SPGSimon Property Group, Inc.Real Estate · REIT - Retailas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $202.94 · now $202.94 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, SPG has typically landed between $179.35 and $227.82 — a range of −11.6% to +12.3% from the issuance price $202.94.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

4,685 overlapping 1 month windows · 2008-01-022026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.756.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($202.94) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where SPG has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $202.94 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$179.35worst · -11.6%$227.82best · +12.3%
  • now $202.94 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $206.43 (+1.7%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $195.9$216.96
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $179.35$227.82
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 4,685 windows spanning 2008-01-02 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2020-02-18−67.7%−67.7%+2.2%
2020-02-20−65.7%−68.0%+1.2%
2020-02-21−64.7%−68.4%+0.0%
3 best
2020-05-07+67.5%−10.2%+67.5%
2009-03-30+61.0%+0.0%+64.1%
2020-05-06+59.0%−8.2%+59.0%

4,685 overlapping windows · 2008-01-022026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Fundamentals iCompany financials — revenue, earnings, margins — from the newest filings shown, each carried with its date.iAs-reported figures and standard ratios from FMP, as of 2026-07-25. Revenue, net income and free cash flow can toggle annual or quarterly; margin, ROE and debt-to-equity are shown by fiscal year. We report the figures and the trend — no target price and no over/under-valued call. More on /methodology.

$74.5B
market cap
$14.35
EPS (TTM)
16.0
P/E (TTM)
2026-08-10
next earnings
Revenue$6.4B
'20'25
Net income$4.6B
'20'25
Free cash flow$3.6B
'20'25
Net margin · by yr72.5%
'20'25
ROE · by yr88.6%
'20'25
Debt / equity · by yr5.60
'20'25

Fair value — three views iIndependent reference estimates of worth (a cash-flow model, peer multiples, analyst targets), shown as separate views — not a single verdict.

iThree independent estimates of per-share value, each by a different method and each with its own assumptions: a discounted-cash-flow intrinsic value, a peer comparable (the median trailing P/E of 29 sector peers times this company's trailing EPS), and the analyst price-target consensus. They routinely disagree — that gap is the point. We show the three marks and the current price; we do not blend them into a single number or call the stock over- or under-valued. Marks as of the latest capture. More on /methodology.
now $202.94$171.78$493.95
  • DCF (intrinsic)$240.09
  • Peer P/E × EPS · sector median 32.9× · n=29$471.73
  • Analyst target · range $194.00$285.00$215.00
  • Current price · last close 2026-09-16$202.94

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~19 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
61%
−0.3%
n=18
Feb
58%
+1.0%
n=19
Mar
58%
−2.1%
n=19
Apr
63%
+4.8%
n=19
May
53%
−0.9%
n=19
Jun
47%
+1.2%
n=19
Jul
84%
+3.5%
n=19
Aug
53%
+0.7%
n=19
Sep
47%
−0.7%
n=19
Oct
61%
+1.4%
n=18
Nov
72%
+3.0%
n=18
Dec
72%
+2.9%
n=18

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$237$1622026-06-30: 28 insider purchases, $533K — LEIBOWITZ REUBEN S, GLASSCOCK LARRY C, Smith Daniel C., RODKIN GARY M …2026-03-31: 10 insider purchases, $413K — LEIBOWITZ REUBEN S, GLASSCOCK LARRY C, Smith Daniel C., RODKIN GARY M …2026-02-25: 1 insider sale, $2.0M — RULLI JOHN2025-12-31: 10 insider purchases, $408K — LEIBOWITZ REUBEN S, GLASSCOCK LARRY C, Smith Daniel C., RODKIN GARY M …2025-12-15: 1 insider purchase, $100K — LEWIS RANDALL J2025-11-18: 1 insider purchase, $106K — LEWIS RANDALL J2025-09-30: 10 insider purchases, $394K — LEIBOWITZ REUBEN S, GLASSCOCK LARRY C, Smith Daniel C., RODKIN GARY M …2025-08-14: 1 insider purchase, $7K — STEWART MARTA R2025-08: 1 open-market purchase, $7K2025-09: 10 open-market purchases, $394K2025-11: 1 open-market purchase, $106K2025-12: 11 open-market purchases, $508K2026-02: 1 open-market sale, $2.0M2026-03: 10 open-market purchases, $413K2026-06: 28 open-market purchases, $533K↑ buys↓ salesdirector LEIBOWITZ REUBEN S — Purchase on 2026-06-30, filed 1 day after the tradedirector GLASSCOCK LARRY C — Purchase on 2026-06-30, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Smith Daniel C. — Purchase on 2026-06-30, filed 1 day after the tradedirector RODKIN GARY M — Purchase on 2026-06-30, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Aeppel Glyn — Purchase on 2026-06-30, filed 1 day after the tradedirector SELIG STEFAN M — Purchase on 2026-06-30, filed 1 day after the tradedirector STEWART MARTA R — Purchase on 2026-06-30, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Roe Peggy — Purchase on 2026-06-30, filed 1 day after the tradedirector LEWIS RANDALL J — Purchase on 2026-06-30, filed 1 day after the tradedirector GLASSCOCK LARRY C — Purchase on 2026-06-30, filed 1 day after the tradedirector LEIBOWITZ REUBEN S — Purchase on 2026-06-30, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Smith Daniel C. — Purchase on 2026-06-30, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Aeppel Glyn — Purchase on 2026-06-30, filed 1 day after the tradedirector RODKIN GARY M — Purchase on 2026-06-30, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Jones Nina P — Purchase on 2026-06-30, filed 1 day after the tradedirector SELIG STEFAN M — Purchase on 2026-06-30, filed 1 day after the tradedirector LEIBOWITZ REUBEN S — Purchase on 2026-06-30, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Cicco Martin J — Purchase on 2026-06-30, filed 1 day after the tradedirector GLASSCOCK LARRY C — Purchase on 2026-06-30, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Smith Daniel C. — Purchase on 2026-06-30, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Roe Peggy — Purchase on 2026-06-30, filed 1 day after the tradedirector LEWIS RANDALL J — Purchase on 2026-06-30, filed 1 day after the tradedirector RODKIN GARY M — Purchase on 2026-06-30, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Roe Peggy — Purchase on 2026-06-30, filed 1 day after the tradedirector STEWART MARTA R — Purchase on 2026-06-30, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Jones Nina P — Purchase on 2026-06-30, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Cicco Martin J — Purchase on 2026-06-30, filed 1 day after the tradedirector STEWART MARTA R — Purchase on 2026-06-30, filed 1 day after the tradedirector LEIBOWITZ REUBEN S — Purchase on 2026-03-31, filed 1 day after the tradedirector GLASSCOCK LARRY C — Purchase on 2026-03-31, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Smith Daniel C. — Purchase on 2026-03-31, filed 1 day after the tradedirector RODKIN GARY M — Purchase on 2026-03-31, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Aeppel Glyn — Purchase on 2026-03-31, filed 1 day after the tradedirector SELIG STEFAN M — Purchase on 2026-03-31, filed 1 day after the tradedirector STEWART MARTA R — Purchase on 2026-03-31, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Roe Peggy — Purchase on 2026-03-31, filed 1 day after the tradedirector LEWIS RANDALL J — Purchase on 2026-03-31, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Jones Nina P — Purchase on 2026-03-31, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer RULLI JOHN — Sale on 2026-02-25, filed 1 day after the tradedirector LEIBOWITZ REUBEN S — Purchase on 2025-12-31, filed 5 days after the tradedirector GLASSCOCK LARRY C — Purchase on 2025-12-31, filed 5 days after the tradedirector Smith Daniel C. — Purchase on 2025-12-31, filed 5 days after the tradedirector RODKIN GARY M — Purchase on 2025-12-31, filed 5 days after the tradedirector Aeppel Glyn — Purchase on 2025-12-31, filed 5 days after the tradedirector SELIG STEFAN M — Purchase on 2025-12-31, filed 5 days after the tradedirector STEWART MARTA R — Purchase on 2025-12-31, filed 5 days after the tradedirector Roe Peggy — Purchase on 2025-12-31, filed 5 days after the tradedirector LEWIS RANDALL J — Purchase on 2025-12-31, filed 5 days after the tradedirector Jones Nina P — Purchase on 2025-12-31, filed 5 days after the tradedirector LEWIS RANDALL J — Purchase on 2025-12-15, filed 1 day after the tradedirector LEWIS RANDALL J — Purchase on 2025-11-18, filed same daydirector LEIBOWITZ REUBEN S — Purchase on 2025-09-30, filed 1 day after the tradedirector GLASSCOCK LARRY C — Purchase on 2025-09-30, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Smith Daniel C. — Purchase on 2025-09-30, filed 1 day after the tradedirector RODKIN GARY M — Purchase on 2025-09-30, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Aeppel Glyn — Purchase on 2025-09-30, filed 1 day after the tradedirector SELIG STEFAN M — Purchase on 2025-09-30, filed 1 day after the tradedirector STEWART MARTA R — Purchase on 2025-09-30, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Roe Peggy — Purchase on 2025-09-30, filed 1 day after the tradedirector LEWIS RANDALL J — Purchase on 2025-09-30, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Jones Nina P — Purchase on 2025-09-30, filed 1 day after the tradedirector STEWART MARTA R — Purchase on 2025-08-14, filed 1 day after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-06-30LEIBOWITZ REUBEN SdirectorPurchase430 @ $223.14$96K+0.8% of holding+3.7%not yet — horizon still open55,719Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-30GLASSCOCK LARRY CdirectorPurchase330 @ $223.14$74K+0.7% of holding+3.7%not yet — horizon still open45,835Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-30Smith Daniel C.directorPurchase314 @ $223.14$70K+0.9% of holding+3.7%not yet — horizon still open34,422Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-30RODKIN GARY MdirectorPurchase209 @ $223.14$47K+1.0% of holding+3.7%not yet — horizon still open20,969Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-30Aeppel GlyndirectorPurchase199 @ $223.14$44K+1.0% of holding+3.7%not yet — horizon still open21,023Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-30SELIG STEFAN MdirectorPurchase187 @ $223.14$42K+0.6% of holding+3.7%not yet — horizon still open33,779Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-30STEWART MARTA RdirectorPurchase179 @ $223.14$40K+1.0% of holding+3.7%not yet — horizon still open17,997Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-30Roe PeggydirectorPurchase80 @ $223.14$18K+1.0% of holding+3.7%not yet — horizon still open8,038Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-30LEWIS RANDALL JdirectorPurchase58 @ $223.14$13K+0.8% of holding+3.7%not yet — horizon still open7,014Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-30GLASSCOCK LARRY CdirectorPurchase54 @ $224.92$12K+0.1% of holding+3.7%not yet — horizon still open45,889Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-30LEIBOWITZ REUBEN SdirectorPurchase53 @ $225.03$12K+0.1% of holding+3.7%not yet — horizon still open55,772Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-30Smith Daniel C.directorPurchase47 @ $224.41$11K+0.1% of holding+3.7%not yet — horizon still open34,469Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-30Aeppel GlyndirectorPurchase44 @ $224.33$10K+0.2% of holding+3.7%not yet — horizon still open21,067Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-30RODKIN GARY MdirectorPurchase43 @ $224.31$10K+0.2% of holding+3.7%not yet — horizon still open21,012Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-30Jones Nina PdirectorPurchase41 @ $223.14$9K+1.0% of holding+3.7%not yet — horizon still open4,181Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-30SELIG STEFAN MdirectorPurchase33 @ $224.01$7K+0.1% of holding+3.7%not yet — horizon still open33,812Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-30LEIBOWITZ REUBEN SdirectorPurchase25 @ $223.94$6K+0.0% of holding+3.7%not yet — horizon still open55,797Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-30Cicco Martin JdirectorPurchase13 @ $223.14$3K+0.9% of holding+3.7%not yet — horizon still open1,385Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-30GLASSCOCK LARRY CdirectorPurchase13 @ $223.10$3K+0.0% of holding+3.7%not yet — horizon still open45,902Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-30Smith Daniel C.directorPurchase11 @ $223.32$2K+0.0% of holding+3.7%not yet — horizon still open34,480Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-30Roe PeggydirectorPurchase6 @ $223.27$1K+0.1% of holding+3.7%not yet — horizon still open8,044Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-30LEWIS RANDALL JdirectorPurchase4 @ $223.51$894+0.1% of holding+3.7%not yet — horizon still open7,018Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-30RODKIN GARY MdirectorPurchase4 @ $223.25$893+0.0% of holding+3.7%not yet — horizon still open21,016Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-30Roe PeggydirectorPurchase3 @ $223.31$670+0.0% of holding+3.7%not yet — horizon still open8,047Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-30STEWART MARTA RdirectorPurchase2 @ $224.07$448+0.0% of holding+3.7%not yet — horizon still open18,000Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-30Jones Nina PdirectorPurchase2 @ $223.49$447+0.0% of holding+3.7%not yet — horizon still open4,183Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-30Cicco Martin JdirectorPurchase2 @ $223.37$447+0.1% of holding+3.7%not yet — horizon still open1,387Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-30STEWART MARTA RdirectorPurchase1 @ $224.10$224+0.0% of holding+3.7%not yet — horizon still open17,998Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-31LEIBOWITZ REUBEN SdirectorPurchase491 @ $183.80$90K+0.9% of holding−1.3%not yet — horizon still open54,130Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-31GLASSCOCK LARRY CdirectorPurchase373 @ $183.80$69K+0.8% of holding−1.3%not yet — horizon still open44,272Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-31Smith Daniel C.directorPurchase355 @ $183.80$65K+1.1% of holding−1.3%not yet — horizon still open33,035Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-31RODKIN GARY MdirectorPurchase232 @ $183.80$43K+1.2% of holding−1.3%not yet — horizon still open19,687Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-31Aeppel GlyndirectorPurchase221 @ $183.80$41K+1.1% of holding−1.3%not yet — horizon still open19,702Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-31SELIG STEFAN MdirectorPurchase206 @ $183.80$38K+0.6% of holding−1.3%not yet — horizon still open32,483Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-31STEWART MARTA RdirectorPurchase196 @ $183.80$36K+1.2% of holding−1.3%not yet — horizon still open16,696Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-31Roe PeggydirectorPurchase81 @ $183.80$15K+1.2% of holding−1.3%not yet — horizon still open6,885Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-31LEWIS RANDALL JdirectorPurchase56 @ $183.80$10K+1.0% of holding−1.3%not yet — horizon still open5,883Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-31Jones Nina PdirectorPurchase36 @ $183.80$7K+1.2% of holding−1.3%not yet — horizon still open3,067Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-25RULLI JOHNofficerSale10,000 @ $200.88$2.0M−21.9% of holding−1.8%−0.6%35,710Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-12-31LEIBOWITZ REUBEN SdirectorPurchase480 @ $186.00$89K+0.9% of holding+1.3%+13.5%53,639Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2025-12-31GLASSCOCK LARRY CdirectorPurchase363 @ $186.00$68K+0.8% of holding+1.3%+13.5%43,899Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2025-12-31Smith Daniel C.directorPurchase347 @ $186.00$65K+1.1% of holding+1.3%+13.5%32,680Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2025-12-31RODKIN GARY MdirectorPurchase226 @ $186.00$42K+1.2% of holding+1.3%+13.5%19,455Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2025-12-31Aeppel GlyndirectorPurchase216 @ $186.00$40K+1.1% of holding+1.3%+13.5%19,481Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2025-12-31SELIG STEFAN MdirectorPurchase201 @ $186.00$37K+0.6% of holding+1.3%+13.5%32,277Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2025-12-31STEWART MARTA RdirectorPurchase192 @ $186.00$36K+1.2% of holding+1.3%+13.5%16,500Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2025-12-31Roe PeggydirectorPurchase78 @ $186.00$15K+1.2% of holding+1.3%+13.5%6,804Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2025-12-31LEWIS RANDALL JdirectorPurchase54 @ $186.00$10K+0.9% of holding+1.3%+13.5%5,827Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2025-12-31Jones Nina PdirectorPurchase35 @ $186.00$7K+1.2% of holding+1.3%+13.5%3,031Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2025-12-15LEWIS RANDALL JdirectorPurchase545 @ $183.96$100K+10.4% of holding−3.0%+7.1%5,773Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-18LEWIS RANDALL JdirectorPurchase588 @ $180.80$106K+12.7% of holding+0.5%+2.2%5,228Form 4 · filed same day
2025-09-30LEIBOWITZ REUBEN SdirectorPurchase464 @ $185.95$86K+0.8% of holding−10.7%+3.7%58,659Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-09-30GLASSCOCK LARRY CdirectorPurchase351 @ $185.95$65K+0.8% of holding−10.7%+3.7%43,536Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-09-30Smith Daniel C.directorPurchase335 @ $185.95$62K+1.0% of holding−10.7%+3.7%32,333Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-09-30RODKIN GARY MdirectorPurchase219 @ $185.95$41K+1.2% of holding−10.7%+3.7%19,229Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-09-30Aeppel GlyndirectorPurchase208 @ $185.95$39K+1.1% of holding−10.7%+3.7%19,265Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-09-30SELIG STEFAN MdirectorPurchase195 @ $185.95$36K+0.6% of holding−10.7%+3.7%32,076Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-09-30STEWART MARTA RdirectorPurchase186 @ $185.95$35K+1.2% of holding−10.7%+3.7%16,308Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-09-30Roe PeggydirectorPurchase76 @ $185.95$14K+1.1% of holding−10.7%+3.7%6,726Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-09-30LEWIS RANDALL JdirectorPurchase53 @ $185.95$10K+1.2% of holding−10.7%+3.7%4,640Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

177 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-08-31Simon ElidirectorWithheld for tax5,82150,634Form 4
2026-08-31SOKOLOV RICHARD SdirectorWithheld for tax2,306276,548Form 4
2026-08-31Kelly Kevin MofficerWithheld for tax1,43421,297Form 4
2026-08-31Jackson Matthew AofficerWithheld for tax2509,005Form 4
2026-08-20Simon ElidirectorGift7,679,1897,679,189Form 4
2026-08-20Simon ElidirectorGift57,54657,546Form 4
2026-08-20Simon ElidirectorGift7,679,1897,679,189Form 4
2026-08-20Simon ElidirectorCode W8,0008,000Form 4
2026-08-20Simon ElidirectorGift57,54657,546Form 4
2026-08-20Simon ElidirectorCode W8,0008,000Form 4
2026-05-13Simon ElidirectorAward / grant3,1173,117Form 4
2026-05-13SELIG STEFAN MdirectorAward / grant1,10933,592Form 4
2026-05-13LEWIS RANDALL JdirectorAward / grant1,0736,956Form 4
2026-05-13GLASSCOCK LARRY CdirectorAward / grant1,23345,505Form 4
2026-05-13RODKIN GARY MdirectorAward / grant1,07320,760Form 4
2026-05-13LEIBOWITZ REUBEN SdirectorAward / grant1,15955,289Form 4
2026-05-13STEWART MARTA RdirectorAward / grant1,12217,818Form 4
2026-05-13Aeppel GlyndirectorAward / grant1,12220,824Form 4
2026-05-13Smith Daniel C.directorAward / grant1,07334,108Form 4
2026-05-13SELIG STEFAN MdirectorAward / grant1,10933,592Form 4
2026-05-13Cicco Martin JdirectorAward / grant1,0731,372Form 4
2026-05-13Roe PeggydirectorAward / grant1,0737,958Form 4
2026-05-13Jones Nina PdirectorAward / grant1,0734,140Form 4
2026-05-13STEWART MARTA RdirectorAward / grant1,12217,818Form 4
2026-05-13Aeppel GlyndirectorAward / grant1,12220,824Form 4
2026-05-13Smith Daniel C.directorAward / grant1,07334,108Form 4
2026-05-13Cicco Martin JdirectorAward / grant1,0731,372Form 4
2026-05-13RODKIN GARY MdirectorAward / grant1,07320,760Form 4
2026-05-13Roe PeggydirectorAward / grant1,0737,958Form 4
2026-05-13LEWIS RANDALL JdirectorAward / grant1,0736,956Form 4
2026-05-13LEIBOWITZ REUBEN SdirectorAward / grant1,15955,289Form 4
2026-05-13Jones Nina PdirectorAward / grant1,0734,140Form 4
2026-05-13GLASSCOCK LARRY CdirectorAward / grant1,23345,505Form 4
2026-04-01Simon ElidirectorWithheld for tax2,03056,455Form 4
2026-04-01Frey Donald GofficerWithheld for tax1,31222,573Form 4
2026-04-01RULLI JOHNofficerWithheld for tax1,15637,487Form 4
2026-04-01FIVEL STEVEN EofficerWithheld for tax1,04840,986Form 4
2026-04-01Kelly Kevin MofficerWithheld for tax47822,731Form 4
2026-04-01Jackson Matthew AofficerWithheld for tax4479,255Form 4
2026-04-01Reuille AdamofficerWithheld for tax39116,620Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures iStock trades disclosed by members of Congress for this company, by the date they were filed.iDisclosures shown as facts. A purchase “cluster” (≥2 members of Congress filing a buy within 90 days) has historically preceded modestly higher forward returns — and it persisted out-of-sample, though it roughly halved after 2021 (see below). A descriptive historical tendency, not a signal to trade and not used in our forecast. See /methodology.

As of 2026-09-16 · point-in-time by filed date

Purchase clusters · 2015–2021 (dev)+45 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 59.3% vs 57.3% · n=31,607 cluster ticker-weeks
Purchase clusters · 2022–2026 (out-of-sample)+32 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 54.0% vs 53.3% · n=27,793

A cluster = ≥2 members of Congress filing a purchase within 90 days. The historical tilt persisted after 2021 but roughly halved (+45 → +32 bp/mo forward 1-month vs the S&P 500 weekly-grid baseline). Descriptive historical tendency — not a signal to trade, and not used in our forecast (audition-log 2026-07-27, recomputed 2026-09-08).

'24 Q'24 Q'24 Q'24 Q'25 Q'25 Q'25 Q'25 Q'26 Q'26 Q'26 Qpurchases ▲ / sales ▼ ($ vol)
MemberChamberTypeFiledTradedSize
Alan ArmstrongSenatepurchase2026-07-212026-03-27$1–15K
Jonathan JacksonHousepurchase2026-05-272026-04-20$15–50K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2026-02-062026-01-29$15–50K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2025-12-082025-11-03$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2025-11-062025-10-07$1–15K
Valerie HoyleHousesale2025-10-102025-09-23$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2025-09-092025-08-26$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2025-09-092025-08-04$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2025-09-092025-08-26$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2025-09-092025-08-04$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2025-08-072025-07-25$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2025-08-072025-07-25$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2025-06-102025-05-28$1–15K
Victoria SpartzHousepurchase2025-04-262025-04-03$1–15K

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.