Issued 2026-09-16 at $3.27 · now $3.27 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, SSII has typically landed between $2.12 and $5.07 — a range of −35.1% to +54.9% from the issuance price $3.27.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
508 overlapping 1 month windows · 2024-08-07 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($3.27) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where SSII has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $3.27 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $3.27 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $3.25 (-0.7%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $2.87–$3.62
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $2.12–$5.07
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 508 windows spanning 2024-08-07 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2025-05-15 | −67.4% | −67.4% | +0.0% |
| 2025-05-16 | −65.2% | −67.1% | +0.0% |
| 2025-05-14 | −64.8% | −64.8% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2025-06-16 | +156.8% | +0.0% | +156.8% |
| 2024-11-21 | +133.3% | +0.0% | +133.3% |
| 2025-06-17 | +131.9% | +0.0% | +143.3% |
508 overlapping windows · 2024-08-07 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~3 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Jan
50%
−2.6%
n=2
Feb
100%
+7.4%
n=2
Mar
100%
+4.1%
n=2
Apr
50%
−5.4%
n=2
May
0%
−21.9%
n=2
Jun
50%
−0.8%
n=2
Jul
50%
+5.6%
n=2
Aug
50%
−5.6%
n=2
Sep
33%
+4.6%
n=3
Oct
50%
+12.7%
n=2
Nov
0%
−12.5%
n=2
Dec
50%
+48.8%
n=2
Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Sudhir Srivastava | director | Sale | 33,333 @ $3.00 | $100K | −0.0% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 108,520,928 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-06 | Sudhir Srivastava | director | Purchase | 498,753 @ $4.01 | $2.0M | +0.5% of holding | +9.3% | −38.4% | 109,851,767 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-06 | MOLL FREDERIC H | director | Purchase | 501,253 @ $3.99 | $2.0M | +4.9% of holding | +9.3% | −38.4% | 10,775,485 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-06 | Adams Timothy P. | director | Purchase | 300,000 @ $3.99 | $1.2M | +6.0% of holding | +9.3% | −38.4% | 5,331,902 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-04-22 | Cohen Barry F | director | Purchase | 226 @ $9.00 | $2K | +0.0% of holding | −11.5% | −17.9% | 8,844,206 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-04-22 | Cohen Barry F | director | Purchase | 100 @ $8.90 | $890 | +0.0% of holding | −11.5% | −17.9% | 8,843,980 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-04-17 | Cohen Barry F | director | Purchase | 100 @ $8.75 | $875 | +0.0% of holding | −1.7% | −15.6% | 8,843,880 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2025-04-16 | Cohen Barry F | director | Purchase | 107 @ $9.50 | $1K | +0.0% of holding | −9.5% | −35.0% | 8,843,780 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-04-14 | Cohen Barry F | director | Purchase | 103 @ $8.93 | $920 | +0.0% of holding | −3.2% | −27.9% | 8,843,673 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-04-10 | Cohen Barry F | director | Purchase | 200 @ $8.93 | $2K | +0.0% of holding | +2.5% | −47.4% | 8,843,570 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-04-09 | Cohen Barry F | director | Purchase | 200 @ $8.95 | $2K | +0.0% of holding | +9.9% | −42.4% | 8,843,270 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-04-09 | Cohen Barry F | director | Purchase | 100 @ $7.50 | $750 | +0.0% of holding | +9.9% | −42.4% | 8,843,370 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-04-08 | Cohen Barry F | director | Purchase | 500 @ $9.16 | $5K | +0.0% of holding | −2.5% | −62.4% | 8,843,070 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-04-02 | Cohen Barry F | director | Purchase | 420 @ $9.20 | $4K | +0.0% of holding | +7.4% | −52.7% | 8,842,570 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-04-01 | Cohen Barry F | director | Purchase | 1,500 @ $9.75 | $15K | +0.0% of holding | +11.3% | −47.0% | 8,842,150 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-04-01 | Cohen Barry F | director | Purchase | 570 @ $9.40 | $5K | +0.0% of holding | +11.3% | −47.0% | 8,840,150 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-04-01 | Cohen Barry F | director | Purchase | 500 @ $10.00 | $5K | +0.0% of holding | +11.3% | −47.0% | 8,840,650 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-03-31 | Cohen Barry F | director | Purchase | 100 @ $10.00 | $1K | +0.0% of holding | +9.8% | −54.8% | 8,839,580 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-02-20 | Sudhir Srivastava | director | Sale | 3,645,224 @ $1.37 | $5.0M | −3.8% of holding | +1.3% | −29.3% | 91,338,146 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-02-20 | MOLL FREDERIC H | director | Purchase | 3,645,224 @ $1.37 | $5.0M | +56.8% of holding | +1.3% | −29.3% | 10,060,813 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-02-14 | Sudhir Srivastava | director | Sale | 1,250,000 @ $1.37 | $1.7M | −1.3% of holding | −1.0% | −40.6% | 94,983,370 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-02-14 | Adams Timothy P. | director | Purchase | 1,250,000 @ $1.37 | $1.7M | +33.1% of holding | −1.0% | −40.6% | 5,031,902 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-01-31 | Sudhir Srivastava | director | Sale | 182,216 @ $1.37 | $250K | −0.2% of holding | +0.0% | −36.3% | 96,455,158 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-01-29 | Sudhir Srivastava | director | Sale | 1,093,294 @ $1.37 | $1.5M | −1.1% of holding | +8.4% | −30.6% | 96,637,374 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-01-23 | Cohen Barry F | director | Purchase | 105 @ $8.99 | $944 | +0.0% of holding | +40.4% | −2.7% | 8,961,259 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-01-23 | Cohen Barry F | director | Purchase | 100 @ $9.00 | $900 | +0.0% of holding | +40.4% | −2.7% | 8,961,054 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-01-23 | Cohen Barry F | director | Purchase | 100 @ $8.99 | $899 | +0.0% of holding | +40.4% | −2.7% | 8,961,154 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-01-22 | Cohen Barry F | director | Purchase | 107 @ $9.00 | $963 | +0.0% of holding | +12.2% | −25.2% | 8,960,954 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-01-21 | Cohen Barry F | director | Purchase | 118 @ $8.64 | $1K | +0.0% of holding | +16.4% | −25.2% | 8,960,847 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-01-17 | Sudhir Srivastava | director | Sale | 364,431 @ $1.37 | $500K | −0.4% of holding | +14.4% | −7.0% | 97,730,668 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-01-09 | Sudhir Srivastava | director | Sale | 1,457,726 @ $1.37 | $2.0M | −1.5% of holding | +0.9% | −50.7% | 98,095,099 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-01-09 | MOLL FREDERIC H | director | Purchase | 1,457,726 @ $1.37 | $2.0M | ownership Δ n/a | +0.9% | −50.7% | 1,457,726 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2024-12-31 | Sudhir Srivastava | director | Sale | 3,644,315 @ $1.37 | $5.0M | −3.5% of holding | +18.4% | −39.7% | 99,552,825 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2024-12-31 | MOLL FREDERIC H | director | Purchase | 2,186,589 @ $1.37 | $3.0M | +51.7% of holding | +18.4% | −39.7% | 6,415,589 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2024-12-30 | Cohen Barry F | director | Purchase | 100 @ $8.50 | $850 | +0.0% of holding | +9.3% | −44.1% | 8,960,729 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2024-12-30 | Cohen Barry F | director | Purchase | 100 @ $8.00 | $800 | +0.0% of holding | +9.3% | −44.1% | 8,960,549 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2024-12-30 | Cohen Barry F | director | Purchase | 80 @ $8.25 | $660 | +0.0% of holding | +9.3% | −44.1% | 8,960,629 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2024-12-27 | Cohen Barry F | director | Purchase | 140 @ $8.00 | $1K | +0.0% of holding | +11.4% | −40.3% | 8,960,449 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2024-12-27 | Cohen Barry F | director | Purchase | 50 @ $8.00 | $400 | +0.0% of holding | +11.4% | −40.3% | 8,960,309 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2024-12-27 | Cohen Barry F | director | Purchase | 50 @ $7.99 | $400 | +0.0% of holding | +11.4% | −40.3% | 8,960,259 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2024-12-26 | Cohen Barry F | director | Purchase | 109 @ $8.00 | $872 | +0.0% of holding | +13.0% | −32.6% | 8,960,209 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2024-12-23 | Sudhir Srivastava | director | Sale | 3,645,224 @ $1.37 | $5.0M | −3.4% of holding | +20.6% | −21.6% | 103,207,140 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2024-12-23 | Cohen Barry F | director | Purchase | 300 @ $5.00 | $2K | +0.0% of holding | +20.6% | −21.6% | 8,959,999 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2024-12-23 | Cohen Barry F | director | Purchase | 100 @ $7.00 | $700 | +0.0% of holding | +20.6% | −21.6% | 8,960,100 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2024-12-23 | Cohen Barry F | director | Purchase | 1 @ $6.50 | $7 | +0.0% of holding | +20.6% | −21.6% | 8,960,000 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2024-12-20 | Cohen Barry F | director | Purchase | 218 @ $5.00 | $1K | +0.0% of holding | +42.2% | +26.7% | 8,959,699 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2024-12-19 | Cohen Barry F | director | Purchase | 100 @ $5.00 | $500 | +0.0% of holding | +35.8% | +13.4% | 8,959,481 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2024-12-10 | Adams Timothy P. | director | Purchase | 1,400,620 @ $1.46 | $2.0M | +58.8% of holding | +93.8% | −16.4% | 3,781,902 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2024-12-10 | Sudhir Srivastava | director | Sale | 1,400,620 @ $1.46 | $2.0M | −1.3% of holding | +93.8% | −16.4% | 106,852,364 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
57 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 | Sudhir Srivastava | director | Gift | 10,000 | 108,554,261 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-04 | Vishwajyoti Pascual Srivastava | director | Gift | 1,000,000 | 3,000,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-04 | Sudhir Srivastava | director | Gift | 1,000,000 | 108,564,261 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | Cohen Barry F | director | Gift | 25,000 | 7,755,088 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-12 | Sudhir Srivastava | director | Other acquisition | 21,506 | 109,564,261 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-14 | Sudhir Srivastava | director | Gift | 10,000 | 109,585,767 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-06 | Cohen Barry F | director | Other acquisition | 19,000 | 7,780,088 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-01 | Cohen Barry F | director | Gift | 7,000 | 7,799,088 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-30 | Sudhir Srivastava | director | Gift | 246,000 | 109,595,767 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-25 | Sudhir Srivastava | director | Gift | 10,000 | 109,841,767 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-02 | Cohen Barry F | director | Other acquisition | 32,000 | 7,806,088 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-20 | Vishwajyoti Pascual Srivastava | director | Gift | 2,000,000 | 2,000,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-20 | Sudhir Srivastava | director | Gift | 2,000,000 | 109,353,014 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-19 | Sudhir Srivastava | director | Gift | 10,000 | 111,353,014 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-17 | Sudhir Srivastava | director | Other acquisition | 800,000 | 111,743,014 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-17 | Sudhir Srivastava | director | Other acquisition | 400,000 | 111,343,014 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-30 | Cohen Barry F | director | Gift | 28,500 | 7,835,088 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-28 | Sudhir Srivastava | director | Gift | 10,000 | 112,543,014 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-05 | Sudhir Srivastava | director | Gift | 30,000 | 112,553,014 | Form 4 |
| 2025-10-08 | Cohen Barry F | director | Gift | 3,300 | 7,863,588 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-05 | Sudhir Srivastava | director | Gift | 105,000 | 112,583,014 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-03 | Sudhir Srivastava | director | Gift | 2,500 | 112,688,014 | Form 4 |
| 2025-08-11 | Sudhir Srivastava | director | Gift | 16,000 | 112,685,514 | Form 4 |
| 2025-08-11 | Sudhir Srivastava | director | Gift | 10,000 | 112,691,514 | Form 4 |
| 2025-08-11 | Sudhir Srivastava | director | Gift | 10,000 | 112,701,514 | Form 4 |
| 2025-07-14 | Sudhir Srivastava | director | Gift | 20,000 | 112,681,514 | Form 4 |
| 2025-07-11 | Sudhir Srivastava | director | Gift | 40,000 | 112,701,514 | Form 4 |
| 2025-07-11 | Sudhir Srivastava | director | Gift | 40,000 | 112,661,514 | Form 4 |
| 2025-05-22 | Cohen Barry F | director | Gift | 1,000,000 | 7,866,888 | Form 4 |
| 2025-05-16 | Sudhir Srivastava | director | Gift | 10,000 | 112,701,514 | Form 4 |
| 2025-05-12 | Sudhir Srivastava | director | Gift | 25,000 | 112,711,514 | Form 4 |
| 2025-04-24 | Sudhir Srivastava | director | Gift | 5,000 | 112,736,514 | Form 4 |
| 2025-04-24 | Sudhir Srivastava | director | Gift | 10,000 | 112,741,514 | Form 4 |
| 2025-04-15 | Sudhir Srivastava | director | Gift | 10,000 | 112,751,514 | Form 4 |
| 2025-04-01 | Sudhir Srivastava | director | Gift | 165,000 | 112,761,514 | Form 4 |
| 2025-03-31 | Sudhir Srivastava | director | Conversion | 5,811,554 | 112,926,514 | Form 4 |
| 2025-03-31 | Sudhir Srivastava | director | Conversion | 1 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2025-03-31 | Sudhir Srivastava | director | Conversion | 1 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2025-03-19 | Sudhir Srivastava | director | Award / grant | 1 | 1 | Form 4 |
| 2025-03-07 | Sudhir Srivastava | director | Gift | 270,000 | 107,114,960 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.