STC · TickerCove

STCStewart Information Services CorporationFinancial Services · Insurance - Property & Casualtyas of 2026-09-16

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $65.57 · now $65.57 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, STC has typically landed between $56.64 and $74.33 — a range of −13.6% to +13.4% from the issuance price $65.57.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($65.57) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$65.57 · 47% of range

$56.92 low$75.37 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-09-16 — factual context, not a signal.

Base rate up · monthiClimatology base rate that a US-listed stock rises over a month, with its 90% CI and ≈1,408 effective observations. Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

53.9%

90% CI 51.7%–56.1%

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

+0.9%

typical move · IQR 11.9%

−13.6%worst (p90)+13.4%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

0 open-market sales

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

0 buys · 0 sells · 0 members

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where STC has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $65.57 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $65.57 (+0.0%)
typical $66.17 (+0.9%)
middle 50% $62.26–$70.08
90% range $56.64–$74.33

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,003 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2008-10-22	−64.7%	−64.7%	+0.0%
2008-09-30	−62.0%	−62.0%	+0.0%
2008-10-01	−57.7%	−61.0%	+0.0%
3 best
2008-11-20	+207.9%	+0.0%	+212.4%
2008-11-24	+159.5%	+0.0%	+159.5%
2008-11-21	+157.3%	+0.0%	+168.9%

5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month i

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.

Jan

45%

−0.1%

n=20

Feb

40%

−0.4%

n=20

Mar

60%

+1.3%

n=20

Apr

40%

−0.8%

n=20

May

50%

−1.7%

n=20

Jun

45%

−1.3%

n=20

Jul

65%

+4.3%

n=20

Aug

60%

+1.7%

n=20

Sep

60%

+2.1%

n=20

Oct

40%

−2.8%

n=20

Nov

80%

+3.8%

n=20

Dec

55%

+8.2%

n=20

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing
2026-08-21	Glaze Brian	officer	Sale	1,500 @ $69.16	$104K	−11.3% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	11,784	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-06-01	BRADLEY C ALLEN JR	director	Purchase	758 @ $63.87	$48K	+3.1% of holding	+8.0%	not yet — horizon still open	25,022	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-01	BRADLEY C ALLEN JR	director	Purchase	230 @ $63.87	$15K	+1.0% of holding	+8.0%	not yet — horizon still open	24,264	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-01	BRADLEY C ALLEN JR	director	Purchase	12 @ $63.80	$766	+0.0% of holding	+8.0%	not yet — horizon still open	25,034	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-04-24	Hisey David C	officer	Sale	5,639 @ $71.09	$401K	−7.7% of holding	−10.2%	not yet — horizon still open	67,282	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-04-24	Hisey David C	officer	Sale	5,353 @ $71.47	$383K	−8.0% of holding	−10.2%	not yet — horizon still open	61,929	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-03-12	BRADLEY C ALLEN JR	director	Purchase	464 @ $62.35	$29K	+2.2% of holding	+0.1%	−8.9%	22,007	Form 4 · filed same day
2026-03-12	BRADLEY C ALLEN JR	director	Purchase	236 @ $63.06	$15K	+1.1% of holding	+0.1%	−8.9%	22,243	Form 4 · filed same day
2026-03-11	BRADLEY C ALLEN JR	director	Purchase	200 @ $63.13	$13K	+0.9% of holding	+2.7%	−5.2%	21,443	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-11	BRADLEY C ALLEN JR	director	Purchase	100 @ $63.19	$6K	+0.5% of holding	+2.7%	−5.2%	21,543	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-10	BRADLEY C ALLEN JR	director	Purchase	583 @ $65.34	$38K	+2.9% of holding	+0.1%	−8.8%	20,826	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-10	BRADLEY C ALLEN JR	director	Purchase	417 @ $65.34	$27K	+2.0% of holding	+0.1%	−8.8%	21,243	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-07-28	Rable Brad	officer	Sale	5,694 @ $65.32	$372K	−19.3% of holding	+8.8%	−6.2%	23,872	Form 4 · filed same day
2025-07-25	Hisey David C	officer	Sale	2,224 @ $64.39	$143K	−3.7% of holding	+11.5%	−3.4%	58,359	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-05-28	BRADLEY C ALLEN JR	director	Purchase	1,000 @ $59.63	$60K	+5.2% of holding	+4.8%	+15.2%	20,243	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

285 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Owned after	Filing
2026-07-01	Bryant Iain Martyn	officer	Withheld for tax	261	5,645	Form 4
2026-07-01	Bryant Iain Martyn	officer	Option exercise	1,071	1,071	Form 4
2026-07-01	Bryant Iain Martyn	officer	Option exercise	1,071	5,906	Form 4
2026-07-01	Bryant Iain Martyn	officer	Option exercise	1,071	5,906	Form 4
2026-05-07	BRADLEY C ALLEN JR	director	Award / grant	1,791	24,034	Form 4
2026-05-07	Morris Matthew	director	Award / grant	1,791	68,827	Form 4
2026-05-07	Sanchez Rodriquez Manuel	director	Award / grant	1,791	13,596	Form 4
2026-05-07	Apel Thomas G	director	Award / grant	1,791	44,182	Form 4
2026-05-07	Vaid Helen	director	Award / grant	1,791	6,284	Form 4
2026-05-07	Matz Deborah Jane	director	Award / grant	1,791	11,569	Form 4
2026-05-07	Pallotta Karen R	director	Award / grant	1,791	12,196	Form 4
2026-05-07	Clarke Robert	director	Award / grant	3,151	60,575	Form 4
2026-05-07	Corey William S. Jr.	director	Award / grant	1,791	11,433	Form 4
2026-05-01	Swed Ryan M.	officer	Withheld for tax	241	11,393	Form 4
2026-05-01	Swed Ryan M.	officer	Option exercise	802	0	Form 4
2026-05-01	Swed Ryan M.	officer	Option exercise	802	11,634	Form 4
2026-05-01	Swed Ryan M.	officer	Option exercise	802	11,634	Form 4
2026-04-28	Rable Brad	officer	Gift	300	29,330	Form 4
2026-03-26	EPPINGER FREDERICK H	director	Withheld for tax	4,958	170,675	Form 4
2026-03-26	EPPINGER FREDERICK H	director	Withheld for tax	3,266	165,380	Form 4
2026-03-26	Hisey David C	officer	Withheld for tax	1,786	71,525	Form 4
2026-03-26	Hisey David C	officer	Withheld for tax	1,148	72,921	Form 4
2026-03-26	Swed Ryan M.	officer	Withheld for tax	718	10,015	Form 4
2026-03-26	Sheckler Erinlea	officer	Withheld for tax	380	9,383	Form 4
2026-03-26	Swed Ryan M.	officer	Withheld for tax	331	10,832	Form 4
2026-03-26	Rable Brad	officer	Withheld for tax	306	29,031	Form 4
2026-03-26	Giddens Elizabeth	officer	Withheld for tax	254	9,447	Form 4
2026-03-26	Giddens Elizabeth	officer	Withheld for tax	227	10,149	Form 4
2026-03-26	Glaze Brian	officer	Withheld for tax	226	12,660	Form 4
2026-03-26	Kain Emily	officer	Withheld for tax	211	8,832	Form 4
2026-03-26	Glaze Brian	officer	Withheld for tax	202	13,284	Form 4
2026-03-26	Sheckler Erinlea	officer	Withheld for tax	202	9,988	Form 4
2026-03-26	Rable Brad	officer	Withheld for tax	193	29,630	Form 4
2026-03-26	Bryant Iain Martyn	officer	Withheld for tax	179	4,835	Form 4
2026-03-26	Kain Emily	officer	Withheld for tax	166	9,346	Form 4
2026-03-26	Bryant Iain Martyn	officer	Withheld for tax	74	4,280	Form 4
2026-03-26	Hisey David C	officer	Option exercise	2,544	5,090	Form 4
2026-03-26	Rable Brad	officer	Option exercise	1,255	1,257	Form 4
2026-03-26	Hisey David C	officer	Option exercise	3,960	3,961	Form 4
2026-03-26	Swed Ryan M.	officer	Award / grant	5,052	5,052	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Resolves in i

28d remaining

2026-09-173% elapsed2026-10-15

Logged immutably 2026-09-17; scored automatically on 2026-10-15 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

Reported insider & political trades

Congressional disclosures

Seasonality · by month i