SONYSony Group CorporationTechnology · Consumer Electronicsas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $23.73 · now $23.73 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, SONY has typically landed between $20.73 and $27.14 — a range of −12.6% to +14.4% from the issuance price $23.73.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($23.73) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where SONY has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $23.73 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$20.73worst · -12.6%$27.14best · +14.4%
  • now $23.73 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $23.86 (+0.5%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $22.56–$25.16
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $20.73–$27.14
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,003 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2008-09-26−40.7%−40.7%+0.0%
2008-09-11−39.1%−39.1%+0.3%
2008-09-25−38.6%−38.6%+0.5%
3 best
2013-01-07+44.3%−2.5%+44.8%
2013-01-04+42.0%−4.4%+42.0%
2013-01-08+41.8%+0.0%+48.5%

5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
60%
+2.3%
n=20
Feb
55%
+1.8%
n=20
Mar
55%
+2.1%
n=20
Apr
40%
−0.4%
n=20
May
65%
+2.3%
n=20
Jun
45%
−1.1%
n=20
Jul
70%
+4.0%
n=20
Aug
40%
−2.2%
n=20
Sep
50%
−0.6%
n=20
Oct
70%
+0.9%
n=20
Nov
60%
+1.3%
n=20
Dec
55%
+1.3%
n=20

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$30$192026-08-17: 1 insider sale, $477K — Tanaka Kenji2026-08-05: 2 insider sales, $12.3M — Stringer Robert Adrian …2026-08-04: 2 insider sales, $742K — Kodera Tsuyoshi, Ahuja Ravi2026-07-06: 2 insider sales, $1.1M — Ahuja Ravi, Platt Jonathan J.2026-07-03: 2 insider sales, $5.3M — Totoki Hiroki, Mitomo Toshimoto2026-06-17: 1 insider sale, $1.0M — Kodera Tsuyoshi2026-05-18: 2 insider sales, $9.4M — Yoshida Kenichiro, Kodera Tsuyoshi2026-05: 2 open-market sales, $9.4M2026-06: 1 open-market sale, $1.0M2026-07: 4 open-market sales, $6.4M2026-08: 5 open-market sales, $13.5M↑ buys↓ salesofficer Tanaka Kenji — Sale on 2026-08-17, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Stringer Robert Adrian — Sale on 2026-08-05, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Stringer Robert Adrian — Sale on 2026-08-05, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Kodera Tsuyoshi — Sale on 2026-08-04, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Ahuja Ravi — Sale on 2026-08-04, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Ahuja Ravi — Sale on 2026-07-06, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Platt Jonathan J. — Sale on 2026-07-06, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Totoki Hiroki — Sale on 2026-07-03, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Mitomo Toshimoto — Sale on 2026-07-03, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Kodera Tsuyoshi — Sale on 2026-06-17, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Yoshida Kenichiro — Sale on 2026-05-18, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Kodera Tsuyoshi — Sale on 2026-05-18, filed 1 day after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-08-17Tanaka KenjiofficerSale20,000 @ $23.83$477K−31.3% of holding+2.5%not yet — horizon still open43,899Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-05Stringer Robert AdrianofficerSale445,000 @ $22.49$10.0M−81.6% of holding+10.8%not yet — horizon still open100,547Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-05Stringer Robert AdrianofficerSale100,547 @ $22.49$2.3M−100.0% of holding+10.8%not yet — horizon still open0Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-04Kodera TsuyoshiofficerSale17,100 @ $22.72$389K−26.5% of holding+11.1%not yet — horizon still open47,508Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-04Ahuja RavidirectorSale15,580 @ $22.71$354K−41.4% of holding+11.1%not yet — horizon still open22,096Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-07-06Ahuja RavidirectorSale36,826 @ $21.08$776K−38.5% of holding+3.0%not yet — horizon still open58,786Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-07-06Platt Jonathan J.officerSale16,512 @ $21.08$348K−16.5% of holding+3.0%not yet — horizon still open83,326Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-07-03Totoki HirokidirectorSale225,000 @ $21.02$4.7M−56.5% of holding+7.1%not yet — horizon still open173,250Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-07-03Mitomo ToshimotoofficerSale25,000 @ $21.02$526K−17.8% of holding+7.1%not yet — horizon still open115,700Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-06-17Kodera TsuyoshiofficerSale51,000 @ $20.54$1.0M−64.9% of holding+4.1%not yet — horizon still open27,553Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-18Yoshida KenichirodirectorSale400,000 @ $22.61$9.0M−37.7% of holding−11.2%not yet — horizon still open661,615Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-18Kodera TsuyoshiofficerSale17,500 @ $22.61$396K−38.8% of holding−11.2%not yet — horizon still open27,553Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

47 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-09-11Ito YasuhiroofficerOption exercise9,00015,489Form 4
2026-09-11Ito YasuhiroofficerOption exercise9,0004,000Form 4
2026-08-17Sashida ShinjiofficerOption exercise4,00012,700Form 4
2026-08-17Sashida ShinjiofficerOption exercise3,0008,700Form 4
2026-08-17Sashida ShinjiofficerOption exercise3,0000Form 4
2026-08-17Sashida ShinjiofficerOption exercise4,00021,000Form 4
2026-08-13Tanaka KenjiofficerOption exercise6,50061,399Form 4
2026-08-13Tanaka KenjiofficerOption exercise2,50063,899Form 4
2026-08-13Tanaka KenjiofficerOption exercise2,50012,500Form 4
2026-08-13Tanaka KenjiofficerOption exercise6,5000Form 4
2026-08-03Kodera TsuyoshiofficerOption exercise37,0550Form 4
2026-08-03Ahuja RavidirectorOption exercise27,44727,452Form 4
2026-08-03Kodera TsuyoshiofficerOption exercise37,05564,608Form 4
2026-08-03Ahuja RavidirectorOption exercise27,44737,676Form 4
2026-08-03Ahuja RavidirectorOption exercise27,44737,676Form 4
2026-08-03Kodera TsuyoshiofficerOption exercise37,05564,608Form 4
2026-07-24Totoki HirokidirectorAward / grant35,04061,442Form 4
2026-07-24Sashida ShinjiofficerAward / grant40,30040,300Form 4
2026-07-24Ahuja RavidirectorAward / grant142,000142,000Form 4
2026-07-24Becker WendydirectorAward / grant5,5505,550Form 4
2026-07-24Denzel NoradirectorAward / grant5,5505,550Form 4
2026-07-24Goto YorikodirectorAward / grant5,5505,550Form 4
2026-07-24HUNT NEIL DdirectorAward / grant5,5505,550Form 4
2026-07-24Hyodo MasayukidirectorAward / grant5,5505,550Form 4
2026-07-24Imaizumi LindirectorAward / grant77,09077,090Form 4
2026-07-24Imaizumi LindirectorAward / grant9,35016,782Form 4
2026-07-24Ito YasuhiroofficerAward / grant46,95046,950Form 4
2026-07-24Ito YasuhiroofficerAward / grant7,71012,661Form 4
2026-07-24Kodera TsuyoshiofficerAward / grant61,32061,320Form 4
2026-07-24Kodera TsuyoshiofficerAward / grant8,76014,710Form 4
2026-07-24Konomoto ShingodirectorAward / grant5,5505,550Form 4
2026-07-24Kraft Joseph A. Jr.directorAward / grant5,5505,550Form 4
2026-07-24MORROW WILLIAM TdirectorAward / grant5,5505,550Form 4
2026-07-24Mitomo ToshimotoofficerAward / grant70,08070,080Form 4
2026-07-24Platt Jonathan J.officerAward / grant71,00071,000Form 4
2026-07-24Stringer Robert AdrianofficerAward / grant191,384191,384Form 4
2026-07-24Tanaka KenjiofficerAward / grant19,63019,630Form 4
2026-07-24Totoki HirokidirectorAward / grant367,890367,890Form 4
2026-06-12Kodera TsuyoshiofficerOption exercise51,00078,553Form 4
2026-06-12Kodera TsuyoshiofficerOption exercise51,0000Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.