Issued 2026-09-16 at $3.07 · now $3.07 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, SRTS has typically landed between $2.27 and $4.30 — a range of −26.1% to +40.1% from the issuance price $3.07.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
2,529 overlapping 1 month windows · 2016-07-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($3.07) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where SRTS has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $3.07 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $3.07 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $3.09 (+0.7%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $2.67–$3.51
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $2.27–$4.3
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2022-10-28 | −53.8% | −54.8% | +2.1% |
| 2022-11-01 | −53.4% | −55.7% | +0.0% |
| 2022-10-26 | −52.6% | −53.2% | +5.5% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2024-04-17 | +97.5% | +0.0% | +97.5% |
| 2021-11-05 | +92.5% | −0.7% | +92.5% |
| 2024-04-16 | +91.9% | +0.0% | +91.9% |
2,529 overlapping windows · 2016-07-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~11 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | Sachetta Eric | director | Purchase | 27,304 @ $3.54 | $97K | +10.2% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 294,784 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-08-28 | Sachetta Eric | director | Purchase | 37,537 @ $3.44 | $129K | +16.3% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 267,480 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-27 | Sachetta Eric | director | Purchase | 10,925 @ $3.18 | $35K | +5.0% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 229,943 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-26 | Sachetta Eric | director | Purchase | 9,708 @ $3.29 | $32K | +4.6% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 219,018 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-24 | Sachetta Eric | director | Purchase | 34,697 @ $3.25 | $113K | +19.9% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 209,310 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-21 | Sachetta Eric | director | Purchase | 7,000 @ $3.25 | $23K | +4.2% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 174,613 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-20 | Sachetta Eric | director | Purchase | 24,000 @ $3.13 | $75K | +16.7% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 167,613 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-20 | Sardano Joseph C | director | Purchase | 20,000 @ $3.02 | $60K | +1.7% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 1,220,293 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-12 | Sachetta Eric | director | Purchase | 1,500 @ $3.33 | $5K | +1.1% of holding | −19.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 143,613 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-02-24 | Sachetta Eric | director | Purchase | 2,000 @ $3.81 | $8K | +1.4% of holding | +14.1% | −24.5% | 142,113 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-21 | Sachetta Eric | director | Purchase | 7,000 @ $3.93 | $28K | +5.3% of holding | −10.4% | −36.7% | 140,113 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-11-18 | Sardano Joseph C | director | Purchase | 25,000 @ $4.03 | $101K | +2.1% of holding | −7.4% | −33.2% | 1,200,293 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-11-18 | Sardano Michael | director | Purchase | 1,000 @ $3.80 | $4K | +0.8% of holding | −7.4% | −33.2% | 118,839 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-11-13 | Sachetta Eric | director | Purchase | 2,500 @ $4.50 | $11K | +1.9% of holding | −18.6% | −32.7% | 133,113 | Form 4 · filed 7 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-11 | Sardano Michael | director | Purchase | 1,000 @ $4.26 | $4K | +0.9% of holding | −8.5% | −24.4% | 117,839 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-08-13 | Sardano Michael | director | Purchase | 1,000 @ $3.37 | $3K | +0.9% of holding | −9.0% | +29.7% | 116,839 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-02-10 | Sardano Michael | director | Purchase | 1,000 @ $5.95 | $6K | +0.9% of holding | −16.9% | −53.0% | 115,839 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-02-10 | Rampolla Javier | officer | Purchase | 501 @ $5.95 | $3K | +1.2% of holding | −16.9% | −53.0% | 40,745 | Form 4 · filed same day |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
5 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-12 | Sardano Michael | director | Award / grant | 40,000 | 158,839 | Form 4 |
| 2024-12-17 | McCall William H | director | Award / grant | 20,000 | 30,000 | Form 4 |
| 2024-12-17 | Petrelli Anthony Benedict | director | Award / grant | 20,000 | 66,466 | Form 4 |
| 2024-12-17 | Cornish Megan | director | Award / grant | 20,000 | 32,000 | Form 4 |
| 2024-12-17 | Sardano Michael | director | Award / grant | 40,000 | 114,839 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.