SOLSSolstice Advanced Materials Inc.as of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $58.48 · now $58.48 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, SOLS has typically landed between $45.94 and $75.04 — a range of −21.5% to +28.3% from the issuance price $58.48.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

195 overlapping 1 month windows · 2025-10-20 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($58.48) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where SOLS has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $58.48 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$45.94worst · -21.5%$75.04best · +28.3%
  • now $58.48 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $61.77 (+5.6%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $57.19–$66.35
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $45.94–$75.04
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 195 windows spanning 2025-10-20 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2026-06-17−33.7%−33.7%+4.1%
2026-06-15−32.8%−32.8%+2.2%
2026-06-22−30.2%−35.1%+1.9%
3 best
2026-01-12+44.1%+0.0%+44.1%
2026-01-13+41.9%+0.0%+41.9%
2026-01-14+36.3%+0.0%+36.3%

195 overlapping windows · 2025-10-20 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$89$41↑ buys↓ sales
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

300 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-09-10Pierce TinaofficerAward / grant3629,679Form 4
2026-09-10Rudick Brian ScottofficerAward / grant64,702Form 4
2026-09-10Rudick Brian ScottofficerAward / grant65,192Form 4
2026-09-10Rudick Brian ScottofficerAward / grant2419,786Form 4
2026-09-10Pierce TinaofficerAward / grant43,266Form 4
2026-09-10Pierce TinaofficerAward / grant129,992Form 4
2026-09-10Pierce TinaofficerAward / grant65,239Form 4
2026-09-10Pierce TinaofficerAward / grant76,098Form 4
2026-09-10Pierce TinaofficerAward / grant75,785Form 4
2026-09-10Oplinger William FdirectorAward / grant21,893Form 4
2026-09-10Mawson SimonofficerAward / grant32,419Form 4
2026-09-10Mawson SimonofficerAward / grant22,042Form 4
2026-09-10Mawson SimonofficerAward / grant2419,786Form 4
2026-09-10Mawson SimonofficerAward / grant76,067Form 4
2026-09-10Mawson SimonofficerAward / grant86,906Form 4
2026-09-10Mawson SimonofficerAward / grant86,800Form 4
2026-09-10Mawson SimonofficerAward / grant21,945Form 4
2026-09-10Lee RosedirectorAward / grant21,893Form 4
2026-09-10Laird FionadirectorAward / grant21,893Form 4
2026-09-10Gibbons Peter DdirectorAward / grant21,893Form 4
2026-09-10Gautam RajeevdirectorAward / grant21,893Form 4
2026-09-10Dormo Jeffrey HarrisonofficerAward / grant97,137Form 4
2026-09-10Dormo Jeffrey HarrisonofficerAward / grant1210,216Form 4
2026-09-10Dormo Jeffrey HarrisonofficerAward / grant43,093Form 4
2026-09-10Dormo Jeffrey HarrisonofficerAward / grant75,448Form 4
2026-09-10Dormo Jeffrey HarrisonofficerAward / grant43,414Form 4
2026-09-10Dormo Jeffrey HarrisonofficerAward / grant2419,786Form 4
2026-09-10Dormo Jeffrey HarrisonofficerAward / grant21,700Form 4
2026-09-10Clifford Jason MichaelofficerAward / grant2117,468Form 4
2026-09-10Clifford Jason MichaelofficerAward / grant1814,840Form 4
2026-09-10Clifford Jason MichaelofficerAward / grant64,640Form 4
2026-09-10Barresi John SofficerAward / grant1915,992Form 4
2026-09-10Barresi John SofficerAward / grant43,569Form 4
2026-09-10Ward PatdirectorAward / grant21,893Form 4
2026-09-10Somasundaram SivasankarandirectorAward / grant21,893Form 4
2026-09-10Worrell BriandirectorAward / grant21,893Form 4
2026-09-10Trerotola Matthew L.directorAward / grant21,893Form 4
2026-09-10Sewell David BdirectorAward / grant3428,604Form 4
2026-09-10Sewell David BdirectorAward / grant5646,390Form 4
2026-09-10Sewell David BdirectorAward / grant11998,931Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures iStock trades disclosed by members of Congress for this company, by the date they were filed.iDisclosures shown as facts. A purchase “cluster” (≥2 members of Congress filing a buy within 90 days) has historically preceded modestly higher forward returns — and it persisted out-of-sample, though it roughly halved after 2021 (see below). A descriptive historical tendency, not a signal to trade and not used in our forecast. See /methodology.

As of 2026-09-16 · point-in-time by filed date

Purchase clusters · 2015–2021 (dev)+45 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 59.3% vs 57.3% · n=31,607 cluster ticker-weeks
Purchase clusters · 2022–2026 (out-of-sample)+32 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 54.0% vs 53.3% · n=27,793

A cluster = ≥2 members of Congress filing a purchase within 90 days. The historical tilt persisted after 2021 but roughly halved (+45 → +32 bp/mo forward 1-month vs the S&P 500 weekly-grid baseline). Descriptive historical tendency — not a signal to trade, and not used in our forecast (audition-log 2026-07-27, recomputed 2026-09-08).

'25 Q'26 Qpurchases ▲ / sales ▼ ($ vol)
MemberChamberTypeFiledTradedSize
Alan ArmstrongSenatesale2026-07-212026-03-24$1–15K
Debbie DingellHousesale2025-12-062025-11-24$1–15K
Debbie DingellHouseexchange2025-12-062025-10-30$1–15K
Debbie DingellHouseexchange2025-12-062025-10-30$1–15K
Debbie DingellHouseexchange2025-12-062025-10-30$1–15K

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.