SOUNSoundHound AI, Inc.Technology · Software - Applicationas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $5.93 · now $5.93 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, SOUN has typically landed between $3.54 and $9.56 — a range of −40.4% to +61.2% from the issuance price $5.93.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

1,076 overlapping 1 month windows · 2022-04-28 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($5.93) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where SOUN has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $5.93 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$3.54worst · -40.4%$9.56best · +61.2%
  • now $5.93 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $5.84 (-1.5%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $4.76–$6.92
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $3.54–$9.56
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 1,076 windows spanning 2022-04-28 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2022-05-05−72.6%−72.6%+0.0%
2022-05-06−70.3%−70.3%+0.0%
2022-06-01−69.8%−69.8%+0.0%
3 best
2023-01-09+349.5%+0.0%+349.5%
2024-01-29+294.7%−13.3%+294.7%
2024-02-13+290.8%−0.9%+290.8%

1,076 overlapping windows · 2022-04-28 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~5 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
25%
+6.9%
n=4
Feb
75%
+93.8%
n=4
Mar
0%
−18.3%
n=4
Apr
50%
−0.3%
n=4
May
100%
+14.8%
n=5
Jun
40%
−11.9%
n=5
Jul
40%
+0.3%
n=5
Aug
60%
+5.7%
n=5
Sep
40%
−0.7%
n=5
Oct
50%
−5.2%
n=4
Nov
50%
+8.8%
n=4
Dec
25%
+18.8%
n=4

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$21$62026-08-27: 1 insider sale, $10K — SROKA DIANA2026-06-15: 5 insider sales, $2.0M — MOHAJER KEYVAN, ZAGORSEK MICHAEL, EMAMI MAJID, HOM JAMES MING …2026-03-23: 1 insider sale, $9K — SROKA DIANA2026-03-20: 6 insider sales, $2.1M — MOHAJER KEYVAN, ZAGORSEK MICHAEL, SHARAN NITESH, EMAMI MAJID …2026-01-09: 1 insider sale, $356K — STONEHOCKER TIMOTHY2025-12-26: 1 insider sale, $349K — EMAMI MAJID2025-12-24: 1 insider sale, $23K — STONEHOCKER TIMOTHY2025-12-23: 1 insider sale, $15K — SROKA DIANA2025-12-22: 6 insider sales, $4.5M — MOHAJER KEYVAN, ZAGORSEK MICHAEL, SHARAN NITESH, HOM JAMES MING …2025-11-13: 1 insider sale, $17K — SROKA DIANA2025-10-14: 2 insider sales, $1.3M — SHARAN NITESH …2025-10-08: 3 insider sales, $4.6M — MOHAJER KEYVAN, STONEHOCKER TIMOTHY, EMAMI MAJID2025-09-24: 2 insider sales, $686K — EMAMI MAJID, STONEHOCKER TIMOTHY2025-09-22: 8 insider sales, $7.4M — MOHAJER KEYVAN, ZAGORSEK MICHAEL, SHARAN NITESH, HOM JAMES MING …2025-09: 10 open-market sales, $8.1M2025-10: 5 open-market sales, $5.9M2025-11: 1 open-market sale, $17K2025-12: 9 open-market sales, $4.8M2026-01: 1 open-market sale, $356K2026-03: 7 open-market sales, $2.1M2026-06: 5 open-market sales, $2.0M2026-08: 1 open-market sale, $10K↑ buys↓ salesdirector SROKA DIANA — Sale on 2026-08-27, filed 4 days after the tradedirector MOHAJER KEYVAN — Sale on 2026-06-15, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer ZAGORSEK MICHAEL — Sale on 2026-06-15, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer EMAMI MAJID — Sale on 2026-06-15, filed 2 days after the tradedirector HOM JAMES MING — Sale on 2026-06-15, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer STONEHOCKER TIMOTHY — Sale on 2026-06-15, filed 2 days after the tradedirector SROKA DIANA — Sale on 2026-03-23, filed 1 day after the tradedirector MOHAJER KEYVAN — Sale on 2026-03-20, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer ZAGORSEK MICHAEL — Sale on 2026-03-20, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer SHARAN NITESH — Sale on 2026-03-20, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer EMAMI MAJID — Sale on 2026-03-20, filed 4 days after the tradedirector HOM JAMES MING — Sale on 2026-03-20, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer STONEHOCKER TIMOTHY — Sale on 2026-03-20, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer STONEHOCKER TIMOTHY — Sale on 2026-01-09, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer EMAMI MAJID — Sale on 2025-12-26, filed 3 days after the tradeofficer STONEHOCKER TIMOTHY — Sale on 2025-12-24, filed 5 days after the tradedirector SROKA DIANA — Sale on 2025-12-23, filed 6 days after the tradedirector MOHAJER KEYVAN — Sale on 2025-12-22, filed 7 days after the tradeofficer ZAGORSEK MICHAEL — Sale on 2025-12-22, filed 7 days after the tradeofficer SHARAN NITESH — Sale on 2025-12-22, filed 7 days after the tradedirector HOM JAMES MING — Sale on 2025-12-22, filed 7 days after the tradeofficer EMAMI MAJID — Sale on 2025-12-22, filed 7 days after the tradeofficer STONEHOCKER TIMOTHY — Sale on 2025-12-22, filed 7 days after the tradedirector SROKA DIANA — Sale on 2025-11-13, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer SHARAN NITESH — Sale on 2025-10-14, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer SHARAN NITESH — Sale on 2025-10-14, filed 2 days after the tradedirector MOHAJER KEYVAN — Sale on 2025-10-08, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer STONEHOCKER TIMOTHY — Sale on 2025-10-08, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer EMAMI MAJID — Sale on 2025-10-08, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer EMAMI MAJID — Sale on 2025-09-24, filed same dayofficer STONEHOCKER TIMOTHY — Sale on 2025-09-24, filed same daydirector MOHAJER KEYVAN — Sale on 2025-09-22, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer ZAGORSEK MICHAEL — Sale on 2025-09-22, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer SHARAN NITESH — Sale on 2025-09-22, filed 2 days after the tradedirector HOM JAMES MING — Sale on 2025-09-22, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer EMAMI MAJID — Sale on 2025-09-22, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer STONEHOCKER TIMOTHY — Sale on 2025-09-22, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer SHARAN NITESH — Sale on 2025-09-22, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer SHARAN NITESH — Sale on 2025-09-22, filed 2 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-08-27SROKA DIANAdirectorSale1,343 @ $7.15$10K−0.8% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open173,271Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-06-15MOHAJER KEYVANdirectorSale126,540 @ $7.46$944K−6.1% of holding−13.6%not yet — horizon still open1,947,237Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-06-15ZAGORSEK MICHAELofficerSale64,994 @ $7.46$485K−3.7% of holding−13.6%not yet — horizon still open1,669,497Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-06-15EMAMI MAJIDofficerSale28,843 @ $7.46$215K−5.7% of holding−13.6%not yet — horizon still open472,983Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-06-15HOM JAMES MINGdirectorSale28,843 @ $7.46$215K−3.7% of holding−13.6%not yet — horizon still open743,521Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-06-15STONEHOCKER TIMOTHYofficerSale18,802 @ $7.46$140K−3.6% of holding−13.6%not yet — horizon still open502,290Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-03-23SROKA DIANAdirectorSale1,343 @ $6.77$9K−0.9% of holding+10.8%not yet — horizon still open149,920Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-20MOHAJER KEYVANdirectorSale124,510 @ $6.79$845K−5.7% of holding+11.3%not yet — horizon still open2,073,777Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-03-20ZAGORSEK MICHAELofficerSale52,968 @ $6.79$360K−3.0% of holding+11.3%not yet — horizon still open1,734,491Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-03-20SHARAN NITESHofficerSale44,027 @ $6.79$299K−2.6% of holding+11.3%not yet — horizon still open1,661,121Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-03-20EMAMI MAJIDofficerSale31,019 @ $6.79$211K−5.8% of holding+11.3%not yet — horizon still open501,826Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-03-20HOM JAMES MINGdirectorSale31,019 @ $6.79$211K−3.9% of holding+11.3%not yet — horizon still open772,364Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-03-20STONEHOCKER TIMOTHYofficerSale23,087 @ $6.79$157K−4.2% of holding+11.3%not yet — horizon still open521,092Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-01-09STONEHOCKER TIMOTHYofficerSale29,676 @ $12.00$356K−5.2% of holding−29.5%−52.0%544,179Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-12-26EMAMI MAJIDofficerSale32,741 @ $10.66$349K−5.8% of holding−10.2%−48.3%532,845Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-12-24STONEHOCKER TIMOTHYofficerSale2,121 @ $10.97$23K−0.4% of holding−9.5%−49.2%573,855Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2025-12-23SROKA DIANAdirectorSale1,343 @ $10.88$15K−0.9% of holding−11.2%−48.3%151,263Form 4 · filed 6 days after the trade
2025-12-22MOHAJER KEYVANdirectorSale144,326 @ $11.28$1.6M−6.2% of holding−9.0%−52.7%2,198,287Form 4 · filed 7 days after the trade
2025-12-22ZAGORSEK MICHAELofficerSale73,406 @ $11.28$828K−3.9% of holding−9.0%−52.7%1,787,459Form 4 · filed 7 days after the trade
2025-12-22SHARAN NITESHofficerSale60,780 @ $11.28$685K−3.4% of holding−9.0%−52.7%1,705,148Form 4 · filed 7 days after the trade
2025-12-22HOM JAMES MINGdirectorSale42,600 @ $11.28$480K−5.0% of holding−9.0%−52.7%803,383Form 4 · filed 7 days after the trade
2025-12-22EMAMI MAJIDofficerSale42,600 @ $11.28$480K−7.0% of holding−9.0%−52.7%565,586Form 4 · filed 7 days after the trade
2025-12-22STONEHOCKER TIMOTHYofficerSale31,329 @ $11.28$353K−5.2% of holding−9.0%−52.7%575,976Form 4 · filed 7 days after the trade
2025-11-13SROKA DIANAdirectorSale1,343 @ $12.99$17K−0.9% of holding−13.0%−42.2%152,606Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-10-14SHARAN NITESHofficerSale30,376 @ $21.21$644K−1.7% of holding−39.7%−69.6%1,765,928Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-10-14SHARAN NITESHofficerSale30,000 @ $21.21$636K−1.6% of holding−39.7%−69.6%1,796,304Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-10-08MOHAJER KEYVANdirectorSale118,654 @ $20.00$2.4M−4.8% of holding−24.2%−67.5%2,342,613Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-10-08STONEHOCKER TIMOTHYofficerSale70,524 @ $20.00$1.4M−10.4% of holding−24.2%−67.5%606,525Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-10-08EMAMI MAJIDofficerSale41,167 @ $20.00$823K−6.3% of holding−24.2%−67.5%608,186Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-09-24EMAMI MAJIDofficerSale36,185 @ $17.86$646K−5.3% of holding+1.0%−64.0%649,353Form 4 · filed same day
2025-09-24STONEHOCKER TIMOTHYofficerSale2,247 @ $17.90$40K−0.3% of holding+1.0%−64.0%677,049Form 4 · filed same day
2025-09-22MOHAJER KEYVANdirectorSale138,523 @ $16.00$2.2M−5.3% of holding+4.6%−61.8%2,461,267Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-09-22ZAGORSEK MICHAELofficerSale69,837 @ $16.00$1.1M−3.6% of holding+4.6%−61.8%1,860,790Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-09-22SHARAN NITESHofficerSale66,220 @ $16.00$1.1M−3.5% of holding+4.6%−61.8%1,826,680Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-09-22HOM JAMES MINGdirectorSale42,119 @ $16.00$674K−4.7% of holding+4.6%−61.8%845,441Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-09-22EMAMI MAJIDofficerSale42,119 @ $16.00$674K−5.8% of holding+4.6%−61.8%685,538Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-09-22STONEHOCKER TIMOTHYofficerSale37,570 @ $16.00$601K−5.2% of holding+4.6%−61.8%679,296Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-09-22SHARAN NITESHofficerSale30,376 @ $17.21$523K−1.7% of holding+4.6%−61.8%1,796,304Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-09-22SHARAN NITESHofficerSale30,000 @ $17.21$516K−1.6% of holding+4.6%−61.8%1,892,900Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-06-24EMAMI MAJIDofficerSale60,295 @ $10.00$603K−11.2% of holding+17.2%+1.3%477,657Form 4 · filed same day
2025-06-24STONEHOCKER TIMOTHYofficerSale2,981 @ $9.68$29K−0.4% of holding+17.2%+1.3%716,866Form 4 · filed same day
2025-06-24SROKA DIANAdirectorSale2,800 @ $9.94$28K−1.8% of holding+17.2%+1.3%153,949Form 4 · filed same day
2025-06-20MOHAJER KEYVANdirectorSale131,664 @ $9.36$1.2M−7.0% of holding+12.7%−0.4%1,749,790Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-06-20MOHAJER KEYVANdirectorSale122,712 @ $9.36$1.1M−6.1% of holding+12.7%−0.4%1,881,454Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-06-20ZAGORSEK MICHAELofficerSale66,049 @ $9.36$618K−4.7% of holding+12.7%−0.4%1,346,455Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-06-20SHARAN NITESHofficerSale62,628 @ $9.36$586K−4.2% of holding+12.7%−0.4%1,442,900Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-06-20ZAGORSEK MICHAELofficerSale51,131 @ $9.36$478K−3.5% of holding+12.7%−0.4%1,409,394Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-06-20SHARAN NITESHofficerSale48,483 @ $9.36$454K−3.1% of holding+12.7%−0.4%1,505,528Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-06-20HOM JAMES MINGdirectorSale40,697 @ $9.36$381K−6.0% of holding+12.7%−0.4%637,560Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-06-20EMAMI MAJIDofficerSale40,697 @ $9.36$381K−7.0% of holding+12.7%−0.4%537,952Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-06-20STONEHOCKER TIMOTHYofficerSale39,738 @ $9.36$372K−5.2% of holding+12.7%−0.4%719,847Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-06-20HOM JAMES MINGdirectorSale38,833 @ $9.36$363K−5.4% of holding+12.7%−0.4%678,257Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-06-20EMAMI MAJIDofficerSale38,833 @ $9.36$363K−6.3% of holding+12.7%−0.4%578,649Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-06-20STONEHOCKER TIMOTHYofficerSale33,424 @ $9.36$313K−4.2% of holding+12.7%−0.4%759,585Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-06-10EMAMI MAJIDofficerSale132,352 @ $10.04$1.3M−19.8% of holding+14.5%+11.8%537,482Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-05-14STONEHOCKER TIMOTHYofficerSale44,157 @ $12.00$530K−5.8% of holding−24.2%−4.4%723,009Form 4 · filed same day
2025-05-12HOM JAMES MINGdirectorSale3,815 @ $10.00$38K−0.6% of holding−14.7%+13.3%637,090Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-03-24MOHAJER KEYVANdirectorSale138,895 @ $10.08$1.4M−7.3% of holding−8.4%+58.9%1,764,166Form 4 · filed same day
2025-03-24HOM JAMES MINGdirectorSale51,196 @ $10.25$525K−7.4% of holding−8.4%+58.9%638,456Form 4 · filed same day
2025-03-24SROKA DIANAdirectorSale3,402 @ $10.08$34K−2.4% of holding−8.4%+58.9%138,850Form 4 · filed same day

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

55 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-09-04Collins John DeNeenofficerAward / grant1,000,0001,050,573Form 4
2026-09-04Collins John DeNeenofficerAward / grant50,57350,573Form 4
2026-09-04Collins John DeNeenofficerAward / grant50,57350,573Form 4
2026-09-04Collins John DeNeenofficerAward / grant50,57350,573Form 4
2026-07-31ZAGORSEK MICHAELofficerAward / grant250,0002,669,497Form 4
2026-07-31HOM JAMES MINGdirectorAward / grant400,0001,143,521Form 4
2026-07-31EMAMI MAJIDofficerAward / grant400,000872,983Form 4
2026-07-31MOHAJER KEYVANdirectorAward / grant375,0003,822,237Form 4
2026-07-31SROKA DIANAdirectorAward / grant4,000174,614Form 4
2026-07-31ZAGORSEK MICHAELofficerAward / grant750,0002,419,497Form 4
2026-07-31MOHAJER KEYVANdirectorAward / grant1,500,0003,447,237Form 4
2026-07-31MARCUS LAWRENCEdirectorAward / grant4,000116,631Form 4
2026-07-31Ball Eric R.directorAward / grant4,000153,500Form 4
2026-05-22SROKA DIANAdirectorAward / grant20,694170,614Form 4
2026-05-22MARCUS LAWRENCEdirectorAward / grant20,694112,631Form 4
2026-05-22Ball Eric R.directorAward / grant20,694149,500Form 4
2025-10-14SHARAN NITESHofficerOption exercise30,0001,826,304Form 4
2025-10-14SHARAN NITESHofficerOption exercise30,000248,677Form 4
2025-09-22SHARAN NITESHofficerOption exercise30,0001,922,900Form 4
2025-09-22SHARAN NITESHofficerOption exercise30,000278,677Form 4
2025-08-11EMAMI MAJIDofficerAward / grant250,000727,657Form 4
2025-08-11HOM JAMES MINGdirectorAward / grant250,000887,560Form 4
2025-08-11MOHAJER KEYVANdirectorAward / grant850,0002,599,790Form 4
2025-08-11ZAGORSEK MICHAELofficerAward / grant450,0001,930,627Form 4
2025-08-11SHARAN NITESHofficerAward / grant450,0001,892,900Form 4
2025-07-18ZAGORSEK MICHAELofficerOption exercise74,7711,457,475Form 4
2025-07-18ZAGORSEK MICHAELofficerOption exercise36,2491,382,704Form 4
2025-07-18ZAGORSEK MICHAELofficerOption exercise23,1521,480,627Form 4
2025-07-18ZAGORSEK MICHAELofficerOption exercise36,249408,250Form 4
2025-07-18ZAGORSEK MICHAELofficerOption exercise74,77164,136Form 4
2025-07-18ZAGORSEK MICHAELofficerOption exercise23,152115,753Form 4
2025-06-20HOM JAMES MINGdirectorAward / grant80,000717,090Form 4
2025-06-20MOHAJER KEYVANdirectorAward / grant240,0002,004,166Form 4
2025-06-20SHARAN NITESHofficerAward / grant100,0001,554,011Form 4
2025-06-20ZAGORSEK MICHAELofficerAward / grant100,0001,460,525Form 4
2025-06-20EMAMI MAJIDofficerAward / grant80,000617,482Form 4
2025-06-20STONEHOCKER TIMOTHYofficerAward / grant70,000793,009Form 4
2025-05-23MARCUS LAWRENCEdirectorAward / grant17,89991,937Form 4
2025-05-23Ball Eric R.directorAward / grant17,899128,806Form 4
2025-05-23SROKA DIANAdirectorAward / grant17,899156,749Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.