STAGSTAG Industrial, Inc.Real Estate · REIT - Industrialas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $37.08 · now $37.08 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, STAG has typically landed between $33.56 and $40.77 — a range of −9.5% to +9.9% from the issuance price $37.08.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

3,856 overlapping 1 month windows · 2011-04-15 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($37.08) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where STAG has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $37.08 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$33.56worst · -9.5%$40.77best · +9.9%
  • now $37.08 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $37.28 (+0.5%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $35.72–$38.84
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $33.56–$40.77
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 3,856 windows spanning 2011-04-15 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2020-02-21−43.6%−43.6%+0.0%
2020-02-13−41.2%−41.2%+0.8%
2020-02-18−37.9%−41.3%+0.0%
3 best
2020-03-23+37.2%+0.0%+49.7%
2020-03-16+36.7%−4.2%+43.4%
2020-05-15+30.5%+0.0%+30.5%

3,856 overlapping windows · 2011-04-15 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~16 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
60%
+1.1%
n=15
Feb
67%
+0.9%
n=15
Mar
73%
+2.4%
n=15
Apr
47%
+0.3%
n=15
May
56%
+1.4%
n=16
Jun
75%
+2.1%
n=16
Jul
63%
+2.7%
n=16
Aug
44%
−0.7%
n=16
Sep
25%
−2.1%
n=16
Oct
67%
+4.7%
n=15
Nov
67%
+1.9%
n=15
Dec
47%
+0.1%
n=15

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$42$332026-02-23: 2 insider sales, $4.7M — Crooker William R, Pinard Matts2026-02-19: 2 insider sales, $685K — COLBERT VIRGIS …2025-11-05: 1 insider sale, $509K — Chase Michael2025-09-23: 1 insider sale, $71K — Guillemette Larry T2025-09-05: 1 insider sale, $923K — Butcher Benjamin S2025-09: 2 open-market sales, $993K2025-11: 1 open-market sale, $509K2026-02: 4 open-market sales, $5.3M↑ buys↓ salesdirector Crooker William R — Sale on 2026-02-23, filed same dayofficer Pinard Matts — Sale on 2026-02-23, filed same daydirector COLBERT VIRGIS — Sale on 2026-02-19, filed 4 days after the tradedirector COLBERT VIRGIS — Sale on 2026-02-19, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Chase Michael — Sale on 2025-11-05, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Guillemette Larry T — Sale on 2025-09-23, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Butcher Benjamin S — Sale on 2025-09-05, filed same day
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-02-23Crooker William RdirectorSale93,732 @ $39.17$3.7M−100.0% of holding−3.5%−16.1%0Form 4 · filed same day
2026-02-23Pinard MattsofficerSale25,242 @ $39.18$989K−96.4% of holding−3.5%−16.1%951Form 4 · filed same day
2026-02-19COLBERT VIRGISdirectorSale9,680 @ $38.06$368K−69.7% of holding+0.1%−15.7%4,210Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-02-19COLBERT VIRGISdirectorSale8,320 @ $38.11$317K−37.5% of holding+0.1%−15.7%13,890Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-11-05Chase MichaelofficerSale13,144 @ $38.75$509K−58.2% of holding−0.5%−7.0%9,422Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-09-23Guillemette Larry TdirectorSale2,004 @ $35.20$71K−4.9% of holding+9.3%+3.9%38,666Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-09-05Butcher Benjamin SdirectorSale25,000 @ $36.91$923K−76.8% of holding−5.2%−0.2%7,562Form 4 · filed same day
2025-06-06Butcher Benjamin SdirectorSale28,843 @ $36.90$1.1M−80.2% of holding−6.0%−7.6%7,115Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-03-05Guillemette Larry TdirectorSale6,000 @ $36.32$218K−13.4% of holding+0.1%−10.7%38,666Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-02-18Butcher Benjamin SdirectorSale50,000 @ $35.10$1.8M−83.8% of holding+8.9%+0.1%9,632Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2024-02-16Chase MichaelofficerSale14,007 @ $39.05$547K−59.8% of holding−8.6%−9.3%9,422Form 4 · filed 329 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

224 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-07-15Guillemette Larry TdirectorAward / grant89942,424Form 4
2026-07-15Chin Jit KeedirectorAward / grant57811,633Form 4
2026-07-15Furber Jeffrey D.directorAward / grant54655,544Form 4
2026-07-15Dilley MichelledirectorAward / grant53014,553Form 4
2026-07-15MARR CHRISTOPHER PdirectorAward / grant4178,717Form 4
2026-07-15Jacoby Francis X IIIdirectorAward / grant41734,225Form 4
2026-07-15COLBERT VIRGISdirectorAward / grant4175,067Form 4
2026-07-15WEGER HANS SdirectorAward / grant41712,033Form 4
2026-07-15Wilbon Vicki LundydirectorAward / grant4173,581Form 4
2026-07-15Butcher Benjamin SdirectorAward / grant4179,305Form 4
2026-04-15Guillemette Larry TdirectorAward / grant94941,525Form 4
2026-04-15Chin Jit KeedirectorAward / grant61011,055Form 4
2026-04-15Furber Jeffrey D.directorAward / grant57654,998Form 4
2026-04-15Dilley MichelledirectorAward / grant55914,023Form 4
2026-04-15Wilbon Vicki LundydirectorAward / grant4403,164Form 4
2026-04-15WEGER HANS SdirectorAward / grant44011,616Form 4
2026-04-15Butcher Benjamin SdirectorAward / grant4408,888Form 4
2026-04-15COLBERT VIRGISdirectorAward / grant4404,650Form 4
2026-04-15COLBERT VIRGISdirectorAward / grant4404,650Form 4
2026-04-15Jacoby Francis X IIIdirectorAward / grant44033,808Form 4
2026-04-15MARR CHRISTOPHER PdirectorAward / grant4408,300Form 4
2026-03-04Butcher Benjamin SdirectorDisposition30,0008,448Form 4
2026-03-04Butcher Benjamin SdirectorConversion30,000560,623Form 4
2026-03-04Butcher Benjamin SdirectorConversion30,00038,448Form 4
2026-03-04Butcher Benjamin SdirectorConversion30,000560,623Form 4
2026-03-04Butcher Benjamin SdirectorConversion30,00039,320Form 4
2026-03-04Butcher Benjamin SdirectorConversion30,0009,320Form 4
2026-03-04Butcher Benjamin SdirectorConversion30,00038,448Form 4
2026-03-04Butcher Benjamin SdirectorConversion30,00039,320Form 4
2026-03-04Butcher Benjamin SdirectorConversion30,0009,320Form 4
2026-02-23Pinard MattsofficerConversion25,24226,193Form 4
2026-02-23Pinard MattsofficerConversion25,24293,859Form 4
2026-02-23Pinard MattsofficerConversion25,24225,242Form 4
2026-02-23Pinard MattsofficerConversion25,24225,242Form 4
2026-02-23Crooker William RdirectorConversion93,7320Form 4
2026-02-23Crooker William RdirectorConversion93,73293,732Form 4
2026-02-23Crooker William RdirectorConversion93,732385,934Form 4
2026-02-23Crooker William RdirectorConversion93,73293,732Form 4
2026-02-23Crooker William RdirectorConversion93,732385,934Form 4
2026-02-23Crooker William RdirectorConversion93,73293,732Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.