchase7,828 @ $10.69$84K+4.6% of holding−1.0%+74.5%176,518Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-08-21SLOAN HARRYdirectorPurchase8,100 @ $12.98$105K+23.7% of holding+6.2%−40.0%42,260Form 4 · filed same day
2025-08-20SLOAN HARRYdirectorPurchase1,082 @ $12.71$14K+3.3% of holding+2.4%−40.4%34,160Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-08-19Hirsch JeffreydirectorPurchase15,000 @ $12.78$192K+9.8% of holding+3.5%−36.4%168,690Form 4 · filed same day
2025-08-19SLOAN HARRYdirectorPurchase6,614 @ $12.55$83K+25.0% of holding+3.5%−36.4%33,078Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-08-19Mann BrucedirectorPurchase5,000 @ $12.67$63K+81.8% of holding+3.5%−36.4%11,112Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-06-13Mann BrucedirectorPurchase2,500 @ $17.05$43Kownership Δ n/a−10.5%−44.1%2,500Form 4 · filed same day
2025-06-13Mann BrucedirectorPurchase2,500 @ $16.49$41K+100.0% of holding−10.5%−44.1%5,000Form 4 · filed same day
2025-06-05SIMMONS HARDWICKdirectorPurchase8,501 @ $16.35$139K+33.6% of holding−11.5%−53.9%33,832Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-06-03Sapan Joshua WdirectorPurchase3,000 @ $17.82$53K+120.0% of holding−17.8%−53.6%5,500Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-06-03Sapan Joshua WdirectorPurchase2,500 @ $18.18$45Kownership Δ n/a−17.8%−53.6%2,500Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-06-02Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc.otherSale353,334 @ $14.15$5.0M−100.0% of holding−23.3%−57.0%0Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-06-02RACHESKY MARK H MDdirectorPurchase312,140 @ $14.15$4.4M+196.3% of holding−23.3%−57.0%471,153Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-06-02RACHESKY MARK H MDdirectorPurchase41,194 @ $14.15$583K+199.1% of holding−23.3%−57.0%61,886Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

145 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-09-14BURNS MICHAEL RAYMONDdirectorAward / grant13,47691,245Form 4
2026-08-04Hirsch JeffreydirectorWithheld for tax19,533491,111Form 4
2026-08-04Hirsch JeffreydirectorWithheld for tax9,804469,782Form 4
2026-08-04Hoffman AlisonofficerWithheld for tax4,27479,732Form 4
2026-08-04MACDONALD SCOTT DofficerWithheld for tax2,59758,030Form 4
2026-08-04Hoffman AlisonofficerWithheld for tax2,14575,066Form 4
2026-08-04MACDONALD SCOTT DofficerWithheld for tax1,30354,692Form 4
2026-08-04Wyrick JasonofficerWithheld for tax88826,554Form 4
2026-08-04Wyrick JasonofficerWithheld for tax44624,355Form 4
2026-08-04Hoffman AlisonofficerAward / grant8,94084,006Form 4
2026-08-04Wyrick JasonofficerAward / grant3,08727,442Form 4
2026-08-04MACDONALD SCOTT DofficerAward / grant5,93560,627Form 4
2026-08-04Hirsch JeffreydirectorAward / grant40,862510,644Form 4
2026-07-28Sapan Joshua WdirectorAward / grant1,26517,065Form 4
2026-07-28SIMMONS HARDWICKdirectorAward / grant1,26545,397Form 4
2026-07-28Wilson Royce E.directorAward / grant9739,519Form 4
2026-07-28FINE EMILYdirectorAward / grant1,94616,134Form 4
2026-07-28RACHESKY MARK H MDdirectorAward / grant1,94624,080Form 4
2026-07-28Clyburn Mignon LdirectorAward / grant97327,907Form 4
2026-07-28Gersh LisadirectorAward / grant2,33615,861Form 4
2026-07-28Hirsch JeffreydirectorAward / grant112,146479,586Form 4
2026-07-03Hirsch JeffreydirectorWithheld for tax23,866367,440Form 4
2026-07-03Hoffman AlisonofficerWithheld for tax10,44177,211Form 4
2026-07-03MACDONALD SCOTT DofficerWithheld for tax5,45855,995Form 4
2026-07-03Wyrick JasonofficerWithheld for tax1,15324,801Form 4
2026-07-01Hirsch JeffreydirectorWithheld for tax16,048391,307Form 4
2026-07-01Hoffman AlisonofficerWithheld for tax6,76787,652Form 4
2026-07-01MACDONALD SCOTT DofficerWithheld for tax4,22361,453Form 4
2026-07-01Wyrick JasonofficerWithheld for tax1,28625,953Form 4
2026-06-17Kapenstein James M.officerAward / grant11,30211,302Form 4
2026-06-02Wyrick JasonofficerOption exercise2,80330,044Form 4
2026-06-02Wyrick JasonofficerOption exercise2,8030Form 4
2026-05-15Gersh LisadirectorAward / grant6,48813,525Form 4
2026-05-15SIMMONS HARDWICKdirectorAward / grant6,48844,132Form 4
2026-05-15Clyburn Mignon LdirectorAward / grant6,48826,934Form 4
2026-05-15Sapan Joshua WdirectorAward / grant6,48815,800Form 4
2026-05-15RACHESKY MARK H MDdirectorAward / grant6,4886,488Form 4
2026-05-15Arani RamindirectorAward / grant6,4886,488Form 4
2026-05-15Wilson Royce E.directorAward / grant6,4888,546Form 4
2026-05-15FINE EMILYdirectorAward / grant6,4886,488Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.