Issued 2026-09-16 at $85.64 · now $85.64 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, STNG has typically landed between $72.57 and $105.83 — a range of −15.3% to +23.6% from the issuance price $85.64.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
4,120 overlapping 1 month windows · 2010-03-31 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($85.64) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where STNG has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $85.64 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $85.64 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $87.73 (+2.4%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $80.47–$94.99
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $72.57–$105.83
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2020-01-09 | −42.4% | −43.4% | +0.0% |
| 2020-02-18 | −42.3% | −42.3% | +2.9% |
| 2020-01-07 | −42.3% | −42.3% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2020-03-20 | +69.0% | +0.0% | +69.0% |
| 2020-03-23 | +57.4% | −7.0% | +57.4% |
| 2022-05-09 | +56.1% | +0.0% | +56.1% |
4,120 overlapping windows · 2010-03-31 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~17 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Lauro Emanuele | director | Sale | 234,637 @ $0.97 | $229K | −100.0% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 0 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-10 | Camerana Niccolo | director | Sale | 2,500 @ $191325.00 | $478.3M | −13.6% of holding | −6.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 15,834 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-22 | Okland Marianne | director | Sale | 15,000 @ $1230435.00 | $18.5B | −19.3% of holding | −5.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 62,668 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-22 | Lauro Emanuele | director | Purchase | 234,637 @ $5.87 | $1.4M | ownership Δ n/a | −5.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 234,637 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
5 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-04 | Kumar Sujata Parekh | director | Award / grant | 7,500 | 25,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-04 | Henriksen Berit Ledel | director | Award / grant | 7,500 | 15,400 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-04 | Kumar Sujata Parekh | director | Award / grant | 7,500 | 18,334 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-04 | Okland Marianne | director | Award / grant | 7,500 | 77,668 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-04 | Camerana Niccolo | director | Award / grant | 7,500 | 18,334 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.