Issued 2026-09-16 at $260.50 · now $260.50 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, SNX has typically landed between $230.60 and $298.48 — a range of −11.5% to +14.6% from the issuance price $260.50.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($260.50) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where SNX has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $260.5 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $260.5 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $264.73 (+1.6%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $250.76–$278.71
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $230.6–$298.48
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,003 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2020-02-18 | −53.3% | −53.3% | +2.9% |
| 2020-02-19 | −49.9% | −54.1% | +1.1% |
| 2020-02-20 | −48.4% | −54.6% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2008-12-15 | +61.0% | +0.0% | +61.5% |
| 2008-12-11 | +54.9% | −2.3% | +57.9% |
| 2008-12-24 | +52.8% | +0.0% | +52.8% |
5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Jan
55%
+3.0%
n=20
Feb
55%
+1.9%
n=20
Mar
55%
+0.2%
n=20
Apr
50%
+3.0%
n=20
May
75%
+5.0%
n=20
Jun
60%
+0.8%
n=20
Jul
60%
+1.8%
n=20
Aug
60%
−0.3%
n=20
Sep
55%
+3.5%
n=20
Oct
45%
−1.5%
n=20
Nov
75%
+2.8%
n=20
Dec
65%
+2.5%
n=20
Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-15 | POLK DENNIS | director | Sale | 800 @ $262.76 | $210K | −1.1% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 70,847 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-09-15 | POLK DENNIS | director | Sale | 700 @ $263.41 | $184K | −1.0% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 70,147 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-09-15 | POLK DENNIS | director | Sale | 400 @ $264.31 | $106K | −0.6% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 69,747 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-09-15 | POLK DENNIS | director | Sale | 300 @ $267.45 | $80K | −0.4% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 69,147 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-09-15 | POLK DENNIS | director | Sale | 200 @ $266.78 | $53K | −0.3% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 69,447 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-09-15 | POLK DENNIS | director | Sale | 100 @ $265.67 | $27K | −0.1% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 69,647 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-17 | POLK DENNIS | director | Sale | 600 @ $260.27 | $156K | −0.8% of holding | +1.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 72,647 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-17 | POLK DENNIS | director | Sale | 500 @ $264.44 | $132K | −0.7% of holding | +1.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 71,647 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-17 | POLK DENNIS | director | Sale | 500 @ $259.58 | $130K | −0.7% of holding | +1.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 73,247 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-17 | POLK DENNIS | director | Sale | 400 @ $258.68 | $103K | −0.5% of holding | +1.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 73,747 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-17 | POLK DENNIS | director | Sale | 200 @ $263.48 | $53K | −0.3% of holding | +1.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 72,147 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-17 | POLK DENNIS | director | Sale | 200 @ $262.39 | $52K | −0.3% of holding | +1.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 72,347 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-17 | POLK DENNIS | director | Sale | 100 @ $261.97 | $26K | −0.1% of holding | +1.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 72,547 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-05 | HUME RICHARD T | director | Sale | 1,212 @ $264.45 | $321K | −8.2% of holding | −0.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 13,537 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-05 | HUME RICHARD T | director | Sale | 907 @ $263.33 | $239K | −5.8% of holding | −0.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 14,749 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-05 | HUME RICHARD T | director | Sale | 818 @ $261.53 | $214K | −4.8% of holding | −0.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 16,291 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-05 | HUME RICHARD T | director | Sale | 668 @ $260.53 | $174K | −3.8% of holding | −0.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 17,109 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-05 | HUME RICHARD T | director | Sale | 635 @ $262.46 | $167K | −3.9% of holding | −0.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 15,656 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-05 | HUME RICHARD T | director | Sale | 587 @ $259.48 | $152K | −3.2% of holding | −0.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 17,777 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-05 | HUME RICHARD T | director | Sale | 173 @ $258.70 | $45K | −0.9% of holding | −0.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 18,364 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-07-31 | VEZINA ANN F | director | Sale | 1,273 @ $256.05 | $326K | −17.9% of holding | −3.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 5,828 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-07-15 | POLK DENNIS | director | Sale | 832 @ $250.16 | $208K | −1.1% of holding | −1.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 74,647 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-07-15 | POLK DENNIS | director | Sale | 500 @ $252.51 | $126K | −0.7% of holding | −1.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 74,147 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-07-15 | POLK DENNIS | director | Sale | 400 @ $248.45 | $99K | −0.5% of holding | −1.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 75,747 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-07-15 | POLK DENNIS | director | Sale | 300 @ $246.70 | $74K | −0.4% of holding | −1.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 76,347 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-07-15 | POLK DENNIS | director | Sale | 268 @ $249.73 | $67K | −0.4% of holding | −1.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 75,479 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-07-15 | POLK DENNIS | director | Sale | 200 @ $247.38 | $49K | −0.3% of holding | −1.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 76,147 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-07-06 | HUME RICHARD T | director | Sale | 1,124 @ $240.57 | $270K | −5.0% of holding | +8.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 21,231 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-07-06 | HUME RICHARD T | director | Sale | 682 @ $246.44 | $168K | −3.4% of holding | +8.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 19,459 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-07-06 | HUME RICHARD T | director | Sale | 610 @ $247.58 | $151K | −3.1% of holding | +8.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 18,849 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-07-06 | HUME RICHARD T | director | Sale | 539 @ $237.93 | $128K | −2.3% of holding | +8.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 22,998 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-07-06 | HUME RICHARD T | director | Sale | 420 @ $245.47 | $103K | −2.0% of holding | +8.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 20,141 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-07-06 | HUME RICHARD T | director | Sale | 419 @ $239.67 | $100K | −1.8% of holding | +8.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 22,355 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-07-06 | HUME RICHARD T | director | Sale | 336 @ $244.34 | $82K | −1.6% of holding | +8.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 20,561 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-07-06 | HUME RICHARD T | director | Sale | 334 @ $241.63 | $81K | −1.6% of holding | +8.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 20,897 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-07-06 | HUME RICHARD T | director | Sale | 312 @ $248.28 | $77K | −1.7% of holding | +8.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 18,537 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-07-06 | HUME RICHARD T | director | Sale | 224 @ $238.09 | $53K | −1.0% of holding | +8.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 22,774 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-30 | POLK DENNIS | director | Sale | 8,000 @ $268.34 | $2.1M | −24.7% of holding | −4.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 24,439 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-30 | POLK DENNIS | director | Sale | 2,000 @ $269.03 | $538K | −8.2% of holding | −4.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 22,439 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-29 | POLK DENNIS | director | Sale | 9,533 @ $265.33 | $2.5M | −27.7% of holding | −6.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 24,906 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-29 | POLK DENNIS | director | Sale | 3,000 @ $264.75 | $794K | −8.0% of holding | −6.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 34,439 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-29 | POLK DENNIS | director | Sale | 2,467 @ $266.37 | $657K | −9.9% of holding | −6.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 22,439 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-15 | POLK DENNIS | director | Sale | 1,790 @ $284.40 | $509K | −2.3% of holding | −14.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 76,847 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-15 | POLK DENNIS | director | Sale | 510 @ $283.80 | $145K | −0.6% of holding | −14.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 78,637 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-15 | POLK DENNIS | director | Sale | 200 @ $285.07 | $57K | −0.3% of holding | −14.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 76,647 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-02 | HUME RICHARD T | director | Sale | 2,230 @ $279.50 | $623K | −8.0% of holding | −10.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 25,473 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-02 | HUME RICHARD T | director | Sale | 725 @ $278.56 | $202K | −2.6% of holding | −10.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 27,703 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-02 | HUME RICHARD T | director | Sale | 478 @ $283.55 | $136K | −2.0% of holding | −10.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 23,816 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-02 | HUME RICHARD T | director | Sale | 477 @ $280.25 | $134K | −1.9% of holding | −10.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 24,996 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-02 | HUME RICHARD T | director | Sale | 399 @ $281.35 | $112K | −1.6% of holding | −10.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 24,597 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-02 | HUME RICHARD T | director | Sale | 303 @ $282.38 | $86K | −1.2% of holding | −10.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 24,294 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-02 | HUME RICHARD T | director | Sale | 191 @ $284.66 | $54K | −0.8% of holding | −10.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 23,625 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-02 | HUME RICHARD T | director | Sale | 88 @ $285.26 | $25K | −0.4% of holding | −10.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 23,537 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-02 | HUME RICHARD T | director | Sale | 60 @ $277.90 | $17K | −0.2% of holding | −10.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 28,428 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-02 | HUME RICHARD T | director | Sale | 28 @ $276.50 | $8K | −0.1% of holding | −10.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 28,488 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-02 | HUME RICHARD T | director | Sale | 21 @ $272.75 | $6K | −0.1% of holding | −10.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 28,516 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-18 | HUME RICHARD T | director | Sale | 1,907 @ $228.39 | $436K | −5.7% of holding | +24.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 31,272 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-05-18 | HUME RICHARD T | director | Sale | 1,017 @ $231.30 | $235K | −3.4% of holding | +24.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 28,657 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-05-18 | HUME RICHARD T | director | Sale | 959 @ $229.51 | $220K | −3.1% of holding | +24.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 30,313 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-05-18 | HUME RICHARD T | director | Sale | 639 @ $230.63 | $147K | −2.1% of holding | +24.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 29,674 | Form 4 · filed same day |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
109 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-15 | Britt Douglas | director | Award / grant | 629 | 629 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-02 | Dhanji Alim | officer | Withheld for tax | 628 | 12,880 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-30 | POLK DENNIS | director | Option exercise | 9,676 | 32,439 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-30 | POLK DENNIS | director | Option exercise | 324 | 22,763 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-30 | Henry John Paul | officer | Award / grant | 162 | 22,862 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-30 | Dhanji Alim | officer | Award / grant | 82 | 13,508 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-30 | POLK DENNIS | director | Option exercise | 324 | 1,661 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-30 | POLK DENNIS | director | Option exercise | 9,676 | 2,905 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-29 | POLK DENNIS | director | Option exercise | 15,000 | 37,439 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-29 | POLK DENNIS | director | Option exercise | 15,000 | 12,581 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-15 | Saintil Merline | director | Award / grant | 1,022 | 8,017 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-15 | VEZINA ANN F | director | Award / grant | 1,022 | 7,101 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-15 | CRUSCO KATHLEEN M | director | Award / grant | 1,022 | 5,547 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-15 | HUME RICHARD T | director | Award / grant | 1,022 | 38,537 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-15 | Herh Ting | director | Award / grant | 1,022 | 4,621 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-15 | Pumilia Claude J | director | Award / grant | 1,022 | 5,547 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-15 | Nayyar Nayaki R | director | Award / grant | 1,022 | 10,885 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-15 | LAMNECK KENNETH T | director | Award / grant | 1,022 | 3,057 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-01 | Murphy Miriam Anne | officer | Withheld for tax | 2,684 | 13,845 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-02 | HUME RICHARD T | director | Option exercise | 18,365 | 65,880 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-02 | HUME RICHARD T | director | Option exercise | 18,365 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-30 | HUME RICHARD T | director | Option exercise | 492 | 48,007 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-30 | HUME RICHARD T | director | Option exercise | 492 | 18,365 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-29 | HUME RICHARD T | director | Option exercise | 25,000 | 72,515 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-29 | HUME RICHARD T | director | Option exercise | 25,000 | 18,857 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-28 | HUME RICHARD T | director | Option exercise | 12,991 | 60,506 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-28 | HUME RICHARD T | director | Option exercise | 12,991 | 43,857 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-20 | Jordan David Gregory | officer | Withheld for tax | 685 | 17,260 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-20 | Thompson Reyna | officer | Withheld for tax | 651 | 16,154 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-20 | POLK DENNIS | director | Withheld for tax | 320 | 22,439 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-12 | POLK DENNIS | director | Option exercise | 15,372 | 53,468 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-12 | POLK DENNIS | director | Option exercise | 3,997 | 38,096 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-12 | POLK DENNIS | director | Option exercise | 631 | 54,099 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-12 | POLK DENNIS | director | Option exercise | 15,372 | 28,212 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-12 | POLK DENNIS | director | Option exercise | 3,997 | 1,985 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-12 | POLK DENNIS | director | Option exercise | 631 | 27,581 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-05 | Zammit Patrick | director | Withheld for tax | 1,763 | 184,828 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-05 | VETTER DAVID R | officer | Withheld for tax | 763 | 71,585 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-05 | Zammit Patrick | director | Award / grant | 4,299 | 186,591 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-05 | VETTER DAVID R | officer | Award / grant | 2,908 | 72,348 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.