SOThe Southern CompanyUtilities · Regulated Electricas of 2026-09-25
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-25 at $82.88 · now $82.88 (2026-09-25, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-25 close, SO has typically landed between $76.96 and $90.24 — a range of −7.1% to +8.9% from the issuance price $82.88.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

4,692 overlapping 1 month windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-08-26 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Base rate up 53.7% (90% CI 51.5–55.9%, ≈1,391 obs). Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-25 issuance close ($82.88) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-26, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where SO has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-25 close of $82.88 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$76.96worst · -7.1%$90.24best · +8.9%
  • now $82.88 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $83.64 (+0.9%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $80.78–$86.51
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $76.96–$90.24
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 4,692 windows spanning 2008-01-02 to 2026-09-25. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2020-02-21−37.4%−37.4%+0.0%
2020-02-20−33.6%−33.6%+0.0%
2020-02-13−30.9%−30.9%+1.3%
3 best
2020-03-23+32.0%+0.0%+39.6%
2020-03-20+19.7%−6.8%+30.1%
2020-03-16+17.4%−9.2%+26.7%

4,692 overlapping windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-09-25 · not cherry-picked

Fundamentals iCompany financials — revenue, earnings, margins — from the newest filings shown, each carried with its date.iAs-reported figures and standard ratios from FMP, as of 2026-07-25. Revenue, net income and free cash flow can toggle annual or quarterly; margin, ROE and debt-to-equity are shown by fiscal year. We report the figures and the trend — no target price and no over/under-valued call. More on /methodology.

$109.6B
market cap
$3.91
EPS (TTM)
24.9
P/E (TTM)
2026-07-30
next earnings
Revenue$29.6B
'20'25
Net income$4.3B
'20'25
Free cash flow−$2.9B
'20'25
Net margin · by yr14.7%
'20'25
ROE · by yr12.1%
'20'25
Debt / equity · by yr1.83
'20'25

Fair value — three views iIndependent reference estimates of worth (a cash-flow model, peer multiples, analyst targets), shown as separate views — not a single verdict.

iThree independent estimates of per-share value, each by a different method and each with its own assumptions: a discounted-cash-flow intrinsic value, a peer comparable (the median trailing P/E of 32 sector peers times this company's trailing EPS), and the analyst price-target consensus. They routinely disagree — that gap is the point. We show the three marks and the current price; we do not blend them into a single number or call the stock over- or under-valued. Marks as of the latest capture. More on /methodology.
now $82.88$23.26$118.57
  • DCF (intrinsic)$29.83
  • Peer P/E × EPS · sector median 22.6× · n=32$88.27
  • Analyst target · range $79.00–$112.00$101.00
  • Current price · last close 2026-09-25$82.88

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~19 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
56%
+0.6%
n=18
Feb
37%
−1.4%
n=19
Mar
74%
+3.0%
n=19
Apr
84%
+2.3%
n=19
May
37%
−0.5%
n=19
Jun
63%
+0.1%
n=19
Jul
79%
+3.0%
n=19
Aug
47%
−0.5%
n=19
Sep
58%
−0.1%
n=19
Oct
78%
+1.4%
n=18
Nov
44%
+0.9%
n=18
Dec
67%
+1.2%
n=18

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$98$832026-09-03: 2 insider sales, $502K — Sena Peter P III, Kim Matthew M.2026-09-01: 1 insider sale, $9K — Kim Matthew M.2026-08-06: 1 insider sale, $313K — Spainhour Sterling A Jr.2026-08-03: 1 insider sale, $9K — Kim Matthew M.2026-07-01: 1 insider sale, $10K — Kim Matthew M.2026-06-01: 1 insider sale, $9K — Kim Matthew M.2026-05-01: 1 insider sale, $10K — Kim Matthew M.2026-03-30: 1 insider sale, $2.4M — Greene Kimberly S,2026-03-19: 1 insider sale, $644K — Cummiskey Christopher2026-03-18: 1 insider sale, $1.2M — Connally Stan W2026-02-24: 1 insider sale, $487K — Kim Matthew M.2025-09-30: 1 insider sale, $582K — Anderson Bryan D2025-08: 1 open-market sale, $226K2025-09: 1 open-market sale, $582K2026-02: 1 open-market sale, $487K2026-03: 3 open-market sales, $4.3M2026-05: 1 open-market sale, $10K2026-06: 1 open-market sale, $9K2026-07: 1 open-market sale, $10K2026-08: 2 open-market sales, $323K2026-09: 3 open-market sales, $511K↑ buys↓ salesofficer Sena Peter P III — Sale on 2026-09-03, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Kim Matthew M. — Sale on 2026-09-03, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Kim Matthew M. — Sale on 2026-09-01, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Spainhour Sterling A Jr. — Sale on 2026-08-06, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Kim Matthew M. — Sale on 2026-08-03, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Kim Matthew M. — Sale on 2026-07-01, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Kim Matthew M. — Sale on 2026-06-01, filed same dayofficer Kim Matthew M. — Sale on 2026-05-01, filed 3 days after the tradedirector Greene Kimberly S, — Sale on 2026-03-30, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Cummiskey Christopher — Sale on 2026-03-19, filed same daydirector Connally Stan W — Sale on 2026-03-18, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Kim Matthew M. — Sale on 2026-02-24, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Anderson Bryan D — Sale on 2025-09-30, filed 1 day after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-09-03Sena Peter P IIIofficerSale4,266 @ $88.59$378K−13.7% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open26,935Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-09-03Kim Matthew M.officerSale1,400 @ $88.87$124K−21.9% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open4,988Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-09-01Kim Matthew M.officerSale100 @ $88.45$9K−1.5% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open6,400Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-06Spainhour Sterling A Jr.directorSale3,333 @ $94.02$313K−8.6% of holding−5.4%not yet — horizon still open35,219Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-03Kim Matthew M.officerSale100 @ $94.28$9K−1.5% of holding−5.8%not yet — horizon still open6,488Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-07-01Kim Matthew M.officerSale100 @ $95.77$10K−1.5% of holding−0.8%not yet — horizon still open6,588Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-01Kim Matthew M.officerSale100 @ $91.16$9K−1.5% of holding+8.3%not yet — horizon still open6,688Form 4 · filed same day
2026-05-01Kim Matthew M.officerSale100 @ $96.57$10K−1.5% of holding−11.0%not yet — horizon still open6,788Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-03-30Greene Kimberly S,directorSale25,000 @ $96.67$2.4M−19.4% of holding−16.1%not yet — horizon still open103,602Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-19Cummiskey ChristopherofficerSale6,669 @ $96.55$644K−17.8% of holding−10.5%−26.4%30,800Form 4 · filed same day
2026-03-18Connally Stan WdirectorSale12,500 @ $97.13$1.2M−7.2% of holding−9.8%−25.0%161,481Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-24Kim Matthew M.officerSale5,123 @ $95.15$487K−42.7% of holding+2.9%−17.3%6,888Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-09-30Anderson Bryan DofficerSale6,206 @ $93.83$582K−10.8% of holding−4.5%+5.0%51,455Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-08-11Spainhour Sterling A Jr.directorSale2,380 @ $95.02$226K−12.0% of holding−5.0%−12.0%17,382Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-07-21Greene Kimberly S,directorSale13,158 @ $95.00$1.3M−12.3% of holding−1.6%−13.2%93,661Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-05-23Cummiskey ChristopherofficerSale12,335 @ $89.54$1.1M−35.4% of holding−4.3%−13.3%22,502Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-03-31Connally Stan WdirectorSale12,500 @ $92.24$1.2M−7.7% of holding+0.8%−15.0%149,419Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-03-10Greene Kimberly S,directorSale32,190 @ $93.12$3.0M−23.2% of holding+4.6%−17.0%106,819Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-03-03WOMACK CHRISTOPHER CdirectorSale24,407 @ $90.13$2.2M−21.8% of holding+4.7%−7.3%87,721Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-03-03DAVIS MARTIN BERNARDdirectorSale1,125 @ $89.61$101K−1.1% of holding+4.7%−7.3%102,090Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-02-25WOMACK CHRISTOPHER CdirectorSale1,593 @ $90.00$143K−1.4% of holding+3.2%−3.9%112,128Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-02-19Cummiskey ChristopherofficerSale944 @ $86.00$81K−2.6% of holding+11.8%+6.8%34,837Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

278 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-07-01SMITH WILLIAM G JRdirectorAward / grant867163,013Form 4
2026-07-01GRAIN DAVID JdirectorAward / grant85486,881Form 4
2026-07-01MEADOR DAVID EdirectorAward / grant8029,452Form 4
2026-07-01Turner John M JRdirectorAward / grant8023,417Form 4
2026-07-01Cooper Shantella E.directorAward / grant47332,606Form 4
2026-07-01EARLEY ANTHONY F JRdirectorAward / grant47331,592Form 4
2026-07-01Etheredge James OdirectorAward / grant4732,883Form 4
2026-07-01Svinicki Kristine LdirectorAward / grant47311,597Form 4
2026-07-01Thomas LizannedirectorAward / grant4737,758Form 4
2026-07-01JOHNS JOHN DdirectorAward / grant47388,551Form 4
2026-07-01Akella JanakidirectorAward / grant47321,179Form 4
2026-07-01EARLEY ANTHONY F JRdirectorAward / grant230859Form 4
2026-06-28Sena Peter P IIIofficerWithheld for tax31631,201Form 4
2026-06-28Sena Peter P IIIofficerOption exercise71231,517Form 4
2026-06-28Sena Peter P IIIofficerOption exercise667667Form 4
2026-05-24WOMACK CHRISTOPHER CdirectorOption exercise6,8980Form 4
2026-05-24WOMACK CHRISTOPHER CdirectorWithheld for tax3,414213,449Form 4
2026-05-24WOMACK CHRISTOPHER CdirectorOption exercise7,662216,863Form 4
2026-04-01SMITH WILLIAM G JRdirectorAward / grant851160,806Form 4
2026-04-01GRAIN DAVID JdirectorAward / grant83885,317Form 4
2026-04-01MEADOR DAVID EdirectorAward / grant7879,280Form 4
2026-04-01Turner John M JRdirectorAward / grant7872,593Form 4
2026-04-01JOHNS JOHN DdirectorAward / grant46487,350Form 4
2026-04-01Akella JanakidirectorAward / grant46420,535Form 4
2026-04-01Klein Dale E.directorAward / grant46457,353Form 4
2026-04-01Svinicki Kristine LdirectorAward / grant46411,032Form 4
2026-04-01Cooper Shantella E.directorAward / grant46431,868Form 4
2026-04-01JAMES DONALD MdirectorAward / grant464203,293Form 4
2026-04-01Thomas LizannedirectorAward / grant4647,224Form 4
2026-04-01EARLEY ANTHONY F JRdirectorAward / grant46430,857Form 4
2026-04-01Etheredge James OdirectorAward / grant4642,390Form 4
2026-04-01EARLEY ANTHONY F JRdirectorAward / grant298629Form 4
2026-04-01Kim Matthew M.officerWithheld for tax826,888Form 4
2026-04-01Kim Matthew M.officerOption exercise826,970Form 4
2026-04-01Kim Matthew M.officerOption exercise13305Form 4
2026-04-01Kim Matthew M.officerOption exercise42975Form 4
2026-04-01Kim Matthew M.officerOption exercise23539Form 4
2026-03-08Drake Sloane NofficerWithheld for tax63338,932Form 4
2026-03-08Drake Sloane NofficerOption exercise1,2750Form 4
2026-03-08Drake Sloane NofficerOption exercise1,42039,565Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures iStock trades disclosed by members of Congress for this company, by the date they were filed.iDisclosures shown as facts. A purchase “cluster” (≥2 members of Congress filing a buy within 90 days) has historically preceded modestly higher forward returns — and it persisted out-of-sample, though it roughly halved after 2021 (see below). A descriptive historical tendency, not a signal to trade and not used in our forecast. See /methodology.

As of 2026-09-25 · point-in-time by filed date

Purchase clusters · 2015–2021 (dev)+45 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 59.3% vs 57.3% · n=31,607 cluster ticker-weeks
Purchase clusters · 2022–2026 (out-of-sample)+32 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 54.0% vs 53.3% · n=27,793

A cluster = ≥2 members of Congress filing a purchase within 90 days. The historical tilt persisted after 2021 but roughly halved (+45 → +32 bp/mo forward 1-month vs the S&P 500 weekly-grid baseline). Descriptive historical tendency — not a signal to trade, and not used in our forecast (audition-log 2026-07-27, recomputed 2026-09-08).

'23 Q'24 Q'24 Q'24 Q'25 Q'25 Q'25 Q'25 Q'26 Qpurchases ▲ / sales ▼ ($ vol)
MemberChamberTypeFiledTradedSize
Jared MoskowitzHousepurchase2026-01-162025-12-02$1–15K
Valerie HoyleHousesale2025-10-102025-09-23$1–15K
Valerie HoyleHousepurchase2025-09-122024-10-29$1–15K
Marjorie Taylor GreeneHousepurchase2025-08-292025-08-28$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2025-07-092025-06-16$1–15K
Jared MoskowitzHousepurchase2025-05-092025-04-07$1–15K
Marjorie Taylor GreeneHousepurchase2025-04-072025-04-03$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2025-03-062025-02-25$1–15K
Marjorie Taylor Mrs GreeneHousepurchase2024-11-082024-11-07$1–15K
John JamesHousesale2024-09-062024-09-04$1–15K
John JamesHousepurchase2024-09-022023-11-10$1–15K
Jared MoskowitzHousesale2024-08-212024-02-13$1–15K
Jared MoskowitzHousepurchase2024-08-212023-07-14$1–15K
Jared MoskowitzHousepurchase2024-08-192024-07-05$1–15K

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.