SSDSimpson Manufacturing Co., Inc.Basic Materials · Construction Materialsas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $172.17 · now $172.17 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, SSD has typically landed between $150.97 and $199.04 — a range of −12.3% to +15.6% from the issuance price $172.17.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($172.17) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where SSD has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $172.17 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$150.97worst · -12.3%$199.04best · +15.6%
  • now $172.17 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $173.47 (+0.8%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $162.84–$184.09
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $150.97–$199.04
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,003 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2020-02-21−42.3%−42.3%+0.0%
2020-02-24−34.8%−40.5%+2.6%
2020-02-20−34.6%−34.6%+0.1%
3 best
2009-07-07+46.0%−0.4%+46.6%
2009-07-09+45.0%−0.9%+45.9%
2009-07-10+42.8%+0.0%+47.2%

5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
40%
−1.7%
n=20
Feb
45%
−0.5%
n=20
Mar
55%
+1.5%
n=20
Apr
40%
+2.2%
n=20
May
50%
−0.1%
n=20
Jun
70%
+2.3%
n=20
Jul
75%
+4.4%
n=20
Aug
55%
+0.0%
n=20
Sep
35%
−1.3%
n=20
Oct
55%
+2.4%
n=20
Nov
75%
+4.7%
n=20
Dec
55%
+1.9%
n=20

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$210$1572026-09-10: 1 insider sale, $605K — Olosky Michael2026-08-04: 1 insider sale, $156K — ANDRASICK JAMES S2025-12-12: 1 insider sale, $399K — Donaldson Philip E2025-11-11: 1 insider sale, $102K — ANDRASICK JAMES S2025-08-25: 1 insider sale, $196K — Andersen Michael2025-08: 2 open-market sales, $642K2025-11: 1 open-market sale, $102K2025-12: 1 open-market sale, $399K2026-08: 1 open-market sale, $156K2026-09: 1 open-market sale, $605K↑ buys↓ salesdirector Olosky Michael — Sale on 2026-09-10, filed 1 day after the tradedirector ANDRASICK JAMES S — Sale on 2026-08-04, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Donaldson Philip E — Sale on 2025-12-12, filed 3 days after the tradedirector ANDRASICK JAMES S — Sale on 2025-11-11, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Andersen Michael — Sale on 2025-08-25, filed 1 day after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-09-10Olosky MichaeldirectorSale3,502 @ $172.84$605K−6.4% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open51,398Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-04ANDRASICK JAMES SdirectorSale800 @ $195.62$156K−92.9% of holding−8.8%not yet — horizon still open61Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-12-12Donaldson Philip EdirectorSale2,375 @ $168.16$399K−28.1% of holding+7.2%+5.1%6,086Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-11-11ANDRASICK JAMES SdirectorSale600 @ $170.00$102K−76.6% of holding+1.0%+0.7%183Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-08-25Andersen MichaelofficerSale1,000 @ $196.13$196K−11.4% of holding−12.7%−10.1%7,810Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-08-01Gilstrap JeremyofficerSale2,500 @ $178.27$446K−24.3% of holding+2.0%−11.9%7,794Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-05-14ANDRASICK JAMES SdirectorSale866 @ $165.38$143K−52.5% of holding−5.8%−13.2%783Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-05-01Lutz JenniferofficerSale330 @ $154.45$51K−7.5% of holding−5.2%−8.4%4,047Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-02-25Andersen MichaelofficerSale1,000 @ $169.98$170K−10.2% of holding−3.1%+4.8%8,810Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2024-12-04Dankel RogerofficerSale250 @ $183.06$46K−1.0% of holding−8.0%−12.4%23,814Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2024-12-03Lutz JenniferofficerSale700 @ $184.47$129K−17.4% of holding−8.1%−14.8%3,333Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

56 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-08-18Bullock NozomiofficerDiscretionary220Form 4
2026-05-06Drake Angela CdirectorAward / grant6781,691Form 4
2026-05-06Knight Kenneth D.directorAward / grant6784,775Form 4
2026-05-06Banks ChaudirectorAward / grant6783,019Form 4
2026-05-06Coney FelicadirectorAward / grant6783,019Form 4
2026-05-06FORD CELESTE VOLZdirectorAward / grant67814,112Form 4
2026-05-06ANDRASICK JAMES SdirectorAward / grant678861Form 4
2026-05-06Donaldson Philip EdirectorAward / grant9297,015Form 4
2026-02-17Olosky MichaeldirectorWithheld for tax1,58254,896Form 4
2026-02-17Payton CassandraofficerWithheld for tax7494,688Form 4
2026-02-17Gilstrap JeremyofficerWithheld for tax41810,900Form 4
2026-02-17Mehta UditofficerWithheld for tax3864,990Form 4
2026-02-17Burton PhillipofficerWithheld for tax3449,907Form 4
2026-02-17Dunn MattofficerWithheld for tax1854,687Form 4
2026-02-17Andersen MichaelofficerAward / grant3,62412,417Form 4
2026-02-17Burton PhillipofficerAward / grant3,24810,251Form 4
2026-02-17Gilstrap JeremyofficerAward / grant2,44911,318Form 4
2026-02-17Olosky MichaeldirectorAward / grant17,14056,478Form 4
2026-02-17Payton CassandraofficerAward / grant9635,437Form 4
2026-01-27Gilstrap JeremyofficerAward / grant1,0758,869Form 4
2026-01-27Dunn MattofficerAward / grant2,6674,872Form 4
2026-01-27Mehta UditofficerAward / grant9705,376Form 4
2026-01-27Bullock NozomiofficerAward / grant773773Form 4
2026-01-27Olosky MichaeldirectorAward / grant9,48039,338Form 4
2026-01-27Burton PhillipofficerAward / grant1,5157,003Form 4
2026-01-27Payton CassandraofficerAward / grant1,3794,474Form 4
2026-01-27Andersen MichaelofficerAward / grant9838,793Form 4
2025-05-06Banks ChaudirectorAward / grant7832,341Form 4
2025-05-06Donaldson Philip EdirectorAward / grant1,0728,461Form 4
2025-05-06Drake Angela CdirectorAward / grant7831,013Form 4
2025-05-06FORD CELESTE VOLZdirectorAward / grant78313,434Form 4
2025-05-06Knight Kenneth D.directorAward / grant7834,097Form 4
2025-05-06ANDRASICK JAMES SdirectorAward / grant7831,649Form 4
2025-05-06Coney FelicadirectorAward / grant7832,341Form 4
2025-02-18Olosky MichaeldirectorWithheld for tax83929,858Form 4
2025-02-18Mehta UditofficerWithheld for tax3204,406Form 4
2025-02-18Burton PhillipofficerWithheld for tax2745,488Form 4
2025-02-18Payton CassandraofficerWithheld for tax2553,095Form 4
2025-02-18Gilstrap JeremyofficerWithheld for tax19110,294Form 4
2025-02-18Dunn MattofficerWithheld for tax572,205Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.