Issued 2026-09-16 at $10.67 · now $10.67 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, SPOK has typically landed between $9.45 and $12.17 — a range of −11.5% to +14.1% from the issuance price $10.67.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($10.67) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where SPOK has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $10.67 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $10.67 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $10.77 (+0.9%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $10.23–$11.3
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $9.45–$12.17
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,003 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2008-02-19 | −39.9% | −39.9% | +0.0% |
| 2007-07-11 | −38.6% | −38.6% | +5.0% |
| 2008-02-15 | −37.5% | −37.5% | +2.8% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2008-07-15 | +51.7% | +0.0% | +51.7% |
| 2008-07-28 | +50.7% | +0.0% | +50.7% |
| 2008-07-16 | +49.8% | +0.0% | +49.8% |
5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Jan
35%
−1.8%
n=20
Feb
35%
−1.7%
n=20
Mar
50%
+1.9%
n=20
Apr
40%
+0.6%
n=20
May
70%
+3.9%
n=20
Jun
40%
−0.1%
n=20
Jul
55%
+0.9%
n=20
Aug
40%
+1.8%
n=20
Sep
60%
−1.1%
n=20
Oct
55%
+0.8%
n=20
Nov
60%
+2.7%
n=20
Dec
45%
+1.1%
n=20
Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-10 | Woods-Keisling Sharon | officer | Sale | 20,000 @ $11.30 | $226K | −76.8% of holding | −5.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 6,036 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-10 | COURNOYER CHRISTINE | director | Sale | 8,320 @ $11.28 | $94K | −33.8% of holding | −5.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 16,261 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-10 | COURNOYER CHRISTINE | director | Sale | 0 @ $0.00 | $0 | +0.0% of holding | −5.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 5,637 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-10 | Woods-Keisling Sharon | officer | Sale | 0 @ $0.00 | $0 | +0.0% of holding | −5.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 58,871 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-16 | Stein Todd J | director | Purchase | 35,211 @ $10.41 | $367K | +7.1% of holding | +2.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 532,771 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-16 | Stein Todd J | director | Purchase | 0 @ $0.00 | $0 | +0.0% of holding | +2.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 48,364 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-16 | Stein Todd J | director | Purchase | 0 @ $0.00 | $0 | +0.0% of holding | +2.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 566,912 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-12 | KELLY VINCENT D | director | Purchase | 5,000 @ $10.70 | $53K | +3.1% of holding | +3.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 167,565 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-05-11 | KELLY VINCENT D | director | Purchase | 5,000 @ $10.67 | $53K | +3.2% of holding | +6.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 162,565 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-11 | KELLY VINCENT D | director | Purchase | 0 @ $0.00 | $0 | +0.0% of holding | +6.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 208,710 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-05 | Woods-Keisling Sharon | officer | Sale | 10,000 @ $11.00 | $110K | −27.8% of holding | −1.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 26,036 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-05 | Woods-Keisling Sharon | officer | Sale | 0 @ $0.00 | $0 | +0.0% of holding | −1.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 48,264 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-09-04 | Stein Todd J | director | Sale | 20,526 @ $18.08 | $371K | −3.5% of holding | −15.1% | −33.3% | 566,912 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-09-04 | Stein Todd J | director | Sale | 17,482 @ $18.08 | $316K | −3.4% of holding | −15.1% | −33.3% | 497,560 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-09-04 | Stein Todd J | director | Sale | 0 @ $0.00 | $0 | +0.0% of holding | −15.1% | −33.3% | 42,726 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-09-03 | Stein Todd J | director | Sale | 25,445 @ $18.02 | $459K | −4.2% of holding | −14.8% | −35.9% | 587,438 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-09-03 | Stein Todd J | director | Sale | 17,890 @ $18.02 | $322K | −3.4% of holding | −14.8% | −35.9% | 515,042 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-09-03 | Stein Todd J | director | Sale | 0 @ $0.00 | $0 | +0.0% of holding | −14.8% | −35.9% | 42,726 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-09-02 | Stein Todd J | director | Sale | 12,264 @ $18.05 | $221K | −2.0% of holding | −13.2% | −38.4% | 612,883 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-09-02 | Stein Todd J | director | Sale | 10,447 @ $18.05 | $189K | −1.9% of holding | −13.2% | −38.4% | 532,932 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-25 | WALLACE MICHAEL W | officer | Sale | 10,806 @ $17.87 | $193K | −21.1% of holding | −4.5% | −29.1% | 40,369 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-08-25 | Stein Todd J | director | Sale | 6,354 @ $17.95 | $114K | −1.0% of holding | −4.5% | −29.1% | 625,147 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-08-25 | Stein Todd J | director | Sale | 5,412 @ $17.95 | $97K | −1.0% of holding | −4.5% | −29.1% | 543,379 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-08-25 | Stein Todd J | director | Sale | 0 @ $0.00 | $0 | +0.0% of holding | −4.5% | −29.1% | 42,726 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-08-25 | WALLACE MICHAEL W | officer | Sale | 0 @ $0.00 | $0 | +0.0% of holding | −4.5% | −29.1% | 110,383 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-08-22 | Stein Todd J | director | Sale | 4,794 @ $18.01 | $86K | −0.8% of holding | −5.5% | −28.2% | 631,501 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-22 | Stein Todd J | director | Sale | 4,084 @ $18.01 | $74K | −0.7% of holding | −5.5% | −28.2% | 548,791 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-21 | KELLY VINCENT D | director | Sale | 25,000 @ $17.69 | $442K | −19.6% of holding | −6.3% | −27.9% | 102,817 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-08-21 | KELLY VINCENT D | director | Sale | 0 @ $0.00 | $0 | +0.0% of holding | −6.3% | −27.9% | 181,258 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-08-20 | Stein Todd J | director | Sale | 7,132 @ $18.10 | $129K | −1.1% of holding | −7.3% | −31.3% | 636,295 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-20 | Stein Todd J | director | Sale | 6,076 @ $18.10 | $110K | −1.1% of holding | −7.3% | −31.3% | 552,875 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-20 | Stein Todd J | director | Sale | 0 @ $0.00 | $0 | +0.0% of holding | −7.3% | −31.3% | 42,726 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-18 | Stein Todd J | director | Sale | 15,317 @ $18.37 | $281K | −2.3% of holding | −5.1% | −30.2% | 643,427 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-18 | Stein Todd J | director | Sale | 13,049 @ $18.37 | $240K | −2.3% of holding | −5.1% | −30.2% | 558,951 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-18 | Stein Todd J | director | Sale | 0 @ $0.00 | $0 | +0.0% of holding | −5.1% | −30.2% | 42,726 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-15 | Stein Todd J | director | Sale | 18,044 @ $18.44 | $333K | −2.7% of holding | −6.7% | −29.1% | 658,744 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-15 | Stein Todd J | director | Sale | 15,372 @ $18.44 | $283K | −2.6% of holding | −6.7% | −29.1% | 572,000 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-15 | Stein Todd J | director | Sale | 0 @ $0.00 | $0 | +0.0% of holding | −6.7% | −29.1% | 42,726 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-14 | Stein Todd J | director | Sale | 44,213 @ $18.50 | $818K | −6.1% of holding | −6.0% | −28.8% | 676,788 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-14 | Stein Todd J | director | Sale | 18,957 @ $18.50 | $351K | −3.1% of holding | −6.0% | −28.8% | 587,372 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-13 | Stein Todd J | director | Sale | 31,947 @ $18.48 | $590K | −100.0% of holding | −7.1% | −32.0% | 0 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-08-13 | Stein Todd J | director | Sale | 0 @ $0.00 | $0 | +0.0% of holding | −7.1% | −32.0% | 606,329 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-08-13 | Stein Todd J | director | Sale | 0 @ $0.00 | $0 | +0.0% of holding | −7.1% | −32.0% | 721,001 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-08-13 | Stein Todd J | director | Sale | 0 @ $0.00 | $0 | +0.0% of holding | −7.1% | −32.0% | 42,726 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-08-12 | Stein Todd J | director | Sale | 41,418 @ $18.45 | $764K | −56.5% of holding | −6.2% | −33.0% | 31,947 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-05 | Rice Calvin | officer | Sale | 14,736 @ $18.28 | $269K | −67.7% of holding | −3.0% | −33.3% | 7,035 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-08-05 | Stein Todd J | director | Sale | 4,500 @ $18.61 | $84K | −5.8% of holding | −3.0% | −33.3% | 73,365 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-08-05 | Stein Todd J | director | Sale | 0 @ $0.00 | $0 | +0.0% of holding | −3.0% | −33.3% | 42,726 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-08-05 | Stein Todd J | director | Sale | 0 @ $0.00 | $0 | +0.0% of holding | −3.0% | −33.3% | 606,329 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-08-05 | Stein Todd J | director | Sale | 0 @ $0.00 | $0 | +0.0% of holding | −3.0% | −33.3% | 721,001 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-08-05 | Rice Calvin | officer | Sale | 0 @ $0.00 | $0 | +0.0% of holding | −3.0% | −33.3% | 56,059 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-08-04 | Stein Todd J | director | Sale | 70,020 @ $18.63 | $1.3M | −47.3% of holding | −3.3% | −34.3% | 77,865 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-04 | KELLY VINCENT D | director | Sale | 30,000 @ $18.53 | $556K | −19.0% of holding | −3.3% | −34.3% | 127,817 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-08-04 | WALLACE MICHAEL W | officer | Sale | 10,000 @ $18.49 | $185K | −16.3% of holding | −3.3% | −34.3% | 51,175 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-08-04 | Rice Calvin | officer | Sale | 7,457 @ $18.73 | $140K | −25.5% of holding | −3.3% | −34.3% | 21,771 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-08-04 | KELLY VINCENT D | director | Sale | 0 @ $0.00 | $0 | +0.0% of holding | −3.3% | −34.3% | 181,258 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-08-04 | Rice Calvin | officer | Sale | 0 @ $0.00 | $0 | +0.0% of holding | −3.3% | −34.3% | 56,059 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-08-04 | WALLACE MICHAEL W | officer | Sale | 0 @ $0.00 | $0 | +0.0% of holding | −3.3% | −34.3% | 110,383 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-05-09 | COURNOYER CHRISTINE | director | Sale | 5,000 @ $16.46 | $82K | −24.9% of holding | −3.8% | −34.9% | 15,088 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-09 | COURNOYER CHRISTINE | director | Sale | 0 @ $0.00 | $0 | +0.0% of holding | −3.8% | −34.9% | 5,637 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
162 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-03 | WALLACE MICHAEL W | officer | Award / grant | 13,761 | 138,987 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-03 | KELLY VINCENT D | director | Award / grant | 22,935 | 254,581 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-03 | KELLY VINCENT D | director | Award / grant | 22,936 | 231,646 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-03 | Woods-Keisling Sharon | officer | Award / grant | 5,303 | 58,871 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-03 | Woods-Keisling Sharon | officer | Award / grant | 5,304 | 53,568 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-03 | WALLACE MICHAEL W | officer | Award / grant | 13,761 | 152,748 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | SHOCKLEY BRETT A | director | Award / grant | 2,441 | 40,679 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | Byrne Barbara Peterson | director | Award / grant | 2,441 | 46,393 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | COURNOYER CHRISTINE | director | Award / grant | 2,441 | 24,581 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | Hyun Randy | director | Award / grant | 2,441 | 39,002 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | Stein Todd J | director | Award / grant | 2,441 | 50,805 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | COURNOYER CHRISTINE | director | Award / grant | 0 | 5,637 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | Stein Todd J | director | Award / grant | 0 | 532,771 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | Stein Todd J | director | Award / grant | 0 | 566,912 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | Byrne Barbara Peterson | director | Award / grant | 0 | 5,637 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-14 | Rice Calvin | officer | Award / grant | 0 | 67,830 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-14 | Rice Calvin | officer | Award / grant | 0 | 21,359 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-01 | COURNOYER CHRISTINE | director | Award / grant | 2,294 | 22,140 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-01 | Hyun Randy | director | Award / grant | 2,294 | 36,561 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-01 | SHOCKLEY BRETT A | director | Award / grant | 2,294 | 38,238 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-01 | Stein Todd J | director | Award / grant | 2,294 | 48,364 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-01 | Byrne Barbara Peterson | director | Award / grant | 2,294 | 43,952 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-01 | Stein Todd J | director | Award / grant | 0 | 566,912 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-01 | Stein Todd J | director | Award / grant | 0 | 497,560 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-01 | Byrne Barbara Peterson | director | Award / grant | 0 | 5,637 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-01 | COURNOYER CHRISTINE | director | Award / grant | 0 | 5,637 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-04 | KELLY VINCENT D | director | Option exercise | 48,840 | 171,548 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-04 | WALLACE MICHAEL W | officer | Option exercise | 30,525 | 82,774 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-04 | KELLY VINCENT D | director | Withheld for tax | 28,635 | 157,565 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-04 | WALLACE MICHAEL W | officer | Withheld for tax | 17,897 | 74,034 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-04 | KELLY VINCENT D | director | Award / grant | 14,652 | 186,200 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-04 | Rice Calvin | officer | Option exercise | 13,736 | 25,998 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-04 | Woods-Keisling Sharon | officer | Option exercise | 11,447 | 37,071 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-04 | WALLACE MICHAEL W | officer | Award / grant | 9,157 | 91,931 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-04 | Rice Calvin | officer | Withheld for tax | 8,759 | 21,359 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-04 | Woods-Keisling Sharon | officer | Withheld for tax | 4,469 | 36,036 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-04 | Rice Calvin | officer | Award / grant | 4,120 | 30,118 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-04 | Woods-Keisling Sharon | officer | Award / grant | 3,434 | 40,505 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-04 | Rice Calvin | officer | Option exercise | 13,736 | 67,830 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-04 | WALLACE MICHAEL W | officer | Option exercise | 30,525 | 125,226 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.