Issued 2026-09-16 at $49.37 · now $49.37 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, SRRK has typically landed between $35.23 and $72.19 — a range of −28.6% to +46.2% from the issuance price $49.37.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
2,066 overlapping 1 month windows · 2018-05-24 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($49.37) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where SRRK has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $49.37 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $49.37 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $48.6 (-1.6%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $42.47–$54.74
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $35.23–$72.19
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2022-04-07 | −56.5% | −56.5% | +0.0% |
| 2021-03-12 | −56.1% | −56.9% | +5.4% |
| 2021-03-15 | −55.8% | −59.1% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2024-10-03 | +291.4% | +0.0% | +337.5% |
| 2024-10-02 | +286.7% | −3.8% | +320.8% |
| 2024-10-04 | +285.8% | +0.0% | +316.8% |
2,066 overlapping windows · 2018-05-24 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~9 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-01 | Peng Katie | director | Sale | 2,988 @ $53.56 | $160K | −7.5% of holding | −10.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 36,759 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-01 | Peng Katie | director | Sale | 2,437 @ $54.25 | $132K | −6.6% of holding | −10.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 34,322 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-01 | Reed Joshua | director | Sale | 2,105 @ $53.50 | $113K | −9.3% of holding | −10.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 20,466 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-01 | Burow Kristina | director | Sale | 2,105 @ $53.49 | $113K | −1.8% of holding | −10.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 115,605 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-01 | FLIER JEFFREY S. | director | Sale | 1,568 @ $53.53 | $84K | −5.1% of holding | −10.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 29,341 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-01 | FLIER JEFFREY S. | director | Sale | 1,470 @ $54.24 | $80K | −5.0% of holding | −10.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 27,871 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-01 | Gilman Michael | director | Sale | 1,346 @ $53.54 | $72K | −2.2% of holding | −10.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 60,709 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-01 | Gilman Michael | director | Sale | 1,155 @ $54.23 | $63K | −1.9% of holding | −10.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 59,554 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-01 | Burow Kristina | director | Sale | 948 @ $54.28 | $51K | −0.8% of holding | −10.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 114,657 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-01 | Reed Joshua | director | Sale | 948 @ $54.28 | $51K | −4.6% of holding | −10.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 19,518 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-01 | Gilman Michael | director | Sale | 43 @ $54.81 | $2K | −0.1% of holding | −10.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 59,511 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-01 | Peng Katie | director | Sale | 21 @ $54.96 | $1K | −0.1% of holding | −10.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 34,301 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-01 | FLIER JEFFREY S. | director | Sale | 15 @ $54.88 | $823 | −0.1% of holding | −10.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 27,856 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-16 | Hallal David | director | Sale | 30,615 @ $49.57 | $1.5M | −1.8% of holding | −6.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,639,034 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-16 | Vaishnaw Akshay | director | Sale | 12,246 @ $49.57 | $607K | −1.9% of holding | −6.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 630,542 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-16 | Sinha Vikas | director | Sale | 10,410 @ $49.57 | $516K | −1.7% of holding | −6.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 619,856 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-16 | Woods Keith | director | Sale | 10,220 @ $49.57 | $507K | −1.6% of holding | −6.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 620,055 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-23 | Qatanani Mo | officer | Sale | 7,427 @ $46.94 | $349K | −6.9% of holding | −6.0% | +11.3% | 99,502 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-23 | Qatanani Mo | officer | Sale | 857 @ $47.86 | $41K | −0.9% of holding | −6.0% | +11.3% | 98,645 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-23 | Qatanani Mo | officer | Sale | 200 @ $48.48 | $10K | −0.2% of holding | −6.0% | +11.3% | 98,445 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-17 | Ho Junlin | officer | Sale | 9,580 @ $46.53 | $446K | −3.8% of holding | −11.2% | +4.8% | 241,545 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-17 | Parlavecchio Caryn | officer | Sale | 9,035 @ $46.53 | $420K | −5.1% of holding | −11.2% | +4.8% | 169,087 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-17 | Qatanani Mo | officer | Sale | 7,989 @ $46.53 | $372K | −7.0% of holding | −11.2% | +4.8% | 106,929 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-17 | Marantz Jing L. | director | Sale | 4,157 @ $46.53 | $193K | −3.2% of holding | −11.2% | +4.8% | 126,012 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-01-22 | Qatanani Mo | officer | Sale | 12,779 @ $46.85 | $599K | −13.0% of holding | −0.6% | −8.0% | 85,660 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-01-22 | Qatanani Mo | officer | Sale | 2,119 @ $45.87 | $97K | −2.1% of holding | −0.6% | −8.0% | 98,439 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-01-16 | Qatanani Mo | officer | Sale | 8,406 @ $44.48 | $374K | −7.7% of holding | +5.2% | +4.4% | 100,558 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-01-16 | Ho Junlin | officer | Sale | 8,016 @ $44.48 | $357K | −3.6% of holding | +5.2% | +4.4% | 214,553 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-01-16 | Parlavecchio Caryn | officer | Sale | 6,600 @ $44.48 | $294K | −4.2% of holding | +5.2% | +4.4% | 148,864 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-01-16 | Marantz Jing L. | director | Sale | 5,798 @ $44.48 | $258K | −5.7% of holding | +5.2% | +4.4% | 95,687 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-01-14 | Qatanani Mo | officer | Sale | 13,112 @ $45.20 | $593K | −10.7% of holding | +2.1% | +7.7% | 108,964 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-01-13 | Hallal David | director | Sale | 57,450 @ $42.70 | $2.5M | −3.6% of holding | +8.5% | +9.5% | 1,541,645 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-01-13 | Vaishnaw Akshay | director | Sale | 20,438 @ $42.70 | $873K | −3.3% of holding | +8.5% | +9.5% | 595,767 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-01-13 | Sinha Vikas | director | Sale | 16,755 @ $42.70 | $715K | −2.8% of holding | +8.5% | +9.5% | 583,245 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-01-13 | Woods Keith | director | Sale | 16,746 @ $42.70 | $715K | −2.8% of holding | +8.5% | +9.5% | 583,254 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-16 | Peng Katie | director | Sale | 726 @ $43.88 | $32K | −2.1% of holding | −0.7% | −4.1% | 33,188 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-16 | Peng Katie | director | Sale | 280 @ $44.63 | $12K | −0.8% of holding | −0.7% | −4.1% | 32,908 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-04 | Qatanani Mo | officer | Sale | 136,462 @ $45.21 | $6.2M | −55.6% of holding | −10.0% | −11.7% | 108,964 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-10-07 | AKKARAJU SRINIVAS | director | Purchase | 12,796 @ $39.31 | $503K | +2.6% of holding | −30.4% | +22.3% | 513,235 | Form 4 · filed 70 days after the trade |
| 2025-10-07 | AKKARAJU SRINIVAS | director | Purchase | 12,400 @ $40.18 | $498K | +2.4% of holding | −30.4% | +22.3% | 525,635 | Form 4 · filed 70 days after the trade |
| 2025-10-07 | AKKARAJU SRINIVAS | director | Purchase | 4,403 @ $40.97 | $180K | +0.8% of holding | −30.4% | +22.3% | 530,038 | Form 4 · filed 70 days after the trade |
| 2025-10-06 | AKKARAJU SRINIVAS | director | Purchase | 80,863 @ $38.68 | $3.1M | +19.9% of holding | −30.1% | +24.4% | 486,691 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-10-06 | AKKARAJU SRINIVAS | director | Purchase | 18,414 @ $37.89 | $698K | +4.8% of holding | −30.1% | +24.4% | 405,828 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-10-06 | AKKARAJU SRINIVAS | director | Purchase | 13,748 @ $39.52 | $543K | +2.8% of holding | −30.1% | +24.4% | 500,439 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-10-03 | AKKARAJU SRINIVAS | director | Purchase | 319,700 @ $37.42 | $12.0M | +472.1% of holding | −25.3% | +34.1% | 387,414 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-10-03 | AKKARAJU SRINIVAS | director | Purchase | 56,703 @ $36.74 | $2.1M | +515.0% of holding | −25.3% | +34.1% | 67,714 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-10-03 | AKKARAJU SRINIVAS | director | Purchase | 11,011 @ $35.61 | $392K | ownership Δ n/a | −25.3% | +34.1% | 11,011 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-09-22 | Qatanani Mo | officer | Sale | 3,353 @ $30.67 | $103K | −3.0% of holding | −14.2% | +31.3% | 108,964 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-09-16 | Qatanani Mo | officer | Sale | 3,178 @ $33.52 | $107K | −2.8% of holding | −0.9% | +22.2% | 112,317 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-09-16 | Peng Katie | director | Sale | 930 @ $32.48 | $30K | −2.7% of holding | −0.9% | +22.2% | 33,990 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-09-16 | Peng Katie | director | Sale | 76 @ $33.20 | $3K | −0.2% of holding | −0.9% | +22.2% | 33,914 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-08-18 | Parlavecchio Caryn | officer | Sale | 2,178 @ $31.17 | $68K | −1.4% of holding | −1.1% | +41.7% | 155,464 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-07-16 | FLIER JEFFREY S. | director | Sale | 11,136 @ $40.02 | $446K | −100.0% of holding | −24.9% | −0.5% | 0 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-07-08 | Qatanani Mo | officer | Sale | 24,066 @ $34.44 | $829K | −17.2% of holding | −0.9% | +8.5% | 115,495 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-06-23 | FLIER JEFFREY S. | director | Sale | 17,550 @ $32.16 | $564K | −39.5% of holding | +13.6% | +17.9% | 26,836 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-06-23 | FLIER JEFFREY S. | director | Sale | 11,136 @ $33.21 | $370K | −50.0% of holding | +13.6% | +17.9% | 11,136 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-06-23 | FLIER JEFFREY S. | director | Sale | 2,766 @ $32.74 | $91K | −10.3% of holding | +13.6% | +17.9% | 24,070 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-06-16 | Ho Junlin | officer | Sale | 7,442 @ $32.00 | $238K | −3.2% of holding | +28.9% | +27.2% | 222,569 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-06-16 | Parlavecchio Caryn | officer | Sale | 6,186 @ $32.00 | $198K | −3.8% of holding | +28.9% | +27.2% | 157,642 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-06-16 | Qatanani Mo | officer | Sale | 3,668 @ $32.00 | $117K | −2.6% of holding | +28.9% | +27.2% | 139,561 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
127 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-04 | Burow Kristina | director | Award / grant | 6,839 | 117,710 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-04 | AKKARAJU SRINIVAS | director | Award / grant | 6,839 | 27,971 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-04 | AKKARAJU SRINIVAS | director | Award / grant | 4,310 | 4,310 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-04 | Brudnick Richard | director | Award / grant | 6,839 | 21,896 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-04 | Brudnick Richard | director | Award / grant | 4,310 | 4,310 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-04 | Burow Kristina | director | Award / grant | 4,310 | 4,310 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-04 | FLIER JEFFREY S. | director | Award / grant | 6,839 | 30,909 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-04 | FLIER JEFFREY S. | director | Award / grant | 4,310 | 4,310 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-04 | Gilman Michael | director | Award / grant | 6,839 | 62,055 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-04 | Gilman Michael | director | Award / grant | 4,310 | 4,310 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-04 | Peng Katie | director | Award / grant | 6,839 | 39,747 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-04 | Peng Katie | director | Award / grant | 4,310 | 4,310 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-04 | Reed Joshua | director | Award / grant | 6,839 | 22,571 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-04 | Reed Joshua | director | Award / grant | 4,310 | 4,310 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-23 | Burow Kristina | director | Option exercise | 36,000 | 92,871 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-23 | Burow Kristina | director | Option exercise | 7,800 | 28,871 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-23 | Burow Kristina | director | Option exercise | 18,000 | 110,871 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-23 | Burow Kristina | director | Option exercise | 28,000 | 56,871 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-23 | Burow Kristina | director | Option exercise | 36,000 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-23 | Burow Kristina | director | Option exercise | 7,800 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-23 | Burow Kristina | director | Option exercise | 28,000 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-23 | Burow Kristina | director | Option exercise | 18,000 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-09 | Vaishnaw Akshay | director | Award / grant | 47,021 | 642,788 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-09 | Ho Junlin | officer | Award / grant | 36,572 | 251,125 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-09 | Woods Keith | director | Award / grant | 47,021 | 630,275 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-09 | Hallal David | director | Award / grant | 128,004 | 1,669,649 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-09 | Parlavecchio Caryn | officer | Award / grant | 29,258 | 178,122 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-09 | Qatanani Mo | officer | Award / grant | 29,258 | 114,918 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-09 | Sinha Vikas | director | Award / grant | 47,021 | 630,266 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-09 | Marantz Jing L. | director | Award / grant | 34,482 | 130,169 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-14 | Qatanani Mo | officer | Option exercise | 2,678 | 122,076 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-14 | Qatanani Mo | officer | Option exercise | 5,893 | 119,398 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-14 | Qatanani Mo | officer | Option exercise | 2,813 | 113,505 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-14 | Qatanani Mo | officer | Option exercise | 1,407 | 110,371 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-14 | Qatanani Mo | officer | Option exercise | 321 | 110,692 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-14 | Qatanani Mo | officer | Option exercise | 2,813 | 11,250 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-14 | Qatanani Mo | officer | Option exercise | 321 | 961 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-14 | Qatanani Mo | officer | Option exercise | 5,893 | 47,143 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-14 | Qatanani Mo | officer | Option exercise | 2,678 | 32,142 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-14 | Qatanani Mo | officer | Option exercise | 1,407 | 0 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.