SPSCSPS Commerce, Inc.Technology · Software - Applicationas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $80.68 · now $80.68 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, SPSC has typically landed between $67.50 and $93.31 — a range of −16.3% to +15.7% from the issuance price $80.68.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

4,105 overlapping 1 month windows · 2010-04-22 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($80.68) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where SPSC has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $80.68 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$67.5worst · -16.3%$93.31best · +15.7%
  • now $80.68 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $80.63 (-0.1%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $75.87–$85.38
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $67.5–$93.31
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 4,105 windows spanning 2010-04-22 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2020-02-18−47.6%−47.6%+0.0%
2026-01-22−41.2%−41.2%+0.0%
2026-01-26−41.2%−41.2%+0.0%
3 best
2020-03-18+56.6%+0.0%+57.2%
2020-03-19+39.6%+0.0%+39.6%
2026-07-23+37.5%+0.0%+37.5%

4,105 overlapping windows · 2010-04-22 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~17 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
56%
−0.3%
n=16
Feb
50%
−3.6%
n=16
Mar
44%
+0.3%
n=16
Apr
56%
+2.0%
n=16
May
59%
+3.0%
n=17
Jun
82%
+5.3%
n=17
Jul
71%
+3.9%
n=17
Aug
65%
+3.4%
n=17
Sep
41%
+1.4%
n=17
Oct
50%
−1.5%
n=16
Nov
69%
+4.6%
n=16
Dec
50%
+2.5%
n=16

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$116$502026-05-07: 1 insider sale, $57K — Reaume Marty M2026-04-07: 1 insider sale, $58K — Reaume Marty M2026-03-09: 1 insider sale, $63K — Reaume Marty M2026-02-24: 2 insider sales, $133K — THINGELSTAD JAMIE …2026-02-20: 6 insider sales, $1.2M — Collins Chadwick, Nelson Kimberly K. …2026-02-09: 1 insider sale, $80K — Reaume Marty M2026-01-07: 2 insider sales, $160K — Reaume Marty M …2026-01: 2 open-market sales, $160K2026-02: 9 open-market sales, $1.4M2026-03: 1 open-market sale, $63K2026-04: 1 open-market sale, $58K2026-05: 1 open-market sale, $57K↑ buys↓ salesdirector Reaume Marty M — Sale on 2026-05-07, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Reaume Marty M — Sale on 2026-04-07, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Reaume Marty M — Sale on 2026-03-09, filed 2 days after the tradedirector THINGELSTAD JAMIE — Sale on 2026-02-24, filed same daydirector THINGELSTAD JAMIE — Sale on 2026-02-24, filed same daydirector Collins Chadwick — Sale on 2026-02-20, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Nelson Kimberly K. — Sale on 2026-02-20, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Collins Chadwick — Sale on 2026-02-20, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Collins Chadwick — Sale on 2026-02-20, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Nelson Kimberly K. — Sale on 2026-02-20, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Nelson Kimberly K. — Sale on 2026-02-20, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Reaume Marty M — Sale on 2026-02-09, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Reaume Marty M — Sale on 2026-01-07, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Reaume Marty M — Sale on 2026-01-07, filed 2 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-05-07Reaume Marty MdirectorSale1,000 @ $57.03$57K−9.8% of holding−4.5%not yet — horizon still open9,158Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-04-07Reaume Marty MdirectorSale1,000 @ $57.90$58K−9.8% of holding−15.8%not yet — horizon still open9,158Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-03-09Reaume Marty MdirectorSale1,000 @ $62.73$63K−9.8% of holding−10.6%+13.5%9,158Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-24THINGELSTAD JAMIEdirectorSale1,900 @ $54.80$104K−3.2% of holding+5.7%+36.7%56,862Form 4 · filed same day
2026-02-24THINGELSTAD JAMIEdirectorSale518 @ $55.47$29K−0.9% of holding+5.7%+36.7%56,344Form 4 · filed same day
2026-02-20Collins ChadwickdirectorSale7,776 @ $58.09$452K−9.1% of holding+5.5%+28.3%77,849Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-02-20Nelson Kimberly K.directorSale3,700 @ $58.09$215K−2.4% of holding+5.5%+28.3%148,052Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-02-20Collins ChadwickdirectorSale2,802 @ $59.72$167K−3.7% of holding+5.5%+28.3%72,241Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-02-20Collins ChadwickdirectorSale2,806 @ $59.18$166K−3.6% of holding+5.5%+28.3%75,043Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-02-20Nelson Kimberly K.directorSale1,400 @ $59.70$84K−1.0% of holding+5.5%+28.3%145,452Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-02-20Nelson Kimberly K.directorSale1,200 @ $59.19$71K−0.8% of holding+5.5%+28.3%146,852Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-02-09Reaume Marty MdirectorSale1,000 @ $79.92$80K−9.8% of holding−14.0%−12.4%9,158Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-01-07Reaume Marty MdirectorSale1,332 @ $92.52$123K−12.7% of holding−14.3%−44.4%9,158Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-01-07Reaume Marty MdirectorSale400 @ $91.40$37K−3.7% of holding−14.3%−44.4%10,490Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-02-26Nelson Kimberly K.directorSale2,646 @ $136.29$361K−1.7% of holding+4.6%−26.3%154,596Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-02-26Nelson Kimberly K.directorSale1,254 @ $139.34$175K−0.8% of holding+4.6%−26.3%151,752Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-02-26Nelson Kimberly K.directorSale1,095 @ $138.33$151K−0.7% of holding+4.6%−26.3%153,006Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-02-26Nelson Kimberly K.directorSale495 @ $137.03$68K−0.3% of holding+4.6%−26.3%154,101Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-02-20Collins ChadwickdirectorSale1,062 @ $143.92$153K−0.0% of holding−2.0%−25.8%5,269,044Form 4 · filed same day
2025-02-20Nelson Kimberly K.directorSale856 @ $144.01$123K−0.0% of holding−2.0%−25.8%2,442,112Form 4 · filed same day
2025-02-20THINGELSTAD JAMIEdirectorSale555 @ $143.99$80K−0.0% of holding−2.0%−25.8%1,724,922Form 4 · filed same day
2025-02-20Collins ChadwickdirectorSale510 @ $144.56$74K−0.0% of holding−2.0%−25.8%5,268,534Form 4 · filed same day
2025-02-20Nelson Kimberly K.directorSale500 @ $144.54$72K−0.0% of holding−2.0%−25.8%2,441,612Form 4 · filed same day
2025-02-20Juckniess DanofficerSale447 @ $143.94$64K−0.0% of holding−2.0%−25.8%1,367,137Form 4 · filed same day
2025-02-20Juckniess DanofficerSale216 @ $144.67$31K−0.0% of holding−2.0%−25.8%1,366,921Form 4 · filed same day
2025-02-20THINGELSTAD JAMIEdirectorSale185 @ $145.20$27K−0.0% of holding−2.0%−25.8%1,724,737Form 4 · filed same day
2025-02-20Nelson Kimberly K.directorSale100 @ $145.58$15K−0.0% of holding−2.0%−25.8%2,441,512Form 4 · filed same day
2025-02-20Collins ChadwickdirectorSale100 @ $145.58$15K−0.0% of holding−2.0%−25.8%5,268,434Form 4 · filed same day
2025-02-20Juckniess DanofficerSale72 @ $145.59$10K−0.0% of holding−2.0%−25.8%1,366,849Form 4 · filed same day
2025-02-19Nelson Kimberly K.directorSale1,498 @ $146.84$220K−0.1% of holding−4.8%−28.8%2,445,504Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-02-19Nelson Kimberly K.directorSale1,356 @ $149.07$202K−0.1% of holding−4.8%−28.8%2,443,268Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-02-19Collins ChadwickdirectorSale1,300 @ $148.96$194K−0.0% of holding−4.8%−28.8%5,270,306Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-02-19Juckniess DanofficerSale1,200 @ $148.98$179K−0.1% of holding−4.8%−28.8%1,367,584Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-02-19Collins ChadwickdirectorSale1,028 @ $146.74$151K−0.0% of holding−4.8%−28.8%5,271,918Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-02-19Juckniess DanofficerSale991 @ $146.75$145K−0.1% of holding−4.8%−28.8%1,369,184Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-02-19THINGELSTAD JAMIEdirectorSale910 @ $148.65$135K−0.1% of holding−4.8%−28.8%1,725,877Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-02-19THINGELSTAD JAMIEdirectorSale906 @ $146.74$133K−0.1% of holding−4.8%−28.8%1,726,787Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-02-19Nelson Kimberly K.directorSale880 @ $148.40$131K−0.0% of holding−4.8%−28.8%2,444,624Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-02-19THINGELSTAD JAMIEdirectorSale400 @ $149.24$60K−0.0% of holding−4.8%−28.8%1,725,477Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-02-19Juckniess DanofficerSale400 @ $148.26$59K−0.0% of holding−4.8%−28.8%1,368,784Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-02-19Collins ChadwickdirectorSale312 @ $147.97$46K−0.0% of holding−4.8%−28.8%5,271,606Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-02-19Nelson Kimberly K.directorSale300 @ $150.05$45K−0.0% of holding−4.8%−28.8%2,442,968Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-02-19Collins ChadwickdirectorSale200 @ $150.01$30K−0.0% of holding−4.8%−28.8%5,270,106Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-02-05Nelson Kimberly K.directorSale5,424 @ $181.07$982K−3.5% of holding−24.9%−45.5%148,856Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-02-05Nelson Kimberly K.directorSale2,012 @ $180.33$363K−1.3% of holding−24.9%−45.5%154,280Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-02-05Nelson Kimberly K.directorSale1,654 @ $181.87$301K−1.1% of holding−24.9%−45.5%147,202Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-02-05Nelson Kimberly K.directorSale200 @ $182.74$37K−0.1% of holding−24.9%−45.5%147,002Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-01-31Juckniess DanofficerSale1,171 @ $185.04$217K−5.4% of holding−24.3%−47.5%20,375Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-01-31Juckniess DanofficerSale1,024 @ $184.32$189K−4.5% of holding−24.3%−47.5%21,546Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-01-31Juckniess DanofficerSale200 @ $186.34$37K−1.0% of holding−24.3%−47.5%20,175Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-01-31THINGELSTAD JAMIEdirectorSale68 @ $184.78$13K−0.2% of holding−24.3%−47.5%27,693Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-01-30Nelson Kimberly K.directorSale4,545 @ $183.46$834K−2.7% of holding−24.5%−46.7%161,037Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-01-30Juckniess DanofficerSale4,446 @ $183.41$815K−13.7% of holding−24.5%−46.7%27,943Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-01-30THINGELSTAD JAMIEdirectorSale2,288 @ $183.47$420K−7.0% of holding−24.5%−46.7%30,203Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-01-30Juckniess DanofficerSale1,873 @ $185.35$347K−7.1% of holding−24.5%−46.7%24,670Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-01-30Nelson Kimberly K.directorSale1,645 @ $185.29$305K−1.0% of holding−24.5%−46.7%158,492Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-01-30Juckniess DanofficerSale1,400 @ $184.25$258K−5.0% of holding−24.5%−46.7%26,543Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-01-30Juckniess DanofficerSale1,300 @ $186.43$242K−5.3% of holding−24.5%−46.7%23,370Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-01-30Nelson Kimberly K.directorSale1,300 @ $186.38$242K−0.8% of holding−24.5%−46.7%157,192Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-01-30Nelson Kimberly K.directorSale900 @ $184.19$166K−0.6% of holding−24.5%−46.7%160,137Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

57 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-05-28Chima Fumbi F.directorAward / grant3,7367,187Form 4
2026-05-28Gaurav RazatdirectorAward / grant3,7365,046Form 4
2026-05-28McConnell Michael JdirectorAward / grant3,7367,187Form 4
2026-05-28Partin MarkdirectorAward / grant3,7366,221Form 4
2026-05-28Reaume Marty MdirectorAward / grant3,73612,894Form 4
2026-05-28Reller TamidirectorAward / grant3,73654,908Form 4
2026-05-28SORAN PHILIPdirectorAward / grant3,73625,913Form 4
2026-05-28Ward Anne SempowskidirectorAward / grant3,7367,870Form 4
2026-05-08THINGELSTAD JAMIEdirectorAward / grant39,43395,777Form 4
2026-05-07Reaume Marty MdirectorOption exercise1,00010,158Form 4
2026-05-07Reaume Marty MdirectorOption exercise1,0000Form 4
2026-05-07Del Preto JosephofficerAward / grant108,467108,467Form 4
2026-05-07Del Preto JosephofficerAward / grant33,240141,707Form 4
2026-04-07Reaume Marty MdirectorOption exercise1,00010,158Form 4
2026-04-07Reaume Marty MdirectorOption exercise1,0001,000Form 4
2026-03-13Reller TamidirectorOption exercise5,73251,172Form 4
2026-03-13Reller TamidirectorOption exercise5,7320Form 4
2026-03-09Reaume Marty MdirectorOption exercise1,00010,158Form 4
2026-03-09Reaume Marty MdirectorOption exercise1,0002,000Form 4
2026-02-20THINGELSTAD JAMIEdirectorAward / grant23,29558,762Form 4
2026-02-20Collins ChadwickdirectorAward / grant101,932174,173Form 4
2026-02-20McConnell Michael JdirectorAward / grant3,4513,451Form 4
2026-02-20Chima Fumbi F.directorAward / grant3,4513,451Form 4
2026-02-20Rosini EduardoofficerAward / grant29,335109,860Form 4
2026-02-20Nelson Kimberly K.directorAward / grant39,689185,141Form 4
2026-02-09Reaume Marty MdirectorOption exercise1,00010,158Form 4
2026-02-09Reaume Marty MdirectorOption exercise1,0003,000Form 4
2026-01-07Reaume Marty MdirectorOption exercise1,73210,890Form 4
2026-01-07Reaume Marty MdirectorOption exercise1,7324,000Form 4
2025-12-01Rosini EduardoofficerAward / grant80,52580,525Form 4
2025-11-18SORAN PHILIPdirectorWithheld for tax3,71722,177Form 4
2025-11-18SORAN PHILIPdirectorOption exercise5,73225,894Form 4
2025-11-18SORAN PHILIPdirectorOption exercise5,7320Form 4
2025-11-06Partin MarkdirectorAward / grant2,4852,485Form 4
2025-11-04THINGELSTAD JAMIEdirectorWithheld for tax6,62135,467Form 4
2025-11-04THINGELSTAD JAMIEdirectorOption exercise8,11842,088Form 4
2025-11-04THINGELSTAD JAMIEdirectorOption exercise8,1180Form 4
2025-05-13Gaurav RazatdirectorAward / grant1,3101,310Form 4
2025-05-13Reaume Marty MdirectorAward / grant1,3109,158Form 4
2025-05-13Reller TamidirectorAward / grant1,31045,440Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.