Issued 2026-09-16 at $4.94 · now $4.94 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, SSTK has typically landed between $3.84 and $5.81 — a range of −22.3% to +17.6% from the issuance price $4.94.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
3,480 overlapping 1 month windows · 2012-10-11 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($4.94) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where SSTK has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $4.94 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $4.94 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $4.78 (-3.3%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $4.4–$5.15
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $3.84–$5.81
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2026-06-30 | −61.4% | −61.4% | +0.0% |
| 2026-06-24 | −60.7% | −60.7% | +0.1% |
| 2026-06-23 | −60.1% | −60.1% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2013-02-19 | +67.5% | +0.0% | +67.5% |
| 2013-02-15 | +66.1% | +0.0% | +66.1% |
| 2013-02-14 | +64.6% | +0.0% | +64.6% |
3,480 overlapping windows · 2012-10-11 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~14 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
121 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | Adams Timothy M | director | Award / grant | 23,107 | 23,107 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-08 | Thompson Michael N. Jr. | director | Award / grant | 23,107 | 23,107 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-08 | Salzberg Matthew B | director | Award / grant | 23,107 | 23,107 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-07 | Powell Rikki | officer | Award / grant | 65,502 | 65,502 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-02 | Hennessy Paul J. | director | Withheld for tax | 82,979 | 425,340 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-02 | Hennessy Paul J. | director | Withheld for tax | 20,739 | 345,775 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-02 | Powell Rikki | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,233 | 31,842 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-02 | Powell Rikki | officer | Option exercise | 2,231 | 4,462 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-02 | Hennessy Paul J. | director | Option exercise | 162,544 | 508,319 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-02 | Hennessy Paul J. | director | Option exercise | 54,181 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-02 | Hennessy Paul J. | director | Option exercise | 162,544 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-02 | Powell Rikki | officer | Option exercise | 2,231 | 33,075 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-02 | Hennessy Paul J. | director | Option exercise | 54,181 | 366,514 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-10 | Evans Thomas R | director | Option exercise | 9,700 | 39,109 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-10 | Upshaw Alfonse L | director | Option exercise | 9,700 | 12,481 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-10 | Teevan Jaime | director | Option exercise | 9,700 | 13,868 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-10 | Bhasin Rachna | director | Option exercise | 9,700 | 32,421 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-10 | Bigley Deirdre Mary | director | Option exercise | 9,700 | 28,582 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-10 | Upshaw Alfonse L | director | Option exercise | 9,700 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-10 | Upshaw Alfonse L | director | Award / grant | 11,239 | 11,239 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-10 | Teevan Jaime | director | Option exercise | 9,700 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-10 | Teevan Jaime | director | Award / grant | 11,239 | 11,239 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-10 | Bhasin Rachna | director | Option exercise | 9,700 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-10 | Bhasin Rachna | director | Award / grant | 11,239 | 11,239 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-10 | Bigley Deirdre Mary | director | Option exercise | 9,700 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-10 | Bigley Deirdre Mary | director | Award / grant | 11,239 | 11,239 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-10 | Evans Thomas R | director | Option exercise | 9,700 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-10 | Evans Thomas R | director | Award / grant | 11,239 | 11,239 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-02 | Oringer Jonathan | director | Withheld for tax | 34,239 | 10,925,568 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-02 | Powell Rikki | officer | Withheld for tax | 20,118 | 30,844 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-02 | Oringer Jonathan | director | Withheld for tax | 11,123 | 10,872,796 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-02 | Oringer Jonathan | director | Withheld for tax | 4,625 | 10,846,130 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-02 | Ciardiello Steven | officer | Withheld for tax | 2,852 | 56,692 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-02 | Ciardiello Steven | officer | Withheld for tax | 978 | 49,121 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-02 | Ciardiello Steven | officer | Withheld for tax | 856 | 51,634 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-02 | Ciardiello Steven | officer | Withheld for tax | 558 | 47,387 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-02 | Ciardiello Steven | officer | Withheld for tax | 314 | 50,117 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-02 | Ciardiello Steven | officer | Withheld for tax | 248 | 49,560 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-02 | Ciardiello Steven | officer | Option exercise | 1,546 | 47,945 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-02 | Ciardiello Steven | officer | Option exercise | 7,910 | 59,544 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.