SONSonoco Products CompanyConsumer Cyclical · Packaging & Containersas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $48.41 · now $48.41 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, SON has typically landed between $43.34 and $53.68 — a range of −10.5% to +10.9% from the issuance price $48.41.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($48.41) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where SON has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $48.41 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$43.34worst · -10.5%$53.68best · +10.9%
  • now $48.41 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $48.4 (-0.0%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $46.68–$50.12
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $43.34–$53.68
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,003 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2008-09-11−36.8%−36.8%+0.3%
2008-09-10−34.8%−34.8%+0.0%
2008-09-16−33.8%−35.3%+0.0%
3 best
2009-03-09+26.9%+0.0%+30.5%
2008-03-20+26.6%+0.0%+26.6%
2009-03-05+25.1%−4.1%+25.1%

5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
50%
+0.2%
n=20
Feb
65%
+0.6%
n=20
Mar
70%
+2.5%
n=20
Apr
50%
+1.8%
n=20
May
65%
+1.5%
n=20
Jun
40%
−0.7%
n=20
Jul
55%
+0.3%
n=20
Aug
55%
+0.9%
n=20
Sep
35%
−3.8%
n=20
Oct
50%
+0.3%
n=20
Nov
70%
+3.8%
n=20
Dec
55%
+0.1%
n=20

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$60$382026-08-07: 1 insider purchase, $249K — Coker R. Howard2026-07-29: 1 insider sale, $15K — Florence John M2026-04-27: 1 insider purchase, $340K — Harrell James A. III2026-04-24: 1 insider purchase, $400K — Joachimczyk Paul2026-02-27: 1 insider sale, $89K — Haynes Ernest D III2026-02-19: 1 insider sale, $1K — Harrell James A. III2025-10-29: 5 insider purchases, $810K — Joachimczyk Paul …2025-10-28: 1 insider purchase, $100K — Haley John R2025-10: 6 open-market purchases, $910K2026-02: 2 open-market sales, $90K2026-04: 2 open-market purchases, $740K2026-07: 1 open-market sale, $15K2026-08: 1 open-market purchase, $249K↑ buys↓ salesofficer Coker R. Howard — Purchase on 2026-08-07, filed 3 days after the tradeofficer Florence John M — Sale on 2026-07-29, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Harrell James A. III — Purchase on 2026-04-27, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Joachimczyk Paul — Purchase on 2026-04-24, filed same dayofficer Haynes Ernest D III — Sale on 2026-02-27, filed same dayofficer Harrell James A. III — Sale on 2026-02-19, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Joachimczyk Paul — Purchase on 2025-10-29, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Joachimczyk Paul — Purchase on 2025-10-29, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Joachimczyk Paul — Purchase on 2025-10-29, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Joachimczyk Paul — Purchase on 2025-10-29, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Joachimczyk Paul — Purchase on 2025-10-29, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Haley John R — Purchase on 2025-10-28, filed 2 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-08-07Coker R. HowardofficerPurchase4,345 @ $57.41$249K+0.8% of holding−12.3%not yet — horizon still open546,937Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-07-29Florence John MofficerSale261 @ $58.56$15K−1.6% of holding−8.7%not yet — horizon still open15,795Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-04-27Harrell James A. IIIofficerPurchase6,753 @ $50.37$340K+203.6% of holding−4.8%not yet — horizon still open10,070Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-04-24Joachimczyk PaulofficerPurchase8,058 @ $49.64$400K+39.3% of holding−1.4%not yet — horizon still open28,558Form 4 · filed same day
2026-02-27Haynes Ernest D IIIofficerSale1,581 @ $56.39$89K−14.4% of holding+1.8%−10.7%9,377Form 4 · filed same day
2026-02-19Harrell James A. IIIofficerSale20 @ $57.84$1K−0.0% of holding−3.8%−4.9%54,497Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-10-29Joachimczyk PaulofficerPurchase20,317 @ $39.50$803Kownership Δ n/a+8.2%+23.5%20,317Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-10-29Joachimczyk PaulofficerPurchase75 @ $39.49$3K+0.4% of holding+8.2%+23.5%20,392Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-10-29Joachimczyk PaulofficerPurchase75 @ $39.48$3K+0.4% of holding+8.2%+23.5%20,467Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-10-29Joachimczyk PaulofficerPurchase23 @ $39.46$908+0.1% of holding+8.2%+23.5%20,490Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-10-29Joachimczyk PaulofficerPurchase10 @ $39.44$394+0.0% of holding+8.2%+23.5%20,500Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-10-28Haley John RdirectorPurchase2,506 @ $39.87$100K+12.0% of holding+6.6%+22.1%23,310Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

288 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-09-10Haley John RdirectorAward / grant96687,498Form 4
2026-09-10Coker R. HowardofficerAward / grant82420,531Form 4
2026-09-10DAVIES PAMELA LEWISdirectorAward / grant77770,479Form 4
2026-09-10Florence John MofficerAward / grant53648,576Form 4
2026-09-10Florence John MofficerAward / grant4205,154Form 4
2026-09-10HILL ROBERT R JRdirectorAward / grant34831,586Form 4
2026-09-10Kyle Richard GdirectorAward / grant34431,226Form 4
2026-09-10Guillemot PhilippedirectorAward / grant33129,981Form 4
2026-09-10Harrell James A. IIIofficerAward / grant2648,607Form 4
2026-09-10Drew Theresa JdirectorAward / grant24822,514Form 4
2026-09-10Istavridis ElenidirectorAward / grant18216,476Form 4
2026-09-10Wood AdamofficerAward / grant1724,439Form 4
2026-09-10Boyd Steven LdirectorAward / grant12411,246Form 4
2026-09-10Haynes Ernest D IIIofficerAward / grant841,008Form 4
2026-09-10Cairns SeanofficerAward / grant75780Form 4
2026-09-10Joachimczyk PaulofficerAward / grant56168Form 4
2026-09-10White Andrea B.officerAward / grant52203Form 4
2026-09-10Fuller Rodger DofficerAward / grant48551Form 4
2026-09-10Clark Scott AdirectorAward / grant332,990Form 4
2026-08-07Coker R. HowardofficerGift4,345542,592Form 4
2026-07-29Florence John MofficerOption exercise6,8590Form 4
2026-07-29Florence John MofficerWithheld for tax6,5989,197Form 4
2026-07-29Florence John MofficerOption exercise6,85916,056Form 4
2026-07-01Haley John RdirectorAward / grant1,80386,532Form 4
2026-07-01HILL ROBERT R JRdirectorAward / grant1,26931,238Form 4
2026-07-01Clark Scott AdirectorAward / grant8912,957Form 4
2026-07-01Kyle Richard GdirectorAward / grant64630,881Form 4
2026-07-01Drew Theresa JdirectorAward / grant64622,266Form 4
2026-07-01Guillemot PhilippedirectorAward / grant64629,650Form 4
2026-07-01Istavridis ElenidirectorAward / grant64616,295Form 4
2026-07-01DAVIES PAMELA LEWISdirectorAward / grant64669,701Form 4
2026-07-01Boyd Steven LdirectorAward / grant64611,122Form 4
2026-06-30Joachimczyk PaulofficerOption exercise8,34816,947Form 4
2026-06-30Joachimczyk PaulofficerWithheld for tax2,53434,372Form 4
2026-06-30Joachimczyk PaulofficerAward / grant2,2962,296Form 4
2026-06-30Joachimczyk PaulofficerOption exercise8,34836,906Form 4
2026-06-10Haley John RdirectorAward / grant92584,729Form 4
2026-06-10Coker R. HowardofficerAward / grant80519,708Form 4
2026-06-10DAVIES PAMELA LEWISdirectorAward / grant75369,056Form 4
2026-06-10Florence John MofficerAward / grant52448,040Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.