SPXCSPX Technologies, Inc.as of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $178.68 · now $178.68 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, SPXC has typically landed between $158.19 and $209.25 — a range of −11.5% to +17.1% from the issuance price $178.68.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

4,673 overlapping 1 month windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($178.68) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where SPXC has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $178.68 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$158.19worst · -11.5%$209.25best · +17.1%
  • now $178.68 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $182.01 (+1.9%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $170.55–$193.46
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $158.19–$209.25
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 4,673 windows spanning 2008-01-02 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2008-09-08−57.3%−57.3%+2.6%
2008-09-11−52.9%−57.4%+2.3%
2008-09-26−52.5%−52.5%+0.0%
3 best
2016-02-19+54.0%+0.0%+54.0%
2016-02-02+51.7%+0.0%+51.7%
2016-02-10+50.8%+0.0%+60.3%

4,673 overlapping windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~19 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
50%
+2.3%
n=18
Feb
74%
+5.7%
n=19
Mar
47%
−0.3%
n=19
Apr
53%
+1.8%
n=19
May
63%
+2.9%
n=19
Jun
63%
+1.6%
n=19
Jul
63%
+1.9%
n=19
Aug
37%
−1.8%
n=19
Sep
47%
−1.4%
n=19
Oct
56%
+0.1%
n=18
Nov
67%
+5.1%
n=18
Dec
50%
+0.3%
n=18

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$246$1782026-03-02: 3 insider sales, $9.3M — Lowe Eugene Joseph III …2025-12-11: 5 insider sales, $2.6M — Data J Randall …2025-11-19: 3 insider sales, $8.0M — Swann John William III …2025-11: 3 open-market sales, $8.0M2025-12: 5 open-market sales, $2.6M2026-03: 3 open-market sales, $9.3M↑ buys↓ salesdirector Lowe Eugene Joseph III — Sale on 2026-03-02, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Lowe Eugene Joseph III — Sale on 2026-03-02, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Lowe Eugene Joseph III — Sale on 2026-03-02, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Data J Randall — Sale on 2025-12-11, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Data J Randall — Sale on 2025-12-11, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Data J Randall — Sale on 2025-12-11, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Data J Randall — Sale on 2025-12-11, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Data J Randall — Sale on 2025-12-11, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Swann John William III — Sale on 2025-11-19, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Swann John William III — Sale on 2025-11-19, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Swann John William III — Sale on 2025-11-19, filed 2 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-03-02Lowe Eugene Joseph IIIdirectorSale29,830 @ $225.23$6.7M−3.6% of holding−6.2%not yet — horizon still open806,873Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-02Lowe Eugene Joseph IIIdirectorSale6,508 @ $224.36$1.5M−0.8% of holding−6.2%not yet — horizon still open836,703Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-02Lowe Eugene Joseph IIIdirectorSale5,078 @ $225.85$1.1M−0.6% of holding−6.2%not yet — horizon still open801,795Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-12-11Data J RandallofficerSale10,486 @ $215.25$2.3M−21.1% of holding−7.1%−4.7%39,134Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-12-11Data J RandallofficerSale500 @ $216.11$108K−1.3% of holding−7.1%−4.7%38,634Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-12-11Data J RandallofficerSale400 @ $213.89$86K−0.8% of holding−7.1%−4.7%49,620Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-12-11Data J RandallofficerSale314 @ $217.20$68K−0.8% of holding−7.1%−4.7%38,320Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-12-11Data J RandallofficerSale300 @ $218.51$66K−0.8% of holding−7.1%−4.7%38,020Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-11-19Swann John William IIIofficerSale17,891 @ $206.51$3.7M−21.0% of holding−4.1%−12.0%67,210Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-11-19Swann John William IIIofficerSale17,920 @ $205.47$3.7M−17.4% of holding−4.1%−12.0%85,101Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-11-19Swann John William IIIofficerSale2,944 @ $207.10$610K−4.4% of holding−4.1%−12.0%64,266Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-05-29PUCKETT RICK DdirectorSale6,823 @ $153.01$1.0M−16.8% of holding+4.8%+25.5%33,770Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-02-28Lowe Eugene Joseph IIIdirectorSale49,900 @ $145.27$7.2M−5.9% of holding−6.0%+19.3%793,341Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-02-28Lowe Eugene Joseph IIIdirectorSale41,100 @ $145.86$6.0M−5.2% of holding−6.0%+19.3%752,241Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

164 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-08-31Toth Robert BdirectorGift24,89224,892Form 4
2026-08-31Toth Robert BdirectorGift24,8920Form 4
2026-08-10Toth Robert BdirectorGift24,89224,892Form 4
2026-08-10Toth Robert BdirectorGift24,892754Form 4
2026-07-27Deck Brian AdirectorAward / grant542742Form 4
2026-07-27Deck Brian AdirectorAward / grant542742Form 4
2026-05-12SHAW RUTH GdirectorAward / grant75441,407Form 4
2026-05-12SHAW RUTH GdirectorAward / grant75441,407Form 4
2026-05-12PUCKETT RICK DdirectorAward / grant75434,524Form 4
2026-05-12ROBERTS DAVID AdirectorAward / grant75441,347Form 4
2026-05-12OLEARY PATRICK JdirectorAward / grant75441,347Form 4
2026-05-12Toth Robert BdirectorAward / grant75425,646Form 4
2026-05-12Sethna MeenaldirectorAward / grant75414,968Form 4
2026-05-12Utley Tana LeighdirectorAward / grant75441,347Form 4
2026-05-12Willis Angel SdirectorAward / grant7549,364Form 4
2026-05-12Toth Robert BdirectorAward / grant75425,646Form 4
2026-05-12Utley Tana LeighdirectorAward / grant75441,347Form 4
2026-05-12Sethna MeenaldirectorAward / grant75414,968Form 4
2026-05-12Willis Angel SdirectorAward / grant7549,364Form 4
2026-05-12OLEARY PATRICK JdirectorAward / grant75441,347Form 4
2026-05-12PUCKETT RICK DdirectorAward / grant75434,524Form 4
2026-03-03Lowe Eugene Joseph IIIdirectorWithheld for tax1,631819,700Form 4
2026-03-03McClenaghan SeanofficerWithheld for tax27827,314Form 4
2026-03-03Carano Mark AdirectorWithheld for tax26219,254Form 4
2026-03-03Swann John William IIIofficerWithheld for tax19659,206Form 4
2026-03-03McLaren Wayne M.officerWithheld for tax807,770Form 4
2026-03-03Carpenter JenniferofficerWithheld for tax795,353Form 4
2026-03-02Lowe Eugene Joseph IIIdirectorOption exercise82,405843,211Form 4
2026-03-02Lowe Eugene Joseph IIIdirectorOption exercise82,4050Form 4
2026-03-02Lowe Eugene Joseph IIIdirectorAward / grant19,536821,331Form 4
2026-03-02Lowe Eugene Joseph IIIdirectorAward / grant19,536821,331Form 4
2026-03-02Lowe Eugene Joseph IIIdirectorAward / grant14,73714,737Form 4
2026-03-02Carano Mark AdirectorAward / grant3,36319,516Form 4
2026-03-02Carano Mark AdirectorAward / grant2,5372,537Form 4
2026-03-02McClenaghan SeanofficerAward / grant4,16427,592Form 4
2026-03-02McClenaghan SeanofficerAward / grant3,1413,141Form 4
2026-03-02McLaren Wayne M.officerAward / grant6627,850Form 4
2026-03-02Carpenter JenniferofficerAward / grant1,6025,432Form 4
2026-03-02Carpenter JenniferofficerAward / grant1,2081,208Form 4
2026-03-02Whitman Daniel JayofficerAward / grant1,8423,015Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures iStock trades disclosed by members of Congress for this company, by the date they were filed.iDisclosures shown as facts. A purchase “cluster” (≥2 members of Congress filing a buy within 90 days) has historically preceded modestly higher forward returns — and it persisted out-of-sample, though it roughly halved after 2021 (see below). A descriptive historical tendency, not a signal to trade and not used in our forecast. See /methodology.

As of 2026-09-16 · point-in-time by filed date

Purchase clusters · 2015–2021 (dev)+45 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 59.3% vs 57.3% · n=31,607 cluster ticker-weeks
Purchase clusters · 2022–2026 (out-of-sample)+32 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 54.0% vs 53.3% · n=27,793

A cluster = ≥2 members of Congress filing a purchase within 90 days. The historical tilt persisted after 2021 but roughly halved (+45 → +32 bp/mo forward 1-month vs the S&P 500 weekly-grid baseline). Descriptive historical tendency — not a signal to trade, and not used in our forecast (audition-log 2026-07-27, recomputed 2026-09-08).

'24 Q'24 Q'25 Q'25 Q'25 Qpurchases ▲ / sales ▼ ($ vol)
MemberChamberTypeFiledTradedSize
Gilbert CisnerosHousesale2025-12-152025-11-06$1–15K
Josh GottheimerHousesale2025-05-142025-04-09$1–15K
Josh GottheimerHousesale2025-01-142024-12-06$1–15K
Josh GottheimerHousesale2024-07-092024-06-27$1–15K
Josh GottheimerHousesale2024-07-092024-06-21$1–15K
Josh GottheimerHousesale2024-02-152024-01-04$1–15K
Josh GottheimerHousesale2023-09-162023-08-10$1–15K
Josh GottheimerHousesale2023-08-212023-07-14$1–15K
Josh GottheimerHousepurchase2022-05-162022-04-19$1–15K
Josh GottheimerHousesale2022-04-172022-03-15$1–15K
Josh GottheimerHousepurchase2021-11-152021-10-18$1–15K
Josh GottheimerHousesale2021-10-132021-09-15$1–15K
Josh GottheimerHousepurchase2021-08-092021-07-19$1–15K
Daniel CrenshawHousesale2021-03-242021-03-05$15–50K

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.