SRADSportradar Group AGTechnology · Software - Applicationas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $13.23 · now $13.23 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, SRAD has typically landed between $10.29 and $16.29 — a range of −22.2% to +23.1% from the issuance price $13.23.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

1,236 overlapping 1 month windows · 2021-09-14 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($13.23) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where SRAD has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $13.23 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$10.29worst · -22.2%$16.29best · +23.1%
  • now $13.23 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $13.32 (+0.6%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $11.91–$14.72
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $10.29–$16.29
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 1,236 windows spanning 2021-09-14 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2022-01-04−36.6%−36.6%+0.0%
2022-04-25−35.0%−35.0%+0.0%
2022-01-03−34.3%−34.3%+0.0%
3 best
2022-07-14+67.0%+0.0%+67.0%
2022-07-19+59.8%+0.0%+59.8%
2022-07-13+52.3%−2.4%+52.3%

1,236 overlapping windows · 2021-09-14 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~5 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
40%
−1.4%
n=5
Feb
60%
+0.9%
n=5
Mar
60%
+4.0%
n=5
Apr
20%
−12.0%
n=5
May
80%
−1.4%
n=5
Jun
80%
+6.3%
n=5
Jul
60%
+7.1%
n=5
Aug
60%
−2.0%
n=5
Sep
40%
−7.1%
n=5
Oct
40%
−1.9%
n=5
Nov
60%
+6.5%
n=5
Dec
60%
+2.8%
n=5

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$32$122026-06-10: 1 insider sale, $25K — MILLER MICHAEL CONNOLLY2026-05-06: 1 insider purchase, $2.1M — Koerl Carsten2026-05-05: 1 insider purchase, $2.1M — Koerl Carsten2026-05-04: 1 insider purchase, $2.4M — Koerl Carsten2026-05-01: 1 insider purchase, $1.9M — Koerl Carsten2026-04-30: 9 insider purchases, $2.8M — Koerl Carsten, Walder Marc, KURTZ WILLIAM, Ramanathan Rajani …2026-04: 9 open-market purchases, $2.8M2026-05: 4 open-market purchases, $8.6M2026-06: 1 open-market sale, $25K↑ buys↓ salesofficer MILLER MICHAEL CONNOLLY — Sale on 2026-06-10, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Koerl Carsten — Purchase on 2026-05-06, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Koerl Carsten — Purchase on 2026-05-05, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Koerl Carsten — Purchase on 2026-05-04, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Koerl Carsten — Purchase on 2026-05-01, filed 3 days after the tradedirector Koerl Carsten — Purchase on 2026-04-30, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Walder Marc — Purchase on 2026-04-30, filed 4 days after the tradedirector KURTZ WILLIAM — Purchase on 2026-04-30, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Ramanathan Rajani — Purchase on 2026-04-30, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Fleet George — Purchase on 2026-04-30, filed 4 days after the tradedirector YABUKI JEFFERY W — Purchase on 2026-04-30, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Bigley Deirdre Mary — Purchase on 2026-04-30, filed 4 days after the tradedirector YABUKI JEFFERY W — Purchase on 2026-04-30, filed 4 days after the tradedirector YABUKI JEFFERY W — Purchase on 2026-04-30, filed 4 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-06-10MILLER MICHAEL CONNOLLYofficerSale1,500 @ $16.50$25K−2.0% of holding−10.4%not yet — horizon still open72,414Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-06Koerl CarstendirectorPurchase157,801 @ $13.49$2.1M+6.0% of holding+3.5%not yet — horizon still open2,776,073Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-05Koerl CarstendirectorPurchase158,000 @ $13.40$2.1M+6.4% of holding+1.4%not yet — horizon still open2,618,272Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-04Koerl CarstendirectorPurchase182,000 @ $13.38$2.4M+8.0% of holding−1.7%not yet — horizon still open2,460,272Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-01Koerl CarstendirectorPurchase143,000 @ $13.23$1.9M+6.7% of holding−2.2%not yet — horizon still open2,278,272Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-04-30Koerl CarstendirectorPurchase111,100 @ $13.06$1.5M+5.5% of holding−0.0%not yet — horizon still open2,135,272Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-04-30Walder MarcdirectorPurchase66,000 @ $12.77$843K+23.9% of holding−0.0%not yet — horizon still open342,563Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-04-30KURTZ WILLIAMdirectorPurchase8,000 @ $12.97$104K+36.1% of holding−0.0%not yet — horizon still open30,179Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-04-30Ramanathan RajanidirectorPurchase8,003 @ $12.49$100K+25.9% of holding−0.0%not yet — horizon still open38,947Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-04-30Fleet GeorgedirectorPurchase7,850 @ $12.73$100K+5.1% of holding−0.0%not yet — horizon still open160,873Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-04-30YABUKI JEFFERY WdirectorPurchase5,000 @ $12.88$64K+1.6% of holding−0.0%not yet — horizon still open322,905Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-04-30Bigley Deirdre MarydirectorPurchase3,940 @ $12.57$50K+39.6% of holding−0.0%not yet — horizon still open13,897Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-04-30YABUKI JEFFERY WdirectorPurchase3,000 @ $13.00$39K+3.6% of holding−0.0%not yet — horizon still open87,267Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-04-30YABUKI JEFFERY WdirectorPurchase2,000 @ $13.00$26K+0.6% of holding−0.0%not yet — horizon still open324,905Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

27 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-06-30FELENSTEIN CRAIGofficerWithheld for tax3,564240,092Form 4
2026-06-30FELENSTEIN CRAIGofficerAward / grant7,899247,991Form 4
2026-06-30Deen SameerofficerAward / grant79,417321,301Form 4
2026-06-01FELENSTEIN CRAIGofficerAward / grant39,583243,656Form 4
2026-05-20Fleet GeorgedirectorAward / grant13,167171,694Form 4
2026-05-20YABUKI JEFFERY WdirectorAward / grant26,335109,867Form 4
2026-05-20Walder MarcdirectorAward / grant13,167355,251Form 4
2026-05-20KURTZ WILLIAMdirectorAward / grant13,16741,478Form 4
2026-05-20Ramanathan RajanidirectorAward / grant13,16750,246Form 4
2026-05-20Corcoran BreondirectorAward / grant13,16715,617Form 4
2026-05-20Bigley Deirdre MarydirectorAward / grant13,16718,768Form 4
2026-05-18Deen SameerofficerAward / grant240,192241,884Form 4
2026-05-15YABUKI JEFFERY WdirectorWithheld for tax3,73583,532Form 4
2026-05-15Fleet GeorgedirectorWithheld for tax2,346158,527Form 4
2026-05-15KURTZ WILLIAMdirectorWithheld for tax1,86828,311Form 4
2026-05-15Bigley Deirdre MarydirectorWithheld for tax1,8685,601Form 4
2026-05-15Ramanathan RajanidirectorWithheld for tax1,86837,079Form 4
2026-05-15Corcoran BreondirectorWithheld for tax8172,450Form 4
2026-05-15Walder MarcdirectorWithheld for tax479342,084Form 4
2026-03-31MILLER MICHAEL CONNOLLYofficerWithheld for tax1,81356,025Form 4
2026-03-31Ritter James ScottofficerWithheld for tax1,69819,496Form 4
2026-03-31FELENSTEIN CRAIGofficerWithheld for tax1,513182,607Form 4
2026-03-31MILLER MICHAEL CONNOLLYofficerAward / grant17,88973,914Form 4
2026-03-31Koerl CarstendirectorAward / grant183,2892,024,172Form 4
2026-03-31FELENSTEIN CRAIGofficerAward / grant21,466204,073Form 4
2026-03-31Ritter James ScottofficerAward / grant2,84921,194Form 4
2026-03-31Ritter James ScottofficerAward / grant21,11740,613Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.