STRA · TickerCove

STRAStrategic Education, Inc.Consumer Defensive · Education & Training Servicesas of 2026-09-16

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $81.51 · now $81.51 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, STRA has typically landed between $70.79 and $93.41 — a range of −13.1% to +14.6% from the issuance price $81.51.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($81.51) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$81.51 · 62% of range

$71.64 low$87.62 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-09-16 — factual context, not a signal.

Base rate up · monthiClimatology base rate that a US-listed stock rises over a month, with its 90% CI and ≈1,408 effective observations. Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

53.9%

90% CI 51.7%–56.1%

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

+0.9%

typical move · IQR 11.7%

−13.1%worst (p90)+14.6%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

0 open-market sales

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

0 buys · 0 sells · 0 members

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where STRA has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $81.51 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $81.51 (+0.0%)
typical $82.27 (+0.9%)
middle 50% $77.5–$87.05
90% range $70.79–$93.41

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,003 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2011-07-22	−40.8%	−40.8%	+0.8%
2010-08-02	−39.3%	−39.3%	+0.0%
2011-07-25	−38.2%	−40.9%	+0.6%
3 best
2016-10-20	+57.7%	+0.0%	+57.7%
2016-10-24	+56.6%	+0.0%	+56.6%
2016-10-25	+55.9%	+0.0%	+55.9%

5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month i

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.

Jan

70%

+0.5%

n=20

Feb

35%

−0.8%

n=20

Mar

60%

+1.6%

n=20

Apr

45%

+1.3%

n=20

May

50%

+2.9%

n=20

Jun

55%

+0.9%

n=20

Jul

45%

−0.7%

n=20

Aug

40%

−3.5%

n=20

Sep

35%

−1.4%

n=20

Oct

45%

+1.1%

n=20

Nov

65%

+5.4%

n=20

Dec

50%

+0.2%

n=20

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing
2026-06-04	Hokenson Christa	officer	Sale	2,000 @ $80.00	$160K	−3.0% of holding	+5.2%	not yet — horizon still open	65,195	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-05	WAITE G THOMAS III	director	Sale	666 @ $77.68	$52K	−3.8% of holding	−1.8%	not yet — horizon still open	16,696	Form 4 · filed same day
2026-04-24	Thawley Michael	director	Purchase	665 @ $72.71	$48K	+5.8% of holding	+1.5%	not yet — horizon still open	12,154	Form 4 · filed same day
2026-03-18	HERRAIZ LIZETTE BENEDI	officer	Sale	2,982 @ $79.88	$238K	−5.1% of holding	−4.2%	not yet — horizon still open	55,580	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-03-13	HERRAIZ LIZETTE BENEDI	officer	Sale	4,912 @ $80.20	$394K	−7.7% of holding	−6.9%	−12.3%	58,562	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-03-13	HERRAIZ LIZETTE BENEDI	officer	Sale	2,686 @ $79.54	$214K	−4.1% of holding	−6.9%	−12.3%	63,474	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-03-13	SILBERMAN ROBERT S	director	Purchase	718 @ $80.82	$58K	+0.2% of holding	−6.9%	−12.3%	319,870	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-03-02	JACKSON DANIEL WAYNE	officer	Sale	5,675 @ $81.73	$464K	−5.0% of holding	+4.0%	−12.8%	107,421	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-02	JACKSON DANIEL WAYNE	officer	Sale	5,273 @ $82.51	$435K	−4.9% of holding	+4.0%	−12.8%	102,148	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-02	JACKSON DANIEL WAYNE	officer	Sale	2,052 @ $83.75	$172K	−2.0% of holding	+4.0%	−12.8%	100,096	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-24	MCDONNELL RAYMOND KARL	director	Sale	20,788 @ $75.55	$1.6M	−16.4% of holding	+15.7%	+3.8%	106,332	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-24	MCDONNELL RAYMOND KARL	director	Sale	18,052 @ $75.12	$1.4M	−12.4% of holding	+15.7%	+3.8%	127,120	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-12-11	GRUSKY ROBERT R	director	Sale	1,403 @ $80.03	$112K	−12.4% of holding	+2.5%	−17.3%	9,946	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-08-29	JACKSON DANIEL WAYNE	officer	Purchase	1,900 @ $81.50	$155K	+1.9% of holding	+2.9%	+1.1%	104,136	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-08-26	WAITE G THOMAS III	director	Sale	700 @ $81.69	$57K	−4.2% of holding	+1.9%	−9.4%	15,926	Form 4 · filed same day
2025-04-25	GRUSKY ROBERT R	director	Sale	1,494 @ $80.27	$120K	−11.6% of holding	+4.1%	−18.4%	11,349	Form 4 · filed same day
2025-03-10	HERRAIZ LIZETTE BENEDI	officer	Sale	1,452 @ $82.21	$119K	−2.3% of holding	+4.8%	−15.1%	61,716	Form 4 · filed same day
2025-03-10	McRobbie Michael A.	director	Purchase	600 @ $81.80	$49K	+10.8% of holding	+4.8%	−15.1%	6,135	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-03-05	Slocum William J	director	Purchase	250 @ $82.25	$21K	+5.4% of holding	+8.3%	−9.7%	4,881	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-03-04	Slocum William J	director	Purchase	2,000 @ $81.46	$163K	+76.0% of holding	+7.7%	−9.0%	4,631	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-03-03	SILBERMAN ROBERT S	director	Purchase	10,528 @ $80.70	$850K	+3.7% of holding	+8.8%	−7.1%	294,766	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-03-03	Thawley Michael	director	Purchase	1,200 @ $81.02	$97K	+16.3% of holding	+8.8%	−7.1%	8,555	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-02-25	MCDONNELL RAYMOND KARL	director	Sale	27,928 @ $97.76	$2.7M	−16.2% of holding	−8.6%	−24.7%	144,208	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-02-25	JACKSON DANIEL WAYNE	officer	Sale	5,668 @ $97.79	$554K	−6.5% of holding	−8.6%	−24.7%	82,113	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-02-25	MCDONNELL RAYMOND KARL	director	Sale	3,927 @ $98.32	$386K	−2.7% of holding	−8.6%	−24.7%	140,281	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-02-25	JACKSON DANIEL WAYNE	officer	Sale	357 @ $98.43	$35K	−0.4% of holding	−8.6%	−24.7%	81,756	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

48 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Owned after	Filing
2026-04-22	DINH VIET D	director	Award / grant	957	24,910	Form 4
2026-04-22	Sasse Benjamin E	director	Award / grant	957	5,084	Form 4
2026-04-22	Sasse Benjamin E	director	Award / grant	1,436	4,127	Form 4
2026-04-22	BEASON CHARLOTTE F	director	Award / grant	1,436	24,093	Form 4
2026-04-22	WAITE G THOMAS III	director	Award / grant	1,436	17,362	Form 4
2026-04-22	DINH VIET D	director	Award / grant	1,436	23,953	Form 4
2026-04-22	Slocum William J	director	Award / grant	1,436	7,815	Form 4
2026-04-22	Cappelli Gregory William	director	Award / grant	1,436	2,934	Form 4
2026-04-22	BROGLEY RITA D	director	Award / grant	1,436	14,110	Form 4
2026-04-22	McRobbie Michael A.	director	Award / grant	1,436	9,069	Form 4
2026-04-22	Thawley Michael	director	Award / grant	1,436	11,489	Form 4
2026-04-22	GRUSKY ROBERT R	director	Award / grant	1,436	11,382	Form 4
2026-02-26	Hokenson Christa	officer	Award / grant	13,162	67,195	Form 4
2026-02-26	SILBERMAN ROBERT S	director	Award / grant	52,646	319,152	Form 4
2026-02-26	MCDONNELL RAYMOND KARL	director	Award / grant	52,646	158,978	Form 4
2026-02-26	Darmon Tal	officer	Award / grant	4,607	26,641	Form 4
2026-02-26	HERRAIZ LIZETTE BENEDI	officer	Award / grant	13,162	66,160	Form 4
2026-02-26	JACKSON DANIEL WAYNE	officer	Award / grant	26,323	113,096	Form 4
2026-02-24	MCDONNELL RAYMOND KARL	director	Withheld for tax	28,293	145,172	Form 4
2026-02-24	SILBERMAN ROBERT S	director	Withheld for tax	28,260	266,506	Form 4
2026-02-24	JACKSON DANIEL WAYNE	officer	Withheld for tax	17,363	86,773	Form 4
2026-02-24	HERRAIZ LIZETTE BENEDI	officer	Withheld for tax	8,724	52,998	Form 4
2026-02-24	Hokenson Christa	officer	Withheld for tax	6,722	54,033	Form 4
2026-02-24	Darmon Tal	officer	Withheld for tax	4,784	22,034	Form 4
2025-04-23	DINH VIET D	director	Award / grant	999	22,517	Form 4
2025-04-23	Sasse Benjamin E	director	Award / grant	1,498	2,691	Form 4
2025-04-23	DINH VIET D	director	Award / grant	1,498	21,518	Form 4
2025-04-23	Slocum William J	director	Award / grant	1,498	6,379	Form 4
2025-04-23	BEASON CHARLOTTE F	director	Award / grant	1,498	22,657	Form 4
2025-04-23	BROGLEY RITA D	director	Award / grant	1,498	12,674	Form 4
2025-04-23	Johnson Jerry Lavell	director	Award / grant	1,498	7,428	Form 4
2025-04-23	WAITE G THOMAS III	director	Award / grant	1,498	16,626	Form 4
2025-04-23	GRUSKY ROBERT R	director	Award / grant	1,498	12,843	Form 4
2025-04-23	Thawley Michael	director	Award / grant	1,498	10,053	Form 4
2025-04-23	Cappelli Gregory William	director	Award / grant	1,498	1,498	Form 4
2025-04-23	McRobbie Michael A.	director	Award / grant	1,498	7,633	Form 4
2025-03-22	Darmon Tal	officer	Withheld for tax	1,167	26,818	Form 4
2025-02-26	Darmon Tal	officer	Award / grant	5,106	27,985	Form 4
2025-02-26	SILBERMAN ROBERT S	director	Award / grant	33,184	284,238	Form 4
2025-02-26	Hokenson Christa	officer	Award / grant	10,211	60,755	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Resolves in i

28d remaining

2026-09-173% elapsed2026-10-15

Logged immutably 2026-09-17; scored automatically on 2026-10-15 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

Reported insider & political trades

Congressional disclosures

Seasonality · by month i