Issued 2026-09-16 at $5.22 · now $5.22 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, SRTA has typically landed between $3.89 and $6.89 — a range of −25.4% to +32.0% from the issuance price $5.22.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
1,703 overlapping 1 month windows · 2019-11-05 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($5.22) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where SRTA has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $5.22 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $5.22 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $5.16 (-1.2%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $4.46–$5.86
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $3.89–$6.89
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2022-05-27 | −39.0% | −39.0% | +1.4% |
| 2022-06-02 | −36.8% | −39.9% | +0.0% |
| 2023-02-15 | −36.6% | −36.6% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2023-10-19 | +65.0% | −4.1% | +70.5% |
| 2023-10-17 | +62.3% | −8.8% | +62.3% |
| 2023-10-16 | +59.9% | −6.3% | +59.9% |
1,703 overlapping windows · 2019-11-05 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~7 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-10 | Love Reginald | director | Sale | 5,091 @ $5.75 | $29K | −3.4% of holding | −10.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 146,481 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-08 | Heyburn William A. | director | Sale | 31,671 @ $5.87 | $186K | −2.0% of holding | −14.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,548,997 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-08 | Tomkiel Melissa M. | director | Sale | 29,730 @ $5.87 | $175K | −1.5% of holding | −14.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,892,774 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-08 | Wunsch Scott M | officer | Sale | 5,550 @ $5.87 | $33K | −0.9% of holding | −14.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 625,574 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-08 | Cohen Amir | officer | Sale | 4,655 @ $5.87 | $27K | −3.1% of holding | −14.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 146,608 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-22 | Cohen Amir | officer | Sale | 40,575 @ $5.91 | $240K | −21.2% of holding | −8.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 151,263 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-21 | Cohen Amir | officer | Sale | 10,300 @ $5.79 | $60K | −5.1% of holding | −3.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 191,838 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-11 | Cohen Amir | officer | Sale | 14,306 @ $5.79 | $83K | −6.6% of holding | −1.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 202,138 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-09 | Heyburn William A. | director | Purchase | 17,000 @ $4.47 | $76K | +1.2% of holding | +23.2% | +12.3% | 1,403,436 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-12-05 | LAUCK ANDREW | director | Purchase | 5,000 @ $4.37 | $22K | +3.8% of holding | +34.3% | +20.9% | 135,642 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-11-20 | Love Reginald | director | Sale | 11,000 @ $4.37 | $48K | −8.8% of holding | +25.0% | +36.7% | 113,897 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-19 | Love Reginald | director | Sale | 11,000 @ $4.31 | $47K | −8.1% of holding | +18.6% | +32.1% | 124,897 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
66 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | Heyburn William A. | director | Withheld for tax | 31,671 | 1,678,348 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-08 | Tomkiel Melissa M. | director | Withheld for tax | 29,730 | 2,066,617 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-08 | Wunsch Scott M | officer | Withheld for tax | 5,711 | 663,043 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-08 | Verdetto Louis R. | officer | Withheld for tax | 5,697 | 1,128,096 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-08 | Cohen Amir | officer | Withheld for tax | 4,645 | 177,154 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-31 | Tomkiel Melissa M. | director | Withheld for tax | 212,309 | 2,096,347 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-31 | Heyburn William A. | director | Withheld for tax | 199,209 | 1,710,019 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-31 | Cohen Amir | officer | Withheld for tax | 34,015 | 181,799 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-31 | Wunsch Scott M | officer | Withheld for tax | 13,992 | 668,754 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-30 | Wunsch Scott M | officer | Award / grant | 57,172 | 682,746 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-30 | WIESENTHAL ROBERT S | director | Award / grant | 50,234 | 5,325,896 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-30 | PHILIP EDWARD M | director | Award / grant | 30,913 | 265,078 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-30 | Cohen Amir | officer | Award / grant | 41,786 | 188,394 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-30 | Cohen Amir | officer | Award / grant | 27,420 | 215,814 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-30 | Cook William L. III | director | Award / grant | 44,438 | 97,671 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-30 | Heyburn William A. | director | Award / grant | 181,071 | 1,730,068 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-30 | Heyburn William A. | director | Award / grant | 179,160 | 1,909,228 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-30 | LAUCK ANDREW | director | Award / grant | 35,260 | 170,902 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-30 | Love Reginald | director | Award / grant | 37,675 | 151,572 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-30 | Tomkiel Melissa M. | director | Award / grant | 208,929 | 2,101,703 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-30 | Tomkiel Melissa M. | director | Award / grant | 206,953 | 2,308,656 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-07 | Krstic Velibor | tenPercentOwner | Code H | 1,577,500 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-24 | Tomkiel Melissa M. | director | Withheld for tax | 321,750 | 1,922,504 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-24 | Heyburn William A. | director | Withheld for tax | 301,731 | 1,580,668 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-24 | Cohen Amir | officer | Withheld for tax | 40,960 | 216,444 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-24 | Wunsch Scott M | officer | Withheld for tax | 13,922 | 631,124 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-23 | Heyburn William A. | director | Award / grant | 545,625 | 1,882,399 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-23 | Cohen Amir | officer | Award / grant | 83,505 | 257,404 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-23 | Tomkiel Melissa M. | director | Award / grant | 630,264 | 2,244,254 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-23 | Wunsch Scott M | officer | Award / grant | 57,172 | 645,046 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-16 | Wunsch Scott M | officer | Award / grant | 18,067 | 587,874 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-08 | Heyburn William A. | director | Withheld for tax | 31,314 | 1,336,774 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-08 | Tomkiel Melissa M. | director | Withheld for tax | 29,372 | 1,613,990 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-08 | Wunsch Scott M | officer | Withheld for tax | 3,631 | 569,807 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-08 | Cohen Amir | officer | Withheld for tax | 2,433 | 179,384 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-24 | Wunsch Scott M | officer | Award / grant | 51,353 | 573,438 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-24 | Cohen Amir | officer | Award / grant | 64,191 | 181,817 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-02 | Tomkiel Melissa M. | director | Option exercise | 276,960 | 1,643,362 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-02 | Tomkiel Melissa M. | director | Option exercise | 276,960 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-10 | Heyburn William A. | director | Withheld for tax | 35,348 | 1,368,088 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.