SSPThe E.W. Scripps Companyas of 2026-09-17
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-17 at $3.06 · now $3.06 (2026-09-17, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-17 close, SSP has typically landed between $2.10 and $4.29 — a range of −31.3% to +40.2% from the issuance price $3.06.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

4,674 overlapping 1 month windows · 2008-01-022026-08-18 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.756.1%, ≈1,377 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-17 issuance close ($3.06) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-16, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where SSP has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-17 close of $3.06 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$2.1worst · -31.3%$4.29best · +40.2%
  • now $3.06 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $2.99 (-2.3%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $2.58$3.4
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $2.1$4.29
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 4,674 windows spanning 2008-01-02 to 2026-09-17. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2024-01-29−54.4%−54.4%+0.0%
2008-11-05−53.9%−54.4%+0.0%
2008-10-31−53.2%−53.2%+2.6%
3 best
2009-07-10+282.4%+0.0%+282.4%
2009-07-20+180.8%+0.0%+218.7%
2009-07-21+179.0%+0.0%+215.5%

4,674 overlapping windows · 2008-01-022026-09-17 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~19 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
39%
−4.2%
n=18
Feb
58%
+0.6%
n=19
Mar
53%
+2.4%
n=19
Apr
42%
+2.8%
n=19
May
37%
−5.2%
n=19
Jun
63%
+2.5%
n=19
Jul
68%
+8.4%
n=19
Aug
37%
−2.5%
n=19
Sep
53%
−1.5%
n=19
Oct
56%
+3.6%
n=18
Nov
61%
+5.8%
n=18
Dec
67%
+2.9%
n=18

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$5$22026-05-20: 1 insider sale, $37K — McCabe Molly E2026-05-19: 1 insider sale, $382K — McCabe Molly E2026-05-18: 1 insider sale, $497K — McCabe Molly E2026-05-15: 1 insider sale, $202K — McCabe Molly E2026-05-14: 1 insider purchase, $258K — Granado Geraldine Scripps2026-05-13: 1 insider purchase, $4K — Brickner Samantha J.2026-03-10: 11 insider purchases, $1.0M — Sanchez Mary Ann S., Brickner Samantha J., Brickner Savannah, Granado Ellen B. …2026-03-09: 8 insider purchases, $1.2M — Sanchez Mary Ann S., Brickner Samantha J., Brickner Savannah, Granado Geraldine Scripps …2026-03-06: 7 insider purchases, $1.7M — Klenzing Margaret Scripps, Brickner Rebecca Scripps, Granado Corina S., Scripps Eaton M …2026-03-05: 7 insider purchases, $1.2M — Klenzing Margaret Scripps, Granado Corina S., Brickner Rebecca Scripps, Scripps Eaton M …2026-03-04: 7 insider purchases, $1.3M — Klenzing Margaret Scripps, Brickner Rebecca Scripps, Granado Corina S., Scripps Eaton M …2026-03-03: 5 insider purchases, $1.5M — Granado Corina S., Barmonde Charles L., Granado Geraldine Scripps, Symson Adam …2026-03: 45 open-market purchases, $7.9M2026-05: 2 open-market purchases, $262K2026-05: 4 open-market sales, $1.1M↑ buys↓ salestenPercentOwner McCabe Molly E — Sale on 2026-05-20, filed 2 days after the tradetenPercentOwner McCabe Molly E — Sale on 2026-05-19, filed 3 days after the tradetenPercentOwner McCabe Molly E — Sale on 2026-05-18, filed 4 days after the tradetenPercentOwner McCabe Molly E — Sale on 2026-05-15, filed 7 days after the tradetenPercentOwner Granado Geraldine Scripps — Purchase on 2026-05-14, filed 1 day after the tradetenPercentOwner Brickner Samantha J. — Purchase on 2026-05-13, filed 1 day after the tradetenPercentOwner Sanchez Mary Ann S. — Purchase on 2026-03-10, filed 1 day after the tradetenPercentOwner Brickner Samantha J. — Purchase on 2026-03-10, filed 1 day after the tradetenPercentOwner Brickner Savannah — Purchase on 2026-03-10, filed 1 day after the tradetenPercentOwner Granado Ellen B. — Purchase on 2026-03-10, filed 1 day after the tradetenPercentOwner Granado Manuel E. — Purchase on 2026-03-10, filed 1 day after the tradetenPercentOwner Granado Geraldine Scripps — Purchase on 2026-03-10, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Granado Raymundo H. Jr. — Purchase on 2026-03-10, filed 1 day after the tradetenPercentOwner Granado Anthony S. — Purchase on 2026-03-10, filed 1 day after the tradetenPercentOwner Sanchez Vanessa L. — Purchase on 2026-03-10, filed 1 day after the tradetenPercentOwner Heidt Austin S — Purchase on 2026-03-10, filed 1 day after the tradetenPercentOwner Peirce Mary — Purchase on 2026-03-10, filed 1 day after the tradetenPercentOwner Sanchez Mary Ann S. — Purchase on 2026-03-09, filed 2 days after the tradetenPercentOwner Brickner Samantha J. — Purchase on 2026-03-09, filed 2 days after the tradetenPercentOwner Brickner Savannah — Purchase on 2026-03-09, filed 2 days after the tradetenPercentOwner Granado Geraldine Scripps — Purchase on 2026-03-09, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Granado Raymundo H. Jr. — Purchase on 2026-03-09, filed 2 days after the tradetenPercentOwner Sanchez Vanessa L. — Purchase on 2026-03-09, filed 2 days after the tradetenPercentOwner Granado Anthony S. — Purchase on 2026-03-09, filed 1 day after the tradetenPercentOwner Peirce Mary — Purchase on 2026-03-09, filed 2 days after the tradetenPercentOwner Klenzing Margaret Scripps — Purchase on 2026-03-06, filed 4 days after the tradetenPercentOwner Brickner Rebecca Scripps — Purchase on 2026-03-06, filed 4 days after the tradetenPercentOwner Granado Corina S. — Purchase on 2026-03-06, filed 4 days after the tradetenPercentOwner Scripps Eaton M — Purchase on 2026-03-06, filed 4 days after the tradetenPercentOwner Granado Anthony S. — Purchase on 2026-03-06, filed 4 days after the tradetenPercentOwner Scripps Elizabeth — Purchase on 2026-03-06, filed 4 days after the tradetenPercentOwner Evans Peggy Scripps — Purchase on 2026-03-06, filed 4 days after the tradetenPercentOwner Klenzing Margaret Scripps — Purchase on 2026-03-05, filed 1 day after the tradetenPercentOwner Granado Corina S. — Purchase on 2026-03-05, filed 1 day after the tradetenPercentOwner Brickner Rebecca Scripps — Purchase on 2026-03-05, filed 1 day after the tradetenPercentOwner Scripps Eaton M — Purchase on 2026-03-05, filed 1 day after the tradetenPercentOwner Granado Anthony S. — Purchase on 2026-03-05, filed 1 day after the tradetenPercentOwner Scripps Elizabeth — Purchase on 2026-03-05, filed 1 day after the tradetenPercentOwner Evans Peggy Scripps — Purchase on 2026-03-05, filed 1 day after the tradetenPercentOwner Klenzing Margaret Scripps — Purchase on 2026-03-04, filed 2 days after the tradetenPercentOwner Brickner Rebecca Scripps — Purchase on 2026-03-04, filed 2 days after the tradetenPercentOwner Granado Corina S. — Purchase on 2026-03-04, filed 1 day after the tradetenPercentOwner Scripps Eaton M — Purchase on 2026-03-04, filed 2 days after the tradetenPercentOwner Granado Anthony S. — Purchase on 2026-03-04, filed 2 days after the tradetenPercentOwner Scripps Elizabeth — Purchase on 2026-03-04, filed 2 days after the tradetenPercentOwner Evans Peggy Scripps — Purchase on 2026-03-04, filed 2 days after the tradetenPercentOwner Granado Corina S. — Purchase on 2026-03-03, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Barmonde Charles L. — Purchase on 2026-03-03, filed 2 days after the tradetenPercentOwner Granado Geraldine Scripps — Purchase on 2026-03-03, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Symson Adam — Purchase on 2026-03-03, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Holcomb Monica — Purchase on 2026-03-03, filed 2 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-05-20McCabe Molly EtenPercentOwnerSale11,239 @ $3.29$37K−100.0% of holding−15.7%not yet — horizon still open0Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-19McCabe Molly EtenPercentOwnerSale112,284 @ $3.40$382K−90.9% of holding−16.9%not yet — horizon still open11,239Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-05-18McCabe Molly EtenPercentOwnerSale142,970 @ $3.48$497K−53.6% of holding−24.6%not yet — horizon still open123,523Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-05-15McCabe Molly EtenPercentOwnerSale60,182 @ $3.35$202K−18.4% of holding−16.3%not yet — horizon still open266,493Form 4 · filed 7 days after the trade
2026-05-14Granado Geraldine ScrippstenPercentOwnerPurchase72,798 @ $3.54$258K+101.0% of holding−19.0%not yet — horizon still open144,902Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-13Brickner Samantha J.tenPercentOwnerPurchase1,262 @ $3.53$4K+1.1% of holding−14.0%not yet — horizon still open111,695Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-10Sanchez Mary Ann S.tenPercentOwnerPurchase93,377 @ $4.59$429K+20.6% of holding−9.5%not yet — horizon still open547,451Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-10Brickner Samantha J.tenPercentOwnerPurchase46,412 @ $4.59$213K+72.5% of holding−9.5%not yet — horizon still open110,433Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-10Brickner SavannahtenPercentOwnerPurchase27,682 @ $4.59$127K+71.8% of holding−9.5%not yet — horizon still open66,226Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-10Granado Ellen B.tenPercentOwnerPurchase18,000 @ $4.46$80K+180.0% of holding−9.5%not yet — horizon still open28,000Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-10Granado Manuel E.tenPercentOwnerPurchase10,000 @ $4.46$45K+100.0% of holding−9.5%not yet — horizon still open20,000Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-10Granado Geraldine ScrippstenPercentOwnerPurchase8,399 @ $4.59$39K+13.2% of holding−9.5%not yet — horizon still open72,104Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-10Granado Raymundo H. Jr.directorPurchase4,984 @ $4.59$23K+6.6% of holding−9.5%not yet — horizon still open80,998Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-10Granado Anthony S.tenPercentOwnerPurchase4,200 @ $4.59$19K+10.1% of holding−9.5%not yet — horizon still open45,712Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-10Sanchez Vanessa L.tenPercentOwnerPurchase4,200 @ $4.59$19K+61.3% of holding−9.5%not yet — horizon still open11,052Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-10Heidt Austin StenPercentOwnerPurchase4,000 @ $4.48$18Kownership Δ n/a−9.5%not yet — horizon still open4,000Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-10Peirce MarytenPercentOwnerPurchase729 @ $4.59$3K+1.1% of holding−9.5%not yet — horizon still open68,999Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-09Sanchez Mary Ann S.tenPercentOwnerPurchase127,338 @ $4.43$565K+39.0% of holding−13.6%not yet — horizon still open454,074Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-03-09Brickner Samantha J.tenPercentOwnerPurchase63,955 @ $4.43$284K+96901.5% of holding−13.6%not yet — horizon still open64,021Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-03-09Brickner SavannahtenPercentOwnerPurchase38,544 @ $4.43$171Kownership Δ n/a−13.6%not yet — horizon still open38,544Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-03-09Granado Geraldine ScrippstenPercentOwnerPurchase13,705 @ $4.43$61K+27.4% of holding−13.6%not yet — horizon still open63,705Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-03-09Granado Raymundo H. Jr.directorPurchase8,280 @ $4.43$37K+12.2% of holding−13.6%not yet — horizon still open76,014Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-03-09Sanchez Vanessa L.tenPercentOwnerPurchase6,852 @ $4.43$30Kownership Δ n/a−13.6%not yet — horizon still open6,852Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-03-09Granado Anthony S.tenPercentOwnerPurchase6,852 @ $4.43$30K+19.8% of holding−13.6%not yet — horizon still open41,512Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-09Peirce MarytenPercentOwnerPurchase1,485 @ $4.43$7K+2.2% of holding−13.6%not yet — horizon still open68,270Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-03-06Klenzing Margaret ScrippstenPercentOwnerPurchase159,515 @ $4.64$741K+27.4% of holding−14.9%not yet — horizon still open741,978Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-03-06Brickner Rebecca ScrippstenPercentOwnerPurchase79,758 @ $4.64$370K+18.0% of holding−14.9%not yet — horizon still open521,976Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-03-06Granado Corina S.tenPercentOwnerPurchase79,758 @ $4.64$370K+11.1% of holding−14.9%not yet — horizon still open800,275Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-03-06Scripps Eaton MtenPercentOwnerPurchase41,017 @ $4.64$190K+3.0% of holding−14.9%not yet — horizon still open1,388,185Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-03-06Granado Anthony S.tenPercentOwnerPurchase5,742 @ $4.64$27K+19.9% of holding−14.9%not yet — horizon still open34,660Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-03-06Scripps ElizabethtenPercentOwnerPurchase3,077 @ $4.64$14K+29.7% of holding−14.9%not yet — horizon still open13,421Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-03-06Evans Peggy ScrippstenPercentOwnerPurchase3,077 @ $4.64$14K+69.6% of holding−14.9%not yet — horizon still open7,500Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-03-05Klenzing Margaret ScrippstenPercentOwnerPurchase120,534 @ $4.43$533K+26.1% of holding−9.2%not yet — horizon still open582,463Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-05Granado Corina S.tenPercentOwnerPurchase60,266 @ $4.43$267K+9.1% of holding−9.2%not yet — horizon still open720,517Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-05Brickner Rebecca ScrippstenPercentOwnerPurchase60,266 @ $4.43$267K+15.8% of holding−9.2%not yet — horizon still open442,218Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-05Scripps Eaton MtenPercentOwnerPurchase30,993 @ $4.43$137K+2.4% of holding−9.2%not yet — horizon still open1,347,168Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-05Granado Anthony S.tenPercentOwnerPurchase4,339 @ $4.43$19K+17.7% of holding−9.2%not yet — horizon still open28,918Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-05Scripps ElizabethtenPercentOwnerPurchase2,324 @ $4.43$10K+29.0% of holding−9.2%not yet — horizon still open10,344Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-05Evans Peggy ScrippstenPercentOwnerPurchase2,324 @ $4.43$10K+110.7% of holding−9.2%not yet — horizon still open4,423Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-04Klenzing Margaret ScrippstenPercentOwnerPurchase139,951 @ $4.17$584K+43.5% of holding−7.2%not yet — horizon still open461,929Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-03-04Brickner Rebecca ScrippstenPercentOwnerPurchase69,976 @ $4.17$292K+22.4% of holding−7.2%not yet — horizon still open381,952Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-03-04Granado Corina S.tenPercentOwnerPurchase69,976 @ $4.17$292K+11.9% of holding−7.2%not yet — horizon still open660,251Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-04Scripps Eaton MtenPercentOwnerPurchase27,990 @ $4.17$117K+2.2% of holding−7.2%not yet — horizon still open1,316,175Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-03-04Granado Anthony S.tenPercentOwnerPurchase3,919 @ $4.17$16K+19.0% of holding−7.2%not yet — horizon still open24,579Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-03-04Scripps ElizabethtenPercentOwnerPurchase2,099 @ $4.17$9K+35.5% of holding−7.2%not yet — horizon still open8,020Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-03-04Evans Peggy ScrippstenPercentOwnerPurchase2,099 @ $4.17$9Kownership Δ n/a−7.2%not yet — horizon still open2,099Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-03-03Granado Corina S.tenPercentOwnerPurchase260,000 @ $3.91$1.0M+78.7% of holding−5.3%not yet — horizon still open590,275Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-03-03Barmonde Charles L.directorPurchase40,000 @ $3.91$156K+5.7% of holding−5.3%not yet — horizon still open740,069Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-03-03Granado Geraldine ScrippstenPercentOwnerPurchase40,000 @ $3.91$156K+400.0% of holding−5.3%not yet — horizon still open50,000Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-03-03Symson AdamdirectorPurchase26,910 @ $3.69$99K+2.4% of holding−5.3%not yet — horizon still open1,164,457Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-03-03Holcomb MonicadirectorPurchase7,500 @ $3.91$29K+45.4% of holding−5.3%not yet — horizon still open24,005Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

167 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-05-05HAYDEN JOHN WdirectorOption exercise90,673249,535Form 4
2026-05-05Jablin Burton FdirectorOption exercise90,673154,827Form 4
2026-05-05Jablin Burton FdirectorOption exercise90,6730Form 4
2026-05-05Granado Raymundo H. Jr.directorOption exercise90,673171,671Form 4
2026-05-05Granado Raymundo H. Jr.directorOption exercise90,6730Form 4
2026-05-05Radford LeighdirectorOption exercise90,673154,827Form 4
2026-05-05Williams KimdirectorOption exercise90,6730Form 4
2026-05-05Williams KimdirectorOption exercise90,673323,293Form 4
2026-05-05CONLIN KELLY PdirectorOption exercise90,6730Form 4
2026-05-05CONLIN KELLY PdirectorOption exercise90,673202,425Form 4
2026-05-05Mehta NishatdirectorOption exercise90,673131,656Form 4
2026-05-05Mehta NishatdirectorOption exercise90,6730Form 4
2026-05-05Alexander Marcellus Winston JrdirectorOption exercise90,6730Form 4
2026-05-05Alexander Marcellus Winston JrdirectorOption exercise90,673178,458Form 4
2026-05-05Holcomb MonicadirectorOption exercise90,6730Form 4
2026-05-05Holcomb MonicadirectorOption exercise90,673148,341Form 4
2026-05-05HAYDEN JOHN WdirectorOption exercise90,6730Form 4
2026-05-05Barmonde Charles L.directorOption exercise90,6730Form 4
2026-05-05Barmonde Charles L.directorOption exercise90,673830,742Form 4
2026-05-05Radford LeighdirectorOption exercise90,6730Form 4
2026-05-04Williams KimdirectorAward / grant49,57549,575Form 4
2026-05-04Jablin Burton FdirectorAward / grant49,57549,575Form 4
2026-05-04Mehta NishatdirectorAward / grant49,57549,575Form 4
2026-05-04Alexander Marcellus Winston JrdirectorAward / grant49,57549,575Form 4
2026-05-04Radford LeighdirectorAward / grant49,57549,575Form 4
2026-05-04Granado Raymundo H. Jr.directorAward / grant49,57549,575Form 4
2026-05-04Holcomb MonicadirectorAward / grant49,57549,575Form 4
2026-05-04HAYDEN JOHN WdirectorAward / grant49,57549,575Form 4
2026-05-04Barmonde Charles L.directorAward / grant49,57549,575Form 4
2026-05-04CONLIN KELLY PdirectorAward / grant49,57549,575Form 4
2026-05-04Ward Tracy TunneydirectorAward / grant49,57549,575Form 4
2026-03-01Combs JasonofficerAward / grant230,570489,637Form 4
2026-03-01Perschke DanielofficerWithheld for tax14,8311,139Form 4
2026-03-01Perschke DanielofficerAward / grant24,07924,079Form 4
2026-03-01Tomlin LauraofficerWithheld for tax39,14243,923Form 4
2026-03-01Tomlin LauraofficerOption exercise128,531172,454Form 4
2026-03-01Tomlin LauraofficerOption exercise5,6660Form 4
2026-03-01Tomlin LauraofficerOption exercise23,74123,742Form 4
2026-03-01Tomlin LauraofficerOption exercise13,43926,878Form 4
2026-03-01Tomlin LauraofficerAward / grant161,399342,746Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures iStock trades disclosed by members of Congress for this company, by the date they were filed.iDisclosures shown as facts. A purchase “cluster” (≥2 members of Congress filing a buy within 90 days) has historically preceded modestly higher forward returns — and it persisted out-of-sample, though it roughly halved after 2021 (see below). A descriptive historical tendency, not a signal to trade and not used in our forecast. See /methodology.

As of 2026-09-17 · point-in-time by filed date

Purchase clusters · 2015–2021 (dev)+45 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 59.3% vs 57.3% · n=31,607 cluster ticker-weeks
Purchase clusters · 2022–2026 (out-of-sample)+32 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 54.0% vs 53.3% · n=27,793

A cluster = ≥2 members of Congress filing a purchase within 90 days. The historical tilt persisted after 2021 but roughly halved (+45 → +32 bp/mo forward 1-month vs the S&P 500 weekly-grid baseline). Descriptive historical tendency — not a signal to trade, and not used in our forecast (audition-log 2026-07-27, recomputed 2026-09-08).

MemberChamberTypeFiledTradedSize
Thomas MacarthurHousesale2016-03-032016-02-01$15–50K
Thomas MacarthurHousepurchase2015-09-082015-08-19$1–15K

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.