Issued 2026-09-16 at $1.11 · now $1.11 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, SPRO has typically landed between $0.84 and $1.34 — a range of −24.0% to +21.0% from the issuance price $1.11.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
2,204 overlapping 1 month windows · 2017-11-02 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($1.11) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where SPRO has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $1.11 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $1.11 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $1.06 (-4.2%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $0.9532–$1.17
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $0.8431–$1.34
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2022-05-02 | −79.6% | −79.6% | +0.0% |
| 2022-04-25 | −78.3% | −78.3% | +0.0% |
| 2022-04-29 | −78.0% | −78.0% | +4.7% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2025-05-08 | +395.7% | +0.0% | +395.7% |
| 2025-05-07 | +377.5% | −0.5% | +377.5% |
| 2025-05-12 | +373.8% | +0.0% | +373.8% |
2,204 overlapping windows · 2017-11-02 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~9 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-04 | Rajavelu Esther | officer | Sale | 25,240 @ $2.51 | $63K | −2.5% of holding | +7.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 986,851 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-06 | Rajavelu Esther | officer | Sale | 50,816 @ $2.36 | $120K | −4.8% of holding | +3.2% | −61.7% | 1,012,091 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-06 | Rajavelu Esther | officer | Sale | 37,101 @ $2.36 | $88K | −3.4% of holding | +3.2% | −61.7% | 1,062,907 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-06 | Keutzer Timothy | officer | Sale | 18,652 @ $2.36 | $44K | −2.5% of holding | +3.2% | −61.7% | 742,506 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-04 | Keutzer Timothy | officer | Sale | 3,471 @ $2.24 | $8K | −0.5% of holding | +2.4% | −57.1% | 761,158 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-02-03 | Keutzer Timothy | officer | Sale | 24,224 @ $2.14 | $52K | −3.1% of holding | +8.2% | −53.4% | 764,629 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-02 | Keutzer Timothy | officer | Sale | 18,891 @ $2.20 | $42K | −2.3% of holding | +4.2% | −56.3% | 788,853 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-02 | Rajavelu Esther | officer | Sale | 18,442 @ $2.20 | $41K | −1.6% of holding | +4.2% | −56.3% | 1,100,008 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-07 | Rajavelu Esther | officer | Sale | 40,270 @ $2.37 | $95K | −4.4% of holding | −7.1% | −7.4% | 869,450 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-28 | Mahadevia Ankit | director | Sale | 6,572 @ $1.97 | $13K | −0.9% of holding | −7.6% | +3.1% | 703,294 | Form 4 · filed 6 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-28 | Keutzer Timothy | officer | Sale | 1,695 @ $1.97 | $3K | −0.2% of holding | −7.6% | +3.1% | 739,744 | Form 4 · filed 6 days after the trade |
| 2025-02-05 | Shukla Sath | officer | Sale | 106,408 @ $0.78 | $83K | −5.8% of holding | −6.5% | +143.6% | 1,736,883 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-02-05 | Mahadevia Ankit | director | Sale | 55,260 @ $0.78 | $43K | −7.4% of holding | −6.5% | +143.6% | 689,866 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-02-05 | Shukla Sath | officer | Sale | 42,786 @ $0.78 | $33K | −2.3% of holding | −6.5% | +143.6% | 1,843,291 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-02-05 | Keutzer Timothy | officer | Sale | 27,643 @ $0.78 | $22K | −3.5% of holding | −6.5% | +143.6% | 766,359 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-02-05 | Keutzer Timothy | officer | Sale | 24,920 @ $0.78 | $19K | −3.3% of holding | −6.5% | +143.6% | 741,439 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-02-05 | Rajavelu Esther | officer | Sale | 20,689 @ $0.78 | $16K | −2.8% of holding | −6.5% | +143.6% | 724,720 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-02-05 | Mahadevia Ankit | director | Sale | 13,959 @ $0.78 | $11K | −1.8% of holding | −6.5% | +143.6% | 745,126 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-02-05 | Shukla Sath | officer | Sale | 6,139 @ $0.78 | $5K | −0.3% of holding | −6.5% | +143.6% | 1,886,077 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-02-05 | Keutzer Timothy | officer | Sale | 3,974 @ $0.78 | $3K | −0.5% of holding | −6.5% | +143.6% | 794,002 | Form 4 · filed same day |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
33 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-03 | Zack Debra | officer | Award / grant | 324,675 | 324,675 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-03 | Zack Debra | officer | Award / grant | 162,311 | 162,311 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-23 | Deshpande Milind | director | Award / grant | 20,000 | 20,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-23 | Jackson Scott Thomas | director | Award / grant | 10,000 | 85,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-23 | Jackson Scott Thomas | director | Award / grant | 20,000 | 20,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-23 | Pottage John C Jr | director | Award / grant | 10,000 | 85,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-23 | Pottage John C Jr | director | Award / grant | 20,000 | 20,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-23 | Smith Cynthia | director | Award / grant | 10,000 | 85,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-23 | THOMAS FRANK E | director | Award / grant | 10,000 | 85,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-23 | THOMAS FRANK E | director | Award / grant | 20,000 | 20,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-23 | VINK PATRICK V.J.J. | director | Award / grant | 10,000 | 85,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-23 | VINK PATRICK V.J.J. | director | Award / grant | 20,000 | 20,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-23 | Tregoning Kathleen | director | Award / grant | 10,000 | 85,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-23 | Tregoning Kathleen | director | Award / grant | 20,000 | 20,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-23 | Smith Cynthia | director | Award / grant | 20,000 | 20,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-23 | Deshpande Milind | director | Award / grant | 10,000 | 101,454 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-02 | Keutzer Timothy | officer | Award / grant | 137,000 | 137,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-02 | Rajavelu Esther | officer | Award / grant | 498,000 | 498,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-02 | Keutzer Timothy | officer | Award / grant | 68,000 | 807,744 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-02 | Rajavelu Esther | officer | Award / grant | 249,000 | 1,118,450 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-12 | Deshpande Milind | director | Award / grant | 20,000 | 91,454 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-12 | Mahadevia Ankit | director | Award / grant | 20,000 | 709,866 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-12 | VINK PATRICK V.J.J. | director | Award / grant | 20,000 | 75,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-12 | Smith Cynthia | director | Award / grant | 20,000 | 75,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-12 | Pottage John C Jr | director | Award / grant | 20,000 | 75,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-12 | Tregoning Kathleen | director | Award / grant | 20,000 | 75,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-12 | THOMAS FRANK E | director | Award / grant | 20,000 | 75,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-12 | Jackson Scott Thomas | director | Award / grant | 20,000 | 75,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-05-02 | Rajavelu Esther | officer | Award / grant | 185,000 | 909,720 | Form 4 |
| 2025-02-03 | Shukla Sath | officer | Award / grant | 751,407 | 1,892,216 | Form 4 |
| 2025-02-03 | Rajavelu Esther | officer | Award / grant | 266,139 | 645,409 | Form 4 |
| 2025-02-03 | Rajavelu Esther | officer | Award / grant | 100,000 | 745,409 | Form 4 |
| 2025-02-03 | Keutzer Timothy | officer | Award / grant | 266,139 | 797,976 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.