Issued 2026-09-16 at $35.22 · now $35.22 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, SSRM has typically landed between $28.82 and $45.10 — a range of −18.2% to +28.0% from the issuance price $35.22.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($35.22) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where SSRM has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $35.22 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $35.22 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $36.04 (+2.3%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $32.85–$39.22
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $28.82–$45.1
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2008-09-24 | −69.3% | −69.3% | +0.0% |
| 2008-09-26 | −67.6% | −67.6% | +0.0% |
| 2008-09-23 | −67.3% | −67.3% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2008-12-04 | +110.4% | −0.5% | +110.4% |
| 2008-11-20 | +105.0% | +0.0% | +112.5% |
| 2008-12-08 | +104.1% | +0.0% | +104.1% |
5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-01-03 | MacNevin William K. | other | Sale | 6,722 @ $7.16 | $48K | −2.5% of holding | +25.9% | +67.8% | 265,711 | Form 4 · filed same day |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
178 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Antal Rodney | director | Award / grant | 324 | 1,316,277 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-11 | Ebbett John | other | Award / grant | 77 | 84,443 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-11 | Ebbett John | other | Award / grant | 82 | 163,982 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-11 | Booth Brian R | director | Award / grant | 89 | 94,084 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-11 | Antal Rodney | director | Award / grant | 67 | 73,196 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-11 | Antal Rodney | director | Award / grant | 217 | 235,446 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-11 | Antal Rodney | director | Award / grant | 341 | 370,520 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-11 | BATES THOMAS R JR | director | Award / grant | 134 | 126,299 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-11 | Thomopoulos Joanne | officer | Award / grant | 14 | 15,887 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-11 | Thomopoulos Joanne | officer | Award / grant | 38 | 42,160 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-11 | Thomopoulos Joanne | officer | Award / grant | 52 | 56,870 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-11 | Thomopoulos Joanne | officer | Award / grant | 56 | 101,267 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-11 | Sparks Michael John | officer | Award / grant | 22 | 24,625 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-11 | Sparks Michael John | officer | Award / grant | 70 | 76,656 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-11 | Sparks Michael John | officer | Award / grant | 111 | 120,634 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-11 | Sparks Michael John | officer | Award / grant | 106 | 298,773 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-11 | Swager Karen A | director | Award / grant | 73 | 77,158 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-11 | Priestly Kay G | director | Award / grant | 64 | 65,592 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-11 | Mullen Laura M | director | Award / grant | 10 | 10,618 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-11 | Malchuk Daniel | director | Award / grant | 31 | 32,921 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-11 | MacNevin William K. | other | Award / grant | 22 | 24,625 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-11 | MacNevin William K. | other | Award / grant | 70 | 76,656 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-11 | MacNevin William K. | other | Award / grant | 111 | 120,634 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-11 | MacNevin William K. | other | Award / grant | 106 | 246,835 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-11 | Krusi Alan | director | Award / grant | 131 | 124,243 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-11 | Farid Fady Adel Edward | officer | Award / grant | 21 | 23,830 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-11 | Farid Fady Adel Edward | officer | Award / grant | 68 | 74,101 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-11 | Farid Fady Adel Edward | officer | Award / grant | 107 | 116,612 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-11 | Farnsworth Russell | officer | Award / grant | 4 | 5,361 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-11 | Farnsworth Russell | officer | Award / grant | 15 | 16,788 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-11 | Farnsworth Russell | officer | Award / grant | 24 | 26,420 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-11 | Farnsworth Russell | officer | Award / grant | 22 | 53,396 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-11 | Farid Fady Adel Edward | officer | Award / grant | 101 | 255,736 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-11 | Ebbett John | other | Award / grant | 19 | 21,447 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-11 | Ebbett John | other | Award / grant | 57 | 62,602 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | Booth Brian R | director | Award / grant | 952 | 93,995 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | Krusi Alan | director | Award / grant | 953 | 124,112 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | Malchuk Daniel | director | Award / grant | 953 | 32,890 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | Mullen Laura M | director | Award / grant | 952 | 10,608 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | Priestly Kay G | director | Award / grant | 952 | 65,528 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.