Issued 2026-08-21 at $10.84 · now $10.84 (2026-08-12, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-08-21 close, SSSS has typically landed between $8.99 and $13.43 — a range of −17.1% to +23.9% from the issuance price $10.84.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
3,824 overlapping 1 month windows · 2011-04-28 – 2026-07-14 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,405 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-08-21 issuance close ($10.84) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-09-21, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where SSSS has typically landed a month from the 2026-08-21 close of $10.84 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $10.84 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $10.82 (-0.2%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $10.03–$11.6
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $8.99–$13.43
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2012-05-02 | −47.4% | −47.4% | +3.0% |
| 2012-05-04 | −46.9% | −48.9% | +0.0% |
| 2012-05-03 | −45.6% | −45.9% | +5.9% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2011-06-16 | +85.8% | −2.0% | +85.8% |
| 2020-06-11 | +79.9% | +0.0% | +79.9% |
| 2020-03-20 | +69.7% | +0.0% | +69.7% |
3,824 overlapping windows · 2011-04-28 – 2026-08-12 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~16 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-23 | LOTT RONALD M. | director | Sale | 500 @ $12.35 | $6K | −14.1% of holding | −18.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 3,036 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-28 | LOTT RONALD M. | director | Sale | 10,669 @ $12.90 | $138K | −50.0% of holding | −2.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 10,669 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-22 | Klein Mark D | director | Purchase | 2,500 @ $13.25 | $33K | +0.1% of holding | +0.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,676,021 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-04-21 | Klein Mark D | director | Purchase | 2,500 @ $13.08 | $33K | +0.1% of holding | −1.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,673,521 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-08-19 | LOTT RONALD M. | director | Sale | 7,500 @ $8.81 | $66K | −20.2% of holding | +1.2% | +2.2% | 29,623 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-12 | Klein Mark D | director | Purchase | 10,000 @ $8.45 | $85K | +0.7% of holding | +0.7% | +6.0% | 1,530,590 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-08-11 | Klein Mark D | director | Purchase | 4,571 @ $8.69 | $40K | +0.3% of holding | +0.8% | +7.9% | 1,520,590 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-06-11 | LOTT RONALD M. | director | Sale | 39 @ $7.42 | $289 | −0.1% of holding | +10.8% | +23.2% | 29,150 | Form 4 · filed 139 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-09 | Klein Mark D | director | Purchase | 16,500 @ $5.26 | $87K | +1.4% of holding | +33.1% | +72.8% | 1,216,019 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-03-20 | LOTT RONALD M. | director | Sale | 10,000 @ $5.90 | $59K | −25.4% of holding | −15.4% | +41.5% | 29,311 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2024-12-26 | LOTT RONALD M. | director | Sale | 434 @ $6.06 | $3K | −1.5% of holding | −12.5% | +31.4% | 29,189 | Form 4 · filed 306 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
29 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-15 | Klein Mark D | director | Withheld for tax | 293,265 | 1,732,756 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-15 | Green Allison | officer | Withheld for tax | 41,815 | 207,990 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-12 | Green Allison | officer | Award / grant | 60,000 | 249,805 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-12 | Klein Mark D | director | Award / grant | 350,000 | 2,026,021 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-10 | Szuch Richard C. | director | Award / grant | 3,536 | 9,303 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-10 | LOTT RONALD M. | director | Award / grant | 3,536 | 3,536 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-10 | Mazur Marc | director | Award / grant | 3,536 | 68,950 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-10 | Potter Leonard | director | Award / grant | 3,536 | 105,815 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-10 | Westley Lisa | director | Award / grant | 3,536 | 58,831 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-15 | Klein Mark D | director | Withheld for tax | 17,017 | 1,671,021 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-15 | Green Allison | officer | Withheld for tax | 4,232 | 189,805 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-10 | Klein Mark D | director | Withheld for tax | 17,017 | 1,688,038 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-10 | Green Allison | officer | Withheld for tax | 4,232 | 194,037 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-21 | Green Allison | officer | Award / grant | 956 | 198,269 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-21 | Klein Mark D | director | Award / grant | 174,465 | 1,705,055 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-03 | Szuch Richard C. | director | Award / grant | 5,767 | 5,767 | Form 4 |
| 2025-05-28 | Westley Lisa | director | Award / grant | 7,812 | 55,295 | Form 4 |
| 2025-05-28 | Potter Leonard | director | Award / grant | 7,812 | 102,279 | Form 4 |
| 2025-05-28 | LOTT RONALD M. | director | Award / grant | 7,812 | 37,123 | Form 4 |
| 2025-05-28 | Mazur Marc | director | Award / grant | 7,812 | 65,414 | Form 4 |
| 2025-05-16 | Green Allison | officer | Award / grant | 50,000 | 197,313 | Form 4 |
| 2025-05-16 | Klein Mark D | director | Award / grant | 300,000 | 1,516,019 | Form 4 |
| 2025-02-10 | Klein Mark D | director | Withheld for tax | 32,858 | 1,199,519 | Form 4 |
| 2025-02-10 | Green Allison | officer | Withheld for tax | 9,849 | 147,313 | Form 4 |
| 2024-12-16 | Klein Mark D | director | Withheld for tax | 17,017 | 1,232,377 | Form 4 |
| 2024-12-16 | Green Allison | officer | Withheld for tax | 4,571 | 157,162 | Form 4 |
| 2024-12-10 | Klein Mark D | director | Withheld for tax | 21,272 | 1,249,394 | Form 4 |
| 2024-12-10 | Klein Mark D | director | Award / grant | 100,000 | 1,270,666 | Form 4 |
| 2024-12-10 | Green Allison | officer | Award / grant | 25,000 | 161,733 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.