SSMR · TickerCove

SSMRSunshine Silver Mining & Refining CompanyBasic Materials · Other Precious Metalsas of 2026-09-16

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $15.73 · now $15.73 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, SSMR has typically landed between $13.48 and $20.73 — a range of −14.3% to +31.8% from the issuance price $15.73.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

51 overlapping 1 month windows · 2026-06-04 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($15.73) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$15.73 · 50% of range

$12.53 low$18.94 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-09-16 — factual context, not a signal.

Distribution ranges onlyiThis name has too little trading history to publish a calibrated probability, so we show its distribution ranges only — no directional call. Its record is still building.

No directional probability — ranges below.

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

+9.9%

typical move · IQR 22.8%

−14.3%worst (p90)+31.8%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

0 open-market sales

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

0 buys · 0 sells · 0 members

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where SSMR has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $15.73 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $15.73 (+0.0%)
typical $17.29 (+9.9%)
middle 50% $15.49–$19.08
90% range $13.48–$20.73

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 51 windows spanning 2026-06-04 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2026-06-04	−19.9%	−25.5%	+0.0%
2026-06-08	−12.8%	−15.3%	+1.6%
2026-06-15	−12.3%	−16.6%	+0.0%
3 best
2026-07-29	+38.1%	+0.0%	+39.1%
2026-07-14	+33.5%	+0.0%	+33.5%
2026-07-24	+31.6%	−5.4%	+31.6%

51 overlapping windows · 2026-06-04 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing
2026-06-05	Ospraie Real Assets Fund LP	tenPercentOwner	Sale	555,555 @ $13.50	$7.5M	−2.2% of holding	−11.8%	not yet — horizon still open	24,758,995	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-06-05	El-Erian Anna	director	Purchase	40,000 @ $13.50	$540K	+448.0% of holding	−11.8%	not yet — horizon still open	48,929	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-06-05	Groh Douglas	director	Purchase	10,000 @ $13.50	$135K	+7.5% of holding	−11.8%	not yet — horizon still open	143,929	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-06-05	SHEPSTON MICHELLE H	officer	Purchase	5,000 @ $13.50	$68K	ownership Δ n/a	−11.8%	not yet — horizon still open	5,000	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-06-05	Radford Lawrence P	director	Purchase	2,500 @ $13.50	$34K	+28.0% of holding	−11.8%	not yet — horizon still open	11,429	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-06-05	White Heather Eileen	director	Purchase	2,000 @ $13.50	$27K	ownership Δ n/a	−11.8%	not yet — horizon still open	2,000	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-06-05	SHEPSTON MICHELLE H	officer	Purchase	65 @ $13.50	$878	ownership Δ n/a	−11.8%	not yet — horizon still open	65	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

17 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Owned after	Filing
2026-06-05	KAPLAN THOMAS SCOTT	director	Option exercise	2,739,640	78,677,940	Form 4
2026-06-05	Tigris Financial Group Ltd.	tenPercentOwner	Option exercise	2,739,640	78,677,940	Form 4
2026-06-05	Tigris Financial Group Ltd.	tenPercentOwner	Withheld for tax	582,022	78,095,918	Form 4
2026-06-05	KAPLAN THOMAS SCOTT	director	Withheld for tax	582,022	78,095,918	Form 4
2026-06-05	Ospraie Real Assets Fund LP	tenPercentOwner	Exercise	2,615,060	25,314,550	Form 4
2026-06-05	KAPLAN THOMAS SCOTT	director	Award / grant	8,929	8,929	Form 4
2026-06-05	Groh Douglas	director	Award / grant	8,929	133,929	Form 4
2026-06-05	Muniz Quintanilla Daniel	director	Award / grant	8,929	8,929	Form 4
2026-06-05	Radford Lawrence P	director	Award / grant	8,929	8,929	Form 4
2026-06-05	Zink Paul H	director	Award / grant	8,929	8,929	Form 4
2026-06-05	Tigris Financial Group Ltd.	tenPercentOwner	Option exercise	2,739,640	0	Form 4
2026-06-05	KAPLAN THOMAS SCOTT	director	Option exercise	2,739,640	0	Form 4
2026-06-05	Ebeling Nathan John	director	Award / grant	8,929	8,929	Form 4
2026-06-05	El-Erian Anna	director	Award / grant	8,929	8,929	Form 4
2026-06-05	Erfan Ali	director	Award / grant	8,929	8,929	Form 4
2026-06-05	Tigris Financial Group Ltd.	tenPercentOwner	Award / grant	8,929	8,929	Form 4
2026-06-05	Ospraie Real Assets Fund LP	tenPercentOwner	Exercise	2,615,060	0	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Resolves in i

28d remaining

2026-09-173% elapsed2026-10-15

Logged immutably 2026-09-17; scored automatically on 2026-10-15 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.