SOWG · TickerCove

SOWGSow Good Inc.Consumer Defensive · Food Confectionersas of 2026-09-25

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-25 at $2.26 · now $2.26 (2026-09-25, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-25 close, SOWG has typically landed between $1.27 and $3.76 — a range of −43.6% to +66.5% from the issuance price $2.26.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

4,039 overlapping 1 month windows · 2010-07-01 – 2026-08-26 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Base rate up 53.7% (90% CI 51.5–55.9%, ≈1,391 obs). Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-25 issuance close ($2.26) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-26, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$2.26 · 8% of range

$1.13 low$14.55 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-09-25 — factual context, not a signal.

Base rate up · monthiClimatology base rate that a US-listed stock rises over a month, with its 90% CI and ≈1,391 effective observations. Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

53.7%

90% CI 51.5%–55.9%

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

−2.2%

typical move · IQR 34.9%

−43.6%worst (p90)+66.5%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

0 open-market sales

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

0 buys · 0 sells · 0 members

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where SOWG has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-25 close of $2.26 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $2.26 (+0.0%)
typical $2.21 (-2.2%)
middle 50% $1.82–$2.61
90% range $1.27–$3.76

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 4,039 windows spanning 2010-07-01 to 2026-09-25. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2026-04-07	−82.1%	−82.1%	+0.0%
2026-04-08	−80.6%	−81.9%	+0.0%
2026-03-24	−79.8%	−79.8%	+4.0%
3 best
2010-10-04	+266.7%	+0.0%	+266.7%
2010-10-07	+248.0%	+0.0%	+252.0%
2010-10-06	+248.0%	+0.0%	+252.0%

4,039 overlapping windows · 2010-07-01 – 2026-09-25 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month i

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~17 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.

Jan

38%

+11.6%

n=16

Feb

56%

+10.2%

n=16

Mar

25%

−3.6%

n=16

Apr

19%

−8.8%

n=16

May

44%

+11.2%

n=16

Jun

50%

+9.2%

n=16

Jul

44%

+4.0%

n=16

Aug

41%

−7.2%

n=17

Sep

18%

−5.6%

n=17

Oct

38%

+10.9%

n=16

Nov

38%

−5.8%

n=16

Dec

25%

−6.7%

n=16

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing
2024-12-31	Goldfarb Ira	director	Purchase	12,374 @ $2.05	$25K	+2.3% of holding	+37.2%	−65.9%	552,178	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2024-12-31	Goldfarb Claudia	director	Purchase	12,374 @ $2.05	$25K	+2.3% of holding	+37.2%	−65.9%	548,364	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2024-03-28	Fischer Benno	tenPercentOwner	Purchase	150,000 @ $7.25	$1.1M	+27.2% of holding	+24.6%	+1.1%	702,059	Form 4 · filed 15 days after the trade
2024-03-28	BERMAN LYLE	director	Purchase	68,966 @ $7.25	$500K	+14.4% of holding	+24.6%	+1.1%	548,400	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2024-03-28	Berman Brad	director	Purchase	30,000 @ $7.25	$218K	+13.5% of holding	+24.6%	+1.1%	252,935	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2024-03-28	Goldfarb Claudia	director	Purchase	17,242 @ $7.25	$125K	+6.4% of holding	+24.6%	+1.1%	285,990	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2024-03-28	Goldfarb Ira	director	Purchase	17,242 @ $7.25	$125K	+5.9% of holding	+24.6%	+1.1%	309,357	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2024-03-28	Shensky Edward	director	Purchase	13,794 @ $7.25	$100K	+50.1% of holding	+24.6%	+1.1%	41,348	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

50 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Owned after	Filing
2026-03-31	Lazar David E.	director	Award / grant	5,740,000	5,740,000	Form 4
2026-03-30	NATAN DAVID	director	Award / grant	276,876	276,876	Form 4
2026-03-30	Shensky Edward	director	Award / grant	26,876	76,436	Form 4
2026-03-30	Rubin Jeffrey Edward	director	Award / grant	26,876	148,961	Form 4
2026-02-12	Goldfarb Ira	director	Conversion	827,095	3,521,114	Form 4
2026-02-12	Goldfarb Ira	director	Conversion	827,095	1,975,451	Form 4
2026-02-12	Goldfarb Claudia	director	Award / grant	94,555	1,022,697	Form 4
2026-01-15	BERMAN LYLE	director	Award / grant	138,888	161,142	Form 4
2026-01-15	Goldfarb Ira	director	Award / grant	138,888	1,148,356	Form 4
2025-12-31	Lazar David E.	director	Award / grant	1,500,000	1,500,000	Form 4
2025-12-31	Lazar David E.	director	Option exercise	410,000	1,090,000	Form 4
2025-06-05	Goldfarb Ira	director	Award / grant	259,270	1,009,468	Form 4
2025-06-05	Goldfarb Claudia	director	Award / grant	167,362	928,142	Form 4
2025-04-28	Goldfarb Ira	director	Award / grant	2,454,632	2,454,632	Form 4
2025-04-28	BERMAN LYLE	director	Award / grant	2,067,650	2,067,650	Form 4
2025-04-28	Goldfarb Claudia	director	Award / grant	386,980	386,980	Form 4
2025-03-31	Goldfarb Ira	director	Award / grant	198,020	750,198	Form 4
2025-03-31	Goldfarb Claudia	director	Award / grant	158,416	706,780	Form 4
2024-11-15	Goldfarb Ira	director	Gift	19,553	539,804	Form 4
2024-04-15	Goldfarb Ira	director	Option exercise	500,000	557,646	Form 4
2024-04-15	BERMAN LYLE	director	Option exercise	230,000	853,400	Form 4
2024-04-15	Goldfarb Claudia	director	Option exercise	225,000	535,990	Form 4
2024-04-15	Goldfarb Ira	director	Option exercise	225,000	559,357	Form 4
2024-04-15	Goldfarb Ira	director	Option exercise	187,500	1,057,646	Form 4
2024-04-15	Goldfarb Ira	director	Option exercise	125,000	807,646	Form 4
2024-04-15	Goldfarb Ira	director	Option exercise	125,000	682,646	Form 4
2024-04-15	BERMAN LYLE	director	Option exercise	75,000	623,400	Form 4
2024-04-15	BERMAN LYLE	director	Option exercise	62,500	1,103,400	Form 4
2024-04-15	BERMAN LYLE	director	Option exercise	62,500	1,165,900	Form 4
2024-04-15	BERMAN LYLE	director	Option exercise	62,500	1,040,900	Form 4
2024-04-15	BERMAN LYLE	director	Option exercise	62,500	978,400	Form 4
2024-04-15	BERMAN LYLE	director	Option exercise	62,500	915,900	Form 4
2024-04-15	Goldfarb Ira	director	Option exercise	62,500	870,146	Form 4
2024-04-15	Berman Brad	director	Option exercise	25,000	66,636	Form 4
2024-04-15	Goldfarb Ira	director	Option exercise	25,000	25,000	Form 4
2024-04-15	Goldfarb Ira	director	Option exercise	25,000	334,357	Form 4
2024-04-15	Goldfarb Claudia	director	Option exercise	25,000	310,990	Form 4
2024-04-15	BERMAN LYLE	director	Option exercise	62,500	0	Form 4
2024-04-15	Goldfarb Claudia	director	Option exercise	225,000	0	Form 4
2024-04-15	Goldfarb Claudia	director	Option exercise	25,000	0	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Resolves in i

27d remaining

2026-09-2610% elapsed2026-10-26

Logged immutably 2026-09-26; scored automatically on 2026-10-26 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

Reported insider & political trades

Congressional disclosures

Seasonality · by month i