Issued 2026-09-16 at $67.61 · now $67.61 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, SNEX has typically landed between $58.56 and $79.95 — a range of −13.4% to +18.2% from the issuance price $67.61.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($67.61) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where SNEX has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $67.61 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $67.61 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $69.51 (+2.8%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $65.16–$73.85
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $58.56–$79.95
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,003 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2008-11-03 | −59.3% | −59.3% | +0.0% |
| 2008-10-22 | −58.8% | −58.8% | +0.0% |
| 2008-10-23 | −58.2% | −58.2% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2007-03-06 | +63.4% | +0.0% | +75.1% |
| 2007-03-01 | +62.5% | −7.7% | +63.7% |
| 2007-02-28 | +61.8% | −8.7% | +61.8% |
5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Jan
40%
−2.6%
n=20
Feb
75%
+4.8%
n=20
Mar
55%
+3.9%
n=20
Apr
65%
+3.4%
n=20
May
65%
+3.2%
n=20
Jun
65%
+2.4%
n=20
Jul
65%
+3.5%
n=20
Aug
50%
+0.5%
n=20
Sep
45%
−1.7%
n=20
Oct
60%
+4.0%
n=20
Nov
55%
+0.5%
n=20
Dec
40%
−0.4%
n=20
Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-16 | Rotsztain Diego | officer | Sale | 20,298 @ $67.13 | $1.4M | −36.8% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 34,870 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-09-15 | Maurer Mark Lowry | other | Sale | 50,528 @ $67.02 | $3.4M | −19.9% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 203,244 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-09-14 | Maurer Mark Lowry | other | Sale | 52,564 @ $68.83 | $3.6M | −17.2% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 253,772 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-09-14 | Rotsztain Diego | officer | Sale | 30,327 @ $68.83 | $2.1M | −35.5% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 55,168 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-14 | Perkins Abigail H | officer | Sale | 8,924 @ $68.83 | $614K | −9.2% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 87,739 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-14 | Dunaway William J | officer | Sale | 96,490 @ $66.35 | $6.4M | −16.1% of holding | +2.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 502,203 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-10 | Perkins Abigail H | officer | Sale | 4,500 @ $64.81 | $292K | −4.4% of holding | +8.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 96,663 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-10 | Thamodaran Dhamu R. | director | Purchase | 2,500 @ $64.48 | $161K | +3.4% of holding | +8.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 75,760 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-07 | Maurer Mark Lowry | other | Sale | 52,648 @ $66.25 | $3.5M | −18.2% of holding | +5.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 236,964 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-05 | FOWLER JOHN MOORE | director | Sale | 1,575 @ $75.41 | $119K | −0.6% of holding | −9.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 255,271 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-07-24 | Rotsztain Diego | officer | Sale | 20,630 @ $74.40 | $1.5M | −37.2% of holding | −12.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 34,870 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-22 | OCONNOR SEAN MICHAEL | director | Sale | 104,934 @ $74.33 | $7.8M | −5.7% of holding | −12.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,750,447 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-07-22 | Dunaway William J | officer | Sale | 95,970 @ $74.33 | $7.1M | −16.9% of holding | −12.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 472,131 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-07-22 | Maurer Mark Lowry | other | Sale | 52,376 @ $74.32 | $3.9M | −19.2% of holding | −12.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 220,240 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-07-22 | Smith Philip Andrew | director | Sale | 45,000 @ $74.32 | $3.3M | −5.7% of holding | −12.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 738,216 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-07-22 | Rotsztain Diego | officer | Sale | 29,995 @ $74.32 | $2.2M | −35.1% of holding | −12.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 55,500 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-07-20 | Perkins Abigail H | officer | Sale | 8,919 @ $70.43 | $628K | −8.4% of holding | −9.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 96,663 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-07-15 | BEXIGA ANNABELLE G | director | Sale | 1,500 @ $113.92 | $171K | −7.4% of holding | −16.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 18,688 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-30 | Smith Philip Andrew | director | Sale | 37,500 @ $118.75 | $4.5M | −7.1% of holding | −1.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 492,144 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-30 | Smith Philip Andrew | director | Sale | 14,040 @ $118.67 | $1.7M | −2.8% of holding | −1.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 492,144 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-16 | Maurer Mark Lowry | other | Sale | 11,542 @ $133.63 | $1.5M | −7.8% of holding | −21.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 135,496 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-15 | OCONNOR SEAN MICHAEL | director | Sale | 75,000 @ $135.42 | $10.2M | −6.5% of holding | −18.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,086,921 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-15 | Maurer Mark Lowry | other | Sale | 34,706 @ $135.31 | $4.7M | −19.1% of holding | −18.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 147,038 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-15 | BEXIGA ANNABELLE G | director | Sale | 1,500 @ $133.36 | $200K | −6.9% of holding | −18.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 20,188 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-12 | OCONNOR SEAN MICHAEL | director | Sale | 75,000 @ $131.15 | $9.8M | −6.1% of holding | −13.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,161,921 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-12 | Dunaway William J | officer | Sale | 63,602 @ $131.16 | $8.3M | −17.8% of holding | −13.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 294,359 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-12 | Lyon Charles M | officer | Sale | 9,000 @ $131.96 | $1.2M | −4.0% of holding | −13.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 216,495 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-08 | Perkins Abigail H | officer | Sale | 4,312 @ $118.51 | $511K | −5.6% of holding | +2.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 72,388 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-22 | Maurer Mark Lowry | other | Sale | 11,398 @ $112.25 | $1.3M | −7.8% of holding | +22.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 135,496 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-22 | Smith Philip Andrew | director | Sale | 8,535 @ $112.72 | $962K | −1.7% of holding | +22.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 506,184 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-20 | Rotsztain Diego | officer | Sale | 13,696 @ $112.79 | $1.5M | −37.1% of holding | +22.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 23,247 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-05-19 | OCONNOR SEAN MICHAEL | director | Sale | 72,140 @ $109.94 | $7.9M | −5.5% of holding | +25.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,236,921 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-05-18 | OCONNOR SEAN MICHAEL | director | Sale | 87,790 @ $111.46 | $9.8M | −6.6% of holding | +19.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,236,921 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-18 | Rotsztain Diego | officer | Sale | 20,054 @ $111.48 | $2.2M | −35.2% of holding | +19.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 36,943 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-15 | OCONNOR SEAN MICHAEL | director | Sale | 140,070 @ $110.31 | $15.5M | −10.2% of holding | +18.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,236,921 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-15 | Dunaway William J | officer | Sale | 64,017 @ $110.46 | $7.1M | −19.0% of holding | +18.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 273,586 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-15 | BEXIGA ANNABELLE G | director | Sale | 1,500 @ $112.82 | $169K | −6.5% of holding | +18.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 21,688 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-14 | Maurer Mark Lowry | other | Sale | 34,862 @ $116.29 | $4.1M | −19.2% of holding | +16.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 146,894 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-11 | Schroeder Aaron | officer | Sale | 3,500 @ $122.65 | $429K | −6.4% of holding | +4.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 51,481 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-11 | PARTHEMORE ERIC | director | Sale | 2,500 @ $123.30 | $308K | −5.4% of holding | +4.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 43,874 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-05-11 | KASS STEVEN A | director | Sale | 2,000 @ $123.26 | $247K | −3.6% of holding | +4.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 53,266 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-05-05 | FOWLER JOHN MOORE | director | Sale | 1,050 @ $106.25 | $112K | −0.6% of holding | +0.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 171,246 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-04-15 | BEXIGA ANNABELLE G | director | Sale | 1,500 @ $101.91 | $153K | −6.1% of holding | +5.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 23,188 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-04-10 | Smith Philip Andrew | director | Sale | 30,000 @ $92.23 | $2.8M | −5.5% of holding | +22.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 514,719 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-13 | BEXIGA ANNABELLE G | director | Sale | 1,000 @ $106.54 | $107K | −5.7% of holding | +42.9% | +33.4% | 16,459 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-13 | Perkins Abigail H | officer | Sale | 8,000 @ $126.72 | $1.0M | −14.2% of holding | −13.2% | +6.9% | 48,259 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-10 | OCONNOR SEAN MICHAEL | director | Sale | 40,000 @ $124.56 | $5.0M | −4.5% of holding | −12.6% | +12.1% | 854,127 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-02-09 | OCONNOR SEAN MICHAEL | director | Sale | 40,000 @ $124.95 | $5.0M | −4.5% of holding | −11.8% | +7.2% | 854,127 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-09 | Maurer Mark Lowry | other | Sale | 40,000 @ $124.88 | $5.0M | −30.7% of holding | −11.8% | +7.2% | 90,331 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-09 | Lyon Charles M | officer | Sale | 30,000 @ $124.78 | $3.7M | −16.6% of holding | −11.8% | +7.2% | 150,330 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-02-02 | FOWLER JOHN MOORE | director | Sale | 1,125 @ $112.70 | $127K | −1.0% of holding | +9.9% | +37.2% | 113,765 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-19 | Rotsztain Diego | officer | Sale | 2,029 @ $94.50 | $192K | −11.6% of holding | +14.0% | +105.0% | 15,498 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-18 | Rotsztain Diego | officer | Sale | 2,477 @ $94.91 | $235K | −12.4% of holding | +15.4% | +110.5% | 17,527 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-12-17 | Rotsztain Diego | officer | Sale | 1,348 @ $96.17 | $130K | −6.3% of holding | +9.7% | +105.7% | 20,004 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-16 | RADZIWILL JOHN | director | Purchase | 1,000 @ $97.25 | $97K | +1.0% of holding | +9.4% | +103.9% | 101,596 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-03 | FOWLER JOHN MOORE | director | Sale | 1,125 @ $91.20 | $103K | −1.0% of holding | +7.7% | +76.1% | 114,769 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-20 | OCONNOR SEAN MICHAEL | director | Sale | 2,000 @ $96.50 | $193K | −1.5% of holding | −7.5% | +25.7% | 132,902 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-08-19 | OCONNOR SEAN MICHAEL | director | Sale | 3,000 @ $95.00 | $285K | −2.2% of holding | −4.1% | +21.8% | 134,902 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-08-01 | FOWLER JOHN MOORE | director | Sale | 1,125 @ $96.00 | $108K | −1.0% of holding | +2.5% | +4.9% | 115,749 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-06-16 | Perkins Abigail H | officer | Sale | 10,470 @ $86.22 | $903K | −19.3% of holding | +2.9% | −1.1% | 43,913 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
163 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | Rotsztain Diego | officer | Option exercise | 50,625 | 85,495 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-14 | Maurer Mark Lowry | other | Option exercise | 69,372 | 306,336 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-14 | Maurer Mark Lowry | other | Option exercise | 69,372 | 575,622 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-14 | Rotsztain Diego | officer | Option exercise | 50,625 | 506,250 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-10 | Lyon Charles M | officer | Gift | 500 | 324,242 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-14 | Dunaway William J | officer | Option exercise | 126,562 | 598,693 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-14 | Dunaway William J | officer | Option exercise | 126,562 | 506,250 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-10 | Perkins Abigail H | officer | Option exercise | 4,500 | 101,163 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-10 | Perkins Abigail H | officer | Option exercise | 4,500 | 515,250 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-07 | Maurer Mark Lowry | other | Option exercise | 69,372 | 289,612 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-07 | Maurer Mark Lowry | other | Option exercise | 69,372 | 644,994 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-31 | FOWLER JOHN MOORE | director | Withheld for tax | 230 | 256,813 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-31 | KASS STEVEN A | director | Award / grant | 174 | 80,073 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-31 | Thamodaran Dhamu R. | director | Award / grant | 142 | 5,648 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-31 | FOWLER JOHN MOORE | director | Award / grant | 174 | 257,043 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-31 | RADZIWILL JOHN | director | Award / grant | 219 | 231,850 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-31 | Cooper Diane L. | director | Award / grant | 116 | 56,102 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-22 | OCONNOR SEAN MICHAEL | director | Option exercise | 225,000 | 1,855,381 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-22 | Dunaway William J | officer | Option exercise | 126,563 | 568,101 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-22 | Rotsztain Diego | officer | Option exercise | 50,625 | 85,495 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-22 | Maurer Mark Lowry | other | Option exercise | 69,372 | 272,616 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-22 | Smith Philip Andrew | director | Option exercise | 45,000 | 783,216 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-22 | OCONNOR SEAN MICHAEL | director | Option exercise | 225,000 | 1,676,250 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-22 | Rotsztain Diego | officer | Option exercise | 50,625 | 556,875 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-22 | Dunaway William J | officer | Option exercise | 126,563 | 632,812 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-22 | Smith Philip Andrew | director | Option exercise | 45,000 | 916,875 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-22 | Maurer Mark Lowry | other | Option exercise | 69,372 | 714,366 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-30 | Smith Philip Andrew | director | Option exercise | 37,500 | 529,644 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-30 | Smith Philip Andrew | director | Option exercise | 37,500 | 641,250 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-15 | Maurer Mark Lowry | other | Option exercise | 46,248 | 181,744 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-15 | Maurer Mark Lowry | other | Option exercise | 46,248 | 522,492 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-15 | Perkins Abigail H | officer | Gift | 2,000 | 70,388 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-12 | Dunaway William J | officer | Option exercise | 84,375 | 357,961 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-12 | Dunaway William J | officer | Option exercise | 84,375 | 506,250 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-08 | Perkins Abigail H | officer | Option exercise | 4,312 | 76,700 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-08 | Perkins Abigail H | officer | Option exercise | 4,312 | 346,500 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-19 | OCONNOR SEAN MICHAEL | director | Option exercise | 72,140 | 1,309,061 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-19 | OCONNOR SEAN MICHAEL | director | Option exercise | 72,140 | 1,267,500 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-18 | OCONNOR SEAN MICHAEL | director | Option exercise | 87,790 | 1,324,711 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-18 | Rotsztain Diego | officer | Option exercise | 33,750 | 56,997 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.