SPHRSphere Entertainment Co.Communication Services · Entertainmentas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $144.43 · now $144.43 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, SPHR has typically landed between $116.32 and $183.53 — a range of −19.5% to +27.1% from the issuance price $144.43.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

1,596 overlapping 1 month windows · 2020-04-09 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($144.43) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where SPHR has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $144.43 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$116.32worst · -19.5%$183.53best · +27.1%
  • now $144.43 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $148.43 (+2.8%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $133.01–$163.84
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $116.32–$183.53
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 1,596 windows spanning 2020-04-09 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2025-02-14−34.2%−35.8%+0.0%
2025-02-07−33.3%−33.3%+1.6%
2025-02-10−33.2%−33.7%+1.0%
3 best
2025-04-21+62.1%+0.0%+62.6%
2023-06-28+57.4%+0.0%+57.4%
2025-04-17+55.6%−4.3%+55.6%

1,596 overlapping windows · 2020-04-09 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~7 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
83%
+3.6%
n=6
Feb
83%
+14.7%
n=6
Mar
33%
−5.5%
n=6
Apr
50%
−2.4%
n=6
May
14%
+0.2%
n=7
Jun
43%
+1.9%
n=7
Jul
57%
+8.0%
n=7
Aug
57%
+0.6%
n=7
Sep
43%
+0.7%
n=7
Oct
33%
−0.6%
n=6
Nov
50%
+5.8%
n=6
Dec
50%
+7.9%
n=6

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$176$39↑ buys↓ sales
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2025-03-10Charles F. Dolan 2009 Revocable TrustotherSale53,595 @ $33.76$1.8M−96.8% of holding−9.5%+41.4%1,790Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-03-10Charles F. Dolan 2009 Revocable TrustotherSale1,790 @ $34.85$62K−100.0% of holding−9.5%+41.4%0Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

156 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-06-10DOLAN CHARLES PdirectorAward / grant1,17320,327Form 4
2026-06-10Dolan Kristin AdirectorAward / grant1,72324,937Form 4
2026-06-10DOLAN PAUL JOSEPHdirectorAward / grant1,17326,935Form 4
2026-06-10DOLAN THOMAS CHARLESdirectorAward / grant1,17329,959Form 4
2026-06-10Sweeney BriandirectorAward / grant1,17329,959Form 4
2026-06-10LHOTA JOSEPHdirectorAward / grant1,17328,822Form 4
2026-06-10LITVIN JOEL M.directorAward / grant1,17325,256Form 4
2026-06-10Perelman Debra GoldingdirectorAward / grant1,8336,230Form 4
2026-06-10SYKES JOHN LdirectorAward / grant1,17327,092Form 4
2026-06-10Thomas Isiah IIIdirectorAward / grant1,17320,327Form 4
2026-06-10TESE VINCENTdirectorAward / grant1,17320,327Form 4
2026-06-10WEBER MARIANNE DOLANdirectorAward / grant1,17320,327Form 4
2026-03-30Lo Allen M.officerAward / grant15,73415,734Form 4
2026-03-13Koester JenniferofficerWithheld for tax8,80830,918Form 4
2026-03-13Langer Robert H.officerWithheld for tax5,4165,232Form 4
2026-03-13Granville-Smith DavidofficerWithheld for tax3,68856,464Form 4
2026-03-13Dolan Ryan ThomasdirectorWithheld for tax3254,059Form 4
2026-03-13Granville-Smith DavidofficerOption exercise6,70460,152Form 4
2026-03-13Dolan Ryan ThomasdirectorOption exercise6704,146Form 4
2026-03-13Dolan Ryan ThomasdirectorOption exercise2384,384Form 4
2026-03-13Dolan Ryan ThomasdirectorOption exercise6701,342Form 4
2026-03-13Dolan Ryan ThomasdirectorOption exercise238478Form 4
2026-03-13Koester JenniferofficerOption exercise17,25439,726Form 4
2026-03-13Koester JenniferofficerOption exercise17,25434,509Form 4
2026-03-13Langer Robert H.officerOption exercise10,64821,298Form 4
2026-03-13Langer Robert H.officerOption exercise10,64810,648Form 4
2026-03-13Granville-Smith DavidofficerOption exercise6,70413,410Form 4
2026-03-11Dolan Ryan ThomasdirectorAward / grant2,3912,391Form 4
2026-03-11Langer Robert H.officerAward / grant7,5277,527Form 4
2026-03-11Granville-Smith DavidofficerAward / grant7,5277,527Form 4
2026-03-11Koester JenniferofficerAward / grant19,37119,371Form 4
2026-03-11Winters Christopher J.officerAward / grant1,2731,273Form 4
2026-02-17DOLAN JAMES LAWRENCEdirectorWithheld for tax63,7611,000,138Form 4
2026-02-17DOLAN JAMES LAWRENCEdirectorOption exercise54,3151,032,783Form 4
2026-02-17DOLAN JAMES LAWRENCEdirectorOption exercise54,3151,087,098Form 4
2026-02-17DOLAN JAMES LAWRENCEdirectorWithheld for tax21,670978,468Form 4
2026-02-17DOLAN JAMES LAWRENCEdirectorDisposition11,6001,075,499Form 4
2026-02-17DOLAN JAMES LAWRENCEdirectorDisposition11,6001,063,899Form 4
2026-02-17DOLAN JAMES LAWRENCEdirectorOption exercise54,3150Form 4
2025-10-17Dolan Ryan ThomasdirectorAward / grant7162,728Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.