STRT · TickerCove

STRTStrattec Security CorporationConsumer Cyclical · Auto - Partsas of 2026-09-16

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $68.53 · now $68.53 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, STRT has typically landed between $56.75 and $86.87 — a range of −17.2% to +26.8% from the issuance price $68.53.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-25 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($68.53) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$68.53 · 24% of range

$61.36 low$90.91 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-09-16 — factual context, not a signal.

Base rate up · monthiClimatology base rate that a US-listed stock rises over a month, with its 90% CI and ≈1,408 effective observations. Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

53.9%

90% CI 51.7%–56.1%

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

+0.1%

typical move · IQR 14.8%

−17.2%worst (p90)+26.8%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

0 open-market sales

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

0 buys · 0 sells · 0 members

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where STRT has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $68.53 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $68.53 (+0.0%)
typical $68.58 (+0.1%)
middle 50% $63.5–$73.66
90% range $56.75–$86.87

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,003 windows spanning 2006-09-25 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2020-02-21	−52.4%	−52.4%	+0.0%
2020-02-20	−49.2%	−49.2%	+0.0%
2009-01-06	−46.8%	−49.8%	+0.0%
3 best
2009-04-01	+78.5%	+0.0%	+78.5%
2009-04-03	+76.7%	+0.0%	+76.7%
2009-04-02	+73.9%	+0.0%	+74.0%

5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-25 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month i

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.

Jan

50%

−1.9%

n=20

Feb

60%

+2.3%

n=20

Mar

50%

−2.1%

n=20

Apr

40%

+2.2%

n=20

May

50%

+2.2%

n=20

Jun

30%

−2.3%

n=20

Jul

65%

+5.0%

n=20

Aug

30%

−2.4%

n=20

Sep

60%

+2.4%

n=20

Oct

60%

+4.9%

n=20

Nov

65%

+4.5%

n=20

Dec

45%

+0.5%

n=20

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing
2026-05-13	Slater Jennifer Lynn	director	Purchase	801 @ $62.46	$50K	+1.4% of holding	+27.3%	not yet — horizon still open	57,924	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-12	Pauli Matthew	officer	Purchase	2,000 @ $62.53	$125K	ownership Δ n/a	+25.6%	not yet — horizon still open	2,000	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-12	LIEBAU FREDERIC JACK JR	director	Purchase	1,000 @ $61.37	$61K	+14.8% of holding	+25.6%	not yet — horizon still open	7,748	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-12	Slater Jennifer Lynn	director	Purchase	797 @ $62.71	$50K	+1.4% of holding	+25.6%	not yet — horizon still open	57,123	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-11-17	Messina Richard P	officer	Sale	3,000 @ $66.35	$199K	−20.5% of holding	+22.0%	−2.5%	11,624	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-08-28	Guillot Rolando	officer	Sale	22,890 @ $65.86	$1.5M	−80.5% of holding	−2.3%	+25.6%	5,541	Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2025-02-26	Guillot Rolando	officer	Sale	3,143 @ $50.00	$157K	−7.9% of holding	−13.4%	+24.3%	36,443	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-02-26	Guillot Rolando	officer	Sale	357 @ $51.00	$18K	−1.0% of holding	−13.4%	+24.3%	36,790	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2024-12-10	GAMCO INVESTORS, INC. ET AL	tenPercentOwner	Sale	200 @ $41.77	$8K	−40.0% of holding	−4.9%	+38.9%	300	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

33 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Owned after	Filing
2026-09-01	Becker-Varto Chey	officer	Award / grant	1,498	2,954	Form 4
2026-09-01	Slater Jennifer Lynn	director	Award / grant	9,296	36,344	Form 4
2026-09-01	Slater Jennifer Lynn	director	Award / grant	9,296	59,695	Form 4
2026-09-01	Pauli Matthew	officer	Award / grant	3,090	6,606	Form 4
2026-09-01	Pauli Matthew	officer	Award / grant	3,090	10,432	Form 4
2026-09-01	Denis James	officer	Award / grant	1,721	1,721	Form 4
2026-09-01	Becker-Varto Chey	officer	Award / grant	1,498	3,202	Form 4
2026-08-22	Slater Jennifer Lynn	director	Withheld for tax	1,594	50,399	Form 4
2026-08-22	Becker-Varto Chey	officer	Withheld for tax	248	1,456	Form 4
2026-08-22	Pauli Matthew	officer	Withheld for tax	551	7,342	Form 4
2026-07-01	Slater Jennifer Lynn	director	Withheld for tax	5,931	51,993	Form 4
2025-11-13	Pauli Matthew	officer	Withheld for tax	814	7,893	Form 4
2025-10-25	Slater Jennifer Lynn	director	Withheld for tax	2,645	56,326	Form 4
2025-10-15	FLORSHEIM THOMAS W JR	director	Award / grant	1,243	19,698	Form 4
2025-10-15	Anversa Matteo	director	Award / grant	1,243	3,450	Form 4
2025-10-15	LISMAN BRUCE M	director	Award / grant	1,243	9,748	Form 4
2025-10-15	Chang Tina M	director	Award / grant	1,243	8,998	Form 4
2025-10-15	LIEBAU FREDERIC JACK JR	director	Award / grant	1,243	6,748	Form 4
2025-09-30	Guillot Rolando	officer	Withheld for tax	1,359	4,182	Form 4
2025-08-23	Guillot Rolando	officer	Withheld for tax	453	28,431	Form 4
2025-08-23	Messina Richard P	officer	Withheld for tax	320	13,190	Form 4
2025-08-22	Messina Richard P	officer	Award / grant	804	13,994	Form 4
2025-08-22	Becker-Varto Chey	officer	Award / grant	1,704	1,704	Form 4
2025-08-22	Guillot Rolando	officer	Withheld for tax	453	28,884	Form 4
2025-08-22	Messina Richard P	officer	Withheld for tax	320	13,510	Form 4
2025-08-22	Pauli Matthew	officer	Award / grant	3,516	3,516	Form 4
2025-08-22	Slater Jennifer Lynn	director	Award / grant	10,170	27,048	Form 4
2025-08-22	Slater Jennifer Lynn	director	Award / grant	10,170	64,902	Form 4
2025-08-22	Messina Richard P	officer	Award / grant	804	804	Form 4
2025-08-22	Pauli Matthew	officer	Award / grant	3,516	8,707	Form 4
2025-08-20	Guillot Rolando	officer	Withheld for tax	453	29,337	Form 4
2025-08-20	Messina Richard P	officer	Withheld for tax	320	13,830	Form 4
2025-07-01	Slater Jennifer Lynn	director	Withheld for tax	5,931	48,801	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Resolves in i

27d remaining

2026-09-174% elapsed2026-10-15

Logged immutably 2026-09-17; scored automatically on 2026-10-15 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

Reported insider & political trades

Congressional disclosures

Seasonality · by month i